Group 1: Core Views - The narrative trading trend in the market has shown signs of fatigue, with a return to a fundamentals-driven slow bull market logic [1] - Regulatory measures on online information management aim to curb the risks associated with narrative trading, which can lead to significant market fluctuations [1] - The government's guidance for investors to shift from narrative trading to fundamentals trading is seen as a necessary response to market failures [1] Group 2: Positioning and Functions of the Stock Market - The Chinese stock market has evolved beyond a simple financing and trading platform, becoming a core hub connecting public welfare, industrial upgrades, and national strategy [2] - The core functions of the stock market can be summarized as "balance sheet repair, financing for technological growth, and market-based pricing of existing assets" [2] Group 3: Balance Sheet Repair Function - The health of household balance sheets directly influences consumption and economic resilience, with the stock market providing a means for wealth appreciation through a profit-driven slow bull market [3] - This function aims to ensure that financial market returns benefit households, thereby supporting the micro-foundation of common prosperity [3] Group 4: Financing for Technological Growth - The stock market plays a crucial role in providing long-term capital for strategic sectors such as hard technology and high-end manufacturing through market-based pricing and governance improvements [4] - This function embodies the principle of "finance serving the real economy," transforming capital into a long-term partner for innovation [4] Group 5: Market-Based Pricing of Existing Assets - The stock market's public pricing mechanism allows for the revaluation and circulation of existing assets, enhancing operational efficiency and governance structures [5] - This function emphasizes the market's decisive role in resource allocation, breaking away from traditional administrative valuations [5] Group 6: Current Functionality Assessment - As of early 2026, the A-share market shows an uneven performance in its three core functions, highlighting the need for government intervention to address market failures [8] - The asset balance sheet repair function has lagged, with household stock assets accounting for less than 10% of total wealth, compared to 20%-30% in developed countries [8] - The financing function for technological growth has been more robust, with over 1,200 hard technology companies raising more than 1.5 trillion yuan, but narrative trading still poses risks [8] - The market-based pricing function for state-owned assets faces challenges, with low valuations for state-owned enterprises indicating a lack of market recognition for existing asset values [9] Group 7: Historical Lessons from Market Volatility - Historical lessons indicate that the stock market must remain anchored to its core functions to avoid falling into cycles of policy-driven speculation and bubble bursts [11] - Past market booms have often led to significant wealth losses for households, emphasizing the unsustainability of trends detached from real economic support [11] Group 8: Government Intervention - Government intervention is deemed necessary to correct market failures, ensuring that the stock market continues to serve its three core functions effectively [13] - The government aims to protect household wealth, maintain industrial upgrades, and ensure the strategic value of state-owned assets through appropriate interventions [14] Group 9: Asset Allocation Insights - In the context of China's modernization, asset allocation should focus on the three core functions of the stock market, emphasizing long-term stable growth rather than short-term speculation [16] - Investors are encouraged to prioritize broad-based assets that can enhance wealth effects and support household balance sheet repair [17] - Strategic allocations should target hard technology and new productive forces, with a focus on companies with genuine technological barriers [17] - Attention should also be given to the revaluation opportunities of quality existing assets as market pricing mechanisms evolve [17]

