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酒鬼酒(000799):深度调整 积极求变
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 04:37
费用投放刚性,盈利能力承压。1、25H1 毛利率为68.7%,同比-4.6pp,主要系产品结构下行及规模效 应减弱所致。2、25H1 销售/管理费用率分别为32.6%/13.1%,分别同比-2.1pp/+5.2pp。销售费用率下降 主要系公司严控费用投放进度,而管理费用率因营收规模下降、费用支出相对刚性而有所提升。3、 25H1 净利率为1.6%,同比-10.6pp,主要系毛销差恶化。4、截止25Q2,销售收现2.2 亿元,同 比-57.1%;现金流净额-1.1亿元;合同负债余额1.4亿元,同比-47.5%。需求压力下公司以纾困渠道、去 化库存为主,减缓经销商回款压力,同时强化直营、团购等渠道建设,培育核心终端。 事件:公司发布 2025年半年度报告,25H1实现营业收入5.6亿元,同比-43.5%;实现归母净利润0.1 亿 元,同比-92.6%。其中25Q2 实现营收2.2 亿元,同比-56.6%;实现归母净利润-0.2 亿元。商务消费场景 复苏较弱,次高端及以上产品消费需求仍待恢复,公司业绩仍处于承压阶段。 产品动销承压,市场聚焦精耕。1、分产品看,25H1 内参/酒鬼/湘泉/其他系列分别实现营收 1.1 ...
本轮牛市正迎来重大拐点!现在很关键,能不能翻身就看它们了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 04:36
不过,近期市场风格轮动迹象愈发明确,资金调仓意愿显著增强。 当前,A股市场正处于一轮强劲的牛市之中。上证指数连续四个月收阳,成功站稳3800点整数关口,一度刷新近十年高 点,沪深两市日均成交额持续站稳2.5万亿元以上,量价配合默契,整体呈现健康、稳健的上行格局,市场信心持续增强。 值得关注的是,本轮行情并非全面普涨,更多呈现出鲜明的结构性特征。从主要宽基指数的年内表现来看,涨幅位居前三 的依次为:万得尾盘股指数(+54.82%)和北证50指数(+51.75%)和科创200指数(+50.79%)。整体来看,小盘风格与成 长风格在本轮行情中显著占优,展现出较强的超额收益能力。 这一市场特征由景气度和流动性共同造就。一方面,尽管当前宏观经济仍总体承压,但结构性亮点不断显现,促使入市资 金沿着产业逻辑和增长预期进行布局。人工智能、机器人、创新药、固态电池等代表新质生产力的板块,具备清晰的成长 叙事,自然成为资金集中涌入的方向。这些领域大多处于发展早期,企业营收和利润基数较小,因而更多体现为小盘成长 风格。另一方面,本轮行情主要由宽松流动性驱动,市场正处于估值修复阶段。从历史经验看,在流动性宽松环境中,小 盘成长风格受 ...
从半年报看泸州老窖“攻守道”:守牢高端基本盘,进击创新增长极
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-04 03:58
Core Viewpoint - Luzhou Laojiao demonstrates strong operational resilience amidst the overall adjustment phase of the Chinese liquor industry, achieving a revenue of 16.454 billion yuan and a net profit of 7.663 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, signaling a transition towards high-quality development rather than decline [1] Group 1: High-End Foundation - The high-end segment serves as a crucial support for Luzhou Laojiao during the industry's adjustment period, with the core product, Guojiao 1573, generating 15.048 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 91.45% of total revenue, showcasing the success of the company's high-end strategy [3][4] - Guojiao 1573 has established itself as a leading brand in China's high-end liquor market, providing a stable pricing system and strong consumer recognition that effectively mitigates market volatility [3][4] Group 2: Innovation-Driven Growth - Luzhou Laojiao is focusing on innovation to navigate the new normal of increasing consumption differentiation and diverse demands, with plans to enhance market penetration in county and village markets as a key operational focus for the second half of the year [8][12] - The company is also launching a new 28-degree Guojiao 1573 product, reflecting a deep technological breakthrough rather than a simple adjustment in alcohol content, maintaining its competitive edge in the low-alcohol segment [10][12] Group 3: Digital Empowerment - The company is implementing a digital marketing system to optimize its cost structure and enhance efficiency, with online emerging channels achieving revenue of 0.932 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.55%, and an online gross margin of 83.52% [16][17] - The "5-code association" technology is a key tool for Luzhou Laojiao to manage the entire supply chain, ensuring price stability and providing data for channel strategy adjustments [16][17]
泸州老窖跌2.02%,成交额5.80亿元,主力资金净流出1976.05万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 03:30
截至6月30日,泸州老窖股东户数20.81万,较上期增加15.55%;人均流通股7058股,较上期减少 13.47%。2025年1月-6月,泸州老窖实现营业收入164.54亿元,同比减少2.67%;归母净利润76.63亿元, 同比减少4.54%。 分红方面,泸州老窖A股上市后累计派现520.59亿元。近三年,累计派现229.26亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年6月30日,泸州老窖十大流通股东中,招商中证白酒指数A(161725)位居 第三大流通股东,持股5146.64万股,相比上期增加541.22万股。中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第四大 流通股东,持股3384.21万股,持股数量较上期不变。香港中央结算有限公司位居第五大流通股东,持 股3269.95万股,相比上期减少476.75万股。易方达蓝筹精选混合(005827)位居第六大流通股东,持股 2967.91万股,相比上期增加647.90万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF(510300)位居第八大流通股东,持股 1312.80万股,相比上期增加104.46万股。酒ETF(512690)位居第九大流通股东,持股1221.78万股, 相比上期增加235.02万股。 ...
