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白酒股逆袭暴涨,“老登”股或再次轮动
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-01-29 11:52
2026.01.29 业内人士认为,贵州茅台等暴涨,接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力,因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例,预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情,包括银行、电力、医药等板块,投资者都 可以重点关注,抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析, 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨,催化来自地产预期改善与资金面 回暖,指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解,同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回款发货 稳步推进,形成"以价换量"的积极信号,白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回升。 潘俊认为, 在当前低利率及宏观不确定性环境下,高股息策略已从单纯的"防御"属性进化为"攻守兼 备"的底仓配置。在全球降息周期开启的背景下,高股息资产对全球配置型资金具有极强吸引力,资金 买入不仅是看中股息,更是交易中国资产的估值修复。 慧研智投投资顾问李谦对第一财经说,1月29日之前,本轮结构性市场行情呈现明显分化特征。以黄金 为代表的资源类板块及芯片、半导体等科技主线持续获得市场资金青睐,涨幅显著;而高股息板块中的 白酒、银行、电力、医药等领域则表现相对低迷,股价持续走低并创阶段性新低。临近春节,市 ...
2月金股报告:指数震荡,行业关注资源、出海、科技
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-29 11:18
Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market is experiencing a typical spring rally characterized by initial strength followed by stabilization and structural differentiation, with major indices recording positive returns as of January 28, 2026 [6] - The average daily trading volume in January reached 3.04 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.16 trillion yuan month-on-month, indicating a significant influx of new capital and a loose liquidity environment driving the index upward [2] - Regulatory measures, including raising the minimum margin requirement from 80% to 100%, have led to fluctuations in market sentiment and a deceleration in the index's upward momentum [3] Group 2 - The report highlights that technology assets are experiencing a rotation between thematic and cyclical investments, with thematic investments (e.g., commercial aerospace, AI applications) initially favored but cooling off due to increased margin requirements [4] - In the cyclical sector, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and oil & petrochemicals have shown strong performance driven by three factors: demand from high-end manufacturing, proactive supply-side adjustments, and external geopolitical risks [4] - The report anticipates a structural market characterized by a focus on "resources + technology + overseas expansion," with low-risk preference assets potentially outperforming in certain phases [5] Group 3 - The investment strategy emphasizes focusing on "external demand cyclical + AI industry chain," highlighting the potential for global manufacturing recovery to support resource prices and opportunities for Chinese manufacturing to expand overseas [5] - The AI industry remains a clear investment theme, with a shift from thematic to performance-driven investments, particularly in areas with supply shortages such as power supply and semiconductor sectors [5] - The report recommends a selection of stocks across various sectors, including Invesco's Nonferrous ETF, Dongpeng Beverage, and Huazhong Precision, among others, reflecting a diversified investment approach [10]
白酒股逆袭暴涨,“老登”股或再次轮动
第一财经· 2026-01-29 11:10
2026.01. 29 本文字数:1155,阅读时长大约2分钟 业内人士认为,贵州茅台等暴涨,接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力,因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例,预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情,包括银行、电力、医药等板块,投资 者都可以重点关注,抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析, 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨,催化来自地产预期改善与资 金面回暖,指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解,同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回 款发货稳步推进,形成"以价换量"的积极信号,白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回 升。 作者 | 第一财经 李隽 "白酒'老登'终于硬气一回!"看见1月29日下午贵州茅台(600519.SH)逆袭带领蓝筹股绝地反 击,其他白酒股集体涨停,有私募人士这样对第一财经说。 一度经历"九连阴",累计连跌多个交易日之后,1月29日贵州茅台上涨8.61%,报收1437元,成交 263亿元,相比此前100亿元左右的单日成交大幅放量,收复了近半个月以来的失地;五粮液 (000858.SH)、泸州老窖(000568.SH)等多只白酒股放量涨停。 大盘在明显的风格 ...