人民币升值期间大类资产复盘 ——全球资产配置每周聚焦 (20260116-20260123) 本期投资提示： 全球资本市场回顾： 本周 (20260116-20260123)全球地缘政治冲突加剧，贵金属继续上 行。1）固收方面， 10Y美债收益率维持在4.2%的水平，美元指数下行1.88%； 2）权益 方面， 本周上证指数整体上行，中证1000和科创50涨幅靠前，上证50跌幅较大；全球市 场中巴西、阿根廷股价涨幅较大，其中A股行业中建筑材料，石油石化、钢铁涨幅靠前， 银行跌幅较大，港股耐用消费品领涨； 3）商品方面， 本周黄金上涨8.3%，主要是因为 地缘政治冲突集中爆发。 聚焦热点：人民币升值期间大类资产表现复盘 ：2000年以来，人民币汇率共经历了6轮升 值与4轮贬值，人民币汇率变化主要受到汇率制度改革、全球贸易周期以及中美货币政策 周期变化的影响。 国内大类资产方面，人民币升值期间，股票稳定的胜率更高，债券和 商品表现规律并不统一。 股票方面 ，创业板整体跑赢沪深300（除2017年），小盘整体 跑赢大盘（除2017年）。 债券方面， 2017、2023、2025年升值期间，国债指数录得负收 益，其他几 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights significant capital inflow into the non-ferrous metals sector, with related ETFs (excluding gold) seeing a net inflow exceeding 36 billion yuan this year, pushing the total scale beyond 100 billion yuan [1][2] - The demand-supply mismatch, coupled with the needs for new energy and grid upgrades, has led to notable price elasticity in copper, aluminum, and rare earths, prompting funds to quickly position through ETFs [1][2] - Multiple public funds are actively applying for new products, indicating a continuous increase in the toolization of investment strategies, which has become a key focus for institutions during the recovery phase of the year [1][2] Group 2 - As of January 23, 2026, there were no new fund launches, but five funds announced dividends, primarily bond funds, with the highest dividend being 0.25 yuan per 10 fund shares from the Bank of China’s 39-month regular open bond fund [2][4] - Data shows that seven private equity firms have either newly entered or returned to the 10 billion yuan tier this year, indicating a growing trend in the private equity sector, with stock long strategies being particularly popular [2] - Foreign investment firms, including BlackRock and Fidelity, reported that several of their products had net value increases exceeding 50%, with a strong focus on high-quality technology assets expected to lead value reassessment in the upcoming year [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The AI application market has stabilized after a rapid adjustment period, with significant activities from major companies like Tencent and ByteDance, indicating a focus on AI applications and gaming as robust investment opportunities [1][2] - The gaming sector is highlighted for its strong fundamentals, with companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment and Perfect World focusing on mini-games and overseas markets to drive growth [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with Agent ecosystem layouts and the efficiency gains from accelerated AI application implementations [2] Summary by Sections AI Application Market - The AI application market has shown signs of stabilization after a rapid adjustment phase, with major companies continuing to invest heavily [2] - Tencent announced a 1 billion cash red envelope activity for the Spring Festival, while ByteDance launched the Skills feature to enhance AI application usability [2] Gaming Sector - Companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment are focusing on mini-games, SLG, and overseas casual gaming markets, aiming to return to the top three in China's gaming exports [3] - Investment opportunities are noted in companies such as Perfect World, Century Huatong, and Giant Network [3] Key Company Updates - The report suggests close monitoring of companies like Ali's Qianwen App, ByteDance's new features, and DeepSeek's model iterations for potential investment opportunities [2]

大会特别设置"银企携手，共创未来"环节。会上，滨江开发区商会与中国银行南京江宁支行签署战略合 作协议，将为商会企业提供全方位、定制化的金融服务，助力企业转型升级与创新发展。 本报讯(董翔单维亮)1月22日，南京江宁滨江经济开发区商会第四届第一次会员代表大会召开。会议选 举产生新一届商会领导班子，明确下一步工作重点，并推动多项实质性合作落地。 会议听取并审议了第三届商会工作报告，全面总结了过去几年商会在服务企业、促进交流、助力发展等 方面取得的成效。经民主表决，王银当选为新一届商会会长，万京林、徐伟当选执行会长。新一届领导 班子成员来自制造业、科技、食品、环保等多个产业领域，具有广泛代表性，体现了商会凝聚企业、服 务发展的组织活力。王银在就职发言中表示，将团结带领全体会员，紧紧围绕江宁滨江开发区发展大 局，积极发挥桥梁纽带作用，努力推动民营企业健康发展和民营经济人士健康成长。 大会还举办了"滨江商道"大讲堂首期活动，邀请人工智能领域专家带来AI助力企业减员降本增效的前沿 分享。 ...

