- The report discusses the use of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to model price-volume data and future price trends, transforming these learned features into industry theme indices such as the CSI Smart Shipbuilding Industry Index, CSI Power Grid Equipment Theme Index, CSI Steel Index, and CSI Robotics Index[81][82][87] - The CNN model constructs standardized charts of price-volume data within specific time windows for individual stocks, which are then used to train the model to identify patterns and predict future price movements[81][82] - The CNN model's thematic allocation currently focuses on sectors like shipbuilding, power grids, steel, and robotics, as reflected in the indices mentioned above[81][82][87]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the A-share market in March, indicating a potential for a strong performance driven by favorable policies and external conditions [1][5][9]. Core Insights - Historical analysis shows that A-shares tend to exhibit volatility in March, influenced by policy changes and external events, with a notable increase in fundamental factors post the National People's Congress (NPC) [5][6]. - The report anticipates that March 2026 will see a continuation of the spring market trend, with a focus on technology and cyclical sectors, particularly favoring small and mid-cap stocks [1][24]. - The report highlights that sectors with high earnings growth, such as automotive, machinery, and non-ferrous metals, are expected to outperform in March [1][24]. Summary by Sections Section 1: March A-share Market Outlook - Historical data indicates that only 7 out of the last 16 years saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise in March, with performance largely dictated by policy and external events [5][6]. - The report predicts a relatively strong performance for A-shares in March 2026, supported by potentially positive NPC policies and limited external risks [1][9]. Section 2: Industry Allocation - The report emphasizes a focus on technology growth and certain cyclical industries in March, suggesting that these sectors may continue to outperform [1][24]. - Historical trends show that growth and consumption styles have led the market in March, driven by policy support and industry trends [26][28]. - The report identifies that small and mid-cap stocks may have an advantage in March, supported by favorable liquidity conditions and rising commodity prices [1][24][28]. Section 3: Economic and Earnings Recovery - Economic indicators suggest a continuation of weak recovery trends in March, with consumer confidence on the rise and retail sales expected to improve due to supportive policies [18][19]. - Earnings growth is projected to rebound in March, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals, driven by rising commodity prices and demand in technology sectors [19][20].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several companies within the technology sector, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance over the next 12 months [31]. Core Insights - The report highlights key companies in the technology sector, including Jiangsu Technology (Electronics, Communication, Computer, Media) as top picks for March 2026 [5][9]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential in various sub-sectors, particularly in 3D printing, liquid cooling solutions, AI chips, and gaming [15][16][18][19][21]. Summary by Category Electronics - **Precision Electronics**: Expected to achieve a net profit of 0.8e-0.9e in 2025, a significant increase of 181.97%-192.21% year-on-year, driven by semiconductor orders and improved operational efficiency [15]. - **Han's Laser**: Anticipated explosive growth in 3D printing, with a potential market share increase due to demand from North American clients [15]. Communication - **Invech**: Projected net profits of 5.87 million, 10.47 million, and 15.35 million from 2025 to 2027, with a strong focus on liquid cooling solutions and overseas market expansion [16]. - **Rui Ming Technology**: Expected to recover from previous losses, with projected net profits of 3.81 million, 4.95 million, and 6.67 million from 2025 to 2027, driven by increased demand in commercial vehicle information systems [17]. Computer - **Haiguang Information**: Positioned as a leader in high-end CPUs and DCUs, benefiting from the growth of domestic AI computing power and collaboration with major tech firms [18]. - **Cambricon**: Anticipated to maintain strong growth in AI chip demand, supported by ongoing R&D and market trends [18]. Media - **Kaiying Network**: Expected to launch several new games in 2026, which are projected to drive revenue growth [19]. - **Perfect World**: Anticipated to release a new RPG game, "Yihuan," with high market expectations, contributing to future revenue growth [21].