Stock Market Performance - In July 2025, global stock markets rose, with the KOSPI increasing by over 5%, and the NASDAQ rising nearly 4%[4] - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both saw monthly gains of nearly 3%[4] Hong Kong Stock Sector Performance - The healthcare sector surged by 22.8%, while the industrial and energy sectors also performed well with increases of 9.9% and 9.7% respectively[8] - The overall performance of the Hang Seng industry indices showed positive growth across all sectors in July 2025[8] IPO and Financing Overview - In July 2025, the Hong Kong IPO market saw 9 new listings, raising approximately HKD 17.63 billion, with a first-day loss rate of only 22.2%[13] - The major sectors for IPO financing included TMT, finance, consumer, and healthcare[13] - A total of 86 companies announced share placements in July, expected to raise around HKD 40.89 billion, primarily in the healthcare, TMT, and real estate sectors[13] U.S. Economic Indicators - The U.S. labor market remains resilient, with initial jobless claims dropping to 217,000, marking a six-week decline[15] - Despite weak home sales, the median home price increased by 1.97% year-on-year, indicating price stability in the real estate market[15] China Economic Policies - China continues to implement policies to combat "involution," with new regulations in various sectors including agriculture and healthcare[16] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project has commenced, with a total investment of approximately CNY 1.2 trillion[16] - The AI industry is receiving new catalysts, with the government advocating for global cooperation in AI governance[16] Market Outlook - The U.S. economy shows resilience, with the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates between 4.25% and 4.50%[18] - The Hong Kong market is expected to maintain an upward trend, supported by favorable domestic policies and improved U.S.-China relations[18] - Investment focus is recommended on technology assets, consumer sectors, and stable dividend-paying stocks[18]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective decline across the three major indices, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3573.21 points, down 1.18%, with a trading volume of 845.893 billion [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11009.77 points, down 1.73%, with a trading volume of 1,090.142 billion [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2328.31 points, down 1.66%, with a trading volume of 541.201 billion [1] Sector Performance - Major sectors such as coal, steel, chemical fiber, oil, non-ferrous metals, real estate, brokerage, insurance, electricity, and liquor all saw declines [1] - Conversely, the AI industry chain stocks showed resilience, with liquid cooling servers and computing power concepts performing strongly [1] - The assisted reproduction concept also saw gains, along with active performance in brain engineering and innovative drug concepts [1]

Core Insights - The article provides a ranking of open-end funds based on their net asset value growth as of July 31, 2025, highlighting the top and bottom performers in the market [2][4][6]. Fund Performance Summary - The top 10 funds with the highest net value growth include: 1. 东方阿尔法瑞丰混合发起A with a unit net value of 1.1281, up from 1.0777, showing a growth of 4.7% 2. 东方阿尔法瑞丰混合发起C with a unit net value of 1.1193, up from 1.0693, showing a growth of 4.7% 3. 永赢信息产业智选混合发起A with a unit net value of 1.0552, up from 1.0189, showing a growth of 3.6% 4. 鹏华高端装备一年持有期混合A with a unit net value of 1.2398, up from 1.1972, showing a growth of 3.5% 5. 永赢信息产业智选混合发起C with a unit net value of 1.0520, up from 1.0159, showing a growth of 3.6% 6. 鹏华高端装备一年持有期混合C with a unit net value of 1.2246, up from 1.1826, showing a growth of 3.6% 7. 鹏华创新驱动混合 with a unit net value of 1.4763, up from 1.4269, showing a growth of 3.5% 8. 同泰大健康主题混合C with a unit net value of 0.6134, up from 0.5941, showing a growth of 3.5% 9. 同泰大健康主题混合A with a unit net value of 0.6240, up from 0.6044, showing a growth of 3.5% 10. 