Group 1: Job Market Overview - The private-sector payrolls report from ADP for May shows a weak job creation of +37K, significantly below the projected +110K, marking the lowest tally since March 2023 [1][2] - The average job creation over the past four months is only +82K, compared to +197K in the previous four months, indicating a substantial decline in job growth [2] - Goods-producing jobs decreased by -2K, while services added a modest +36K jobs, reflecting ongoing challenges in the labor market [3][4] Group 2: Sector Performance - The Leisure & Hospitality sector gained +38K jobs, followed by Financial Services with +20K and Construction with +6K, while Education & Health Services lost -13K and Professional/Business Services saw a decline of -27K [4] - Medium-sized companies (50-499 employees) led job gains with +49K, while large firms lost -3K and small businesses dropped -13K, highlighting the vulnerability of small-sized companies in the current labor market [5] Group 3: Wage Trends - Job Stayers experienced a +4.5% year-over-year wage increase, while Job Changers saw a +7.0% increase, indicating a generally healthy wage environment despite lower levels compared to previous periods [6] - Wages are stabilizing at robust levels, but there are no strong sectors driving significant hiring, leading to a hesitant job market [7] Group 4: Market Reaction - Following the ADP report, pre-market indexes shifted from positive to negative, with the Dow down -44 points, S&P 500 down -4, and Nasdaq down -20 [8] - Year-to-date performance shows the Dow at -0.7%, S&P at +0.7%, Nasdaq at +2.2%, and Russell 2000 at -6.5%, indicating mixed market sentiment [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales for Q2 2025 were $629.1 million, an increase of $45.1 million or 7.7% compared to Q2 2024, excluding the impact of the divested E and C transit bus business [26][27] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $58.9 million, a 63.6% increase year over year, excluding the impact of the divested bus business [27][29] - Cash flow from operating activities in the quarter was $117 million, with $11.4 million spent on capital expenditures [41][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty Vehicles segment sales increased by $16.5 million to $453.9 million, with a 12.2% increase when excluding the divested transit bus business [29][30] - Recreational Vehicle segment sales decreased by $4.4 million or 2.4% due to lower unit shipments amid soft market demand [34][35] - Specialty Vehicles segment adjusted EBITDA increased by $24 million or 74.3% year over year, driven by higher sales and manufacturing efficiencies [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Specialty Vehicles segment backlog at the end of the quarter was $4.3 billion, reflecting strong demand for fire apparatus [31] - Recreational Vehicle segment backlog declined by 2% to $268 million, attributed to soft end market demand [37] - REV brand retail sales decreased by 10% year over year, compared to a 13% decline in the broader industry [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational excellence, investing in people and equipment, and product innovation to drive sustainable growth [10][23] - A strategic decision was made to exit the non-motorized travel trailer and truck camper product categories to concentrate on scalable operations with stronger competitive positioning [18][19] - The company is increasing capital expenditure plans to enhance throughput and efficiency across its operations [23][42] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating tariff impacts and maintaining updated financial guidance for the year [13][42] - The company anticipates continued growth in the Specialty Vehicles segment, with mid-teens revenue growth expected for the second half of the fiscal year [33][42] - Management noted that demand for fire and ambulance products is returning to long-term trend levels, with expectations for normalized order levels in the back half of the year [64] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares for $88 million under its share repurchase authorization [22][41] - A non-cash loss of $30 million was recognized related to the Lance Camper assets held for sale, partially offset by a $16.6 million income tax benefit [36][43] - The company maintains ample liquidity with approximately $263.2 million available under its ABL revolving credit facility [41][44] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the timeframe for tariff impacts on the backlog and output? - Management expects the RV tariff impact to primarily affect the back half of fiscal 2025, with some potential carryover into early 2026 [47][48] Question: What is the expected return on the $20 million investment in the Brandon facility? - Management indicated that the investment aims to reduce lead times and increase throughput, but specific return metrics were not disclosed [49][50] Question: How does the sale of Lance impact long-term EBITDA goals? - Management clarified that Lance represents less than 10% of total sales for recreation, thus having no material impact on long-term EBITDA targets [51][52] Question: Will dealer assistance continue to increase in the second half? - Management expects a softer second half for recreation sales, influenced by tariffs and consumer confidence risks, but did not specify on dealer assistance trends [57][58] Question: What is the demand outlook for the S-one 80 program? - Demand for the S-one 80 program remains strong, with orders increasing across various brands [62][63] Question: What is the current state of wholesale versus retail demand in recreational vehicles? - Retail shipments showed early signs of improvement, while dealer inventories are healthier, which should drive better wholesale orders [70][72]

