Group 1 - In the first quarter, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a year-on-year decline of 3.3% in the previous year to a growth of 0.8%, reversing the continuous decline since the third quarter of last year [3] - In March, profits of industrial enterprises increased by 2.6%, improving from a decline of 0.3% in January-February [3] - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4% in the first quarter, which is 0.6 percentage points faster than January-February [3] Group 2 - Nearly 60% of industries saw profit growth, with manufacturing showing significant improvement, achieving a profit growth of 7.6% in the first quarter, an acceleration of 2.8 percentage points [4] - The equipment manufacturing sector became a crucial support for profit growth, with a year-on-year profit increase of 6.4%, accounting for 32.0% of total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size [4] - High-tech manufacturing led high-quality development, with profits turning from a year-on-year decline of 5.8% in January-February to a growth of 3.5% in the first quarter, exceeding the average growth rate of all industrial enterprises by 2.7 percentage points [4] Group 3 - The "Two New" policies showed significant effects, with profits in specialized and general equipment industries increasing by 14.2% and 9.5% respectively [4] - The policy of replacing old consumer goods with new ones had a notable impact, with profits in wearable smart device manufacturing, electric bicycle manufacturing, and kitchen appliance manufacturing increasing by 78.8%, 65.8%, and 21.7% respectively [4]

0:00 南方财经全媒体记者 李依农 上海报道 时隔7个月规上工业利润重回正增长 时隔7个月，全国规模以上工业企业累计利润重回正增长。 4月27日，国家统计局公布数据显示，1—3月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额15093.6亿元，同 比增长0.8%。3月份，规模以上工业企业利润由1—2月份下降0.3%转为增长2.6%，企业当月利润也有所 改善。 如何解读这份数据？在当前外部环境仍然复杂的背景下，工业企业利润增速出现回升，主要体现出哪些 积极变化？后续能否延续改善态势？一起来听听财信金控首席经济学家伍超明的分析。 微观主体信心有所恢复 伍超明：一季度规上工业企业利润由降转增、全面回升，取得良好开局，但企业经营仍面临不少困难与 挑战。主要可以从四个方面来看。 一是量与利润率的改善是工业企业利润增速由负转正的主因。今年以来"抢出口效应"和"两新""两重"政 策的托举支撑了两大因素的改善。 二是制造业尤其是高技术制造业成为拉动利润增长的重要力量。一季度规上制造业利润同比增长 7.6%，高出全部工业6.8个百分点；高技术制造业利润增速由1-2月份的-5.8%提高到3月份的3.8%，是重 要边际拉动力量。 三是微观 ...

Group 1: Industrial Profit Trends - In Q1 2025, industrial enterprises achieved a total profit of CNY 15,093.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%[1] - The profit growth rate shifted from decline to increase, primarily driven by the "Two New" policies[1] - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors significantly contributed to profit growth, with equipment manufacturing profits rising by 6.4%[3] Group 2: Price and Cost Dynamics - In March 2025, the national industrial producer price index decreased by 2.5% year-on-year, exerting pressure on profit growth[2] - The revenue profit margin for industrial enterprises was 4.7% in Q1 2025, indicating room for improvement, especially in the manufacturing sector with a margin of approximately 3.91%[2] - The industrial capacity utilization rate was 74.1%, showing a seasonal decline compared to Q4 2024, leading to a slight increase in unit costs[2] Group 3: Policy Impact and Future Outlook - The "Two New" policies are expected to continue supporting profit recovery, although price adjustments are still needed[1] - The U.S. tariff war is estimated to impact industrial profits minimally, accounting for about CNY 2,000 billion or 2.7% of total profits in 2024[4] - Demand-side recovery is anticipated to strengthen in the second half of 2025, potentially leading to improved profit margins for industrial enterprises[5]