数读坪山 2025年深圳坪山主要经济指标两位数增长
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-29 10:49
Economic Growth and Development Plans - The Shenzhen Pingshan District aims for double-digit growth in major economic indicators by 2025, focusing on advanced manufacturing clusters centered around "automobiles, pharmaceuticals, chips, and intelligence" [1] - The district plans to accelerate the development of modern service industries and enhance the well-being of its residents [1] Infrastructure and Industry Development - The district has initiated the "Scene Forest" construction action, opening over 100 application scenarios [3] - It has established two megawatt fast-charging stations and three heavy-duty vehicle supercharging stations, along with five integrated solar energy charging stations, adding 49,000 kW of photovoltaic power generation capacity [3] - Industrial land of 200,000 square meters has been prepared, with an additional 1 million square meters of industrial space released [7] Economic Performance Indicators - The cultural and entertainment industry saw a revenue increase of 19%, while retail sales in the above-limit category grew by 38% [5] - The software and information technology service industry reported a revenue growth of 39% [5] - The low-altitude economy industry value increased by 50%, driven by the introduction of 53 new low-altitude takeoff and landing points and over 40 unique tourism routes [5] Talent and Innovation - The number of high-level strategic scientists increased by 13.6%, and the number of PhD talents grew by 21.4% [11] - The district's PCT international patent application volume increased by 3% [10] Urban and Social Development - The district has completed the standardization of eight community health institutions, establishing a "10-minute community health circle" [21] - New educational facilities have been constructed, adding 8,130 basic education slots and achieving recognition as a national model for balanced development in compulsory education [20] Transportation and Connectivity - The Pingshan High-Speed Railway Station is being upgraded to a comprehensive transportation hub for eastern Shenzhen, with multiple infrastructure projects underway, including the construction of 20 new roads and the completion of over 300 kilometers of non-motorized vehicle lanes [26]
泰格医药(300347.SZ)发预增,预计2025年度归母净利润8.3亿元至12.3亿元,同比增长105%至204%
智通财经网· 2026-01-29 10:49
智通财经APP讯,泰格医药(300347.SZ)披露2025年度业绩预告,公司预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润 8.3亿元至12.3亿元,同比增长105%–204%;归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润3.3亿元 至4.9亿元,同比下降43%至61%。 2025年,公司净新增订单(新签订单剔除取消订单后)区间为人民币95亿元至人民币105亿元,2024年同 期净新增订单为人民币84.20亿元。 ...
1.29犀牛财经晚报:金价高位运行 金饰克价突破1700元
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 10:27
Group 1: Global Gold Demand and Market Trends - In 2025, global gold demand is projected to reach 5002 tons, marking a historical high driven by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, with total demand value reaching $555 billion in the previous year [1] - On January 29, international gold prices surged, with COMEX gold reaching $5626.8 per ounce and domestic gold jewelry prices exceeding 1700 yuan per gram, reflecting a significant daily increase [1] - The high gold prices have led to a booming gold recycling market, but also to consumer risks due to inflated quotes and other malpractices in the recycling process [1] Group 2: Banking and Financial Services - By December 2025, the wealth management scale of 11 national banks reached 13.46 trillion yuan, showing a 10% increase from the beginning of the year, despite a slight decline from November [2] - The growth in wealth management is attributed to a "deposit migration" trend, with Postal Savings Bank notably rising in ranking among the banks [2] Group 3: Technology and Manufacturing - The global AMOLED smartphone panel market is expected to see a shipment of approximately 920 million units in 2025, reflecting a 4.7% year-on-year growth, driven by demand for high-end smartphones [2] - The television industry is facing challenges due to rising costs in memory, panels, and precious metals, leading to a downward adjustment in expected global shipments for 2026 [2] Group 4: Corporate Developments - Tencent has had 499 million yuan worth of shares frozen due to legal proceedings involving