12 月 12 日，中央经济工作会议指出苦练内功应对外部挑战，继续实施适度宽松货币政策，灵活高效运用降准降息等多 种政策工具，着力稳定房地产市场，积极有序化解地方政府债务风险，深入实施提振消费专项行动，清理消费领域不合 理限制措施。港股在美股提升下上升，周五恒生指数高开，最多曾升 475 点，最终上涨 446 点（1.8%），收报 25,976 点； 恒生科技指数升 103 点（1.9%），收盘报 5,638 点；全天大市成交额扩大至 2,427 亿元。但南向资金净流出 52.9 亿元。 盘面上，金价上升，紫金矿业（2899 HK）上升 3.6%；山东黄金（1787 HK）和招金矿业（1818 HK）涨 3.4%。中央经济 工作会议将"坚持内需主导"排在首位，消费股造好，蒙牛乳业（2319 HK）升 2.7%；农夫山泉（9633 HK）升 2.2%；海 底捞（6862 HK）升 2.9%。科技股上升，阿里巴巴（9988 HK）和腾讯（700 HK）涨 2.3%和 2.4%。 美股方面，虽然减息落地，但科技股继续下跌。周五纳斯达克指数跌幅加剧，收盘跌 245 点（0.5%），报 48,458 点；纳 斯达克指数 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the A - share market showed a significant differentiation pattern. The performance of broad - based indices was diverse, with the BeiZheng 50 and ChiNext Index leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 had slight pullbacks, and the CSI Dividend and China Securities Value Index had relatively large pullbacks. At the industry level, the communication sector was strong, while traditional energy and real - estate industrial chain - related sectors were under pressure. The margin trading balance reached a phased high on Wednesday and then declined, with the latest level on Thursday at 25079.82 billion yuan. [3][11] - Active equity funds' stock positions continued the downward trend, with the position of allocation - type funds falling back to the level around the end of July. In terms of industry allocation, in the short - term, the change in the allocation structure was relatively limited. From a medium - term perspective, the positions in the electronics and new energy industries continued to rise, and the exposure level of active equity funds to the large - cap growth style further increased. [3][11] - In the ETF market, A500 and Hong Kong - stock technology - related indices continued to receive net capital inflows, while indices such as the ChiNext Index, securities firms, CSI Bank, and convertible bonds had varying degrees of net capital outflows. [3][11] - In the context of a marginal increase in risk aversion, it is recommended to focus on structural allocation, moderately pay attention to sectors with mid - term prosperity advantages, maintain a relatively balanced allocation at the index level, and control the overall position. [3][11] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Market Review - **Broad - based Index Performance**: The A - share broad - based indices showed a differentiated trend this week. The BeiZheng 50 and ChiNext Index led the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI Dividend, and China Securities Value Index had pullbacks. As of December 12, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.35 points, with a weekly change of about - 0.34%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13258.33 points, with a weekly change of about 0.84%; the ChiNext Index closed at 3194.36 points, with a weekly change of about 2.74%; and the CSI 300 closed at 4580.95 points, with a weekly change of about - 0.08%. [11][12] - **Industry Index Performance**: The performance of primary industries was also significantly differentiated. The communication sector led the gains, while coal and petroleum and petrochemical sectors had relatively large declines. The top - performing industries in terms of weekly change were communication (5.92%), national defense and military industry (3.57%), electronics (2.51%), power equipment and new energy (1.34%), and machinery (1.33%); the bottom - performing industries were coal (- 3.80%), petroleum and petrochemical (- 3.43%), textile and clothing (- 2.68%), real estate (- 2.62%), and steel (- 2.53%). [14] 3.2 Public Funds - **Public Fund Position Calculation**: Active equity funds' stock positions continued to decline, with the position of allocation - type funds falling back to the level at the end of July. As of December 12, 2025, the average position of active equity funds was about 88.41%. Among them, the average position of ordinary stock - type funds was about 91.71% (up 0.10 pct from last week), the average position of partial - stock hybrid funds was about 89.72% (down 0.05 pct from last week), the average position of allocation - type funds was about 85.03% (down 0.49 pct from last week), and the average position of "fixed - income +" funds was about 23.33% (up 0.03 pct from last week). [2][21] - **Style Trends of Active Equity Products**: The exposure to the large - cap growth style has significantly increased compared to three months ago, with little change this week. As of December 12, 2025, the large - cap growth position of active partial - stock funds was 42.77% (down 0.12 pct from last week), the large - cap value position was 6.61% (down 0.23 pct from last week), the mid - cap growth position was 7.67% (up 0.09 pct from last week), the mid - cap value position was 7.44% (up 1.43 pct from last week), the small - cap growth position was 26.82% (down 0.86 pct from last week), and the small - cap value position was 8.69% (down 0.31 pct from last week). [3][29] - **Industry Trends of Active Equity Products**: In the past three months, the positions in electronics and new energy have significantly increased, while the positions in medicine and banking have decreased. This week, the industries with relatively large increases in the allocation ratio of active equity funds were petroleum and petrochemical (about 0.92%, up 0.11 pct from last week), electronics (about 20.79%, up 0.11 pct from last week), real estate (about 0.63%, up 0.09 pct from last week), building materials (about 0.93%, up 0.08 pct from last week), and power equipment and new energy (about 8.57%, up 0.07 pct from last week). The industries with relatively large decreases in the allocation ratio were computer (about 4.51%, down 0.20 pct from last week), steel (about 1.12%, down 0.08 pct from last week), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (about 1.78%, down 0.08 pct from last week), transportation (about 1.21%, down 0.06 pct from last week), and medicine (about 10.20%, down 0.05 pct from last week). [3][32] - **ETF Market Tracking**: This week, equity indices with a net inflow of over 1 billion yuan included A500, Hang Seng Technology, Science and Technology Innovation 50, and Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology. Indices with a net outflow of over 1 billion yuan included the ChiNext Index, securities companies, CSI Bank, and CS Artificial Intelligence. The total net outflow of domestic stock - index ETF funds was about 9.893 billion yuan, with a total scale of 36740.46 billion yuan; the total net inflow of overseas index ETFs was about 10.139 billion yuan, with a total scale of 9385.21 billion yuan; the total net inflow of bond - index ETFs was about 2.954 billion yuan, with a total scale of 7208.3 billion yuan; and the total net inflow of commodity - index ETFs was about 0.121 billion yuan, with a total scale of 2435.63 billion yuan. [34] - **Newly Established Funds**: This week, there were 27 newly established domestic funds, including 3 active equity funds. The total newly - issued share of active equity funds was about 2.152 billion shares, which was at the 50% quantile in the past year. Since the beginning of this year, 312 active equity funds have been newly issued, with a total scale of about 156.326 billion yuan, exceeding the levels of last year and 2023. 574 passive equity funds have been newly issued, with a total scale of about 307.153 billion yuan, significantly exceeding the levels of previous years. [40] 3.3 Main/Active Capital Flows - Active funds had a net inflow into electronics and communication. The main funds had a net outflow from electronics, computer, and basic chemicals this week. In terms of individual stocks, stocks with main - fund net inflow and small - and medium - sized order net outflow included Dongshan Precision, Shenghong Technology, BYD, Lingyizao, and Xiangnong Core Creation; stocks with main - fund net outflow and small - and medium - sized order net inflow included ZTE, Sungrow Power Supply, Tianfu Communication, Industrial Fulin, and Aerospace Development. In terms of industries, industries with main - fund net inflow and small - and medium - sized order net outflow were not specified; industries with main - fund net outflow and small - and medium - sized order net inflow included electronics, computer, basic chemicals, communication, and medicine. The net main - buying amount this week was about - 280.694 billion yuan, and active funds had a net inflow into electronics and communication. Active funds were more optimistic about stocks such as New E - Sheng, Dongshan Precision, Ping An of China, Shenghong Technology, and Changxinbochuang, while stocks such as China Merchants Bank, Kweichow Moutai, ZTE, Yonghui Superstores, and Industrial Fulin were net - sold by active funds. The industries with the highest net main - buying amounts were electronics and communication; the industries with relatively large outflows were medicine, basic chemicals, computer, machinery, and non - ferrous metals. [5][50]

