Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the non-ferrous metals industry [5][8]. Core Insights - In 2024, the prices of major metals such as gold and copper significantly increased, leading to substantial growth in the performance of related listed companies. Precious metal prices rose over 20% compared to 2023, with major companies experiencing a net profit growth rate exceeding 40%. Copper and aluminum prices increased by 7.89% and 7.53% respectively, while industrial metal companies saw a net profit growth of over 30% [5][16][24]. - The energy metals sector faced a sharp decline, with battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices dropping over 60%, resulting in a staggering 97.88% decrease in net profits for the sector [5][6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue and Profit - The non-ferrous metals industry achieved a total revenue of 3.47 trillion yuan in 2024, a 5.86% increase from 3.28 trillion yuan in 2023. The net profit reached 138.41 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.77% from 136.01 billion yuan in 2023 [17][24]. 2. Precious Metals - The precious metals sector saw a revenue increase of 23.55% to 2909.62 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits rising by 48.24% to 122.85 billion yuan. The average LME gold price for 2024 was 2381.9 USD/oz, up 22.6% from 1942.89 USD/oz in 2023 [31][32][39]. 3. Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector generated a revenue of 2.66 trillion yuan in 2024, an 8.17% increase from 2.46 trillion yuan in 2023, with net profits growing by 30.58% to 1083.61 billion yuan. The average LME copper price was 9146.79 USD/ton, a 7.89% increase from 8477.77 USD/ton in 2023 [43][44][56]. 4. Energy Metals - The energy metals sector's revenue fell to 155.07 billion yuan in 2024, a decline of 26.21% from 210.14 billion yuan in 2023, with net profits plummeting by 97.88% to 5.1 billion yuan. The average prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide dropped by 65.02% and 68.93% respectively [61][70][71]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends leading companies in the industry such as Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, and Ganfeng Lithium, highlighting their potential for growth and recovery in performance [8].

[Table_Main] 行业研究|有色金属 证券研究报告 有色金属行业双周报 2025 年 05 月 13 日 [Table_Title] 贵金属价格小幅回调，进一步加强战略矿产出口管制 ——有色金属行业双周报 [Table_Summary] 报告要点： 行情回顾：近 2 周申万有色金属指数下跌 0.68% 近 2 周（2025.4.28-2025.5.09），有色金属行业指数下跌 0.68%，沪 深 300 指数上涨 1.64%。从细分领域看，金属新材料（5.78%）、小金 属（4.30%）和能源金属（2.56%）涨幅居前，工业金属和贵金属分别 下跌为-0.91%、-10.42%。 金属价格：贵金属价格小幅下调，铜价受供需格局影响上涨 截至 5 月 9 日，COMEX 黄金收盘价为 3329.1 美元/盎司，近 2 周下 降 0.03%；COMEX 银收盘价为 32.88 美元/盎司，近 2 周下降 0.42%； LME 铜现货结算价为 9486 美元/吨，近 2 周上涨 1.30%；LME 铝现 货结算价为 2401 美元/吨，近 2 周下降 0.46%。LME 锡 31,790 美元 /吨，近两周下跌 ...

业 绩 综 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 有色金属行业 2024 年及 2025Q1 业绩综述： 板块业绩表现分化，2024 年有色金属行业稳中有升 2025 年 5 月 12 日 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 业 研 究 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 分析师：许正堃 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 贵金属、工业金属表现亮眼，2024年有色金属行业逆势增长。2024年申 万有色金属行业141家上市公司合计实现营业收入34705.25亿元，同比增 长5.86%，其中98家公司营收同比正增长；实现归母净利润1384.09亿元， 同比+1.78%，其中86家公司归母净利润同比正增长。申万有色金属行业 2024年全年上涨3.19%，涨跌幅在申万31个行业中排名第17。总体来看， 贵金属、工业金属板块表现亮眼，而能源金属及小金属领域因需求低迷， 产品价格下跌，致使板块业绩下滑 ...

