电解铝 ：年底资金流动扩大价格波动 短期谨慎追涨 研究员：陈婧 期货从业证号：F03107034 投资咨询从业证号：Z0018401 铝策略展望 GALAXY FUTURES 1 宏观：（1）本周美联储议息会议如期宣布降息25基点，表态相对温和，且将买短债400亿美元，提振市场情绪。（2）12月关注国内重要会议对明年经济情况 的预期。 产业供应：近期无超预期变动，供给端刚性预期明显。全球海外方面，世纪铝业旗下冰岛电解铝厂维持事故停产状态，预计2026年年底复产；力勤印尼电解铝 项目开始投产，预计年底前投产8万余吨，明年10月满产50万吨；安哥拉及越南项目投产预期不变，印尼泰景项目一期基本达产。国内方面，新疆新投净增24 万吨的项目11月底开始投产，初步投产6万吨、年底前累计投产12万吨，剩余部分预计明年二季度继续投产。内蒙新投项目维持年底投产预期不变。 产业需求：铝棒相关需求韧性明显，加工费坚挺，交通运输、建筑地产等板块年底赶工对铝需求拉动显著，铝杆及铝箔需求亦有恢复，且前期出口利润增加后出 口订单较好，铝需求整体维持同比增加趋势。此外，目前市场对明后年储能快速增加带动的用铝需求存有期待。 库存：本周铝锭及铝 ...

证券代码：600888 证券简称：新疆众和 编号：临2025-090号 债券代码：110094 债券简称：众和转债 新疆众和股份有限公司 第十届董事会2025年第十一次临时会议 决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 新疆众和股份有限公司已于2025年12月9日以电子邮件、送达方式向公司各位董事发出了召开公司第十 届董事会2025年第十一次临时会议的通知，并于2025年12月12日以通讯表决的方式召开。会议应参会董 事10名，实际收到有效表决票10份。会议召开程序符合《公司法》和《公司章程》的有关规定，会议所 做决议合法有效。 二、董事会会议审议情况： （一）审议通过了《关于补选公司第十届董事会非独立董事的议案》。 根据《公司章程》的规定，公司董事会由11名董事组成，现实有10名董事，需要补选1名非独立董事， 经公司控股股东特变电工股份有限公司提名，并经公司董事会提名委员会审核，公司董事会拟推荐陈奇 军先生（简历附后）为公司第十届董事会非独立董事候选人，任期自股东会审议通过后起至第十届 ...

Group 1 - The company, Luoping Zinc Electric, announced a total external guarantee amount of approximately 181 million yuan, with an actual guarantee balance of about 139 million yuan, accounting for 14.72% of the company's latest audited net assets [1] - For the first half of 2025, the revenue composition of Luoping Zinc Electric is as follows: metallurgy accounts for 96.38%, self-generated electricity accounts for 3.02%, and edible oil and by-products account for 0.6% [1] - As of the report date, Luoping Zinc Electric has a market capitalization of 2.6 billion yuan [1]

企业运用：化解经营风险 护航高质量发展 近年来，随着我国期货市场主动适应经济社会发展和产业结构变迁，不断丰富品种体系，有效平抑了企业的经营风险，期货工具成为有色金属企业破解生 产经营桎梏的重要手段。期货和衍生品作为有效应对原材料和产品价格波动的重要风险管理工具，帮助相关大宗商品生产企业有效规避了市场价格波动风 险，推动产业链供应链整体抗风险能力的提升，成为企业应对市场波动的最优解。 云南拥有丰富的矿产资源和优势的产业发展基础，素有"有色金属王国"的美誉，在中国有色金属版图中占据重要位置。在云南铜业股份有限公司（以下简 称"云南铜业"）、云南省贵金属新材料控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称"贵金属集团"）等头部企业的引领下，云南有色金属产业正全力加快转型升级， 为我国建设有色金属强国作出了积极贡献。 伴随着外部环境的不确定性增加，对中国有色金属产业平稳运行形成一定压力，铜、黄金等大宗商品价格出现了剧烈波动，对企业经营造成了影响。对于 高度依赖原材料的企业而言，价格剧烈波动不仅挤压利润，更威胁生产供应的稳定性。面对行业发展新形势、新挑战、新格局，云南铜业、贵金属集团等 行业企业如何实现有效的价格风险管理和库存管理，规 ...

