巴基斯坦最近的"连环三笔交易"无疑让不少人看了心头一紧。雷科迪克铜金矿出售给加拿大的巴里克黄 金。石油开采权转手给美国能源公司。而就在此时，巴方又与中国续签了300亿元人民币的互换协议。 这一波操作看似背离中巴"铁哥们"的传统友谊，却让人忍不住思考：巴基斯坦究竟是在表达诚意，还是 演技满满？ 越来越看不懂了巴铁了！一边把矿卖给加拿大，一边把油给了美国，转头却跟中国续签300亿互换！ "朋友"有时比债务更沉重。最近，巴基斯坦三笔让人心惊的交易引发广泛关注。从卖矿石到签协议，巴 基斯坦在美加中三方之间游走。背后藏着怎样的生死抉择？当巴铁的财政危机与战略考量交织在一起， 真诚与演技之间，谁才是它真正的伙伴？ "打两张牌"这一策略显得尤为鲜明。巴基斯坦表面上与美加合作时言辞恳切："共享资源红利"与"强化 能源合作"。而与中国的关系则宣称"中巴关系不可撼动"。这种左右逢源的外交风格，实质上并不是"两 面派"，而是一个处于生死存亡边缘的国家在找饭吃。财政捉襟见肘、军费连年压缩，巴基斯坦无法单 纯依靠情义度日，它只能选择多方合作，寻求更多的"活路"。 近期，印度媒体试图炒作巴基斯坦与中国的军购波动，声称"中国向巴出售导弹价 ...

Market Overview - Southeast Asia ETFs fell by 0.84%, indicating a regional market correction, while Vietnam experienced positive growth[32] - The Southeast Asia ETF outperformed Latin America, India, and Japan, but lagged behind China, Africa, and the UK[32] Country-Specific Performance - Indonesia's iShares MSCI ETF declined by 4.49%, underperforming by 3.65 percentage points due to central bank rate cuts and social events[33] - Singapore's iShares MSCI ETF rose by 1.30%, outperforming by 2.14 percentage points, supported by an upward revision of the 2025 GDP growth forecast[34] - Thailand's iShares MSCI ETF fell by 0.76%, outperforming by 0.08 percentage points, primarily affected by political uncertainty[34] - Malaysia's iShares MSCI ETF decreased by 0.44%, outperforming by 0.40 percentage points, with active trading and stable economic growth in Q2 2025[34] - Vietnam's Global X MSCI ETF increased by 2.88%, outperforming by 3.73 percentage points, bolstered by new decrees reducing land use fees and rents[35] Trading Volume Insights - The Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF had a trading volume of 145,000 shares, down 22.9% from the previous period[9] - Indonesia's iShares MSCI ETF saw a trading volume of 9.658 million shares, up 36.9%[10] - Malaysia's iShares MSCI ETF experienced a significant increase in trading volume by 107.5%[10] Risk Factors - The report highlights macroeconomic downturn risks and geopolitical tensions as potential threats to market stability[4][31]

每经AI快讯，9月1日，波兰能源指数延续跌势，最新下跌5.7%。 ...

Group 1 - French business leaders warn that current political instability may lead to severe economic consequences [1] - The Prime Minister, Élisabeth Borne, is seeking a confidence vote from the National Assembly on September 8 regarding the government's budget plan for 2026 [1][3] - The opposition parties have announced plans to reject the government's fiscal deficit strategy, indicating a challenging political environment [3] Group 2 - Patrick Martin, head of the French Business Movement, highlighted a real risk of recession, citing dwindling orders and increased tariff pressures as significant threats to economic growth [4] - The yield on France's benchmark 10-year government bonds has surpassed 3.5%, nearing the highest level since the Eurozone debt crisis [4] - Consumer spending is currently the only support for economic growth in France, with increasing uncertainty negatively impacting consumer confidence [4] Group 3 - The ongoing political turmoil has disrupted financial markets, with the spread between French and German 10-year government bonds approaching the highest level since 2012 [6] - France's fiscal deficit is projected to be 5.8% of GDP in 2024, while public debt is expected to reach 114% of GDP by the end of Q1 2025 [6]