有色金属 证券研究报告 供给端存收紧预期，氧化铝价格底部反弹 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 11 日 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/5/5-2025/5/9） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜：铜价窄幅震荡，等待后续宏观催化。本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅分别为 +0.80%/+0.30%/-0.93%，沪铜在 7.7-7.8 万之间窄幅震荡，正如我们前期所判断的 美国关税造成的流动性冲击缓解后铜价迎来反弹修复，铜价波动率逐步下降 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [2]. Core Viewpoints - Precious metals, particularly gold, are expected to perform well in the long term despite recent price fluctuations. The report notes a slight increase of 0.33% in domestic spot gold prices and highlights improving international trade conditions, which may influence gold's safe-haven appeal [5]. - Industrial metal prices have mostly declined, with specific changes noted in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, and nickel prices. However, demand from the renewable energy sector is expected to offset declines in traditional industries [5]. - The report emphasizes the potential for investment opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly in precious metals, as the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle and domestic monetary policies strengthen [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data Review 1.1 Precious Metals - Domestic gold prices have shown a slight increase, while international trade issues are showing signs of improvement [5]. 1.2 Industrial Metals - Prices for copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, tin, and nickel have varied, with copper prices slightly increasing by 0.3% [27]. 1.3 Minor Metals - Prices for rare earth elements like praseodymium-neodymium oxide have increased, indicating a potential rise in demand due to manufacturing recovery [30]. 1.4 Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate and hydroxide prices have decreased, with a focus on future demand growth for energy metals [34]. 2. Market Data - The report includes various tables summarizing price changes for different metals, indicating overall market trends [36]. 3. Important Events Review - Notable events include the resumption of production at a major nickel plant in Indonesia and the discovery of a significant copper deposit by Lundin Mining in South America [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in its cobalt and copper product sales, with a year-on-year increase in shipments and a diversified product range [3][8] - The company reported a net profit of 202 million RMB for 2024, representing a 45.85% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 43 million RMB for Q1 2025, up 39.77% year-on-year [8] Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be 5,950 million RMB, a 24.2% increase from 2023, with a net profit of 202 million RMB, reflecting a 45.9% growth [7][9] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1,501 million RMB, a 14.56% increase compared to Q1 2024, with a net profit of 43 million RMB, up 39.77% [10] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is adjusted to 0.99 RMB, with projected P/E ratios of 33.4, 25.3, and 19.9 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11] Product and Market Development - The company has expanded its copper and cobalt production capacity, with copper production reaching 53,300 tons and cobalt production increasing by 94.78% to 16,200 tons in 2024 [8] - The company is also developing nickel resources, with a new project in Indonesia aimed at producing 20,000 tons of nickel annually, enhancing its position in the new energy materials sector [8]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the impact of U.S.-China trade tariffs on various industries, particularly focusing on consumer electronics, kitchen appliances, industrial metals, and energy metals. Core Points and Arguments - **Tariff Elasticity and Profit Impact**: A static estimate indicates a tariff elasticity of 1.7, meaning a 10% increase in tariffs leads to a 17% decline in U.S.-China trade volume. This is used to assess the net profit impact across industries based on their revenue exposure to the U.S. market [1][4]. - **Overreaction in Stock Prices**: Industries such as consumer electronics, kitchen appliances, industrial metals, and energy metals have experienced significant stock price declines that exceed the actual net profit damage, indicating a need for valuation adjustments due to long-term revenue shortages [1][5]. - **Ongoing Risks Under Current Tariff Scenarios**: Maintaining the current 145% equivalent tariff or a worse scenario of 125% equivalent tariff plus a 20% offset could lead to continued risks of stock price declines across various sectors [1][6]. - **Impact of Tariff Increases**: Under the 232 investigation results, a 25% tariff (totaling 45%) will significantly affect kitchen appliances, industrial metals, and energy metals, while consumer electronics have been excluded from this category [1][7]. - **Potential for Negotiation Progress**: If U.S.-China negotiations yield positive results, tariffs could revert to a 54% level, allowing for some industries to rebound from their current depressed state [1][8]. - **Optimistic Scenario**: In the most favorable scenario, if the 125% equivalent tariff is removed and only a 20% anti-dumping tariff is applied without introducing new products subject to a 25% tariff, industries such as small appliances, kitchen appliances, consumer electronics, batteries, communication equipment, textile manufacturing, and certain industrial metal sectors could see significant recovery [1][9]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Long-term Opportunities**: The focus should also be on emerging export categories with low global penetration and potential for growth, such as automotive parts, shipbuilding, machinery, medical devices, and chemical products. Companies with sufficient overseas production capacity in these sectors are better positioned to withstand risks [2][10]. - **Traditional Advantage Industries**: Industries where China holds a significant share of global production and market power, such as fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), electronic components, and chemicals, are likely to maintain their competitive edge despite high tariffs due to supply chain and cost advantages [10].