ADP数据显示，美国招聘放缓至两年来最慢速度 6月4日消息，美国招聘速度降至两年来的最低点，商业服务、教育与医疗等行业出现裁员，显示出对劳 动力需求的减弱。 根据ADP研究机构的数据，5月份美国私营部门的就业增长几乎陷入停滞，新增就业岗位仅为3.7万个， 为两年多以来的最低水平，显示出劳动力市场疲软的迹象。 这一数据低于4月份经下修后的6万个，也远低于道琼斯预期的11万个，为自2023年3月以来ADP统计的 最低月度就业增幅。 该报告发布的时间距离美国劳工统计局发布的更受关注的非农就业数据仅两天。市场预期非农就业将增 加12.5万个，失业率维持在4.2%。 尽管ADP与非农就业报告经常存在差异，有时甚至差距较大，但ADP数据仍为当前整体经济形势下的就 业状况提供了一个重要视角。 ADP首席经济学家内拉·理查森表示："在年初表现强劲之后，就业增长正在失去动力。" 5月份，商品生产类行业净减少了2000个岗位。其中，自然资源与采矿业减少5000个，制造业减少3000 个，仅建筑业增加6000个。 服务业方面，休闲与酒店业（+3.8万个）以及金融活动（+2万个）表现出一定的增长。但专业与商业服 务减少1.7万个，教 ...

虽然ADP报告并不是周五就业数据的可靠指引，但这并没有阻止空头回归美元，数据公布后，美元指数 短线下跌。 新华财经北京6月4日电（王姝睿）ADP数据显示，5月，美国私营企业仅创造了37000个新工作岗位，大 幅低于预期，且是两年多来的最小增幅，因为贸易政策使企业在招聘方面变得更加犹豫。 ADP称，5月私营部门新增就业岗位绝大多数来自服务业，尤其是休闲和酒店业。相比之下，制造业和 自然资源／采矿业的工作岗位减少。ADP报告显示，5月建筑业就业人数增加0.6万人，4月增加1.6万 人；5月制造业就业人数减少0.3万人，4月增加0.4万人；5月贸易／运输／公用事业就业人数减少0.4万 人，4月增加2.1万人；5月金融服务业就业人数增加2万人，4月增加2万人；5月专业／商业服务就业人 数减少1.7万人，4月减少0.2万人。 分析称，美国雇主减少招聘，表明在经济不确定性日益增加的情况下，劳动力市场可能正在走弱。 （文章来源：新华财经） 5月建筑业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为4.6%，4月为4.7%。5月制造业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为 4.6%，4月为4.6%。5月贸易／运输／公用事业就业人员薪资增速年率中值为4.2%， ...

Group 1 - U.S. corporate hiring activity has slowed to its lowest level in nearly two years, with job cuts observed in sectors such as business services, education, and healthcare, indicating a continued weakening in labor demand [1][2] - According to ADP Research, private sector employment increased by only 37,000 jobs last month, falling short of all economists' predictions in a survey, marking the second consecutive month of significant underperformance [1][2] - The current job market is under dual pressure: a noticeable slowdown in hiring speed and an extended time for unemployed individuals to find new jobs, with economists expecting more signs of cooling in the labor market in the coming months [2][3] Group 2 - Following the data release, stock index futures and U.S. Treasury yields fell, while President Trump reiterated calls for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to lower interest rates in response to the current situation [3][4] - Despite the hiring slowdown, wage growth remains strong, with a 7% increase for job switchers and a 4.5% increase for retained employees, according to the ADP report, which covers over 25 million U.S. private sector employees [4] - The upcoming U.S. government employment report for May is expected to show a slowdown in non-farm employment growth compared to the strong performance in April, while the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain stable [4]

数据公布后，黄金短线拉升7美元后回落，美指一度跌破99关口。 根据薪资处理公司ADP周三发布的报告，美国私营部门的就业增长在5月份放缓至近乎停滞，创下两年多来的最低水平，劳动力市场出现疲软迹象。 这份被誉为"小非农"的数据显示，美国5月仅新增3.7万个就业岗位，低于4月份向下修正后的6万个，也远低于市场预测的11万个，为2023年3月以来最小增 幅。 关于工资，Richardson表示，留任员工的年薪增长率为4.5%，跳槽员工的年薪增长率为7%，两者与4月份相比变化不大，但仍处于"强劲"水平。 在"小非农"数据公布之后，美国总统特朗普迅速发帖开喷鲍威尔，其写道："ADP就业报告出来了，'太迟先生'美联储主席鲍威尔现在必须降息。他令人无 语！！欧洲已经降息了九次！" 这份报告发布于备受关注的非农就业数据的前两天，后者预计将显示新增12.5万个就业岗位，失业率稳定在4.2%。 尽管这两份报告经常存在差异，有时甚至差距很大，但ADP的统计数据在当前市场对更广泛经济状况提出疑问之际，提供了美国就业状况的另一个快照。 ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson表示："在今年开局强劲之后，招聘势头正在减弱。" 商品 ...

