港股午间收盘，恒生指数涨0.09%，恒生科技指数跌0.44%。舜宇光学科技涨超6%，比亚迪（002594） 电子涨超5%。港股券商股再度活跃，第一上海涨超9%，恒投证券涨超5%。耀才证券金融涨超19%，消 息面上，香港稳定币条例8月生效，该公司或将成为蚂蚁申请VATP牌照主体。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant adjustments in the holdings and investment strategies of various public funds as they disclose their Q2 2025 reports, highlighting the focus on sectors like robotics, financial technology, and high-growth opportunities in the market [2][4][6]. Group 1: Equity Funds - In Q2 2025, the A-share market experienced significant differentiation, with structural opportunities emerging, particularly in high-dividend stocks and small-cap stocks, which saw gains of over 12% and 20% respectively [4]. - The Samei Fund's mixed fund continued to focus on the North Exchange market, with its top ten holdings entirely consisting of companies listed on the North Exchange, particularly in hard technology sectors like biomedicine and new energy materials [4][5]. - The Samei Fund's manager indicated a strategic shift back to the robotics sector, anticipating a production ramp-up in humanoid robots by 2025, driven by major manufacturers and technological breakthroughs [5][6]. Group 2: Bond Funds - The bond market saw significant growth in fund sizes during Q2 2025, influenced by changes in risk appetite and monetary policy [7][8]. - The Huian Yongfu 90-day holding period short-term bond fund's size surged nearly ninefold from 1.98 billion to 19.74 billion, attributed to strategic positioning ahead of market movements [8]. - The Debang Fund's short bond fund also experienced substantial growth, increasing from 2.8 billion to 6.37 billion, reflecting a shift in investment strategy towards longer-duration bonds [9].

Group 1 - The first batch of equity funds has entered the second quarter report disclosure period, with three funds from Tongtai Fund leading the way [1] - Tongtai Yuanjian focuses on the North Exchange market and ranks high among similar funds, while Tongtai Financial Selection maintains a focus on the financial sector [1][4] - The North Exchange market has seen a significant rebound, with the North Zheng 50 Index up 35.9% year-to-date as of July 9 [3] Group 2 - Tongtai Yuanjian's net value increased by 47.06% year-to-date, indicating strong performance in a volatile market [3] - Tongtai Industry Upgrade shifted its focus from bank stocks to the humanoid robot industry, reflecting a strategic adjustment due to market conditions [4] - The financial sector remains a key focus for Tongtai Financial Selection, which emphasizes the low valuation of brokerage and fintech stocks [4] Group 3 - The overall market is still leaning towards technology growth sectors, particularly small-cap stocks, with Tongtai Industry Upgrade showing a year-to-date net value increase of 17.32% [4] - As of the end of the second quarter, Tongtai Yuanjian's scale decreased to 237 million, while Tongtai Industry Upgrade's scale increased significantly to 145 million [4] - The second half of the year is expected to see continued focus on technology and finance, with potential growth in fintech and robotics sectors [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of deepening industrial collaboration between eastern and western regions of China, highlighting the strategic significance for future economic stability and development [1][2]. Group 1: Industrial Collaboration - Eastern regions possess advanced technology and experience, while western regions are rich in resources, creating a strong basis for industrial cooperation [1][2]. - Recent initiatives include the establishment of green energy bases and technology parks, showcasing successful models of collaboration [2]. Group 2: Challenges in Collaboration - There are notable challenges such as inadequate infrastructure increasing collaboration costs and insufficient integration of western regions into larger markets [2][3]. - The lack of coordinated planning and benefit-sharing mechanisms hinders effective cross-regional industrial cooperation [2][3]. Group 3: Macro-Level Strategies - The article calls for a comprehensive approach to enhance strategic planning across major national initiatives, including the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle [3]. - It suggests establishing a compensation mechanism for inter-regional benefits to support public service integration [3]. Group 4: Meso-Level Initiatives - The development of industrial cooperation corridors along major rivers and transport routes is proposed to enhance economic connectivity [3]. - The article highlights the need to leverage national strategies to create new mechanisms for international competition and cooperation [3]. Group 5: Micro-Level Actions - Focus on key industries and enterprises to facilitate talent mobility and address systemic barriers [4]. - Strengthening financial cooperation among banks and investment firms to support a comprehensive funding system for industrial collaboration [4]. - Encouraging social investment in rural industries and improving the business environment to enhance collaboration vitality [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the positive outlook of fund managers on new quality productivity sectors, particularly in technology innovation and robotics, as evidenced by the recent disclosures of the first batch of equity fund reports for Q2 2025 [1][8]. Fund Performance and Holdings - The first three equity funds to disclose their Q2 reports are the