证券日报网讯9月1日晚间，九丰能源（605090）发布公告称，2025年8月份，公司以集中竞价交易方式 累计回购股份74.5万股，占公司总股本的0.11%。 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: Gold, Copper, Palm Oil, Rapeseed Oil, Cotton, Sugar, Logs [1] - **Bearish**: PVC Pipe, Galvanized Pipe, Glass, Soda Ash, Coking Coal, Coke, Crude Oil, Fuel Oil, Live Pigs [1] - **Sideways**: Aluminium, Alumina, Zinc, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Tin, Industrial Silicon, Polysilicon, Lithium Carbonate, Rebar, Hot Rolled Coil, Iron Ore, Cotton Yarn, Paper Pulp, Asphalt, Styrene, PTA, Naphtha, Short Fiber, Urea, PF, PVC, PG, Container Shipping European Line [1] Report's Core View - After the continuous strong and volume - increasing rise of stock index futures, capital flow amplifies market volatility. With the approaching of key macro - event nodes in September, the index is expected to fluctuate more, and it is recommended to moderately reduce positions and adjust the layout to be mainly long [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial for bond futures, but the central bank's short - term interest - rate risk warning restricts the upward space [1]. - Multiple factors drive the prices of different commodities. For example, the expectation of Fed rate cuts and supply - demand situations affect metal prices; seasonal factors, production, and consumption situations influence agricultural product prices; and supply - demand, policy, and geopolitical factors impact energy and chemical product prices [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro - finance - Stock index futures may experience increased volatility in September, and it is advisable to reduce positions and focus on long positions [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy favor bond futures, but short - term interest - rate risk warning restricts the upside [1]. Metals - **Precious Metals**: Gold is boosted by safe - haven demand and rate - cut expectations [1]. - **Base Metals**: - Copper is expected to be strong due to Fed rate - cut expectations and tight supply [1]. - Aluminium prices are volatile under domestic consumption off - season and Fed rate - cut expectations [1]. - Alumina has weak fundamentals, but there are opportunities to go long in the far - month contracts [1]. - Zinc prices have limited downside, and short - selling should be cautious [1]. - Nickel and stainless - steel prices are affected by macro - sentiment, Fed rate - cut expectations, and supply - demand in the short term [1]. - Tin prices are trending well in the short term due to seasonal maintenance and improved macro - sentiment [1]. - **Ferrous Metals**: - Rebar, hot - rolled coil, and iron ore have neutral valuations, unclear industrial drivers, and warm macro - drivers [1]. - PVC pipe and galvanized pipe are bearish due to long - term anti - involution, weak short - term fundamentals, and high inventory [1]. - Glass and soda ash are under pressure due to supply surplus [1]. - Coking coal and coke have weakening fundamentals and are expected to be weak [1]. Agricultural Products - Soybean oil is re - priced due to factors such as reduced soybean arrivals, consumption season, and trade flow [1]. - Rapeseed oil prices are supported by reduced production and supply - reduction expectations [1]. - Cotton has a near - month squeeze logic, and the 01 contract has limited upside [1]. - Sugar is running strongly but with limited height [1]. - Corn is expected to oscillate at a low level in the short term, and new - grain listing should be monitored [1]. - MO1 has limited downside due to import - cost support [1]. - Paper pulp's 11 - 1 reverse spread can be considered [1]. - Logs are expected to oscillate between 790 - 810 yuan/m³ [1]. - Live pigs are bearish due to increased supply and reduced cost [1]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil and fuel oil are affected by factors such as India's procurement change, OPEC+ production increase, and tariff issues [1]. - Asphalt's short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent and follows crude oil [1]. - Styrene is affected by rainfall, cost, and inventory factors [1]. - PTA's production has recovered, and profits have been repaired [1]. - Naphtha and related products are affected by industry reform and supply - demand changes [1]. - Short fiber has increased factory maintenance and growing warehouse receipts [1]. - Urea has limited upside and cost - end support [1]. - PF and PVC are expected to oscillate weakly [1]. - PG is affected by multiple factors such as capacity reduction, trade, and supply - demand [1]. - Container shipping European Line's freight rate is expected to decline [1].