Core Points - The company announced the resignation of its Vice President, Chen Kejin, due to job relocation [2] - Chen Kejin's term was originally set to end on October 16, 2025, coinciding with the expiration of the ninth board of directors [2] - After resigning, Chen Kejin will not hold any position within the company or its subsidiaries [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Industrial Silicon - Industrial silicon spot prices are stable, and futures prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level in the range of 8000 - 9000 yuan/ton, with attention paid to the support at 8000 yuan/ton and the impact of coal price changes [1]. Polysilicon - Polysilicon futures may remain volatile at a high level. However, considering the weak demand and significant decline in production, the spot price is still under pressure. The newly added delivery brands are beneficial for increasing the deliverable volume and warehouse receipts [2]. Aluminum Alloy - Cast aluminum alloy prices are expected to remain in a narrow - range high - level oscillation in the short term, with the main contract reference range of 20700 - 21400 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to the improvement progress of scrap aluminum supply and the change in downstream procurement rhythm [3]. Aluminum - Alumina prices are expected to remain at the bottom and fluctuate, with the main contract reference range moving down to 2400 - 2700 yuan/ton. Aluminum prices are expected to remain strong in the short term, with the main contract of Shanghai Aluminum expected to oscillate in the range of 21700 - 22400 yuan/ton [4]. Tin - The market sentiment is positive, and the fundamentals are strong. Tin prices are expected to remain strong within the year, suggesting a bullish view on tin prices [6]. Zinc - In the short term, the downside space of zinc prices is limited. The export of refined zinc drives the spot market to tighten, boosting domestic zinc prices. The short - term trend of Shanghai zinc prices may be stronger than that of London zinc prices, with the main contract focusing on the support at 23000 - 23200 [8]. Copper - In the short term, the imbalance of global copper supply and inventory drives copper prices to rise rapidly, and price fluctuations may intensify. In the long - term, the supply - demand contradiction of copper still exists, supporting the upward movement of the bottom center of copper prices [10]. Nickel - In the short term, the nickel price is expected to oscillate within a range, with the main contract reference range of 116000 - 120000. Attention should be paid to changes in macro - expectations and Indonesian industrial policy news [13]. Stainless Steel - In the short term, the stainless - steel market is expected to adjust through oscillation, with the main contract operating range of 12400 - 12800. Attention should be paid to the implementation of steel mill production cuts and changes in raw material prices [15]. Lithium Carbonate - In the short term, the lithium carbonate market may remain strongly volatile under the drive of capital sentiment. Attention should be paid to the resumption of production by large manufacturers and the sustainability of off - season demand [18]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Price and Basis - For industrial silicon, the spot price of East China oxygen - permeable S15530 industrial silicon remained unchanged at 9200 yuan/ton on December 11th compared to the previous day. The basis of various types of industrial silicon decreased to varying degrees [1]. - For polysilicon, the average price of N - type re -投料 remained unchanged at 52300 yuan/ton on December 11th, and the basis of N - type materials increased by 4.15% [2]. - For aluminum alloy, on December 12th, the price of SMM aluminum alloy ADC12 increased by 100 yuan/ton to 21600 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.47% [3]. - For aluminum, on December 12th, the price of SMM A00 aluminum increased by 120 yuan/ton to 21890 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.55%. The average price of alumina in various regions decreased to varying degrees [4]. - For tin, on December 12th, the price of SMM 1 tin increased by 3300 yuan/ton to 320000 yuan/ton, with a rise of 1.04% [6]. - For zinc, on December 12th, the price of SMM 0 zinc ingot increased by 40 yuan/ton to 23110 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.17% [8]. - For copper, on December 12th, the price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper increased by 965 yuan/ton to 92665 yuan/ton, with a rise of 1.05% [10]. - For nickel, on December 12th, the price of SMM 1 electrolytic nickel decreased by 300 yuan/ton to 118850 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.25% [13]. - For stainless steel, on December 12th, the price of 304/2B (Wuxi Hongwang 2.0 coil) remained unchanged at 12800 yuan/ton, and the price of 304/2B (Foshan Hongwang 2.0 coil) increased by 50 yuan/ton to 12800 yuan/ton [15]. - For lithium carbonate, on December 12th, the average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 800 yuan/ton to 93500 yuan/ton, with a rise of 0.86% [18]. Monthly Spread - For industrial silicon, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2512 - 2601, 2601 - 2602, etc. changed significantly on December 11th [1]. - For polysilicon, the monthly spreads of contracts such as the main contract, the current month - the first continuous contract, etc. changed on December 11th [2]. - For aluminum alloy, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2601 - 2602, 2602 - 2603, etc. changed on December 12th [3]. - For aluminum, the monthly spreads of contracts such as AL 2512 - 2601, AL 2601 - 2602, etc. changed on December 12th [4]. - For tin, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2512 - 2601, 2601 - 2602, etc. changed on December 12th [6]. - For zinc, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2512 - 2601, 2601 - 2602, etc. changed on December 12th [8]. - For copper, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2512 - 2601, 2601 - 2602, etc. changed on December 12th [10]. - For nickel, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2601 - 2602, 2602 - 2603, etc. changed on December 12th [13]. - For stainless steel, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2601 - 2602, 2602 - 2603, etc. changed on December 12th [15]. - For lithium carbonate, the monthly spreads of contracts such as 2601 - 2602, 2601 - 2603, etc. changed on December 12th [18]. Fundamental Data - For industrial silicon, in November, the national industrial silicon output was 40.17 million tons, a decrease of 5.05 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 11.17%. The开工 rate also decreased to varying degrees [1]. - For polysilicon, in November, the polysilicon output was 11.46 million tons, a decrease of 1.94 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 14.48%. The import and export volumes also changed [2]. - For aluminum alloy, in November, the output of recycled aluminum alloy ingots was 68.20 million tons, a decrease of 3.7 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 5.74%. The开工 rate increased to varying degrees [3]. - For aluminum, in November, the alumina output was 743.94 million tons, a decrease of 34.6 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 4.44%. The output and开工 rate of electrolytic aluminum also changed [4]. - For tin, in October, the tin ore import was 11632 tons, an increase of 2918 tons compared to the previous month, with a rise of 33.49%. The output and import/export volumes of refined tin also changed [6]. - For zinc, in November, the refined zinc output was 59.52 million tons, a decrease of 2.20 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 3.56%. The import and export volumes also changed [8]. - For copper, in November, the electrolytic copper output was 110.31 million tons, an increase of 1.15 million tons compared to the previous month, with a rise of 1.05%. The import volume decreased [10]. - For nickel, in November, the refined nickel output was 33345 tons, a decrease of 3453 tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 9.38%. The import volume decreased significantly [13]. - For stainless steel, in November, the output of 300 - series stainless steel crude steel in China was 178.70 million tons, a decrease of 1.30 million tons compared to the previous month, with a decline of 0.72%. The import and export volumes and inventory also changed [15]. - For lithium carbonate, in November, the lithium carbonate output was 92350 tons, an increase of 3090 tons compared to the previous month, with a rise of 3.35%. The demand and inventory also changed [18]. Inventory Changes - For industrial silicon, the weekly factory - warehouse inventories in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Sichuan increased slightly, and the weekly social inventory increased by 0.30 million tons to 56.10 million tons, with a rise of 0.54% [1]. - For polysilicon, the polysilicon inventory increased by 0.20 million tons to 29.30 million tons, and the silicon wafer inventory increased by 2.00 million GW to 23.30 million GW [2]. - For aluminum alloy, the weekly social inventory of recycled aluminum alloy ingots decreased by 0.10 million tons to 5.47 million tons, with a decline of 1.08% [3]. - For aluminum, the social inventory of Chinese electrolytic aluminum decreased by 1.20 million tons to 58.40 million tons, with a decline of 2.01% [4]. - For tin, the SHEF weekly inventory increased by 506 tons to 6865 tons, with a rise of 7.96%, and the social inventory increased by 187 tons to 8012 tons, with a rise of 2.39% [6]. - For zinc, the seven - region social inventory of Chinese zinc ingots decreased by 1.21 million tons to 12.82 million tons, with a decline of 8.62% [8]. - For copper, the domestic social inventory increased by 0.41 million tons to 16.30 million tons, with a rise of 2.58%, and the SHFE inventory decreased by 0.90 million tons to 8.89 million tons, with a decline of 9.22% [10]. - For nickel, the SHFE inventory increased by 1726 tons to 40782 tons, with a rise of 4.23%, and the social inventory increased by 1499 tons to 26848 tons, with a rise of 2.71% [13]. - For stainless steel, the 300 - series social inventory (Wuxi + Foshan) increased by 0.34 million tons to 49.54 million tons, with a rise of 0.69% [15]. - For lithium carbonate, in November, the total lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 19674 tons to 64560 tons, with a decline of 23.36% [18].