Economic Overview - In Q1 2025, Dongguan's GDP reached 298.158 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3% [1] - The overall economic performance is characterized by stable production supply, a noticeable recovery in the consumer market, and rapid growth in imports and exports [1] Industrial Performance - The industrial output in Dongguan showed steady growth, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 6.9% year-on-year [1] - Key industries experienced significant growth: - Electronic information manufacturing increased by 10.6% - Electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing rose by 11.2% - Chemical manufacturing grew by 14.0% [1] - New momentum industries also performed well, with advanced manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.4% and 10.7% respectively [1] Foreign Trade - Dongguan's foreign trade maintained rapid growth in Q1, with total import and export volume reaching 356.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.2% [1] - Exports amounted to 214.35 billion yuan, growing by 12.9%, while imports surged to 142.01 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 36.5% [1] Service Sector - The service sector in Dongguan showed stable development, with added value increasing by 3.9% year-on-year [2] - Revenue from large-scale service enterprises reached 45.464 billion yuan in January-February, marking a 2.6% increase [2] - The logistics industry, particularly multimodal transport and transportation agency services, saw substantial growth, with a year-on-year increase of 26.4% [2] - The postal, telecommunications, and express delivery sectors also experienced positive trends, with business volumes growing by 52.0%, 8.7%, and 23.8% respectively [2]

利润增速有所回升，但改善基础有待夯实。 3月利润增速录得2.6%，较上月上行约3个百分点，主因基数走低 推动，环比增速也低于近五年中位数，结合工企产销率续创历年同期新低，指向利润改善基础有待夯实。 分 企业类型来看 ，私营和股份制企业利润改善明显，国企和外商企业均有回落。 从两年平均增速来看 ，仅私营 报 告 正 文 3 月收入、利润增速双双回升。 2025 年 3 月，规上工企营业收入录得 4.2% ，较上月有所回升。工企利 润增速录得 2.6% ，较上月上行约 3 个百分点，主因基数走低推动，环比增速也低于近五年中位数，结 合工企产销率续创历年同期新低，指向利润改善基础有待夯实。从 工企利润 的构成 来看， 3 月工企的 营收增速有所回升，主因当月 生产大幅改善 。 同时 营收利润率 增速略有上升，共同带动 本月利润增速 上行 。本月成本费用较上月微升， 利润率增速上行或受到春节前置的一定扰动。 往后看 ， 随着外部冲 击影响逐渐显现，叠加去年同期基数走高 ， 利润或将再度承压 ， 静待稳增长政策进一步加码显效 。 此外，有三点值得关注。 一是企业经营压力仍较高 。工企产销率续创近十年来同期新低，而同时其 ...

Group 1 - In the first quarter, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a year-on-year decline of 3.3% in the previous year to a growth of 0.8% [2][5] - In March, the profits of these enterprises increased by 2.6%, reversing a 0.3% decline in January and February [6][8] - The revenue of industrial enterprises in March grew by 4.2%, accelerating by 1.4 percentage points compared to January and February [6][8] Group 2 - High-tech manufacturing profits surged by 14.3% in March, contributing 2.8 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [3][8] - The specialized and general equipment sectors saw profit increases of 14.2% and 9.5%, respectively, outperforming the average profit growth of all industrial enterprises [3][8] - In the first quarter, 24 out of 41 industrial categories reported profit growth, indicating nearly 60% of industries experienced improvements [8] Group 3 - The private and joint-stock enterprises showed significant profit growth in March, with private enterprises increasing by 16.0% and joint-stock enterprises by 3.5% [7] - The equipment manufacturing sector accounted for 32.0% of the total profits of industrial enterprises, with a year-on-year profit growth of 6.4% [8] - The aerospace industry experienced a profit increase of 23.9%, while sectors like smart consumer devices and medical equipment also reported substantial profit growth [8]