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market is likely to experience a strong oscillation in March, continuing the spring market trend, influenced by policies and external events, with a rising impact of fundamentals after the Two Sessions [7][10] - Historical data shows that in the past 16 years, the Shanghai Composite Index has only risen in March in 7 years, highlighting the volatility of the market during this period [7][10] - The report suggests that March's market performance will be primarily driven by policy expectations, external events, and liquidity conditions, with a potential for positive sentiment following the Two Sessions [7][10] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that sectors related to technology growth and certain cyclical industries are expected to outperform in March, with a focus on small and mid-cap stocks [26][28] - Historical analysis indicates that growth and consumption styles have often led the market in March, driven by policy support and industry trends [28][30] - The report identifies high-growth sectors such as automotive, machinery, and electronics as likely to perform well in March, with a recommendation to accumulate positions in these areas [26][28] Group 3 - The report highlights that March may see a continuation of weak economic recovery, with consumer confidence and retail sales expected to improve due to supportive policies [20][21] - It notes that the profitability of cyclical industries, particularly in metals and chemicals, is likely to rise, contributing to overall earnings growth in the A-share market [21][22] - The report anticipates that the issuance of special bonds may increase in March, further supporting infrastructure investment and economic activity [20][26]

Core Conclusions - The overall valuation of A-shares has expanded this week, with the steel industry leading the gains. The weak accumulation of winter storage for steel this year has resulted in lower inventory pressure, and the seasonal increase in steel demand post-holiday, combined with strong price recovery expectations due to PPI rebound, supports a rebound in the steel sector. The current full dynamic valuation of the steel industry is at the historical 45.3 percentile, indicating further room for valuation improvement [1][8]. Valuation Overview - The overall PE (TTM) of A-shares increased from 23.10 times last week to 23.59 times this week, while the PB (LF) rose from 1.86 times to 1.90 times [10]. - The main board's PE (TTM) rose from 18.37 times to 18.79 times, and PB (LF) increased from 1.54 times to 1.57 times [18]. - The ChiNext board's PE (TTM) increased from 77.83 times to 80.11 times, and PB (LF) rose from 4.59 times to 4.69 times [20]. - The Sci-Tech Innovation board's PE (TTM) decreased from 227.96 times to 208.25 times, while PB (LF) increased from 5.75 times to 5.82 times [23]. Industry Valuation Levels - From a static PE (TTM) perspective, major industries such as consumer discretionary, midstream manufacturing, cyclical, and consumer staples have absolute and relative valuations above the historical median. Notably, consumer discretionary and midstream manufacturing are above the historical 90th percentile, while essential consumer goods, services, and financial services have relative valuations below the historical 10th percentile [28]. - In terms of PB (LF), industries like resources, cyclical, midstream manufacturing, TMT, and midstream materials have absolute and relative valuations above the historical median, with resources and cyclical industries exceeding the historical 90th percentile. Conversely, consumer staples, services, financial services, and essential consumer goods have both absolute and relative valuations below the historical median, with relative valuations below the historical 10th percentile [31]. - Analyzing full dynamic PE, industries such as consumer discretionary, midstream manufacturing, cyclical, and midstream materials have absolute and relative valuations above the historical median, while financial services and essential consumer goods are below the historical median, with consumer staples having relative valuations below the historical 10th percentile [33]. Performance and Yield Comparison - Current industries like construction materials, power equipment, media, non-bank financials, and steel exhibit both low valuations and high performance growth, indicating potential investment opportunities [3][52]. - The A-share non-financial equity risk premium (ERP) decreased from 0.70% to 0.63%, and the equity-bond yield spread fell from -0.20% to -0.25% this week [53].