Linzhi Tencent Technology Co., Ltd [6] - Suzhou Lianxun Instrument Co., Ltd has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its IPO application on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [7] - Runxin Micro Technology has completed nearly 400 million yuan in B+ round financing, aimed at enhancing its core technology capabilities [9] Group 5: Earnings Forecasts - Bai'ao Saitou expects a net profit of 162 million to 182 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 384% to 444% [13] - Nanjing Mobi expects a net profit of 24 million to 34 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth of 269.49% to 423.44% [14] - Jinko Power anticipates a net profit of 155 million to 195 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 383.21% to 507.9% [15]
白酒股逆袭暴涨,“老登”股或再次轮动|市场观察
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 10:07
业内人士认为,贵州茅台等暴涨,接下来预计蓝筹股将会再次发力,因为稳定的业绩、较高的分红比 例,预计春节前其他高股息的"老登"股们将会出现轮动行情,包括银行、电力、医药等板块,投资者都 可以重点关注,抓紧春节前投资机会。 奶酪基金投资经理潘俊向第一财经分析, 1月29日白酒板块大幅上涨,催化来自地产预期改善与资金面 回暖,指数ETF成交量回落导致权重抛压缓解,同时批发价格延续回升、线下动销同比正增、回款发货 稳步推进,形成"以价换量"的积极信号,白酒行情持续性需跟踪春节前后价格能否继续回升。 潘俊认为, 在当前低利率及宏观不确定性环境下,高股息策略已从单纯的"防御"属性进化为"攻守兼 备"的底仓配置。在全球降息周期开启的背景下,高股息资产对全球配置型资金具有极强吸引力,资金 买入不仅是看中股息,更是交易中国资产的估值修复。 慧研智投投资顾问李谦对第一财经说,1月29日之前,本轮结构性市场行情呈现明显分化特征。以黄金 为代表的资源类板块及芯片、半导体等科技主线持续获得市场资金青睐,涨幅显著;而高股息板块中的 白酒、银行、电力、医药等领域则表现相对低迷,股价持续走低并创阶段性新低。临近春节,市场资金 开始出现向高股 ...
量化专题报告:从基金视角把握“主题”到“主线”的机会
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-29 09:33
- The report introduces a quantitative model named "Mainline Industry Combination" which is constructed based on the alpha performance of heavy stocks held by industry-focused funds and their commonality in industry distribution. The model identifies high alpha industry-focused funds by calculating the monthly excess returns of their heavy stocks relative to their respective industry indices, synthesizing monthly alpha values, and applying a linear time decay weighted scoring system to select the top 20% of funds. It then verifies consensus at the industry level by analyzing the concentration of these selected funds in specific industries, determining potential mainline industries for investment[28][29][30] - The report evaluates the "Mainline Industry Combination" model as effective in capturing core market trends during clear industry cycles, such as food and beverage in 2016, pharmaceuticals in 2019-2020, and TMT in 2024-2025. However, its performance is limited during periods of rapid industry rotation or unclear market mainlines due to signal bias or increased empty positions[36][39][42] - The backtesting results of the "Mainline Industry Combination" model show an annualized return of 20.91% from 2016 to January 2026, with an annualized excess return of 14.62% compared to equity-biased fund indices. The model demonstrates high annual win rates, particularly during clear industry trend periods, but faces challenges in accumulating excess returns during rapid market rotations[36][38][39] - The report introduces another quantitative model named "Industry Rotation Fund Combination," which is constructed by identifying non-industry-focused funds with high industry turnover rates. The model calculates the turnover rate of fund holdings by comparing the proportion of heavy stocks in different industries across consecutive periods, and selects the top 30% of funds with the highest turnover rates. Further, it uses factor backtesting to identify funds with high dynamic returns and small-cap stock preferences, forming a combination of the top 10 funds with the highest scores[61][64][68] - The "Industry Rotation Fund Combination" model is evaluated as highly adaptable to volatile markets with frequent industry rotations, complementing the "Mainline Industry Combination" model. It performs better in periods lacking clear market mainlines, such as 2018 and 2023, by actively switching industries to adapt to changing market trends[68][69][70] - The backtesting results of the "Industry Rotation Fund Combination" model show an annualized return of 15.05% from 2016 to January 2026, with an annualized excess return of 8.60% compared to equity-biased fund indices. The model demonstrates strong adaptability in volatile markets, achieving higher excess returns during periods of rapid industry rotation[68][69][70] - The report combines the two