Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Shanmei International's stock price increased by 5.1%, reaching 11.13 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 419 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.94%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 22.065 billion yuan [1] - Shanmei International Energy Group Co., Ltd. is located in Taiyuan, Shanxi Province, and was established on November 20, 2000, with its listing date on July 31, 2003. The company's main business includes new energy development, coal and coke industry investment, and logistics information consulting services [1] - The revenue composition of Shanmei International includes self-produced coal (36.87%), traded coal (24.93%), metallurgical coal (18.62%), thermal coal (18.25%), transportation (1.16%), and others (0.17%) [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Galaxy Fund has a significant position in Shanmei International. The Galaxy SSE State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (530880) reduced its holdings by 20,000 shares in the fourth quarter, holding a total of 217,000 shares, which accounts for 3.94% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding [2] - The Galaxy SSE State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (530880) was established on October 30, 2024, with a latest scale of 55.5754 million. Year-to-date return is 0.18%, ranking 5016 out of 5549 in its category; the one-year return is 2.66%, ranking 4150 out of 4285; and the return since inception is 3.02% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of the Galaxy SSE State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (530880) is Huang Dong, who has a cumulative tenure of 13 years and 129 days. The total asset size of the fund is 1.579 billion yuan, with the best fund return during his tenure being 110.16% and the worst being -21.5% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of dividend stocks is expected to outperform in 2026 compared to 2025, based on three main dimensions: valuation attractiveness, earnings recovery, and increased capital allocation towards high-dividend assets [1] Valuation Dimension - The relative valuation of dividends versus growth stocks is at a low level, specifically at the 28.2 percentile since 2016, indicating an attractive entry point for investors [1] Earnings Dimension - A-share earnings are projected to reach a bottom by the end of 2025 or early 2026, with the pressure on cyclical stock earnings expected to ease [1] Capital Dimension - Incremental capital from sources such as insurance, fixed income, and bank wealth management is anticipated to increase its allocation to equities, favoring high-dividend assets with strong absolute return characteristics [1] ETF Overview - The Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) tracks the State-Owned Dividend Index (000151), which selects high-dividend capable and stable dividend-paying companies across sectors like banking, coal, and transportation, focusing on traditional high-dividend areas [1] Investment Strategy - The index employs a rigorous assessment of constituent stocks based on dividend yield and sustainability, utilizing a cross-industry diversification strategy to effectively control investment risks and reflect the overall market performance of high-dividend companies [1] Dividend Performance - According to the fund announcement, the Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF has been able to assess dividends monthly and has successfully distributed dividends every month since its listing, achieving a continuous dividend distribution for 21 months [1]