Group 1: Core Insights - The current asset revaluation in China is driven by global investors reassessing the value of Chinese assets, particularly in the technology sector, due to the rise of Chinese technological capabilities and improved macroeconomic expectations [2][3] - The shift from "story-driven" to "performance-driven" in the AI sector indicates a transformation in market logic, where companies that can convert R&D investments into cash flow will emerge as winners in the revaluation wave [1][2] Group 2: Key Drivers of Revaluation - The advancement of AI technology, exemplified by breakthroughs like DeepSeek, is a primary driver of the current asset revaluation, enhancing confidence in China's technological strength and altering global AI industry dynamics [4][5] - The revaluation process is supported by improved economic fundamentals, anticipated policy adjustments, and favorable market behaviors, with expectations of steady economic recovery and new consumption patterns bolstering asset values [4][5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - In addition to technology stocks, the energy metals sector presents significant investment opportunities, as China leads the global manufacturing chain in new energy, with key metals like lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earths becoming increasingly strategic [7][8] - The current market conditions suggest that energy metal companies may experience enhanced valuation due to their critical role in the new energy supply chain and the expected increase in demand from electric vehicles and energy storage [7][8] Group 4: Market Valuation and Attractiveness - Despite recent valuation recoveries in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, particularly in the tech sector, Chinese assets remain attractive compared to global markets, with structural opportunities evident in the valuation metrics of leading tech companies [9] - The valuation levels of Chinese stocks, while improved, still present opportunities for investors seeking value in the context of global tech trends, with a focus on the potential for continued growth driven by technological innovation [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][17]. Core Views - The company reported strong Q1 2025 performance with revenue of 250 million, a year-on-year increase of 24.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.39%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 48 million, up 207.25% year-on-year and 1897% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The improvement in product structure is expected to significantly enhance profitability, with a gross margin of 32.38%, up 13.59 percentage points year-on-year and 11.92 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin reached 19.16%, an increase of 11.37 percentage points year-on-year and 18.06 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The MLCC industry is entering a new growth cycle, driven by the recovery in the consumer electronics market and the demand for high-end nickel powder, which is expected to boost sales [3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerated industrialization of copper-alternative silver products in the photovoltaic sector, leveraging its core powder preparation technology [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 1.17 billion, with a growth rate of 23.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 232 million, reflecting a growth rate of 165.49% [5][10]. - The company’s EBITDA is expected to reach 318 million in 2025, with a corresponding EV/EBITDA ratio of 29.86 [5][10]. - The company’s total assets are projected to be 2.45 billion by 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 30.62% [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company reported strong Q1 2025 results with revenue of 250 million, a year-on-year increase of 24.98% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.39%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 48 million, up 207.25% year-on-year and 1897% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The improvement in product structure is expected to significantly enhance profitability, with a gross margin of 32.38%, up 13.59 percentage points year-on-year and 11.92 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin also saw a substantial increase to 19.16%, up 11.37 percentage points year-on-year and 18.06 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The MLCC industry is entering a new growth cycle, driven by the recovery in the consumer electronics market and the demand for high-end nickel powder, which is expected to boost sales of the company's small particle high-end nickel powder [3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the accelerated industrialization of copper-alternative silver products in the photovoltaic sector, leveraging its core powder preparation technology [4]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.17 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 23.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 232.24 million, reflecting a significant recovery from previous losses [5][10]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 39.67, 27.59, and 24.51 respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation [5][10].