Core Viewpoint - The recent appreciation of the Renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar has significant implications for various groups, including students studying abroad, foreign trade practitioners, and investors monitoring global economic trends [1][4]. Exchange Rate Overview - As of the latest data, the central parity rate of 1 USD is 7.1506 RMB, reflecting a slight increase of 29 basis points from the previous trading day, indicating a sustained appreciation trend for the RMB [3]. - The onshore market (CNY) shows a latest transaction price of 7.1692, while the offshore market (CNH) is at 7.1676, suggesting a consistent expectation of the RMB's value between domestic and foreign markets [3]. Impact of RMB Appreciation - For students and travelers, the appreciation means they can exchange less RMB for the same amount of USD, potentially saving money on expenses like tuition or travel [4]. - Conversely, for cross-border e-commerce and foreign trade businesses, the same USD revenue will convert to a lower amount in RMB, impacting profit margins over time [4]. Reasons for RMB Appreciation - The recent appreciation is attributed to several factors, including a weakening US dollar index, which provides room for other currencies to strengthen, and a stable recovery of the Chinese economy, enhancing confidence in RMB assets [5][6]. Strategies for Individuals and Businesses - Individuals are advised to consider staggered currency exchanges to mitigate risks associated with exchange rate fluctuations [7]. - Businesses engaged in foreign trade can negotiate with banks to lock in exchange rates, ensuring stable profits despite market volatility [8]. Future Outlook - The RMB is expected to experience small fluctuations, alternating between appreciation and depreciation, influenced by international economic conditions, US Federal Reserve policies, domestic economic fundamentals, and international capital flows [10].

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1372.850, down by 5.924 or 0.43% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1111.436, down by 4.702 or 0.42% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3308.800, down by 2.200 or 0.07% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 36.765, down by 0.160 or 0.43% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to USD (EURUSD) is at 1.172, down by 0.01% [3] - GBP to USD (GBPUSD) is at 1.358, down by 0.05% [3] - USD to JPY (USDJPY) is at 146.875, up by 0.22% [3] - AUD to USD (AUDUSD) is at 0.653, up by 0.02% [3] - USD to CHF (USDCHF) is at 0.796, up by 0.08% [3] Group 3: Virtual Currency - Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 108770.990, down by 151.990 or 0.14% [4] - Litecoin (LTC) is priced at 87.300, down by 0.460 or 0.52% [4] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at 2604.120, down by 11.130 or 0.43% [4] - Ripple (XRP) is priced at 2.306, down by 0.005 or 0.21% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond is at 3.903 [6] - The yield on the 5-year U.S. Treasury bond is at 3.985, down by 0.002 or 0.05% [7] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is at 4.410, down by 0.006 or 0.14% [7] - The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is at 4.937, down by 0.009 or 0.18% [7] - The yield on the 10-year UK Treasury bond is at 4.632, down by 0.002 or 0.04% [7] - The yield on the 10-year German Treasury bond is at 2.642, up by 0.036 or 1.40% [7] - The yield on the 10-year French Treasury bond is at 3.363, up by 0.041 or 1.23% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Italian Treasury bond is at 3.561, up by 0.044 or 1.25% [7] - The yield on the 10-year Japanese Treasury bond is at 1.481, down by 0.005 or 0.34% [7]

| 大类资产早报 | | --- | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/07/09 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/07/08 | 4.401 | 4.632 | 3.363 | 2.686 | 3.536 | 3.302 | 0.441 | 3.368 | 0.020 | 0.047 | 0.043 | 0.044 | 0.046 | 0.043 ...