西南证券发布酒鬼酒研报:深度调整,积极求变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 03:00
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the sales of the product are under pressure, with the market focusing on refined operations [1] - The company faces rigid expense investments, leading to pressure on profitability [1] - The company is actively adjusting strategies to overcome challenges and is preparing for long-term development [1]
东吴证券:白酒行业出清仍是主要期待 自上而下优先关注更早进入拐点且增长弹性领先酒企
智通财经网· 2025-09-04 02:32
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,白酒行业出清仍是主要期待,把握出清主要矛盾以及未来业 绩修复可见性主线,自下而上优先关注更早进入拐点,且增长弹性领先的酒企。参考2013~16年股价表 现,白酒周期从筑底出清到向上修复的过程中,行情并非简单复制白酒上行周期高端→次高端→中高端 的轮动顺序,而是自下而上优选业绩领先标的。该行预计本轮高端、次高端产品动销要达成量价新均 衡,仍需一定的时间过程,可更多关注具备香型份额提升、全国化扩张或新品招商alpha的部分个股。 东吴证券主要观点如下: Q2场景冲击压力加剧,动销考验更见真章 产品结构承压,净利率仍在回落 毛利率方面,25H1高端酒、次高端酒、区域酒企毛利率分别同比-0.5、-0.4、-0.3pct,产品结构与货折 对毛利率均有拖累。费率方面,25H1多数酒企销售费率同比提升,其中老窖、古井、老白干酒的销售 费率同比改善则与费用精细化管控有关;25H1伴随收入兑现趋弱,多数酒企管理费率同比小幅增长。利 润增速方面,25H1高端(5.49%)>次高端(-3.22%)>地产酒(-24.90%),产品结构回落、动销转化不畅,酒 企毛销差经历下行考验,同时规模负效应 ...
金徽酒涨2.05%,成交额7409.27万元,主力资金净流入13.28万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 02:27
9月4日,金徽酒盘中上涨2.05%,截至10:02,报22.38元/股,成交7409.27万元,换手率0.67%,总市值 113.52亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流入13.28万元,特大单买入0.00元,占比0.00%,卖出119.46万元,占比 1.61%;大单买入1267.86万元,占比17.11%,卖出1135.12万元,占比15.32%。 金徽酒今年以来股价涨17.11%,近5个交易日涨9.22%,近20日涨20.39%,近60日涨19.62%。 资料显示,金徽酒股份有限公司位于甘肃省陇南市徽县伏家镇,成立日期2009年12月23日,上市日期 2016年3月10日,公司主营业务涉及白酒的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为:100-300元55.10%,300 元以上21.62%,100元以下20.82%,其他(补充)2.47%。 金徽酒所属申万行业为:食品饮料-白酒Ⅱ-白酒Ⅲ。所属概念板块包括:高派息、增持回购、白酒、融 资融券、中盘等。 截至6月30日,金徽酒股东户数4.45万,较上期减少7.68%;人均流通股11408股,较上期增加8.32%。 2025年1月-6月,金徽酒实现营业收入17.59亿 ...
