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在穗台企共商抵御美滥施关税风险!称对在广州发展充满信心
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-04-28 03:59
Group 1 - The core focus of the meeting was to address the challenges posed by the U.S. tariffs, expand domestic markets, enhance economic cooperation between Guangzhou and Taiwan, and promote the high-quality development of Taiwanese enterprises [1][2] - Representatives from nearly 20 Taiwanese enterprises, including those in jewelry, automotive parts, and textiles, participated and provided feedback on the current economic challenges and opportunities [2] - Guangzhou's government departments expressed their commitment to support Taiwanese businesses through various policies and initiatives aimed at creating a favorable business environment [2][3] Group 2 - The Guangzhou Municipal Taiwan Affairs Office emphasized the importance of Taiwanese enterprises in the local economy and highlighted ongoing efforts to optimize the business environment for these companies [2][3] - Taiwanese business representatives expressed confidence in the support from the Guangzhou government and acknowledged the city's robust industrial chain and favorable policies as conducive to innovation and entrepreneurship [3] - The meeting aimed to foster collaboration and resilience among Taiwanese businesses in Guangzhou, encouraging them to actively participate in the city's high-quality development initiatives [3]
【申万宏源策略 | 一周回顾展望】二季度弱势震荡,科技仍可能有独立行情
申万宏源研究· 2025-03-31 02:36
以下文章来源于申万宏源策略 ,作者申万宏源策略 申万宏源策略 . 我们强调体系性、实战性 一、A股二季度调整的宏观背景:中国出口自然回落 + 美对华关税威胁加码,海外衰退交易向 A股映射。宏观预期波动放大,风险偏好下行。顺周期修复上行空间有限,科技行情需收缩聚 焦。我们不担心的问题:业绩期科技行情不是"证伪"而是"聚焦"。4月A股一季报期、经济数 据验证期预期本就偏低,预期额外下修空间也有限。 短期市场调整的直接原因:"四月决断"(A股年报一季报验证期,中国经济数据验证期,美国关 税兑现期)窗口临近,市场风险偏好下降。短期调整兑现后,我们认为"四月决断"压力已基本 释放:互联网资本开支增速与A股国内算力相关板块营收增速正相关,国内算力订单是订单集 中释放期,一季报也有望看到向上拐点。业绩期科技行情不是"证伪"而是"聚焦",后续国内AI 算力可能率先分化走强。A股顺周期改善预期本就偏低,即便4月经济未延续强势,预期额外 下修的空间也是有限的。仅4月验证期的调整压力已经有限。 二季度后续,宏观层面依然存在的问题是,中国出口自然回落 + 4月初之后美对华关税威胁可 能再加码。这对应,宏观经济预期波动放大,市场对二季 ...