一季度规模以上工业企业利润由降转增 ——国家统计局工业司统计师于卫宁解读2025年1—3月份工业企业利润数据 一季度，各地区各部门认真贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，着力打好宏观政策"组合拳"，政策效应 持续释放，带动工业企业利润由降转增，装备制造业、高技术制造业利润支撑作用明显，工业经济发展 质效持续提升。 工业企业利润由降转增。一季度，全国规模以上工业企业利润由上年全年同比下降3.3%转为增长 0.8%，扭转了自上年三季度以来企业累计利润持续下降的态势。3月份，规模以上工业企业利润由1—2 月份下降0.3%转为增长2.6%，企业当月利润有所改善。 工业企业营收增长持续加快。随着工业生产增长加快，带动工业企业营收继续改善。一季度，全国规模 以上工业企业营业收入同比增长3.4%，增速较1—2月份加快0.6个百分点；3月份，规模以上工业企业营 收增长4.2%，较1—2月份加快1.4个百分点。工业企业营收累计增速自上年12月份以来持续加快，为企 业盈利恢复创造有利条件。 近六成行业利润实现增长，制造业改善明显。一季度，在41个工业大类行业中，有24个行业利润同比增 长，增长面近六成；有24个行业利润增速较1—2月 ...

一季度全国规模以上工业企业利润由去年全年下降3.3%转为增长0.8%，其中装备制造业和高技术制造 业成为重要支撑。装备制造业利润同比增长6.4%，高技术制造业利润则由下降5.8%转为增长3.5%。此 外，受"两新"政策影响，专用设备和通用设备行业利润大幅增长。尽管外部环境复杂，但宏观政策效果 显现，工业经济持续恢复。(国家统计局) ...

近年来，广东着眼于现代化产业体系建设，大力推动科技产业互促双强。世界一流的重大科技基础设施 集群和具有湾区特色的实验室体系加快构建；一大批概念验证中心和中试平台加速推动科技成果转化落 地。第五次全国经济普查公报显示，2023年末，广东规模以上高技术制造业企业法人单位数量达到 13710个，相较2018年末显著增长，增幅高达60.8%。高技术制造业正成为制造业重要新兴力量。 作为粤港澳大湾区核心引擎、国际科技创新重要承载地，2023年末，广州高新技术企业、科技型中小企 业分别增至1.3万家和2.1万家，全球独角兽企业、科技型中小企业的增量位列全国第一，高技术制造业 企业是其中重要组成部分，为广东高技术制造业的蓬勃崛起贡献了突出力量。 2023年，广东高技术制造业企业的专利申请量达到15.98万件，相较2018年增长51.4%。其中，发明专利 申请量为9.27万件，增长了56.5%。高技术制造业企业在技术创新方面更加注重核心技术的研发和保 护，具有更强的创新能力和市场竞争力。这显示高技术制造业企业在技术创新和知识产权保护方面取得 了显著成果。 而技术创新最终引领企业发展，助推企业利润提升。据统计，2023年，全省 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights strong economic growth in the first quarter, with GDP growth reaching 5.4%, surpassing the previous consensus expectation of 5.2% [2] - Investment in manufacturing and infrastructure remains steady, while real estate investment showed signs of slowing down in March, although property sales continue to recover [2][3] - Consumer spending has improved significantly, particularly in March, with online retail showing high growth, indicating the effectiveness of policies promoting consumption [2] Group 2 - The report indicates that the current domestic inventory cycle is in a weak replenishment phase, with leading indicators suggesting steady recovery in consumer spending and business expectations [2] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs is expected to suppress commercial activities and asset price expectations, leading to increased volatility in risk assets [2] - The report suggests that Chinese assets have relative advantages, with A-shares entering an observation period, and emphasizes the importance of domestic policy strength and timing for sustaining recovery momentum [2] Group 3 - The report notes that the weak dollar trend is likely to continue, with rising risks of a slowdown in the US economy, which may lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - The report emphasizes that low valuations and stable earnings will dominate market styles before the implementation of growth-stabilizing policies, with a focus on defensive assets in the short term [2] - The report anticipates that after the uncertainty surrounding tariffs is resolved, profit factors may regain dominance in the market, shifting focus back to growth-oriented sectors [2]