截至2025年5月23日收盘，宁波海运（600798）报收于3.82元，较上周的4.48元下跌14.73%。本周，宁 波海运5月20日盘中最高价报5.42元，股价触及近一年最高点。5月23日盘中最低价报3.77元。本周共计1 次涨停收盘，无跌停收盘情况。宁波海运当前最新总市值46.09亿元，在航运港口板块市值排名31/35， 在两市A股市值排名3064/5148。 本周关注点 交易信息汇总 宁波海运（600798）因有价格涨跌幅限制的日价格振幅达到15%的前五只证券，以及有价格涨跌幅限制 的日换手率达到20%的前五只证券，分别在2025年5月20日和21日登上龙虎榜。这是近5个交易日内第3 次上榜。公司股票自2025年5月13日起连续5个交易日涨停。 公司公告汇总 宁波海运股份有限公司发布股票交易风险提示公告，指出公司股票于2025年5月15日和16日连续两个交 易日内收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%，属于股票交易异常波动情形。截至2025年5月19日收盘，公 司股票收盘价为4.93元/股，最新滚动市盈率为20706.36，明显高于同行业水平。公司提醒投资者注意二 级市场交易风险，理性决策，审慎投资。此外，公 ...

可控核聚变逆市爆发。 今日（5月23日），A股三大指数午后跳水。盘面上，可控核聚变板块强势，中洲特材（300963）、哈焊华通（301137）、雪人股份（002639）、王子新 材（002735）、融发核电（002366）等多股涨停；化学制药板块掀起涨停潮，新天地（301277）、多瑞医药（301075）、海辰药业（300584）、海森药业 （001367）、永安药业（002365）等股封板。 航运港口板块大幅下跌，南京港（002040）、连云港、*ST锦港（600190）跌停；游戏板块调整，冰川网络（300533）、星辉娱乐（300043）跌逾5%。 展望后市，东莞证券认为，当前货币政策宽松预期基本落地，后续需关注财政组合拳的发力衔接，重点涉及投资和消费两方面。短期内指数或维持高位震 荡，后续交易逻辑可能从风险偏好修复转向政策发力对经济数据的传导。金融、公用事业、汽车和TMT等板块值得重点关注。 4连板牛股今日跌停 今日，连续斩获4个涨停板的牛股棕榈股份（002431）突发跌停，收盘仍有26.7万手封单。公司昨日晚间发布股票交易异常波动公告，表明除已披露的信 息外，公司不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项，请广大 ...

一、行情回顾 市场全天冲高回落，三大指数午后集体跳水。可控核聚变概念表现活跃，王子新材、尚纬股份、融发核电等多股涨停。创新药概念股再度大涨，海辰药业、 众生药业等封板，信立泰、科伦药业创历史新高。下跌方面，航运港口板块延续跌势，南京港、连云港跌停；电力股集体调整，西昌电力、乐山电力跌停。 个股跌多涨少，沪深京三市下跌个股超4200只，今日成交1.18万亿。 二、当日热点 1.核聚变 核聚变板块今日继续大涨，王子新材、中洲特材等继续涨停，尚纬股份2连板，融发核电涨停。 5月23日，行情数据显示，美核电股盘后集体大涨。Altman持股的Oklo涨幅从15.63%收窄至12.54%，Centrus能源涨12.4%，Nuscale涨10.15%，Uranium能源 涨8.14%等。 新浪财经消息称，称特朗普将签署核能命令，这些行政命令将试图简化新反应堆审批的监管流程，并加强燃料供应链。 国内方面核电领域近期也迎来重大催化。国家能源局近日发布关于促进能源领域民营经济发展若干举措的通知。其中提到，支持民营企业参股投资核电项 目，建立健全长效工作机制。国家今年新核准浙江三门、福建霞浦、山东海阳、广东台山、广西防城港等5个核 ...