宏观：中央经济工作会议如期举行 【市场资讯】1）中央经济工作会议在北京举行，习近平发表重要讲话。会议指出，要继续 实施适度宽松的货币政策，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，着力稳定房地产市场， 积极有序化解地方政府债务风险，深入实施提振消费专项行动，清理消费领域不合理限制 措施。2）美国上周首申人数增 4.4 万人，创 2020 年来最大增幅，续请人数骤降至 8 个月 低点。3）黄金"囤积潮"退去，美国 9 月贸易逆差降至五年新低。 【核心逻辑】海外市场聚焦美联储政策动向，下一任主席人选敲定预期升温，哈塞特当选 概率较高。市场预判其上任后或推动更激进降息，但受鲍威尔任期、经济及通胀等因素制 约，降息落地存在不确定性，资产价格将呈现结构性分化。美联储如期再降息 25 基点，同 时宣布将购买短债，被市场解读为"不是 QE 的 QE"，此举有助于解决美元流动性偏紧格局， 调节利率曲线。国内方面，11 月制造业 PMI 止跌回升至 49.2%，主要受益于外需反弹；供 需剪刀差收窄、价格指数回升印证经济边际改善，但 PMI 仍处荣枯线下方，经济向好基础 尚不牢固。政治局会议定调积极，明确实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽 ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/12 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/12/05 210 4659 115035 30936 -860.77 -63.25 38.0 46.0 23.05 162550 63850 2025/12/08 145 3804 115035 29956 -857.49 -131.15 40.0 46.0 8.19 164550 63175 2025/12/09 110 4266 115035 29531 -838.94 -8.32 40.0 46.0 0.00 165675 63100 2025/12/10 35 4271 115035 28931 -1168.76 -70.55 41.0 48.0 11.69 164975 65400 2025/12/11 5 4282 115035 31461 -1540.94 -17.07 41.0 48.0 24.76 165850 66650 变化 -30 ...