Global Market Overview - During the period from January 16 to January 23, 2026, geopolitical conflicts intensified, leading to an increase in precious metals, with gold rising by 8.3%[6] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained at 4.2%, while the U.S. dollar index decreased by 1.88%[6] Asset Performance During RMB Appreciation - Since 2000, the RMB has experienced 6 rounds of appreciation and 4 rounds of depreciation, influenced by currency reforms and global trade cycles[8] - During RMB appreciation, stocks generally showed higher stability, with the ChiNext outperforming the CSI 300, except in 2017[10] - In the bond market, the national debt index recorded negative returns during appreciation periods in 2017, 2023, and 2025, while other periods showed positive returns[10] Fund Flows - As of January 21, 2026, both domestic and foreign capital flowed into the Chinese stock market, with foreign active funds inflowing $3.38 billion and passive funds inflowing $16.65 billion[3] - Domestic capital saw an outflow of $493.17 billion, while foreign capital inflow totaled $20.03 billion in the same week[3] Valuation Metrics - As of January 23, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index's valuation exceeded that of the KOSPI 200, CAC 40, and S&P 500, reaching 92.9% of its 10-year historical average[3] - The equity risk premium (ERP) for the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite remains relatively high, indicating good allocation value compared to global markets[3] Economic Indicators - The U.S. inflation rate, as measured by the PCE index, has remained low, indicating economic cooling[5] - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75% is 95.60%, stable compared to the previous week[5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Industrial Securities emphasizes that the recent cooling in the market affects the rhythm and structure rather than the overall trend, with the core logic supporting the upward spring market remaining unchanged. The current spring market is still in progress, and although the market rhythm has slowed, the upward trend continues, with the profit effect expanding to a broader range [1]. Group 1: Liquidity and Catalysts - A liquidity-rich environment is the core driving force supporting the upward trend of the spring market, stemming from the strong performance of insurance funds and the influx of foreign capital due to the appreciation of the RMB [1][2]. - Insurance funds have shown impressive performance in the "opening red" period, with individual insurance premium growth rates exceeding 30% for leading companies, and some companies' individual insurance premiums surpassing 10 billion [1]. - The first half of this year is expected to see a peak in the maturity of residents' fixed deposits, creating an important window for residents to increase their allocation to equity assets [2]. - The continuous appreciation of the RMB is attracting foreign capital back to the market, with a record high of $99.9 billion in bank foreign exchange settlement surplus in December 2025, including a $11.5 billion surplus in securities investment [2]. Group 2: Market Structure and Performance - The current market is characterized by a warm macro environment and supportive policies, which are enhancing market risk appetite and driving the profit effect to expand across various sectors [3]. - The upcoming week will feature a concentrated window for industry catalysts, particularly with the earnings reports from North American tech giants, which may influence the domestic market [4]. - The earnings preview period is approaching its peak, with a disclosure rate expected to reach around 55%, which will significantly impact market structure [4][7]. Group 3: Earnings Forecasts and Sector Focus - As of January 23, 2025, 889 A-share listed companies have released earnings forecasts, with 304 companies expecting net profit growth exceeding 50%, primarily in sectors such as computing, chemicals, new energy, pharmaceuticals, and computer technology [5][6]. - The sectors with high growth or exceeding expectations in earnings forecasts include storage, new energy (battery storage, grid equipment), chemicals, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6][7]. - The report highlights that industries with low price increases during the current market rally include AI hardware, new energy, and various cyclical sectors [8]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - February is anticipated to be a core window for bullish market activity, with a typical pattern of market volatility driven by liquidity and risk appetite, particularly in small-cap and growth sectors [9]. - The report suggests that themes such as AI applications, commercial space, and energy narratives should be revisited as they may gain renewed attention in February [9].