Core Insights - The global technology competition is intensifying, with companies increasing investments to secure leadership in cutting-edge technologies [1] - In the first half of this year, A-share listed companies in China saw a 3.27% year-on-year increase in R&D spending, with BYD leading the way with an investment of 30.9 billion yuan, a 53% increase compared to the previous year [1][2] - BYD's R&D investment for 2024 is projected to reach 54.2 billion yuan, marking a 36% increase, and it has cumulatively invested over 210 billion yuan in R&D since 2011 [3] R&D Investment Rankings - In the first half of 2025, the top 10 companies in A-share for R&D investment are as follows: 1. BYD: 30.88 billion yuan 2. China State Construction: 17.43 billion yuan 3. ZTE: 13.54 billion yuan 4. China Mobile: 13 billion yuan 5. SAIC Motor: 10.17 billion yuan 6. CATL: 10.09 billion yuan 7. China Petroleum: 9.9 billion yuan 8. China Communications Construction: 8.89 billion yuan 9. Midea Group: 8.77 billion yuan 10. China Railway: 8.13 billion yuan [2] Comparison with Peers - In comparison to other major domestic automotive companies, BYD's R&D investment of 54.2 billion yuan for 2024 is significantly higher than its peers, with Geely holding 26.67 billion yuan, SAIC at 21.81 billion yuan, and others trailing behind [6][9] - BYD's R&D spending is nearly equivalent to the combined R&D investments of four other major car manufacturers [6] Technological Advancements - BYD's commitment to R&D is reflected in its development of groundbreaking technologies such as the fifth-generation DM, the "Tian Shen" driver assistance system, and the "Super e-platform" [9] - The company has also made a unique commitment to comprehensive safety in smart parking, showcasing its confidence in its technological capabilities [9] Sales Performance - BYD's substantial R&D investment has contributed to a significant increase in sales, with global sales reaching 2.49 million units in the first seven months of 2025, a 27.4% year-on-year growth [9] - The overseas market has shown remarkable performance, with over 550,000 units sold outside China, reflecting a growth of over 130% compared to the previous year [9]

智通财经APP获悉，星展发布研报称，新奥能源(02688)上半年国内利润增长低于1%，差过预期，但中 期股息维持每股0.65元。考虑到集团整体增长前景放缓，维持"持有"评级，目标价由68港元下调至64.5 港元。在当前具挑战的经济环境下，该行将IE(工业工程)及智能家居业务的营业额增长预测分别下调11 个及10个百分点，并将2025及26年国内利润预测下调4%和8%。 （原标题：星展：降新奥能源(02688)目标价至64.5港元 维持"持有"评级） ...

Group 1 - The convertible bond market underperformed the underlying stocks in August, with the China Convertible Bond Index rising by 4.32% compared to a 10.74% increase in the China All Share Index. Year-to-date, the respective increases are 14.85% and 20.49% [3][14]. - High-priced convertible bonds showed a significant increase of 8.92% in August, outperforming low-priced (3.14%) and mid-priced (3.26%) indices, indicating stronger performance in a rising equity market [3][16]. - The technology sector continued to perform strongly, with the information technology convertible bond index rising by 6.62% in August, benefiting from a 23% increase in the underlying technology stocks [4][27]. Group 2 - The dual-low strategy index increased by only 2.48% in August, while the high-priced low-premium strategy rose by 7.07%, highlighting the latter's stronger stock-like characteristics in a bullish market [5][32]. - The dual-low combination generated a return of 8.52% in August, outperforming the China Convertible Bond Index by 4.2 percentage points, and a cumulative return of 12.45% since June [6][35]. - For September, the dual-low strategy will focus on a reduced selection of bonds due to increased risks of delisting, with a final selection of 10 bonds primarily from the non-ferrous metals and light manufacturing sectors [6][38]. Group 3 - The report suggests maintaining a focus on growth sectors such as robotics and AI hardware, while also considering the military industry, which is expected to show improving fundamentals in September [8][40]. - The convertible bond market is likely to remain in a high valuation state if market activity continues, with high-priced low-premium convertible bonds expected to yield more returns when the underlying stocks are anticipated to rise [8][40].

Trade Growth - In 2024, trade between China and other member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is projected to reach approximately $512.4 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, which is double the trade volume during the 2018 Qingdao summit hosted by China [1][3] Import and Export Dynamics - China is expected to import nearly $90 billion worth of crude oil, natural gas, and coal from other SCO member countries in 2024, along with agricultural products valued at $13.66 billion, with energy products accounting for about one-fifth of China's total imports [3][5] - The export of electromechanical products from China to SCO member countries is anticipated to be $210 billion, constituting 63% of total exports, contributing significantly to the industrialization, economic transformation, and improvement of local livelihoods in member countries [5]