strategies, "Mainline Industry Combination" and "Industry Rotation Fund Combination," to form a comprehensive model named "Capturing Industry Opportunities Combination." This model adjusts its strategy based on market liquidity changes, using the monthly change in the average daily trading volume of the CSI 800 Index over the past 200 trading days as a leading indicator. When market liquidity expands, the mainline strategy is preferred, while the rotation strategy is favored during liquidity contraction. The combined model achieves an annualized return of 19.61% and an annualized Sharpe ratio of 0.77, with an annualized excess return of 13.32% compared to equity-biased fund indices[72][73][76]
白酒板块强势爆发,科技题材普遍回调,两市成交额再超3万亿元!| 华宝3A日报(2026.1.29)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:05
Market Overview - The A-share market showed a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.57% on January 29, 2026 [1][6] - The total trading volume across both markets reached 3.23 trillion yuan, an increase of 264.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1][6] - The number of stocks that rose was 3,566, while 1,803 remained unchanged, and 1,071 declined [1][6] Institutional Insights - Industrial Securities noted that although the market's pace has slowed, the upward trend continues, with a broadening profit effect across sectors [2][4] - The focus is shifting towards the earnings reports of A-share companies and major North American tech firms, which are expected to have a significant impact on market structure [2][4] - Key sectors with promising earnings and relatively low recent gains include AI hardware (North American computing power, consumer electronics), batteries, pharmaceuticals, steel, and non-bank financials [2][4] ETF Products - Huabao Fund has launched three major broad-based ETFs tracking the China A50 Index, China A100 Index, and A500 Index, providing diverse investment options for investors [2] - The A50 ETF (159596) focuses on 50 leading companies, while the A100 ETF (562000) encompasses the top 100 industry leaders [2] - The A500 ETF is set to launch on December 2, 2024, further expanding investment opportunities in the Chinese market [1][2]
最高法:探索深化综合整治“内卷式”竞争司法路径
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-01-29 06:22
Core Viewpoint - The Supreme People's Court Intellectual Property Court is exploring judicial paths to deepen the comprehensive governance of "involutionary" competition, focusing on regulating monopolistic and unfair competition behaviors to support the construction of a unified national market [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Judicial Regulation of Competition - The Intellectual Property Court has identified "involutionary" competition as a significant issue in the construction of a unified national market, driven by factors such as monopolistic behaviors, insufficient innovation, and unfair competition [1][2]. - The court has recognized 66 cases as constituting monopolistic behavior since its establishment, with 15 cases identified in 2025 alone [2][3]. Strengthening Innovation Protection - The court is actively applying measures such as behavior preservation, evidence preservation, and punitive damages to combat patent infringement and promote a shift from low-quality competition to high-quality and innovative competition [2][3]. Addressing Malicious Competition - The court is focusing on regulating unfair competition practices, particularly those involving the theft of trade secrets and organized efforts to gain competitive advantages, aiming to break the cycle of "downward competition" [2][3]. Enhancing Judicial Efficiency - The court has handled 24,602 cases since its establishment, with 23,069 concluded, and has applied punitive damages in 58 cases, totaling 2.05 billion yuan [4][5]. - In 2025, the court received 4,679 cases and concluded 3,146, indicating a significant increase in case handling [4]. Supporting National Innovation Strategy - The court has strengthened judicial support for the national innovation-driven development strategy, with cases related to strategic emerging industries increasing from 17.6% in 2019 to 32.4% in 2025 [5]. - The court has also seen a rise in foreign-related cases, with 2,546 cases accepted, representing 10.3% of total cases, and an annual growth rate of 18.7% [5].