Group 1 - The overall market is characterized by "index stability while individual stocks suffer," with the Shanghai Composite Index hovering around 3400 points and over 3600 stocks declining, indicating a lack of broad market strength [3] - Northbound capital experienced a net outflow of nearly 8 billion, marking a seven-month high, suggesting foreign investors are cautious amid rising prices [3] - The recent favorable policies in technology and finance are being overshadowed by hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, creating a challenging environment for market stability [4] Group 2 - There is significant sector rotation, with shipping and port stocks showing strong performance, while gold stocks surged due to heightened risk aversion, and pharmaceutical stocks, particularly innovative drugs, stood out [5] - The market is witnessing a shift from previously high-performing sectors like AI to lower-performing sectors such as pharmaceuticals and consumer electronics, indicating a strategy of buying on dips [5] Group 3 - Recommended strategies include maintaining proper position management, focusing on new energy and pharmaceutical sectors supported by policies, and utilizing defensive sectors like gold and coal for hedging [6] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of volume in confirming market trends, with a target volume of 1.3 trillion needed to break through the 3400-point barrier [4][6]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The current focus is on the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, with expectations for A-share earnings to stabilize despite trade war impacts not yet materializing. The market is anticipated to adjust upwards towards the half-year line, suggesting that annual earnings forecasts should not be overly downgraded [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Dynamics**: The A-share market lacks a dominant investment theme, leading to rapid sector rotations. The trade truce between China and the U.S. may boost demand in the port and shipping sectors as U.S. importers accelerate stockpiling [1][3]. - **Commodity Prices**: Commodity prices, particularly oil and industrial metals, are under pressure but may rebound due to geopolitical changes and recovering demand. Current low prices present a potential investment opportunity [1][5]. - **Public Fund Regulations**: New regulations for public funds are causing market disturbances, with a shift in focus towards underrepresented sectors such as banking, non-banking financials, public utilities, and biomedicine, while overrepresented sectors like electronics may face challenges [1][6]. - **Investment Opportunities**: The new consumption sector is viewed positively, although traditional consumption policies may have limited short-term effects. June is anticipated to be a more favorable time for policy impacts [1][9]. - **Sector Preferences**: Favorable sectors include banking, non-banking financials, consumer staples, biomedicine, public utilities, oil and gas, and shipping, indicating strong investment opportunities [1][10]. Additional Important Insights - **Foreign and Domestic Investment Trends**: The Hong Kong market has seen significant volatility, with foreign investment remaining cautious despite short-term optimism. Domestic institutions are the primary market drivers, with a notable shift in focus from technology stocks to new consumption and banking dividend stocks [1][11][14]. - **Market Sentiment**: The sell-short ratio in the Hong Kong market reflects investor sentiment, with peaks indicating pessimism during trade war impacts. The current sentiment is less volatile compared to previous years [1][15]. - **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing in the global supply chain is expected to improve post-crisis, with a focus on self-sufficient industrial development driving demand for industrial metals [1][4]. - **Valuation Comparisons**: The Hong Kong market is currently seen as undervalued, particularly in high-dividend stocks, which remain attractive compared to A-shares. This valuation disparity is expected to persist as long as the interest rate differential between China and the U.S. remains stable [1][25]. Conclusion - The A-share and Hong Kong markets are navigating a complex landscape influenced by trade dynamics, regulatory changes, and shifting investor preferences. Key sectors are poised for growth, particularly in new consumption and underrepresented industries, while commodity prices and market sentiment remain critical factors to monitor.

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market," indicating an expected increase of over 10% in the industry index relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [18]. Core Viewpoints - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a small upward trend, supported by strong performances in the automotive, battery, shipping, and chemical pharmaceutical sectors [3][7]. - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 13.84 times and 36.88 times, respectively, which are at the median levels over the past three years, suggesting a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [3][17]. - The first quarter GDP growth was reported at 5.4%, indicating strong economic recovery momentum, with improvements in corporate profit growth and cash flow providing fundamental support for the market [3][17]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - On May 21, the A-share market opened flat and experienced slight upward movement, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3394 points. The market showed a general upward trend throughout the day, with significant performances in the automotive and battery sectors [2][7]. - The total trading volume for both markets reached 12,146 billion, which is above the median of the past three years [3][17]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The market is expected to maintain a steady upward trend in the short term, with structural market conditions likely to continue. Policy support and a loose liquidity environment are anticipated to provide a bottom support for the market [3][17]. - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in the automotive, battery, shipping, and chemical pharmaceutical sectors [3][17].