Market Overview - The A-share market continued to show strong fluctuations, with major indices displaying significant divergence, where the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.98% for the week[10] - The ChiNext Index and the STAR 50 Index increased by 1.05% and 1.20% respectively, while the Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.41%[10][52] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector rebounded significantly by 9.77%, driven by rare earth and minor metals, while the media and consumer finance sectors weakened, with declines of 5.10% and 1.18% respectively[13][50] - Resource sectors such as steel, chemicals, and oil & petrochemicals saw increases of 12.27%, 7.15%, and 5.61% respectively[50] Market Sentiment and Trading Dynamics - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets increased to 2.42 trillion yuan, up from 2.09 trillion yuan the previous week[21] - Margin trading data showed a slight increase, with the total margin balance reaching 2.66 trillion yuan, up from 2.58 trillion yuan[29] Investment Strategy - The recommendation is to maintain flexibility in medium-term positions while being cautious and waiting for trend opportunities, and to selectively trade lower-tier stocks for short-term gains[53] - Focus on sectors such as securities, construction materials, and banking, while increasing attention to event-driven opportunities in the oil and petrochemical industries[53] Risk Factors - Risks include potential underperformance of domestic economic recovery and uncertainties in global geopolitical situations[54]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - As of the market situation on February 27, considering the "return - crowding" quadrant chart and ETF fund flow, the power grid equipment sector still has high attention value. From February 24 - 27, resource products and power grid equipment led in terms of gains, and their crowding degrees increased. The resource products were the main market theme of the week, with both popularity and price rising. The crowding degree of the power grid equipment further heated up at a high level, and its short - term market depends on the flow of funds. Meanwhile, the chemical and semiconductor equipment sectors strengthened, with an increase in crowding degree but not overheating. The game, media, tourism, and liquor sectors declined significantly, with their sector popularity decreasing to varying degrees. The game sector adjusted significantly, and its popularity cooled down. Combining the ETF fund flow, the willingness to chase the rise of power grid equipment is strong, and its subsequent market is still worth tracking; the capital movement in the resource product sector is not obvious, and it may be in a wait - and - see state; some funds in the chemical and semiconductor equipment sectors took profits, the gambling sentiment increased, and there may be short - term fluctuations. In addition, the capital cashing sentiment in the game sector has eased, showing signs of stabilization [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Trend: Steady Rise - From February 24 - 27, the market rose steadily. As of February 27, 2026, the closing price of the Wind All - A Index was 6942.40, up 2.75% from February 13 [6]. - From February 24 - 26, stock - type ETFs maintained a small net outflow. Stock - type ETFs had a net outflow of 32.86 billion yuan. Structurally, broad - based index ETFs had a net outflow of 26.244 billion yuan, theme index ETFs had a net outflow of 7.308 billion yuan, while industry index ETFs had a net inflow of 2.215 billion yuan [9]. 3.2 Theme Performance: Resource Products, Power Grid Equipment, and Chemicals Led in Gains - From February 24 - 27, resource products and power grid equipment led in gains, and their crowding degrees increased; the game, media, tourism, and liquor sectors declined significantly, and their popularity decreased to varying degrees. - Resource products were the main market theme of the week, with both popularity and price rising. From February 24 - 27, the rare earth, steel, non - ferrous metals, and oil and gas indexes rose 11.49%, 10.98%, 10.77%, and 9.06% respectively. At the same time, their crowding degree quantiles since 2020 increased by 6.4, 21.6, 4.9, and 17.1 percentage points respectively, showing the characteristics of volume - increasing and price - rising. The rare earth and non - ferrous metals mainly benefited from the price - rising logic, the oil market revolved around the US - Iran situation, and the steel benefited from the production control policy expectation. The crowding degrees of these themes are at a relatively high historical level, and the subsequent market may have stricter requirements for the logic [13]. - The crowding degree of the power grid equipment further heated up at a high level, and its short - term market depends on the flow of funds. The power grid equipment index rose 8.03%, and the crowding degree quantile since 2020 increased from 96.9% to 98.7%, a year - on - year increase of 1.8 percentage points. The power grid equipment has fundamental support, and the demand logic of AI for electricity is difficult to falsify, while the short - term market depends on the flow of funds [13]. - The chemical and semiconductor equipment sectors strengthened, with an increase in crowding degree but not overheating. The chemical and semiconductor equipment indexes rose 6.40% and 3.98% respectively this week. At the same time, their crowding degree quantiles since 2020 increased by 11.9 and 12.3 percentage points to 63.10% and 33.80% respectively [14]. - The game sector adjusted significantly, and its popularity cooled down. This week, the game index fell 6.57%, and the crowding degree decreased by 33.7 percentage points [14]. 