Core Viewpoint - The storage leader Jiangbolong's wholly-owned subsidiary, Yuan Yuzhi Technology, has filed a lawsuit against another listed storage company, Baiwei Storage, over two necessary patent disputes related to eMMC standards, with both parties claiming to fulfill their obligations as patent holders but disagreeing on the negotiation process [1][4]. Group 1: Patent Dispute Details - Yuan Yuzhi Technology claims that the involved patents are necessary for the eMMC standard set by the JEDEC Association, and Baiwei Storage has allegedly infringed these patents by manufacturing and selling products without permission [2][4]. - The original applicants of the two patents in question are Nokia, and after several transfers, the patents are currently licensed to Yuan Yuzhi Technology by Emter Storage Technology [1][2]. Group 2: Legal Framework and FRAND Principles - The eMMC standard is primarily aimed at embedded storage for mobile phones and tablets, and the infringement claims arise from Baiwei Storage's products that comply with this standard [2]. - The FRAND principle, which stands for "Fair, Reasonable, and Non-Discriminatory," is crucial in this context, requiring patent holders to offer licenses under fair terms and preventing unreasonable expansion of patent rights [3][5]. Group 3: Negotiation Process and Claims - Both companies assert adherence to the FRAND principles, but they disagree on whether Baiwei Storage made mistakes during the licensing negotiations, with Yuan Yuzhi claiming Baiwei acted improperly [4][5]. - Baiwei Storage maintains that it has acted in good faith and cooperated fully during the negotiation process, denying any wrongdoing [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The storage sector is expected to experience significant opportunities in the near term, driven by various factors including price increases and technological advancements [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The storage market is anticipated to see continued price increases in the fourth quarter [1] - The demand for storage capacity is rapidly increasing due to the growth of AI servers, PCs, and smartphones [1] - The penetration rates of high-value products such as HBM, eSSD, and RDIMM are continuously rising, contributing to revenue growth in the sector [1] Group 2: Domestic Market Growth - The domestic storage market is accelerating its growth further [1]

（一）重要市场新闻 1、美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道指跌0.02%，标普500指数涨0.47%，再创历史新高，纳指涨0.94%； 科技股集体上涨，特斯拉涨近5%，甲骨文涨超5%，英伟达、苹果涨超2%；特朗普称美越达成贸易协 议，服装和鞋类股走高，耐克涨超4%。中概股涨跌互现，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨0.06%；老虎证券 涨超1%，小鹏汽车涨0.6%，新东方跌超3%，阿里巴巴、哔哩哔哩跌超2%。 2、周三公布的数据显示，美国6月ADP就业人数减少3.3万人，预估为增加9.8万人，前值为增加3.7万 人。国际金价走高，现货黄金涨0.59%，报3356.93美元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货涨0.56%，报3368.7美 元/盎司；COMEX白银期货涨1.08%，报36.79美元/盎司。国际油价强势上扬，美油主力合约收涨 3.18%，报67.53美元/桶；布伦特原油主力合约涨3.00%，报69.12美元/桶。欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不 一，德国DAX指数涨0.49%报23790.11点，法国CAC40指数涨0.99%报7738.42点，英国富时100指数跌 0.12%报8774.69点。 （二）行业掘金 每经记者｜杨建 每 ...

Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment score is 86, indicating an "overheated" market condition [6][10][22] - Historical trends show that when sentiment is below or close to 30, the market tends to find support, while above 90, it faces resistance [10] Hot Themes Tracking - **Storage Theme**: Major manufacturers are phasing out DDR4, with a reported 53% price increase in May, the highest since 2017. Related stocks include Jiangbolong (301308) and Zhaoyi Innovation (603586) [7] - **Energy Metals Theme**: The Democratic Republic of Congo has extended a temporary ban on cobalt exports due to high inventory levels. Related stocks include Huayou Cobalt (603799) and Tianqi Lithium (002466) [7] - **Stablecoin Theme**: The People's Bank of China discussed the transformation of monetary policy and the rise of digital currencies at the Lujiazui Forum. Related stocks include Sifang Jingchuang (300468) and Jingbeifang (002987) [7] Capital Flow Analysis - The top ten stocks with the highest net inflow include Chengfei Integration (69,333.71 million), Dongxin Peace (54,023.33 million), and Rongfa Nuclear Power (51,283.10 million) [11] - The top ten stocks with the highest net outflow include Hengbao Co. (-77,375.44 million), Dongfang Fortune (-56,211.82 million), and BYD (-53,577.85 million) [13] - The top ten industries with the highest net inflow include Defense Industry (172,656 million) and Media (121,159 million) [17] - The top ten industries with the highest net outflow include Social Services (-21,650 million) and Environmental Protection (-27,401 million) [18]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained at "Outperform" [6] Core Insights - The report emphasizes a strong outlook for the semiconductor storage sector, driven by sustained price increases, AI catalysis, and accelerated domestic production [2][12] - Micron's performance exceeded expectations, with DRAM revenue reaching a historical high and a significant increase in HBM revenue [3][12] - The report forecasts a continued upward trend in storage prices for Q3 and Q4, with DDR4 contract prices expected to rise by 30-40% [2][20] Summary by Sections 1. Micron's Performance - Micron's revenue reached a historical high in FY2025 Q3, with DRAM revenue at $7.071 billion, accounting for 76% of total revenue, and a 15.5% quarter-over-quarter increase [3][12] - HBM revenue grew nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter, and data center revenue more than doubled year-over-year [3][12] - The forecast for Q4 revenue is between $10.4 billion and $11 billion, with gross margins expected to improve to 41-43% [18][20] 2. Market Trends - The report highlights a structural adjustment in the supply of LPDDR4X, leading to price increases in the spot market [24] - The demand for high-capacity storage products is rising, driven by AI applications and the need for higher performance in servers, PCs, and mobile devices [2][12] - The domestic storage market is expected to grow further due to increased localization of high-difficulty products like HBM and eSSD [2][20] 3. Price Dynamics - The report notes significant price increases for DDR4 RDIMM, with 32GB prices rising over 30% from early April to mid-June, and 64GB reaching $220 [22][23] - The price of DDR4 is expected to continue rising, with predictions of an 18-23% increase for PC DDR4 in Q3 [23][20] - NAND Flash contract prices are also expected to rise by 5-10% in Q3, with enterprise SSD orders significantly increasing [20][23] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the semiconductor storage sector, including Jiangbo Long, Zhaoyi Innovation, and others [5][12] - It also highlights opportunities in IDM foundry and testing companies, as well as SoC and ASIC solution providers [5]

2025 年 06 月 30 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：66 分（较热） 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 66 分，市场情绪处于"较热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1。 ▌ 热点主题追踪 1、储存主题：据《科创板日报》报道，继韩系两大存储 原厂先后放出 DDR4 停产时间，美光确定已向客户发出信件通 知 DDR4 将停产，预计未来 2~3 个季度陆续停止出货。Trend Force 数据显示，5 月 DDR4 单月涨幅 53%，创 2017 年以来最 大涨幅。相关标的：江波龙（ 301308 ）、兆易创新 （603586） 2、能源金属主题：刚果金公布，2025 年 6 月 21 日起， 战略矿产市场监管局(ARECOMS)董事会采取了重大监管措施， 鉴于市场上库存量持续高企，已决定将临时禁令的期限自本 决定生效之日起再延长三个月，适用于刚果所有源自采矿的 钴 出 口 。 相 关 标 的 ： 华 友 钴 业 （ 603799 ） 、 天 齐 锂 ...

Group 1 - The market performance this week exceeded expectations, driven by factors such as increased interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve, appreciation of the RMB, stabilization of military conflicts in the Middle East, and anticipated visits from Trump to China [1] - Incremental capital sources include a marginal recovery in newly issued active equity public funds, rapid follow-up from leveraged funds, and a potential acceleration of insurance capital entering the market since mid-June [1] - The market's future performance will be dominated by capital and valuation, with a bullish long-term outlook for the index, although short-term fluctuations are expected rather than a continuous surge [1] Group 2 - In terms of industry allocation, a better strategy is to position at low levels and utilize odds thinking, with ongoing high-low switching being a key market signal [2] - The sectors that have shown relative underperformance since March 2020 but have seen marginally improved profit expectations recently are worth attention, including semiconductors, solid-state batteries, power grid equipment, industrial metals, and beer [2] - Caution is advised regarding short-term volatility risks in the banking sector as capital accelerates and the cost-effectiveness of stock-bond spreads decreases [2]

Market News - US stock indices collectively rose, with Nasdaq up 0.97%, Dow Jones up 0.94%, and S&P 500 up 0.8%, marking near historical closing highs for Nasdaq and S&P 500 [1] - Major tech stocks mostly increased, with Netflix, Amazon, and Meta rising over 2%, while Apple and Tesla saw slight declines [1] - International oil prices showed slight fluctuations, with WTI crude oil up 0.46% at $65.22 per barrel and Brent crude oil up 0.41% at $66.70 per barrel [1] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.29%, with mixed performance among Chinese concept stocks [1] Industry Insights - The Hong Kong government released the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0," aiming to position Hong Kong as a global innovation center for digital assets [3] - The declaration emphasizes a combination of prudent regulation and market innovation to create a robust digital asset ecosystem [3] - The People's Bank of China highlighted the role of blockchain technology in promoting the development of central bank digital currencies and stablecoins, enhancing transaction stability and cross-border payment capabilities [3] - The digitalization and capitalization of real-world assets (RWA) are being promoted, with the China Mobile Communications Association seeking partners for RWA ecosystem collaboration [4] - Recent price surges in DDR4 memory have been noted, with prices for DDR4 16Gb exceeding those of DDR5 for the first time, driven by reduced supply from major manufacturers [5][6] - The reduction in DDR4 production is expected to lead to a supply-demand improvement by the second half of 2025, with potential price increases anticipated [6] Company Actions - Several companies announced plans for share reductions by major shareholders, including Kai Run Co., Neway Group, and Huai Green Ecology, with reductions ranging from 0.97% to 3% of total shares [7][8]