Market Overview - The FTSE China A50 index components showed mixed performance with semiconductor, consumer electronics, and home appliance sectors experiencing declines, while precious metals sector saw significant gains [1] - Banking and insurance sectors recorded slight increases [1] Sector Performance Semiconductor Sector - Notable companies include: - Northern Huachuang with a market cap of 229.05 billion and a trading volume of 848 million, down 1.12% - Cambrian with a market cap of 279.49 billion, down 0.52% - Haiguang Information with a market cap of 324.01 billion, up 0.32% [3] Consumer Electronics Sector - Key players: - Industrial Fulian with a market cap of 377.32 billion, down 1.20% - Luxshare Precision with a market cap of 233.44 billion, up 2.08% [4] Home Appliance Sector - Major companies: - Gree Electric with a market cap of 262.82 billion, up 1.34% - Haier Smart Home with a market cap of 218.95 billion, down 0.17% [4] Precious Metals Sector - The sector showed strong performance, indicating a potential shift in investor interest towards safe-haven assets [1] Banking and Insurance Sector - Companies like China Pacific Insurance, Ping An Insurance, and China Life Insurance saw slight increases in their market caps, indicating stability in the sector [3] Food and Beverage Sector - Notable companies include: - Kweichow Moutai with a market cap of 503.10 billion, up 0.25% - Wuliangye Yibin with a market cap of 240.65 billion, down 0.62% [3] Energy Sector - Key players: - China Shenhua Energy with a market cap of 203.98 billion, up 2.96% - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry with a market cap of 124.60 billion, up 5.31% [3] Transportation Sector - Companies like China Railway and GWM saw slight increases in their market caps, reflecting a stable outlook in the transportation industry [3]

证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 21 日 [Table_Title] 如何高效捕捉红利收益？ [Table_Summary] ►如何理解红利行情的本质？ 以史为鉴，红利资产绝对收益走强通常离不开权重行业自身的 行情，如以煤炭、钢铁为代表的周期行情，以及以银行为代表 的金融行情。相对收益机会则更多是出现在市场回调压力增加 时期或者是风格切换的混沌期。而红利资产表现转弱，常是因 为 A 股市场出现其他产业机会或者权重行业自身逻辑证伪。 总结红利资产的核心要素，其前提假设是能够长期稳健经营， 在此基础之上，绝对收益来源于分红能力（其实本质是也是盈 利能力）、估值水平以及分红意愿，相对收益则更多取决于其 他资产表现。此外，机构行为也是助推红利资产绝对&相对收 益的重要来源。 ►24 年财报季后，哪些行业分红意愿提升？ 拆解股息率公式可以发现，股息率是由分红率、ROE、PB 构成 的，基本对应前文所述的分红意愿、分红能力、与估值水 平。 从分红意愿出发，在 2024 年新国九条框架下，A 股上市公司 基本都在努力提升分红比例，尤其是有能力分红的上市公 司，进一步增加了分红体 ...

中原证券认为，周二A股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，盘中汽车、食品饮料、光学光电子以及文化传 媒等行业表现较好；航运港口、航天航空、煤炭以及房地产等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震 荡上行的运行特征。一季度GDP同比增长5.4%，经济复苏动能强劲，企业盈利增速拐点显现，现金流 改善为市场提供基本面支撑。人民币汇率企稳回升，外资流入预期增强，流动性环境整体宽松。预计短 期市场以稳步震荡上行为主，市场有望延续结构性行情，政策支持与流动性宽松为市场提供底部支撑。 仍需密切关注政策面、资金面以及外盘的变化情况。 东莞证券认为，周二，大盘高开后红盘震荡，北证50、微盘股指数均创历史新高。海外市场方面，美联 储副主席杰斐逊表示，在制定货币政策时，将把穆迪下调美国信用评级视为普通的经济数据；纽约联储 主席威廉姆斯表示，在贸易动荡的背景下，对外国投资者撤离美国资产的担忧确实存在，但他认为，美 国"避风港"地位目前并未面临紧迫风险。国内市场方面，4月经济数据顶住压力稳定增长。往后看，外 部环境不确定性仍存在，但当前A股市场具备较高的战略定力和更强的韧性，大盘在此位置也有进一步 上行的动力。短期市场或维持震荡走势，长期看市场有 ...

Group 1 - The closing price of Beibu Gulf Port on May 20 was 8.77 yuan, down 2.77%, with a rolling PE ratio of 19.92 times and a total market value of 20.4 billion yuan [1] - In terms of industry PE ratio rankings, the average PE ratio for the shipping and port industry is 14.09 times, with a median of 14.98 times, placing Beibu Gulf Port at the 25th position [1] - On May 20, the net outflow of main funds for Beibu Gulf Port was 29.72 million yuan, with a total outflow of 196.55 million yuan over the past five days [1] Group 2 - Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd. specializes in container and bulk cargo handling, storage, port value-added services, and supporting port services [1] - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows that the company achieved an operating income of 1.643 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.73%, and a net profit of 196 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 49.87%, with a gross profit margin of 29.74% [1]