来源：浙商证券股份有限公司 核心观点 本周市场明显分化、呈现"沪弱深强"格局，多数宽基指数冲高回落。展望后市，由于以上证为代表的权 重指数勉强站上5 周均线，但还未收复前期上升趋势线；而在算力链"强势吸金"的背后，市场出现明显 分化格局。我们预计，在"权重不够强、行业大分化"的局面下，市场或继续维持区间震荡格局。配置方 面，基于"市场分化震荡继续，多看少动守株待兔"的判断：择时方面，建议持仓等待，切勿追涨杀跌、 垫高自身成本，同时根据不同宽基指数的"左脚"分类设定目标，伺机出击、分批介入。行业配置，建议 关注明显滞涨且份额扩张的券商板块、走势顺畅且历史上在12 月胜率较高的家电，以及近期利好频出 的机械设备。个股方面，留意医药、消费、AI 应用板块中相对低位的标的，同时关注年线上方低位滞 涨个股。 本周（2025-12-08 至2025-12-12）行情概况（1）主要指数：市场呈现"沪弱深强"格局，多数宽基指数冲 高回落。（2）板块观察：算力携硬科技领涨，大周期和消费走弱。（3）市场情绪：沪深成交环比上 升，IC 股指期货合约升水。（4）资金流向：两融余额小幅上升，有色金属ETF 净流入最多。（5）量 化"黑 ...