亚洲货币和大宗商品两大市场齐飞！ 美国总统特朗普表示，并不担心近期美元走贬，美元因此崩跌。相对应地，新兴亚洲货币指数上涨至自去年9 月以来的最高水平，MSCI新兴货币指数创历史新高。 与此同时，包括贵金属在内的大宗商品集体走强。黄金突破5200美元/盎司，布油突破66美元/桶，有色金属亦 是多数走强。A股有色板块全线走强，有色ETF一度涨超5%。煤炭ETF亦因此大涨近2.7%。那么，后续将如 何演绎？ 特朗普引爆 当地时间周二（1月27日），特朗普表示，并不担心近期美元走贬。特朗普表示，美元的价值——看看我们现 在的生意就知道了。美元表现非常棒。此话一出，立马引爆美元卖盘。 追踪美元对六种主要货币走势的美元指数，周三亚洲盘最低跌到95.566，触及2022年2月以来最低水平。随着 美元贬值贸易势头增强，新兴亚洲货币指数上涨至自去年9月以来的最高水平，MSCI新兴货币指数创历史新 高。与此同时，大宗商品价格飞涨。国际金价突破5200美元/盎司。国际油价突破66美元/桶。 策略师普遍认为，特朗普表态引发美元卖压之后，亚洲货币有望再度受益，原因在于特朗普高度关注亚洲出 口，低流动性更能放大影响力。Bank of N ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong coal stocks strengthened in the afternoon trading session [1] - China Qinfa (00866.HK) increased by 11.68%, reaching HKD 4.11 [1] - Power Development (01277.HK) rose by 8.18%, reaching HKD 1.72 [1] - Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171.HK) gained 4.25%, trading at HKD 11.52 [1] - China Shenhua (01088.HK) saw an increase of 3.62%, priced at HKD 43.54 [1] - China Coal Energy (01898.HK) rose by 3.27%, with a price of HKD 11.38 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal sector is experiencing a fundamental shift in investment logic, transitioning from a focus on cyclical price fluctuations to a dual-driven model of "dividend + growth," supported by long-term supply constraints, high dividend yields, and resilient macro demand [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 28, the A-share market saw a rebound, with the coal sector performing strongly; the coal ETF (515220) rose over 3%, currently holding nearly 8 billion yuan in assets, with net inflows exceeding 450 million yuan over the past five days [1][5]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the coal ETF all experienced gains, indicating a broad-based rally within the sector [5]. Group 2: Supply-Side Dynamics - The coal supply side is under strict control due to policies aimed at limiting excessive production capacity, leading to a long-term tightening of the supply-demand balance [6][7]. - The current supply rigidity is a key pricing foundation for the coal industry, with policies aimed at eliminating ineffective capacity and ensuring stable production levels [7]. - Capital expenditure in the coal sector has peaked, with investments primarily focused on maintaining existing capacity rather than expanding, indicating limited future supply growth [7]. Group 3: Demand-Side Factors - Despite long-term pressures from energy transition, short-term demand for coal is supported by economic recovery expectations, seasonal heating needs, and downstream inventory replenishment [8]. - The macroeconomic outlook for 2026 suggests stable growth, which is expected to support industrial electricity demand and, consequently, coal consumption [8]. - Seasonal demand for heating during winter has been highlighted, with recent cold weather increasing electricity loads and boosting demand for thermal coal [8]. Group 4: Investment Characteristics - The coal sector has a dividend yield exceeding 6% over the past 12 months, making it an attractive "bond-like" asset in a declining risk-free interest rate environment [9][10]. - State-owned enterprises in the coal sector are motivated to enhance shareholder returns through increased dividends and improved investor communication, potentially catalyzing valuation recovery [10]. Group 5: Market Opportunities - The coal sector is seen as a "scarce asset" with significant defensive value, particularly in the context of low interest rates and a scarcity of stable income-generating assets [10]. - The coal sector is gaining attractiveness as funds rotate from other commodity sectors that have seen substantial price increases, positioning coal as a value opportunity [11]. Group 6: Investment Tools - The coal ETF (515220) is the only coal-themed ETF in the market, covering leading companies across the coal industry chain, with a scale of nearly 8 billion yuan and good liquidity, making it an ideal tool for investors looking to capitalize on the sector's growth [12][13][15]. - Investors are encouraged to consider systematic investment or gradual accumulation of the ETF to leverage the long-term investment opportunities presented by the coal sector's "dividend + growth" dynamics [16].

浙商证券（601878）指出，展望"十五五"，全球焦煤供弱需强，供需格局逆转，产量下降，需求向上， 价格有望抬升，叠加成本下行，预计业绩显著改善；焦煤产能刚性，若价格上涨供给难增，价格弹性较 大。年初至今，焦煤价格较2025年一季度均价高269元/吨，焦煤企业成本逐步下行至低位，预计一季度 业绩显著改善。优质主焦煤公司单位产品净利润远低于动力煤公司，未体现焦煤资源的稀缺性。 煤炭股午后走强，截至发稿，中国秦发(00866)涨11.68%，报4.11港元；力量发展(01277)涨8.18%，报 1.72港元；兖矿能源（600188）(01171)涨4.25%，报11.52港元；中国神华（601088）(01088)涨3.62%， 报43.54港元；中煤能源（601898）(01898)涨3.27%，报11.38港元。 华源证券发布研报称，2023年以来，煤价呈现季度阶梯性中枢下行走势，2025Q3是除2023Q4之外，少 有的煤炭均价环比回升(基于秦港5500大卡动力煤平仓价)财报季，在煤价中枢上行背景下，预计2025Q4 板块有望实现业绩延续环比回升，2026Q1煤炭板块有望走出春季行情。供需上，2026年1 ...