华富健康文娱灵活配置混合C with a unit net value of 1.4523, up from 1.4079, showing a growth of 3.2% [2][4]. - The bottom 10 funds with the lowest net value growth include: 1. 富荣福银混合C with a unit net value of 0.8518, down from 0.9088, showing a decline of 6.1% 2. 富荣福银混合A with a unit net value of 0.8658, down from 0.9238, showing a decline of 6.3% 3. 北信瑞丰产业升级 with a unit net value of 1.2031, down from 1.2594, showing a decline of 4.5% 4. 汇丰晋信研究精选混合 with a unit net value of 0.8478, down from 0.8849, showing a decline of 4.2% 5. 招商沪深300地产等权重指数A with a unit net value of 0.3288, down from 0.3429, showing a decline of 4.1% 6. 招商沪深300地产等权重指数C with a unit net value of 0.3276, down from 0.3416, showing a decline of 4.1% 7. 鹏华中证800地产指数(LOF)I with a unit net value of 1.0056, down from 1.0478, showing a decline of 4.0% 8. 鹏华中证800地产指数(LOF)A with a unit net value of 0.6148, down from 0.6406, showing a decline of 4.0% 9. 鹏华中证800地产指数(LOF)C with a unit net value of 0.6031, down from 0.6284, showing a decline of 4.0% 10. 国泰中证钢铁ETF with a unit net value of 1.4015, down from 1.4591, showing a decline of 3.9% [4][6]. Market Analysis - The market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index opening lower and closing down, while the ChiNext Index also opened high but closed lower. The total trading volume reached 1.96 trillion, with a market breadth of 1,061 gainers to 4,287 decliners [6]. - Leading sectors included communication equipment, while the steel, chemical fiber, insurance, non-ferrous metals, and real estate sectors experienced declines exceeding 3% [6].

Group 1 - Manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI both showed a decline in July, with manufacturing PMI at 49.3 and non-manufacturing PMI at 50.1, indicating a seasonal slowdown slightly greater than historical averages [4][6] - The decline in orders was slightly greater than production, suggesting a transmission of slowdown from demand to supply, with new orders index at 49.4 and production index at 50.5 [6][7][8] - Despite the decline in quantity indicators, price indicators showed initial expansion, with raw material purchase price index rising by 3.1 points and factory price index rising by 2.1 points, indicating effective transmission from upstream to downstream [8][9] Group 2 - Business activity expectations reached a four-month high, with the PMI production activity expectation index at 52.6, suggesting a positive impact of price elasticity on business expectations as long as the contraction in quantity is manageable [11] - The construction industry showed a month-on-month decline, attributed to adverse weather conditions and pressures from real estate sales, with construction PMI at 50.6 and new orders index at 42.7 [12][13] - The Business Confidence Index (BCI) fell by 1.6 points to 47.7, reflecting a distribution of "declining sales, rising profits" consistent with the logic of slowing real GDP and improving nominal GDP [13][14] Group 3 - The EPMI, PMI, and BCI all pointed in the same direction, indicating a need to adjust investment strategies to focus on areas benefiting from nominal GDP improvement and structural policy cues [18]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.18% to 3573 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 1.66% [1][2] - The total trading volume for the day reached 1.96 trillion yuan, an increase of 909 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 4300 stocks declining across the market [1] Sector Performance - The steel sector saw significant declines, with Baogang Co. dropping nearly 8% and coal stocks also experiencing widespread losses, such as Antai Group falling nearly 7% [2][14][15] - The aquaculture sector weakened, led by Zhongshui Fisheries, while lithium mining stocks fluctuated downwards, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy and CATL dropping nearly 5% [3] - Other sectors with notable declines included titanium dioxide, photovoltaic equipment, shipbuilding, and small metals [4] - Conversely, the liquid cooling concept