Tongtai Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund, Tongtai Financial Select Stock Fund, and Tongtai Vision Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund [5]. - The Tongtai Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund saw its scale increase from less than 10,000 to 145 million, while the Tongtai Financial Select Stock Fund grew by approximately 6 million to 49.934 million [5]. - The Tongtai Industrial Upgrade Mixed Fund increased its stock asset allocation to 90.16% of total assets, with a significant shift in its top ten holdings from banking stocks to robotics, with six of the top ten now in the robotics industry chain [5][6]. - The Tongtai Financial Select Stock Fund reduced its allocation from 93.63% to 84.32%, focusing on brokerages and fintech, with half of its top ten holdings being newly added stocks [6]. - The Tongtai Vision Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund increased its allocation from 78.65% to 85.74%, maintaining a focus on companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, particularly in hard technology sectors [6]. Investment Strategy and Market Outlook - Fund managers are actively adjusting their portfolios, utilizing quantitative multi-factor strategies to select strong momentum factors for portfolio adjustments [7][10]. - The outlook for the robotics industry is optimistic, with expectations of entering a production ramp-up phase driven by increased orders from leading manufacturers and breakthroughs in large model technologies [9]. - The financial sector is viewed as a "flag bearer" for the bull market, with brokerages' valuations at historical lows, suggesting potential for significant earnings elasticity as the A-share market recovers [9]. - The fintech sector is expected to benefit from policy support and advancements in AI, big data, and cloud computing, indicating long-term growth potential [9]. - The article also notes the potential of stablecoins to reshape cross-border payments and enhance the internationalization of currencies [9].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index has returned to 3500 points after 8 months, surpassing last year's high, indicating a potential "summer rally" for brokerages [1] - Brokerages are expected to experience a "catch-up" rally due to strong performance in the first half of the year, with A-share market turnover reaching 162.65 trillion yuan, significantly higher than last year's 100.94 trillion yuan [1] - Despite the positive outlook, brokerages have underperformed compared to banks, with bank stocks rising 13.1% while brokerage stocks fell 3.57% in the same period, creating a 16.67 percentage point gap [1] Group 2 - Current valuations and institutional allocations for brokerages are at historical low levels, raising concerns about the under-allocation of brokerages in institutional portfolios [3] - Historically, from 2019 onwards, brokerages have experienced a summer rally between June and August, with price increases ranging from 10% to over 40% [4] - The longest recorded summer rally occurred in 2023, lasting over a month, while the shortest was 10 trading days in 2022 [4]

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating was provided in the report. Report's Core View The report provides analysis and trading strategies for financial and commodity futures and options, suggesting that the stock index is in a bullish cycle and the bond market is expected to strengthen, while the black and building materials sectors are expected to stop falling and stabilize. Summary by Directory Financial Futures and Options - **Stock Index Futures** - **Varieties**: IF, IH, IC, IM - **Intraday View**: Oscillating with a bullish bias - **Medium - term View**: Bullish - **Reference Strategy**: Hold long positions in IM2507 - **Core Logic**: Support policies are continuously implemented, overseas tariff risks are rising, the technical form shows a potential upward trend, and market risk appetite is increasing [1][2] - **Treasury Bond Futures** - **Varieties**: TS, TF, T, TL - **Intraday View**: Short - term bonds fluctuate narrowly, long - term bonds are bullish - **Medium - term View**: Bullish - **Reference Strategy**: Adopt a long - position approach for T2509 or TL2509 - **Core Logic**: Inter - bank liquidity is loose, and there is an increasing expectation of policy support due to weak fundamentals [3][4] Commodity Futures and Options - **Black and Building Materials Sector** - **Varieties**: Rebar, Hot - rolled coil - **Intraday View**: Short - term shift between long and short positions, with weakening downward drivers - **Medium - term View**: Stop falling and stabilize - **Reference Strategy**: Hold long positions in the call option RB2510 - C - 3000 and adopt a short - position strategy for the RB2510 straddle option (range: 2900 - 3200) - **Core Logic**: Supply pressure on steel raw materials is expected to ease, reducing the potential supply pressure on finished steel products [5]

上证指数日K线图 光伏设备板块指数日K线图 PCB板块指数日K线图 郭晨凯 制图 A股强势上攻 沪指逼近3500点创年内新高 ◎记者 李雨琪 7月8日，A股三大指数强势上攻，沪指距离3500点仅一步之遥，再创年内新高。截至收盘，上证指数报 3497.48点，涨0.70%；深证成指报10588.39点，涨1.46%；创业板指报2181.08点，涨2.39%。全市场当天 成交额为14746亿元，较上个交易日放量2476亿元。东方财富全天成交96.34亿元，位居A股第一。 华创证券表示，未来随着行业自律的推进以及供给侧政策落地，行业供需有望改善，带动产业链价格及 盈利修复。目前，光伏行业价格及盈利均处于底部位置，板块估值水平同样较低，在供给侧政策的修复 预期下，板块有望迎来反弹。 算力硬件股走势活跃 昨日，算力硬件股震荡走强，PCB、铜连接方向领涨。截至收盘，国际复材、逸豪新材以20%幅度涨 停，得润电子、广合科技、景旺电子、宏昌电子等多只个股涨停。 工业富联昨日高开后持续拉升，约11时01分封上涨停。截至收盘，工业富联报26.38元/股，成交额74.83 亿元，位居A股第三，最新总市值达5239亿元。 7月7日晚 ...