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF declined by 4.53% on Friday, December 12, indicating a negative trend in the semiconductor sector [1] - The global technology stock index ETF fell by 2.92%, reflecting broader challenges in the technology industry [1] - The technology sector ETF decreased by 2.89%, showing a consistent downturn in tech-related investments [1] Group 2 - The banking sector ETF rose by 3.58% this week, marking its fourth consecutive week of gains, driven by interest rate trends during the "Federal Reserve rate cut week" [1] - The semiconductor index experienced a cumulative decline of 2.83% over the week, highlighting ongoing struggles within the semiconductor market [1]

金融从业者的朋友圈今晚被"开闸了"三个字刷屏，中国证监会一纸备案通知书，点燃了沉寂大半年的中概股赴美上市热情。 证监会国际合作司向龙电华鑫新能源科技集团发出的境外发行上市备案通知书，允许这家注册资本53亿元的新能源材料企业发行不超过1.415亿普通股，选 择在纳斯达克或纽交所上市。 这则消息迅速在金融圈内传播，引发行业人士的集体欢呼。 | 01 市场信号 | | --- | 02 实际数据 龙电华鑫获得备案，象征着中国公司赴美上市通道的重新激活。 这一消息迅速在金融从业者的社交圈中传播，"开闸了"三个字成为今日行业内的关键词。经过近八个月的相对沉寂，此次备案被市场解读为重要政策信号。 有证券律师透露："近期赴美上市备案审核节奏明显加快，监管部门对符合条件的企业持更为开放的态度。" 龙电华鑫计划募资约5亿美元，将成为近期较大规模的中概股IPO案例。 与外界感知不同，中企赴美上市的通道从未完全关闭，但规模和结构发生了变化。 2025年上半年，已有36家中国公司在美国成功上市，延续了2024年64家的历史高位。主要集中在新能源、生物科技和消费领域。 面对全球资本市场的复杂环境，越来越多的中国企业开始构建多重上市架构 ...

Core Insights - Zhejiang's total import and export value reached 5.06 trillion yuan from January to November, growing by 5.3% year-on-year, surpassing the national average by 1.7% [1] - Exports amounted to 3.83 trillion yuan, increasing by 7.1%, while imports were 1.23 trillion yuan, with a marginal growth of 0.1% [1] Trade Market Performance - ASEAN solidified its position as Zhejiang's largest trade market with a total trade value of 786.81 billion yuan, growing by 15.4%, contributing 40.9% to the province's overall import and export growth [4] - The EU ranked as the second-largest trade market for Zhejiang, with a trade value of 770.14 billion yuan, increasing by 8.3% [4] - Exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa grew by 16.1%, 10.0%, 12.0%, and 15.4% respectively [4] Private Sector Performance - Private enterprises accounted for 4.16 trillion yuan in import and export value, growing by 7.0% and representing 82.1% of the province's total [2][4] - Exports from private enterprises reached 3.30 trillion yuan, increasing by 8.4%, while imports were 858.61 billion yuan, growing by 1.7% [2][4] - Foreign-invested enterprises reported a total import and export value of 619.78 billion yuan, with exports at 394.41 billion yuan and imports at 225.37 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 2.3% and 3.8% respectively [2][4] Product Export Trends - The export of electromechanical products reached 1.79 trillion yuan, growing by 8.8%, with "new three samples" products (solar products, electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries) seeing a significant increase of 23.3% [5] - Labor-intensive products exported amounted to 1.13 trillion yuan, growing by 3.9%, capturing 30.5% of the national market share [5] - High-tech product exports totaled 324.35 billion yuan, increasing by 10.7%, with high-end equipment exports growing by 16.8% to 129.73 billion yuan [5] Import Trends - The import of electromechanical products grew significantly, reaching 218.42 billion yuan, with notable increases in aircraft and other aviation equipment (122.9%) and computers and components (43.1%) [6] - Consumer goods imports totaled 143.46 billion yuan, growing by 8.7%, while agricultural product imports reached 112.04 billion yuan, increasing by 10.6% [6] Industry Transformation - Many Zhejiang companies are transitioning towards new markets, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, with significant advancements in air suspension technology [3][6] - A specific company, Xigema Co., has developed air suspension systems that achieve 90% of the performance of top international brands at a fraction of the cost [6]