rose against the trend, with stocks like Cambridge Technology and Chunz中科技 hitting the daily limit [5] Notable Stock Movements - The assisted reproduction sector surged as 31 provinces included assisted reproductive technology in medical insurance, leading to stocks like Anke Bio and Hancheng Group hitting the daily limit [6] - The composite fluid sector was active, with Nord Shares reaching the daily limit, while gene sequencing and AI concepts also saw significant gains [7] - Specific stocks in the AI hardware sector experienced substantial increases, with Sihuan New Materials and Fangsheng Shares both hitting the daily limit [8][9] - The innovative drug sector was vibrant, with stocks like Nanxin Pharmaceutical and Anke Bio also reaching the daily limit [12] Future Outlook - CITIC Securities suggests that it remains a good time to balance the Hong Kong and A-share allocation, recommending an increase in holdings of the Hang Seng Technology Index [17] - The firm also advises focusing on opportunities in the Sci-Tech 50, Sci-Tech chips, and Sci-Tech 100 for potential rebounds [17] - The recommendation includes rotating investments in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, communications, innovative drugs, military industry, and gaming, while also considering thematic investments in anti-involution stocks [17]

（原标题：收评：沪指放量跌逾1%，资源股集体下挫，AI产业链股逆市活跃） 31日，沪指盘中震荡下探，尾盘加速跳水；深证成指、创业板指跌近2%，场内近4300股飘绿，全A成 交额明显放大。 截至收盘，沪指跌1.18%报3573.21点，深证成指跌1.73%报11009.77点，创业板指跌1.66%报2328.31点， 上证50指数跌1.54%，沪深北三市合计成交19621亿元。 盘面上看，煤炭、钢铁、化纤、石油、有色、地产、券商、保险、电力、酿酒等板块均走低，AI产业 链股逆市活跃，液冷服务器、算力概念等走强；辅助生殖概念走高，人脑工程、创新药概念等活跃。 东兴证券指出，当前A股处于中长期慢牛阶段，指数波动性下降，热点轮动合理。建议投资者维持较高 仓位，以持有策略为主，关注景气度较高的行业。重点推荐大科技、高股息和消费板块，同时可关注创 新药、军工及周期品等具备成长性的细分领域。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed down 347 points or 1.4%, ending at 25,176, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.7% to 5,490 [3][4] - The total trading volume for the day was 319.65 billion [3] - Northbound capital inflow was 11.71 billion [3] Group 2: Company Performance - HSBC Holdings reported a 27% decline in pre-tax profit, with its stock price dropping 3.8% to 96.95 [4] - Hang Seng Bank's mid-term profit decreased by 30%, leading to a 7.4% drop in its stock price to 113.8 [4] - Prada's mid-term profit increased by 0.6% to 386 million euros, with revenue rising by 7.51% to 2.74 billion euros [12] - CATL's mid-term profit rose by 33% to 30.51 billion yuan, with revenue increasing by 7.27% to 178.89 billion yuan [14] - Sinopec Oilfield Services won a pipeline project worth approximately 3.597 billion yuan, representing 4.44% of its projected 2024 revenue [15] Group 3: Regulatory and Economic Developments - The Hong Kong government released a report highlighting the advantages of its business environment, emphasizing its role in attracting global investment [7] - The Hong Kong Financial Development Bureau welcomed the government's report, underscoring Hong Kong's unique position as a leading international financial center [8] - The China Interbank Market Dealers Association announced new regulations to curb pricing distortions in bond underwriting, effective from August 11 [9] - The Chinese government plans to allocate approximately 90 billion yuan for childcare subsidies, with applications opening in late August [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including Beike-W, China Resources Land, New China Life Insurance, Qilu Bank, Sungrow Power Supply, and others [54]. Core Insights - The report highlights the investment outlook for the financial and manufacturing industries, emphasizing the recovery of corporate earnings and the potential for stock price appreciation in the context of macroeconomic conditions and policy expectations [5][10][11]. Financial Sector Summary - The financial sector is expected to see a continuation of performance recovery in Q2, with a focus on high-elasticity stocks. The insurance sector is projected to benefit from improved new business value and investment returns [20][21]. - Qilu Bank is noted for