证券代码：600301 股票简称：华锡有色 编号：2025-067 1、同意《关于广西华锡有色金属股份有限公司增加期货套期保值业务主体和金额的议案》； 2、本议案经公司董事会审计委员会审议通过。 具体内容详见公司于同日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）披露的《广西华锡有色金属股份有 限公司关于增加期货套期保值业务主体和金额的公告》（公告编号：2025-068）和《广西华锡有色金属 股份有限公司关于增加期货套期保值业务主体和金额的可行性分析报告》。 表决情况：9票赞成、0票反对、0票弃权。 特此公告。 广西华锡有色金属股份有限公司 第九届董事会第二十三次会议（临时）决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 广西华锡有色金属股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第九届董事会第二十三次会议（临时）通知与相关 文件于2025年12月10日通过电子材料和书面通知方式送达各位董事及高级管理人员，经全体董事一致同 意豁免本次会议时限，并于2025年12月11日以通讯方式召开。本次会议应出席会议的董事9名，实到9 ...

近日，中色股份（000758.SZ）在投资者关系管理与公司治理领域捷报频传，凭借规范透明的信披实 践、创新高效的投关工作及卓越的治理水平，斩获多项权威奖项，彰显监管机构与资本市场的双重认 可。 作为公司治理的核心体现，中色股份在深交所2024-2025年度信息披露工作评价中喜获A级殊荣。该评 价涵盖信息披露质量、投关管理、公司治理等多维度，是监管部门对公司规范运作的高度肯定。依 托"战略导向、主动沟通"的工作原则，公司信披效率与质量持续提升，为资本市场品牌建设奠定坚实基 础。 在行业协会评选中，中色股份成功入选"中国上市公司协会2025年度上市公司董事会优秀实践案 例"、"2025年上市公司董事会办公室最佳实践案例"以及"2025年上市公司董事会秘书履职评价5A评 级"，充分展现了公司的治理智慧与责任担当。 资本市场权威媒体评选中，公司表现同样亮眼。在证券时报主办的第十六届中国上市公司投资者关系管 理论坛上，一举斩获"天马奖・投资者关系管理优秀团队奖"；同时荣获第十九届中国上市公司价值评选 之"上市公司阳光董秘奖"，多项荣誉印证了市场对公司投关工作实效性与创新性的广泛认可。 奖项背后，是公司经营实力的稳步提升 ...