二季度净利润大增139%,舍得酒业,熬过“至暗时刻”
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-09-04 02:27
Core Viewpoint - Shede Liquor's financial report for the first half of the year shows a decline in both revenue and net profit, but there are signs of recovery in the second quarter, leading to a positive market response [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Shede Liquor achieved revenue of 2.701 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.01%, and a net profit of 443.3 million yuan, down 24.98% [1]. - In the second quarter, revenue was 1.125 billion yuan, a decline of only 3.44%, and net profit increased significantly by 139.48% to 97.17 million yuan [1]. - The stock price of Shede Liquor rose significantly, with a 30.1% increase over the past 11 trading days, outperforming the liquor sector and the broader market [1]. Strategic Adjustments - Shede Liquor has been in a downward adjustment cycle for several years, with four consecutive quarters of declining performance until signs of stabilization appeared in the second quarter of this year [2][4]. - The company has shifted its focus from high-end products to ordinary liquor, which has positively impacted its performance [6][8]. - Revenue from ordinary liquor increased by 15.86% year-on-year to 444.9 million yuan, with its share of total revenue rising by 4.73% [5][6]. Market Position and Competition - The liquor industry is characterized by a "pyramid" competition structure, with top brands like Moutai and Wuliangye dominating the high-end market, while Shede operates in a more competitive mid-range market [7]. - The company's sales expenses have decreased, contributing to improved net profit, as the focus on ordinary liquor has reduced marketing costs [8][9]. Challenges Ahead - Despite the recovery in the second quarter, Shede Liquor faces significant challenges, including pressure from distributors and high inventory levels [8][10]. - The number of distributors has decreased, and the company has shifted to direct sales channels, which may not be sustainable in the long term [8][9]. - Inventory levels have risen, with a significant portion of stock not translating into market competitiveness, indicating potential future challenges [10].
A股开盘速递 | A股走势分化!沪指失守3800点、创指涨超1% 银行板块下挫
智通财经网· 2025-09-04 01:56
9月4日,A股早盘走势分化,沪指失守3800点,截至9:41,沪指跌0.45%,深成指涨0.77%,创业板指涨1.47%。 盘面上,新能源赛道股反弹,储能概念延续强势,固态电池放领涨,通润装备2连板;光伏概念震荡走强,安彩高科涨停;折叠屏概念股拉升,宜安科技涨 超10%。下跌方面,银行、保险等大金融板块继续走低,军工、半导体、白酒等板块跌幅居前。 展望后市,东方证券认为,市场短期进入高位震荡,波动幅度有所扩大,但调整更多体现为结构化控制,高低切换与行业轮动特征明显,预计回落幅度有 限。 热门板块 1、储能概念延续强势 机构观点 1、广发证券:建议继续坚守科技产业主线 广发证券认为,对于已经持有本轮牛市科技主线的投资者,在当前估值分化程度并不算高的位置上,去参与"高低切换"的必要性不强,建议继续坚守科技产 业主线:一方面,海外算力链、创新药仍在牛市产业主线的进程中;另一方面,国产算力、国内AI基建、AI端侧应用的产业预期也在修复当中,前期重点 推荐的科创芯片、虽迟但到。 2、东吴证券:牛市二阶段,聚焦AI应用的赔率交易 东吴证券认为,在目前量能充沛的市场环境下,主线又集中于以AI为核心的科技,若上游硬件端出现筹 ...
贵州茅台重回“A股之王”,1935价格倒挂
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 01:25
智通财经记者 | 武冰聪 智通财经编辑 | 任雪松 贵州茅台重新成为了A股第一高价股。 2025年8月29日,国产芯片企业寒武纪的股价超过了贵州茅台,这一消息引发多方关注,登上热搜。 9月1日,寒武纪股价收跌2.95%,报1448.39元/股,贵州 茅台收跌0.26%,报1476.1元/股。贵州茅台股价再次超过寒武纪,重新成为A股市场第一高价股。 在随后的两天里,贵州茅台在早盘交易中展现出了强劲的势头,突破了1500元/股大关,创下了自今年5月以来的新高。 制图:智通财经 武冰聪 贵州茅台股价被超越,需要结合整个白酒板块的表现来看。 截至8月29日,全部A股上市公司半年报披露完毕。贵州茅台完成了此前制定的业绩增长9%目标。与2024年相比,茅台出现了增速放缓,但仍维持住增长势 头。 然而,智通财经统计了20家A股白酒上市公司及港股珍酒李渡共21家公司的数据,今年上半年有15家企业业绩下滑,仅有6家保持了营收与净利润增长,"双 增长"企业包括贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒,它们也分别是营收规模的前三名,属于全国性名酒。 | | | 2025上半年白酒股营收与净利润增长情况 | | | | --- | --- | - ...