Industry Overview Investment Rating The report does not mention the industry investment rating. Core View The report provides an overview of various industries, including production, service, upstream,中游, downstream, and market pricing, highlighting recent trends and developments in each sector. Summary by Category Production and Service Industries - Shanghai plans to build a world - class ship and offshore engineering equipment industrial cluster, aiming for an industry added - value of over 45 billion yuan by 2030 and a localisation rate of over 85% for large LNG carriers [1]. - The memory market, led by DDR4, is rapidly warming up, with DDR4 particle prices doubling in just two weeks [1]. - Six departments have issued a guidance on financial support for consumption, setting up a 500 - billion - yuan re - loan for service consumption and elderly care [1]. - Retirement pensions are exempt from personal income tax in Beijing [1]. Upstream - International oil prices decreased significantly compared to the previous day [2]. - Coal inventory in Qinhuangdao decreased [2]. - Egg prices have rebounded recently [2]. Midstream - The polyester operating rate declined, while the PX operating rate increased [3]. - The coal consumption of power plants dropped to a three - year low, and the power plant operating rate decreased [3]. Downstream - The sales of commercial housing in first - and second - tier cities have seasonally declined to a near - three - year low [4]. - The number of domestic flights has decreased cyclically [4]. Market Pricing - The credit spread of the entire industry has slightly declined recently [5]. Industry Credit Spread - The credit spreads of multiple industries, such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, mining, and chemical industry, have declined this week [48]. Key Industry Price Indicators - The prices of various commodities, including agricultural products, metals, energy, and chemicals, have shown different trends, with some rising and some falling [49].

Market Overview - Major stock indices in China experienced a narrow fluctuation in the morning, followed by a strong rally in the afternoon, driven by the financial and real estate sectors. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.03% to 3455.97 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.72% to 10393.72 points, and the ChiNext Index surged by 3.11% to 2128.39 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 16402 billion yuan, an increase of over 1900 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Brokerage Sector - Guotai Junan International saw a significant increase of 198% due to the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission approving its upgrade to a virtual asset trading license, making it the first Chinese brokerage to offer comprehensive virtual asset services. This aligns with the current market interest in "stablecoin" themes, leading to a corresponding rise in the A-share brokerage sector [2] - Donghai Securities noted that the sustainability of the brokerage sector's performance depends on the pace of policy benefits realization and the maintenance of market activity levels. The actual impact of capital market reform policies is a key focus for investors, which is crucial for the recovery of brokerage performance [2] Semiconductor Industry - The memory market, particularly DDR4, has seen a significant price increase due to production cuts announced by storage wafer manufacturers. This price surge is attributed to strong supply-demand dynamics, with expectations of continued revenue growth for major storage manufacturers in the second quarter of 2025 [3] - Citic Securities recommends focusing on storage chip design firms and distributors, as well as module manufacturers, due to the rising prices of DDR4 memory. The increasing penetration of DDR5 is also anticipated as some DDR4 prices exceed those of DDR5 [3] AI Infrastructure - The demand for AI model training and inference is driving the evolution of system-level computing infrastructure. The focus is shifting towards larger clusters, as single-chip performance improvements are expected to slow down. System-level nodes are seen as a critical direction for AI computing development [4] - Citic Securities suggests monitoring the shipment of system-level products from leading companies and the progress of domestic system-level products represented by Huawei's CloudMatrix384, indicating potential growth in the domestic supply chain [4] Dairy Industry - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is actively promoting high-quality development in the dairy industry, emphasizing the implementation of industry relief policies and support for dairy farmers. Efforts are being made to boost dairy consumption and enhance the processing of dairy products [5][6] Foreign Investment - The Ministry of Commerce announced a pilot program to promote the reporting of domestic investment information by foreign-invested enterprises, with the first pilot regions being Jiangsu, Shanghai, Tianjin, Liaoning, Hebei, Hunan, Shaanxi, and Chongqing. This initiative aims to attract more foreign investment [7] Smart Transportation - The Ministry of Transport is focusing on the development of smart transportation, planning to compile a comprehensive transportation plan and promote innovative projects in this area. The goal is to secure diverse funding and resources to enhance the overall development of smart transportation [8]