Stock Performance - Lehui International has achieved 5 consecutive boards in 7 days with a price increase of 10.00% [3] - Youyou Food has recorded 3 boards in 6 days with a price increase of 10.01% [3] - Emei Mountain A has made its first board with a price increase of 10.00% [3] - Jiamei Packaging has also made its first board with a price increase of 10.12% [3] - Chapiapiao has made its first board with a price increase of 10.04% [3] - Yongshuntai has made its first board with a price increase of 10.01% [3] - Ximai Food has made its first board with a price increase of 10.00% [3] Gold Concept - The stock of Old Poo Gold has reached a historical high of 978.5 HKD, with a market value approaching 170 billion HKD, and has increased over 300% this year [4] Solid-State Battery - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing significant catalysts, with multiple conferences scheduled in June, including the 2025 High-Performance Solid-State Battery Technology and Application Summit on June 10 [9] Beauty and Personal Care - The retail sales of cosmetics have increased by 9.8%, significantly higher than the overall retail sales growth of 5.7% in April [13] Digital Currency - The Hong Kong government has officially enacted the "Stablecoin Ordinance," marking a significant regulatory development in the digital currency space [21] Unmanned Vehicles - The unmanned delivery vehicle industry is reportedly growing at ten times the speed of last year, with New Stone's monthly delivery exceeding 1,000 units [24] IP Economy - The stock of Pop Mart, a leading player in the IP economy, has risen over 4%, reaching a new historical high [26] Deep Sea Technology - The Guangdong Provincial People's Congress has announced new regulations to promote high-quality development of the marine economy, focusing on optimizing spatial layout [39] Nuclear Power - Meta has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy to buy nuclear power for its data centers, marking a significant collaboration between tech companies and nuclear power [42]

一顿操作猛如虎，目前已有27382只基金更新净值，谁是基金中的王者，谁又垫底，请看数据： 混合A、恒越内需驱动混合C。 | 排名 | 代码 | 基金简称 | 2025-06-03 | | 2025-05-30 | | 程机号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 車位净值8 | 累计净值8 | 单位净值3 | 累计净值3 | | | 1 | 515210 | 国泰中证钢铁ETF | 1.1848 | 1.3498 | 1.2022 | 1.3672 | -0.01 | | 2 | 159730 | 博时龙头家电ETF | 0.9686 | 0.9686 | 0.9822 | 0.9822 | -0.01 | | 3 | 016815 | 国联钢铁C | 1.0810 | 1.0810 | 1.0960 | 1.0960 | -0.01 | | 4 | 008190 | 国泰中证钢铁ETF联接C | 1.1462 | 1.3462 | 1.1621 | 1.3621 | -0.01 | | 5 | 159512 | 广发中证全指汽 ...

无风险利率下行。叠加海外预期降低、固收预期降低，股市有望逐步成为资金配置关键方向。经过多轮 调整后，A股估值具备吸引力。政策、利率、改革等多重利好因素正逐步显现。指数下行空间有限，建 议投资者保持耐心，逢低布局优质资产，同时关注政策变化和资金流向。 海外因素扰动。美联储6月利率决议成为全球资本市场的焦点时刻。若释放降息信号，可能促使外资回 流，提振A股流动性；反之则可能抑制风险偏好。此外，特朗普政府对华关税政策的90天缓冲期即将结 束，若谈判进展不顺，外贸依赖型行业可能承压。 进入六月，A股市场延续着结构性分化格局，在政策托底与经济数据边际改善的双重作用下，市场可能 迎来新一轮结构性机会。但同时，海外环境的不确定性、国内经济复苏的节奏，都给市场增添了诸多变 数。 宏观环境:政策托底, 无风险利率下行。 政策支持力度加大。政治局会议表态"持续稳定与活跃资本市场"，未来有望出台更多改革措施进一步改 善市场生态，提升市场信心。经济温和复苏。稳增长政策逐步见效，下半年企业盈利有望边际改善，将 为市场向好提供基本面支撑。 六月A股市场指数空间或有限，但结构性机会丰富，科技成长、高股息、消费复苏三条主线将轮番演 绎。投资 ...

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 大众品：看好四大主题逻辑。5 月 26 日-5 月 30 日大众品中保健品仍延续良好态势（前期持 续推荐），而零食/乳制品则表现相对平稳，大众品方面目前我们重点推荐四条主线：①降本控 费逻辑；②新消费逻辑；③具备强α&Q2 存潜在业绩弹性标的；④主题性预期标的（乳制品/ 食品连锁等）。 板块投资建议 【首推】软饮料&低酒精"新品+低基数+即将迎来旺季+成本红利"下的投资机会：李子园/ 承德露露/东鹏饮料/百润股份/香飘飘等。 【港股食饮】建议关注：青啤 H、华润啤酒、百威、蒙牛乳业、卫龙美味、悠然牧业、康师傅、 统一等。 【白酒板块】推荐强α&持续享受集中度提升红利的白酒龙头酒企：山西汾酒/贵州茅台等。 【大众品】建议关注：①降本控费逻辑：西麦食品/五芳斋/李子园/立高食品等；②新消费逻辑 （市场空间大/有渠道或品类红利）：H&H/仙乐健康/康比特/百龙创园/卫龙美味/盐津铺子/甘 源食品等。③具备强 α/Q2 存潜在业绩弹性标的（结合基数）：三只松鼠/农夫山泉/青岛啤酒/ 燕京啤酒等；④ 主题性预期标的（乳制品/食品连锁等)：伊利股份/新乳业/周黑鸭/巴比食品 等。 食品饮料 证 ...