2025年7月9日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.1541，上调（人民币贬值）7点； 欧元/人民币报8.3966，下调144点； 港元/人民币报0.91136，上调0.8点； 英镑/人民币报9.7327，下调327点； 澳元/人民币报4.6775，上调138点； 加元/人民币报5.2418，下调44点； 100日元/人民币报4.8826，下调288点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报10.9324，下调330点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.2977，下调114点； 人民币/林吉特报0.5923，上调6.7点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.9968，上调44点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.5958，下调71点。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Laiwu branch of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) emphasizes a "finance for the people" approach, implementing various measures to enhance foreign exchange financial services for enterprises and individuals, thereby creating a favorable environment for economic development [1] Group 1: Policy Implementation and Support - The Laiwu branch has established the "Laiwu Trade and Enterprise Service Team" to conduct in-depth research on foreign trade enterprises, visiting 85 foreign-related entities and resolving 31 practical issues by June 2025 [3] - Laiwu Taihe Biochemical Co., Ltd., a green manufacturing enterprise, has benefited from streamlined foreign exchange processes, allowing for trade foreign exchange transactions to be completed within 5 minutes, significantly improving fund settlement efficiency [3] Group 2: Collaborative Efforts and Service Enhancement - Since 2024, the Laiwu branch has focused on improving foreign currency exchange services by collaborating with tourism departments to identify suitable locations for currency exchange facilities, enhancing service accessibility for tourists and foreign visitors [4] - The branch has established 63 personal foreign exchange service outlets, significantly increasing the convenience for the public and foreign visitors in currency exchange [4] Group 3: Regulatory Reforms and Efficiency Improvements - The optimization of the registration management system for goods trade foreign exchange is a significant reform, with the Laiwu branch actively guiding banks to ensure efficient processing of registration business [5] - The first registration business was successfully completed on June 1, 2024, allowing enterprises to register and open accounts simultaneously, thus reducing operational costs and meeting funding needs promptly [5] Group 4: Technological Empowerment and Financial Services - The SAFE is leveraging technology and data integration to create a cross-border financial service platform, promoting various financing and payment scenarios to facilitate small and medium-sized enterprises [6] - By June 2025, the cross-border platform has assisted enterprises, primarily small and micro businesses, in obtaining financing of $210 million and facilitated tax verification for payments amounting to $79.7395 million [6] Group 5: Streamlined Processes for Enterprises - The implementation of electronic tax filing has significantly reduced the time required for enterprises to process payment requests, with the time for handling payment business reduced to 0.5 hours through automated systems [7]

2025年7月8日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.1534，上调（人民币贬值）28点； 欧元/人民币报8.4110，下调182点； 港元/人民币报0.91128，上调3.6点； 英镑/人民币报9.7654，下调34点； 澳元/人民币报4.6637，下调226点； 加元/人民币报5.2462，下调148点； 100日元/人民币报4.9114，下调431点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报10.9654，下调263点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.3091，下调213点； 人民币/林吉特报0.59163，上调23.9点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.9924，下调186点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.6029，下调138点。 ...

"关税公告对处于超买的新兴市场套利交易来说不是个好兆头，"道明外汇策略主管Mark McCormick表 示。哥伦比亚、巴西和智利的货币均下跌1.2%以上。 "目前情况仍不确定， 特朗普的这些信可能意在促成新一轮谈判，"Jefferies全球外汇主管Brad Bechtel表 示，"因此，我预计未来几周我们还会看到这方面的公告。" ...

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index (DXY) has increased by 10 points, currently standing at 97.37 [1] - The GBP/USD exchange rate has declined by over 20 points, currently at 1.3620 [1]

瑞士6月外汇储备 7129.96亿瑞郎，前值由7036亿瑞郎修正为7035.98亿瑞郎。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global foreign exchange market has experienced a significant reshuffling, driven by a notable recovery in market risk appetite, as the US dollar continues its weak performance in 2025, with a cumulative decline of approximately 10% in the first half of the year, marking the worst performance since 1973 [1][2]. Group 1: US Dollar Performance - The US dollar index closed at 97.04 on July 4, 2025, with a decline of 0.08%, remaining at near historical lows [1]. - The labor market showed resilience with 147,000 new non-farm jobs added in June, surpassing the market expectation of 110,000, and the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% [1]. - Goldman Sachs now anticipates the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates in September, earlier than the previously expected December, adding pressure on the dollar [1]. Group 2: Performance of Non-USD Currencies - The euro traded around 1.17 against the dollar, closing at 1.1766 with a gain of 0.11%, supported by rising inflation in the Eurozone reaching the European Central Bank's target of 2% [2]. - The Chinese yuan showed relative stability, with the midpoint rate fluctuating within a reasonable range, reflecting the People's Bank of China's efforts to maintain adequate liquidity [2]. - The British pound remained relatively high despite some fluctuations, indicating cautious optimism regarding the UK economy [2]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Market Sentiment Changes - A significant easing of geopolitical tensions, particularly a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, has reduced market risk aversion, impacting demand for traditional safe-haven currencies like the dollar and yen [2]. - The Japanese yen's performance is mixed, facing pressure from reduced safe-haven demand while also being supported by expectations of potential adjustments to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy [3]. - The return of a "risk-on" mode has led to a general rise in stock markets and positively influenced the foreign exchange market, with commodity currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars showing notable performance [3].