Group 1: Stock Strategy - The company suggests maintaining a defensive stance and focusing on bottom-up earnings, as the Chinese market showed mixed performance in Q2 2025 after a strong Q1 [2] - Investors are less concerned about geopolitical tensions and have low expectations for large-scale stimulus policies, but believe China will solidify its economic growth and market performance [2] - The company plans to avoid sectors heavily reliant on policy stimulus or exports in Q3 2025, favoring industries with better earnings momentum [2] Group 2: Market Performance - In Q1 2025, the MSCI China Index rose by 15%, outperforming global markets, but only increased by 0.7% in Q2, lagging behind global indices such as Nasdaq (+17.7%) and Nikkei 225 (+18.1%) [3] - The current P/E ratio of the MSCI China Index is 11.4, close to its long-term average, with healthcare (+11.5%), financials (+11.1%), and information technology (+9.5%) performing best, while consumer discretionary (-11.2%), real estate (-3.1%), and consumer staples (-1.6%) lagged [3] Group 3: Macro Environment - The macroeconomic environment shows signs of weakness, with no strong stimulus and a slight increase in credit growth from 8.0% in 2024 to 8.7% in May 2025, but a decline in loan growth from 7.0% to 6.7% [4] - The real estate market showed some recovery in late 2024 to early 2025 but declined again in Q2 2025, with signs of weakness in trade, industrial profits, PPI, and fixed asset investment [4] Group 4: Investment Preferences - The company favors domestic demand-driven sectors such as internet and financial services, while the internet sector showed mixed performance in Q2, with entertainment outperforming e-commerce [5] - Banks and brokerages are included in the top 10 list for their potential to provide better downside protection [6] - The company has upgraded the rating for technology hardware and continues to favor the gold sector [7] - Due to profit risks from regulatory crackdowns, the company has downgraded the liquor sector to the bottom 10 for reduction, while remaining cautious on real estate, utilities, and coal sectors [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.09%, reclaiming the 24,000-point mark, as market concerns over U.S. tariffs were deemed exaggerated [1] - U.S. President Trump signed an executive order extending the tariff delay period to August 1, with various countries facing tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% [1] - China expressed confidence in its ability to counter external economic pressures, with Premier Li Qiang highlighting the country's resources and strategies [1] Trade Relations - U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen indicated plans for upcoming discussions with Chinese officials to enhance trade relations, which typically results in positive market reactions [2] - Stocks related to North American business showed significant gains, with companies like Tigermed and Zai Lab experiencing increases of nearly 12% and over 6%, respectively [2] Cryptocurrency Developments - Jin Yong Investment announced a strategic partnership with AnchorX to issue a stablecoin pegged to offshore RMB, which is expected to play a significant role in the Belt and Road Initiative [2] - The stablecoin's anticipated launch has led to a surge in market interest, with Jin Yong Investment's stock rising over 552% [2] Industry Trends - The photovoltaic sector is experiencing price increases due to recent policy changes, with major companies like GCL-Poly and Xinte Energy seeing stock gains of over 8% [3] - The lithium industry is also benefiting from similar trends, with companies like Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium showing strong performance [3] Smartphone Market Insights - According to Counterpoint Research, China's smartphone sales are expected to see slight year-on-year growth, with Huawei projected to increase sales by 12% [4] - Apple has recently outperformed domestic brands in the Chinese market, marking a significant shift in consumer preferences [4] International Expansion - Cha Bai Dao has successfully entered the South Korean market, with over 10 stores opened and plans for rapid expansion [5][6] - The company is expected to achieve profitability in its overseas operations, contributing to a dual-driven growth strategy [6] AI and Technology Developments - Industrial Fulian reported a projected net profit increase of 47.72% to 52.11% for Q2 2025, driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure [6] - New AI models and collaborations are being launched, with companies like Kuaishou and Ping An Good Doctor making significant advancements in AI applications [8] Gaming and Tourism Sector - Macau's tourism numbers have exceeded 20 million visitors this year, leading to positive market sentiment for gaming stocks, which saw gains of over 4% [7] Wind Energy Sector - Goldwind Technology reported a 26.1% year-on-year increase in orders, with significant growth in international markets [9] - The company has a robust order backlog of 51,091.24 MW, reflecting a 51.81% increase compared to the previous year [10] - Goldwind's international business spans 47 countries, with a strong presence in North America, Australia, and South America [10][11]