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 今天大盘整体上涨，截止到收盘，还在4.2星。 大中小盘股都上涨，小盘股上涨略多。 现金流等价值风格上涨。 成长风格也整体上涨。 今天收盘后，也是12月份指数调仓的时间。 等下周一看到的估值，也就是指数调仓后的了。 港股今天上涨比A股多一些。 港股科技股领涨。 螺丝钉也汇总了港股指数的估值，供参考。 这也跟A股的风格轮动有关。 1. 最近价值风格出现了一些波动。 A股经常出现成长、价值风格的轮动。 （1）今年三季度是成长风格比较强势。 创业板指，在今年3季度，创下最近10年，最大单季度涨幅。 价值风格三季度也上涨，但涨幅就没有成长风格这么多。 （2）到了10-11月，成长风格短期出现大幅回调。 创业板指从3331点，短期下跌到11月24日的2892点，回调13.2%。 科创50波动更大一些，回调了20%。 同期价值风格没有太大波动。 价值、红利等指数略微下跌；自由现金流指数，在10月初到11月24日，甚至还略微上涨了一些。 （3）到了12月，成长风格短期大幅下跌后，出现了反弹。 只是阶段性，成长和价值风格的表现会有强弱。 这也是A股的特点。 成长风格比较吸引市场眼球，短期 ...

Group 1 - A-shares market rebounded on December 12, with semiconductor and power grid sectors showing strong performance, leading to significant gains in related ETFs [1][10][13] - The Hong Kong stock market exhibited even stronger performance, with technology, securities, and consumer sectors collectively rising, driving up related ETFs [3][11] - The technology sector in A-shares has been on an upward trend this week, with substantial capital inflow into technology-related ETFs, including the Sci-Tech Bond and Sci-Tech 50 ETFs [12][6] Group 2 - Several ETFs related to the semiconductor and power grid sectors recorded notable gains, with the Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF rising by 5.00% and the Power Grid Equipment ETF increasing by 3.49% [2][14] - The Hong Kong market saw the Hang Seng Index rise by 1.75%, marking its largest single-day gain in over half a month, driven by positive news from the Federal Reserve [3][11] - Bond ETFs also saw active trading, with the Short-term Bond ETF and Yinhua Daily Yield ETF each exceeding 100 billion yuan in trading volume [5][16] Group 3 - The Huatai-PB CSI 500 ETF attracted over 20 billion yuan in net inflow this week, ranking first in the market, while other CSI 500 ETFs also saw significant inflows [17][18] - The satellite and aerospace sectors have been active, with related ETFs performing well, driven by the scarcity of frequency orbit resources and the commercial potential of AI in satellite technology [19][8] - The Hong Kong high-dividend assets have regained strength following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Select Index showing a 12-month dividend yield of 5.56% [20][9]

中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议指出今年我国经济社会发展主要目标将顺利完成。这一年，中国经济有哪些亮眼表现？如何看待当前经 济形势？专家对此进行了解读。 国家信息中心经济预测部宏观经济研究室副主任 邹蕴涵：今年以来，全球经济增长持续放缓，我国经济总体保持了平稳的发展态势，各方的积极性、主动 性充分调动，各类宏观政策持续加力显效，共同推动经济的内生增长动力不断壮大，全年的各项指标将顺利完成，我国的经济高质量发展迈出了坚实的步 伐。 会议用"五个必须"科学总结了做好新形势下经济工作新的认识和体会，并提出我国经济长期向好的支撑条件和基本趋势没有改变，要坚定信心、用好优势、 应对挑战，不断巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头。 国家信息中心经济预测部宏观经济研究室副主任 邹蕴涵：会议实际上毫不讳言地直面我们当前面对的非常突出的矛盾，比如说我们经济里边供强虚弱的问 题，并且对这些问题做出了非常准确的判断和认识，来有的放矢解决这些问题。同时还有一系列非常突出的优势和长处，包括超大规模的市场优势，是我们 未来发展的底气和支柱所在。 中央经济工作会议指出，今年是很不平凡的一年，我国经济顶压前行，向新向优发展，现代化产 ...

北京时间12月11日凌晨3点，美联储宣布，降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间从3.75%—4.00%下调至3.50%—3.75%。这是美联储继9月17日、10月29 日降息后年内的第三次降息，幅度均为25个基点，今年累计降息75个基点。 图：联邦基金利率年内三次下跌 数据来源：Wind 截至：2025.12.10 美联储降息对港股影响几何？ 1、流动性闸门打开：港元与美元挂钩，香港银行间利率（HIBOR）基本跟随美息下行。1个月Hibor从5.5%快速掉到4%以下，边际资金成本下降150bp。本 地券商融资利率、散户保证金成本同步下降，市场风险偏好或改善，成交量有望放大。 2、外资或将回补：降息削弱美元，美元兑人民币与美元兑港币同步回落，一方面降低港股盈利换算的汇率损失（中资公司收入以人民币计价），另一方面 缓解资金外流压力，国际对冲基金开始回补此前低配的中国相关资产。全球流动性外溢使长线基金重新配置新兴市场，港股因"离岸+中国"双重属性或成为 再平衡首选，外资或回补仓位带动互联网、消费、医药等权重板块估值修复。 3、南向资金或将联动：美元走弱带动人民币反弹，离岸人民币流动性宽松，既减轻内地房企、平台公司 ...