3.3 Follow - up Attention: Focus on Power Grid Equipment - Combining the ETF fund flow, the power grid equipment had the largest net inflow and was favored by funds; while the chemical, media, and tourism sectors had large net outflows and faced cashing pressure. - The willingness to chase the rise of power grid equipment is strong, and its subsequent market is worth tracking. From February 24 - 26, against the background that most popular themes faced cashing, the power grid equipment ETF had a net inflow of 2.436 billion yuan. Moreover, this industry has both fundamental and logical support, and there may still be room for long - term growth. However, it is worth noting that the crowding degree of the power grid equipment is at a historical high since 2020, and the market may fluctuate in the short term. If the funds do not flow out significantly after the adjustment, it has high allocation value [19]. - The capital movement in the resource product sector is not obvious, and it may be in a wait - and - see state. From February 24 - 26, the net outflows of the Rare Earth ETF Harvest, Industrial Non - Ferrous Metals ETF Wanjia, Steel ETF, and Oil ETF Penghua were all less than 300 million yuan. After the crowding degree of the sector rose to a high level, the funds have not yet reached a consensus [19]. - Some funds in the chemical and semiconductor equipment sectors took profits, and the gambling sentiment increased. From February 24 - 26, some funds in the chemical and semiconductor equipment sectors chose to take profits, with net outflows of 1.685 billion yuan and 818 million yuan respectively for the ETFs. Coupled with the rising sector popularity and high gains this week, there may be short - term fluctuations [19]. - The game sector showed signs of stabilization. From February 24 - 26, the Game ETF had a net inflow of 25 million yuan, the capital cashing sentiment eased, and with the significant decline in sector popularity, it showed signs of stabilization [20].

Group 1 - The report highlights the significance of the February 27 meeting of the Central Political Bureau, which discussed the draft outline of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the "Government Work Report," marking a critical transition from the "14th Five-Year" to the "15th Five-Year" period [1][7] - The meeting established the "15th Five-Year" period as a key phase for solidifying the foundation and comprehensively advancing the goal of achieving socialist modernization, emphasizing a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy [1][9] - The report suggests that the macroeconomic environment's certainty will significantly increase, leading to the emergence of structural investment opportunities in various sectors [1][9] Group 2 - The "15th Five-Year" strategy focuses on high-quality development rather than mere quantitative expansion, aiming for qualitative improvements and reasonable growth, particularly in areas related to "new productive forces" and "technological self-reliance" [1][8] - The report indicates that fiscal policy will likely see a notable increase in the fiscal deficit ratio and local government special bond quotas, with an emphasis on enhancing the effectiveness of fiscal spending [1][9] - The monetary policy is expected to maintain a moderately loose stance, allowing for potential reductions in policy interest rates and structural tool rates to lower financing costs for the real economy, especially in technology innovation and green development [1][9] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply, with a focus on innovative supply-side measures to create demand, particularly in service consumption sectors [1][12] - It highlights the significance of technological innovation and the development of a unified national market, with policies favoring hard technology sectors such as artificial intelligence and biomanufacturing [1][13] - The report stresses the need for risk prevention and mitigation in key areas, with a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, and market expectations, while also promoting green transformation and improving public welfare [1][14] Group 4 - Investment strategies should focus on sectors aligned with the "new productive forces," including advanced technologies such as nuclear fusion, artificial intelligence, and solid-state batteries, as well as indices reflecting national industrial development [1][17]

Group 1 - The company Tianwei Vision announced that its 13th meeting of the 9th board of directors was held on February 27, 2026, via communication methods [1] - The meeting reviewed the proposal regarding the expected daily related transactions for the year 2026 [1] Group 2 - A significant shift has occurred in the AI sector, with China's AI usage surpassing that of the United States for the first time, leading to a surge in various sectors in the A-share market [1] - A well-known Wall Street analyst noted that China's computing power path is overturning traditional perceptions [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - In February 2026, the A-share market continued to oscillate upward with differentiated index performance. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices were strong, while the SSE 50 index was weak. The price increase theme became an important main line in the A-share market, and the stock index is expected to maintain an oscillating upward trend in March [3][4][9]. - The price increase theme is driven by improved product supply - demand relations and abundant social funds. The abundant social funds are an important driving force for the overall price increase, and "price increase" may be an important main line in the stock market this year [28][30][34]. - The two sessions in 2026 are expected to have a positive impact on the A-share market. Historically, the stock index performance around the two sessions has been relatively positive, and the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices have performed better [35]. Summary by Directory 1. First Part: Preface Summary 1.1 Market Review - In February, the A-share market continued to oscillate upward with differentiated index performance. The SSE 50 index was affected by the large - financial sector and performed poorly around the Spring Festival, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices were strong due to the active performance of small - and medium - cap stocks. The futures - spot basis of stock index futures widened significantly compared with the previous month, and the trading volume and open interest decreased significantly around the Spring Festival [3]. 1.2 Market Outlook - The price increase theme has become an important main line in the A-share market. Due to improved product supply - demand relations and abundant social funds, it is expected to continue to have an important impact on the market. Historically, the stock index performance around the two sessions has been relatively positive, and the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices have performed better. Therefore, the stock index is expected to maintain an oscillating upward trend in March [4]. 1.3 Strategy Recommendation - Unilateral: Oscillate upward. - Arbitrage: Long IM/IC2609 contracts + Short ETFs. - Options: Bull spread strategy [5]. 2. Second Part: January Market Review 2.1 Stock Market - Index Performance Differentiated - In February, the A-share market continued to oscillate upward. The SSE 50 index closed with a negative monthly line, the CSI 300 index rose steadily, and the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices accelerated their rise after the Spring Festival. As of February 26, the monthly increase of the CSI 300 index was 0.44%, the SSE 50 index fell 1.02%, the CSI 500 index rose 2.23%, and the CSI 1000 index rose 2.86%. Non - metallic materials, machinery and equipment, and national defense and military industry sectors led the gains, while insurance, media and Internet, social services, and agricultural products sectors led the decline [9][12]. 2.2 Stock Index Futures - Widened Basis and Shrinking Trading Volume - In February, the basis of stock index futures widened significantly compared with the previous month. The average monthly basis of the IF current - month contract was a 4 - point discount, the IH current - month contract had an average monthly premium of 0.99 points, the IC current - month contract had an average monthly discount of 2.67 points, and the IM current - month contract had an average monthly discount of 2.9 points. The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures decreased overall. The average daily trading volume of IM, IC, IF, and IH decreased by 18.3%, 17.5%, 27.5%, and 19% respectively compared with the previous month; the average daily open interest of IM, IC, and IF decreased by 0.6%, 5.8%, and 4.6% respectively, while the average daily open interest of IH increased by 5.6%. The increase in the basis made the cost of short - position roll - over of stock index futures increase again. The net short - position of each variety fluctuated with the market, and the net short - position of the top five and top ten seats of each variety increased on average compared with the previous month, with IH having a significant increase in positions [15][19][24]. 3. Third Part: Future Outlook and Investment Strategy 3.1 The Price Increase Theme is Driven by Abundant Funds - Recently, the price increase theme has become an important main line in the A-share market, spreading across various industries. The price increase is not only a reflection of the improvement in product prosperity and industry performance but also the result of abundant funds and speculation. Social funds are abundant, with the M1 year - on - year growth rate in January 2026 being 4.9% (previous value 3.8%), the M2 year - on - year growth rate being 9.0% (previous value 8.5%), and the new social financing being 7.2 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 165.4 billion yuan. The narrowing of the M2 - M1 gap may indicate abundant funds again. The appreciation of the RMB against the US dollar is beneficial to the stock market, and if the upward trend of the RMB exchange rate continues, it may bring liquidity to the stock and commodity markets. "Price increase" may be an important main line in the stock market this year [28][30][34]. 3.2 Policy Expectations are High - The Two Sessions in 2026 are expected to have an impact on the A-share market. Historically, the market performance around the Two Sessions has been relatively positive, with more disturbances during the meetings and increased market volatility. The CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices have a higher probability of rising and larger increases. Benefiting from positive policy expectations, abundant liquidity, the AI technological revolution, and energy demand, the "steady and progressive" trend of the stock index is expected to continue. The sectors benefiting from the policy expectations of the Two Sessions are mainly in scientific and technological innovation and consumption promotion, and the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 indices with higher technological content will benefit more [35][36]. 3.3 Future Strategy - The price increase theme will continue to have an important impact on the market. The stock index is expected to maintain an oscillating upward trend in March, and the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices will perform better [37].