中国正朝着建成科技强国的宏伟目标迈进，积极扩大新能源、数字经济和人工智能等领域的国际合作。 埃及在人工智能与数字化转型领域也在加快发展步伐。两国在人工智能应用、工业领域数字化转型、商 业流程优化以及港口和贸易路线现代化建设等领域的合作蕴藏巨大机遇。未来，双方可进一步深化产能 协同，推动中国技术与埃及区位优势对接，共同服务非洲乃至全球市场。 中国坚定不移推进高水平对外开放，通过举办进博会、消博会等国际经贸展会，为全球企业进入中国市 场创造了有利条件，为深化合作搭建了重要桥梁。通过进博会等平台，埃及的新鲜果蔬、化工产品、皮 革、大理石和纺织品等特色产品得以进入中国市场，埃及相关企业获得了重要发展机遇。此外，中国展 会专业精准的运作模式、井然有序的组织管理、高质量的展品水准、充沛的客流量和高效的商务对接均 堪称典范。这些都是中国高水平对外开放的生动写照。 作为全球南方的重要成员，中国通过持续扩大对外开放进一步深化与全球南方国家的团结协作，为解决 当前国际贸易和金融体系中的不平等问题提供了新思路。 我关注中国经济和中国现代化发展已超过25年。当前，中国坚持高水平对外开放，构建起卓越的创新体 系，多个行业实现了可持续高 ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong IPO market continues its strong momentum from the previous year, with over 350 companies currently waiting to list as of early 2026 [1][3] - In the first three weeks of the new year, Hong Kong has completed 11 IPOs, raising approximately $4 billion [1] Group 1: IPO Market Dynamics - As of early 2026, the number of companies waiting to list has increased from 316 at the end of 2025 to over 350 within a few weeks [3] - The surge in IPO applications is ongoing, with 16 companies submitting applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in the first seven working days of January 2026 [3] - The IPO pipeline includes leading companies from various sectors, including technology and traditional industries, with notable names such as Ruipai Pet Medical and Anker Innovations [5] Group 2: Geographic and Sectoral Trends - Companies from both first-tier and lower-tier cities in China are actively pursuing listings in Hong Kong, with three companies from Henan province advancing their IPO plans within a week [5] - The IPO market is characterized by a concentration of leading firms across emerging and traditional sectors, with over 70% of listed companies in 2025 coming from information technology, biomedicine, new energy, and high-end manufacturing [12] Group 3: Historical Performance and Future Projections - In 2025, Hong Kong regained its position as the top global IPO market, with 119 IPOs and a total fundraising amount of 2858 billion HKD, marking a 68% increase from 2024 [14] - Predictions for 2026 suggest that the IPO fundraising scale could exceed 300 billion HKD, with estimates ranging from 320 billion to 350 billion HKD and around 150 to 180 companies expected to successfully list [14][12] Group 4: Quality and Market Sentiment - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange emphasizes the importance of IPO quality, acknowledging that the recent surge in applications has led to some lower-quality submissions [16] - There is a growing trend of differentiation in the market, where larger projects and industry leaders are more likely to attract long-term funding, while smaller projects may face challenges based on market conditions and performance [16]

Market Overview - US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones down 0.58%, Nasdaq up 0.28%, and S&P 500 up 0.03% [2] - Precious metals led the gains, with silver rising over 4% and gold reaching a high of $4990 per ounce [2] - International oil prices surged, with WTI crude oil up 3.23% to $61.28 per barrel [2] European Market - Major European indices closed mixed, with Germany's DAX up 0.18% and France's CAC40 down 0.07% [3] Banking and Finance - China's banking wealth management market reached a scale of 33.29 trillion yuan, growing 11.15% year-on-year [9] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced new guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks to enhance transparency and accountability [7] International Relations - Brazil announced a visa waiver for Chinese citizens in response to China's similar policy for Brazilian citizens [14] - The US is considering a comprehensive blockade on Cuban oil imports, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions [14] Corporate Developments - Ideal Auto plans to close underperforming stores to improve operational efficiency [26] - China Eastern Airlines plans to introduce three new C919 routes in mid-February, enhancing its fleet operations [24] - Tesla's Full Self-Driving system is expected to be approved in China soon, although reports of this have been disputed [15] Regulatory Changes - The Shenzhen government has adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [11] - New regulations on online content affecting minors will take effect in March 2026, focusing on content classification and risk prevention [10]