Group 1 - Coal stocks showed strong performance in the afternoon, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as Qinfa (up 11.68% to HKD 4.11), Power Development (up 8.18% to HKD 1.72), and Yanzhou Coal (up 4.25% to HKD 11.52) [1] - Huayuan Securities reported that coal prices have shown a quarterly downward trend since 2023, with a potential price rebound expected in Q4 2025, leading to improved performance in the coal sector [1] - By early January 2026, some provinces are pushing for the exit of certain coal supply capacities, which could significantly improve coal supply-demand dynamics and reduce coal inventories [1] Group 2 - Zheshang Securities highlighted a reversal in the global coking coal supply-demand balance, with declining production and increasing demand, which is expected to drive prices up [2] - Coking coal prices have increased by CNY 269 per ton compared to the average price in Q1 2025, while production costs for coking coal companies are gradually decreasing [2] - The net profit per unit of high-quality coking coal companies is significantly lower than that of thermal coal companies, indicating an underappreciation of the scarcity of coking coal resources [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a collective strength in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and coal, leading to an upward movement in related indices [1] - As of the midday close, the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index increased by 2.5%, the Guozheng Value 100 Index rose by 1%, and the Guozheng Growth 100 Index saw a rise of 0.4% [1] Group 2 - The Growth ETF managed by E Fund tracks the Guozheng Growth 100 Index, which consists of 100 stocks with a strong growth style in the A-share market, with over 65% of its composition in the information technology and materials sectors, particularly with a high proportion in information technology [3] - The Value ETF also managed by E Fund tracks the Guozheng Value 100 Index, which is composed of 100 stocks with a strong value style in the A-share market, focusing on consumer discretionary and financial sectors [3]

【报告导读】在AI投资宏观风险较低、降息周期下全球制造业景气度向上的背景下，会有更多行业的景气度出现改善，投资者可能还是会更加关注增长 率而非股息率。因此在红利策略内部，行业选择上可以更多地向基本面要弹性。跨市场比较来看，港股红利依旧具备性价比，但对于个人投资者而言考虑 到红利税之后可能就没那么明显。 Summary 摘要 1一问红利：2026年是否会有超额？ 2025年红利策略大幅跑输市场，最核心的原因在于市场找到了新的能够突破宏观趋势的成长性：以AI产业投资为代表，以及景气度也开始逐步扩散到与 AI强相关的"泛AI"领域。所以市场的定价驱动力从2022年至2024年上半年的股息率d逐步开始重新转向增长率g。展望2026年，红利策略是否会有相较于全 A的超额收益，核心判断还是在于市场是否依旧以基本面的边际变化作为核心驱动力？基于我们年度策略《世界的中国》对于2026年的基本面展望，在AI 投资宏观风险较低、降息周期下全球制造业景气度向上的背景下，2026年中国的企业盈利修复可能是股票市场的核心驱动力，会有更多的行业景气度出现 改善。在这种宏观背景下，我们认为投资者可能还是会更加关注基本面的边际变化（增长率） ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The scale of stock - type ETFs in the domestic market continues to decline, with a significant reduction of 15 billion shares in broad - based ETFs in a single day. Large - cap index is dragged down by large - order pressing on multiple weight stocks at the end of the session. Meanwhile, the CSI 500 index rebounds after filling the gap, and long opportunities in IH and IC should be continuously monitored [2]. - Enterprises' profits are recovering. In 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size in China reached 7.4 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.6%, reversing the three - year decline trend. In December, the profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size changed from a 13.1% decline in November to a 5.3% increase [1]. - A - share major indices closed up in the spot market, with sector indices mostly falling. In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures rebounded, and the current - month contracts were all at a premium. The trading volume of stock index futures decreased, while the IM position increased [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Analysis - **Macro - economy**: In 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above the designated size in China was 7.4 trillion yuan, up 0.6% year - on - year. In December, the profit changed from a 13.1% decline in November to a 5.3% increase. Trump plans to raise the tariff on South Korean products from 15% to 25%. The US consumer confidence index in January dropped to 84.5, the lowest since 2014 [1]. - **Spot market**: A - share major indices closed up, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.18% to 4139.9 points and the ChiNext Index rising 0.71%. Sector indices mostly fell, with electronics, communication, and national defense and military industries leading the gains, and coal, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and steel industries leading the losses. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets decreased to 2.9 trillion yuan. US major indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.83% and the Nasdaq rising 0.91% [1]. - **Futures market**: The basis of stock index futures rebounded, and the current - month contracts were at a premium. The trading volume of stock index futures decreased, and the IM position increased [1]. Strategy - The scale of stock - type ETFs in the domestic market continues to decline. The share of broad - based ETFs decreased by 15 billion shares in a single day. Pay attention to long opportunities in IH and IC [2]. Charts - **Macro - economic charts**: Include relationships between the US dollar index, US Treasury yields, RMB exchange rate and A - share trends and styles [5][10][12][13]. - **Spot market tracking charts**: Show the daily performance of major domestic stock indices on January 27, 2026, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, etc. [12]. - **Stock index futures tracking charts**: Provide information on the trading volume, position, basis, and inter - period spreads of stock index futures such as IF, IH, IC, and IM [14][37][41].