its strong growth in credit market share and improving asset quality, with a projected net profit growth of 16.5% in the first half of 2025 [22][26]. Real Estate Sector Summary - The real estate sector is anticipated to experience a rebound due to policy easing and potential for price recovery. Key companies like Beike-W and China Resources Land are highlighted for their strong fundamentals and growth potential [11][12][19]. Manufacturing Sector Summary - The manufacturing sector, particularly in machinery and electrical new energy, is expected to benefit from global competitiveness and accelerated overseas expansion. Companies like Haitian International are positioned to gain from increased export demand [27][35]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new technologies and market trends in the electrical new energy sector, with a focus on storage and solar energy [27][29]. Environmental Sector Summary - The environmental sector, particularly waste incineration and water services, is highlighted for its long-term investment value, with companies like Hanlan Environment and Beijing Water Group recommended for their stable cash flow and growth potential [46][50].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market sentiment is negative despite the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs, indicating a disconnect between index performance and individual stock performance [1][3]. - The Shanghai Composite Index has rebounded by 600 points, suggesting that those investing in index funds are likely to see profits due to the overall rise in indices [4]. - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, with sector rotation driving the index higher, particularly in banking, liquor, and insurance sectors [6]. Group 2 - The strategy discussed is focused solely on index investment, which may not be suitable for all trading styles, emphasizing that those aligned with this strategy have seen significant gains this year [8]. - The market's rhythm is independent of individual opinions, and the performance of key stocks in sectors like liquor and banking is crucial for index movements [6]. - The commentary suggests that the index's strength is not affected by the performance of individual stocks, as the major weight stocks constitute a small percentage of the total market [3][6].

Industry Overview Upstream - Non-metallic: Glass prices continue to rebound [3] - Non-ferrous metals: Prices fluctuate [3] Midstream - Chemical industry: The operating rate of PX has declined [3] Downstream - Real estate: The sales of commercial housing in third-tier cities have seasonally declined [4] - Services: The number of domestic flights during the summer vacation has increased [4] Meso-level Event Overview Production Industry - Sino-US talks have postponed trade conflicts. From July 28th to 29th, the Chinese and US economic and trade leaders held talks in Stockholm, Sweden. According to the consensus, the suspension of the 24% US reciprocal tariffs and China's countermeasures will be extended for 90 days [1] - NVIDIA co-founder and CEO Huang Renxun believes that the wealth creation ability of artificial intelligence (AI) will exceed that of the Internet in the next 5 years [1] Service Industry - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for the global economic growth rate for this year and next year to 3.0% and 3.1% respectively. It has also significantly raised China's economic growth rate for this year to 4.8% [2] Industry Credit Spread Tracking | Industry | Last Year | Quarterly | One Month Ago | Last Week | This Week | Quantile | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting | 85.59 | 77.83 | 57.09 | 47.35 | 49.07 | 0.70 | | Mining | 33.06 | 46.36 | 37.35 | 27.48 | 31.05 | 2.00 | | Chemicals | 68.16 | 62.06 | 49.18 | 42.09 | 44.87 | 1.00 | | Steel | 37.13 | 55.10 | 47.48 | 37.99 | 41.94 | 6.50 | | Non-ferrous Metals | 39.26 | 56.54 | 49.42 | 40.23 | 42.58 | 5.30 | | Electronics | 52.58 | 70.94 | 54.62 | 43.31 | 42.35 | 0.00 | | Automobiles | 57.44 | 50.32 | 39.92 | 29.66 | 34.14 | 1.20 | | Household Appliances | 36.95 | 47.58 | 47.10 | 39.12 | 43.09 | 8.10 | | Food and Beverage | 36.18 | 45.25 | 37.12 | 28.44 | 30.25 | 0.50 | | Textile and Apparel | 44.99 | 53.41 | 52.65 | 39.28 | 42.30 | 1.20 | | Light Industry Manufacturing | 47.59 | 167.09 | 146.32 | 132.29 | 133.75 | 7.70 | | Medicine and Biology | 52.07 | 71.30 | 53.47 | 43.92 | 46.74 | 0.90 | | Public Utilities | 25.15 | 33.57 | 27.41 | 20.28 | 23.82 | 2.80 | | Transportation | 26.46 | 36.88 | 30.25 | 23.79 | 26.92 | 4.50 | | Real Estate | 207.49 | 126.20 | 100.80 | 86.02 | 88.85 | 0.70 | | Commercial Trade | 39.88 | 50.24 | 42.17 | 32.90 | 36.79 | 1.50 | | Leisure Services | 73.88 | 119.48 | 118.95 | 105.46 | 105.42 | 85.50 | | Banks | 23.36 | 19.80 | 18.64 | 13.86 | 16.79 | 4.10 | | Non-bank Finance | 25.43 | 34.18 | 30.08 | 23.84 | 26.46 | 5.10 | | Comprehensive | 69.95 | 49.74 | 41.37 | 32.62 | 36.37 | 1.70 | | Building Materials | 33.33 | 46.19 | 37.31 | 24.78 | 28.14 | 0.70 | | Building Decoration | 37.97 | 54.48 | 51.32 | 42.89 | 46.49 | 9.90 | | Electrical Equipment | 53.97 | 79.25 | 72.51 | 66.34 | 69.49 | 29.00 | | Machinery and Equipment | 28.21 | 44.64 | 44.40 | 36.28 | 40.18 | 15.10 | | Computers | 66.65 | 61.96 | 46.60 | 33.72 | 36.84 | 1.00 | | Media | 240.02 | 45.79 | 37.92 | 29.70 | 34.29 | 1.30 | | Communications | 27.80 | 29.18 | 29.10 | 24.15 | 27.79 | 6.60 | [48] Key Industry Price Index Tracking | Industry Name | Index Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Value | YoY | 5-Day Trend | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Corn Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 2332.9 | -0.24% | - | | | Egg Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/kg | 7/29 | 6.8 | 3.03% | - | | | Palm Oil Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 9032.0 | 0.42% | - | | | Cotton Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 15557.5 | 0.05% | - | | | Average Wholesale Price of Pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 7/29 | 20.5 | -1.16% | - | | Non-ferrous Metals | Copper Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 79043.3 | -0.91% | - | | | Zinc Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 22562.0 | -0.91% | - | | | Aluminum Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 20676.7 | -1.30% | - | | | Nickel Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 122683.3 | -1.39% | - | | | Lead Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 16850.0 | 0.26% | - | | | Rebar Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 3371.0 | 2.24% | - | | Ferrous Metals | Iron Ore Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 789.7 | -1.15% | - | | | Wire Rod Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 3555.0 | 1.64% | - | | | Glass Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/square meter | 7/29 | 16.1 | 8.81% | - | | Non-metals | Natural Rubber Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 15066.7 | -0.28% | - | | | China Plastic City Price Index | Daily | - | 7/29 | 812.3 | -0.29% | - | | | WTI Crude Oil Spot Price | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 7/29 | 66.7 | 1.15% | - | | Energy | Brent Crude Oil Spot Price | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 7/29 | 70.0 | 1.20% | - | | | Liquefied Natural Gas Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 4152.0 | -1.14% | - | | | Coal Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 768.0 | 1.59% | - | | | PTA Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 4863.3 | 0.96% | - | | Chemicals | Polyethylene Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 7453.3 | 0.88% | - | | | Urea Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 1817.5 | -0.95% | - | | | Soda Ash Spot Price | Daily | Yuan/ton | 7/29 | 1315.0 | 5.20% | - | | | National Cement Price Index | Daily | - | 7/29 | 130.1 | -0.53% | - | | Real Estate | Building Materials Comprehensive Index | Daily | Points | 7/29 | 117.6 | 0.72% | - | | | National Concrete Price Index | Daily | Points | 7/29 | 94.1 | -0.82% | - | [49]