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京粮控股:8月28日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-29 17:32
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Jingliang Holdings (SZ 000505) held its 21st meeting of the 10th Board of Directors on August 28, 2025, to review the special report on the use of raised funds for the first half of 2025 [1] - For the first half of 2025, Jingliang Holdings reported that its revenue composition was as follows: oil and fat accounted for 91.34%, food manufacturing accounted for 8.45%, and other businesses accounted for 0.21% [1]
油脂油料产业日报-20250829
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 11:21
1. Core Views Palm Oil - International market: Malaysian BMD crude palm oil futures are in a sideways adjustment. After briefly breaking below 4,500 ringgit, they gradually declined and tested the support at the 20 - day moving average of 4,400 ringgit. If it can find support here, it may stop falling. Fundamentally, the production growth is lower than the export growth, which could support the futures to return above 4,500 ringgit. With the potential bullish impact of limited inventory increase at the end of August, there is a chance for a sideways upward trend. The view is that the near - term is weak and the long - term is strong, and it's crucial to watch if it can hold at 4,400 ringgit [3]. - Domestic market: Dalian palm oil futures are also in a sideways adjustment. After breaking below the 20 - day moving average, there is downward pressure, and it is expected to seek support around 9,200 yuan and then stabilize. After this correction and effectively standing firm, with the boost of the recovery of Malaysian palm oil, Dalian palm oil futures may gradually start a sideways upward trend. After returning above 9,500 yuan and standing firm, there is a chance to follow the upward trend of Malaysian palm oil. The view is also near - term weak and long - term strong [3]. Soybean Oil - International vegetable oils have been falling continuously (the end of the fuel consumption peak season has dragged down the vegetable oil market). CBOT soybean oil has fallen for five consecutive days, and BMD palm oil has fallen four days out of five, both dragging down domestic oils. Although domestic soybean oil has fallen, the decline is limited because the consumption season has started, and funds are reluctant to short aggressively. Currently, domestic demand is good, but international related varieties continue to exert pressure, so there is still some downward space, but the decline is not large. The support for the main January contract is seen around 8,300 yuan. If downstream consumption is good later, there is a chance for it to strengthen after the correction [4]. Oilseeds - Soybean Meal - Spot market: The fixed - price of oil mills generally remains stable. Although the Dalian soybean meal futures have slightly rebounded, at the end of the month, oil mills are increasing the pressure to pick up goods, and some traders' actual transactions are negotiable due to inventory transfer pressure. In the short term, the domestic market is executing inventory and September positions, and the trading pace is slow. However, with the premium trading of imported soybean auctions and the uncertainty of Sino - US tariffs, the terminal's bullish expectation for the long - term remains unchanged, and the upward trend of soybean meal prices continues [19]. 2. Price and Spread Information Oil Price and Spread - **Price and Spread Table**: P 1 - 5 is 260 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 8 yuan; Y - P 01 is - 1,042 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 68 yuan; etc. [5] - **Palm Oil Price**: Palm oil 01 is 9,316 yuan/ton with a decline of 1.04%; BMD palm oil main contract is 4,406 ringgit/ton with a decline of 0.97%; Guangzhou 24 - degree palm oil is 9,470 yuan/ton with an increase of 30 yuan [8]. - **Soybean Oil Price**: Soybean oil 01 is 8,358 yuan/ton with an increase of 0.53%; CBOT soybean oil main contract is 52.37 cents/pound with a decline of 1.47%; Shandong first - grade soybean oil spot is 8,470 yuan/ton with a decline of 50 yuan [15]. Oilseed Price and Spread - **Futures Price**: The closing price of soybean meal 01 is 3,055 with an increase of 16 and a rise of 0.53%; the closing price of rapeseed meal 01 is 2,513 with an increase of 30 and a rise of 1.21%; CBOT yellow soybeans are at 1,048.25 with no change [20]. - **Spread Table**: M01 - 05 is 225 with a daily increase of 9; RM01 - 05 is 75 with a daily increase of 20; etc. [21][23] - **Spot and Basis**: The spot price of soybean meal in Rizhao is 3,000 with no change, and the basis is - 39 with an increase of 6; the spot price of rapeseed meal in Fujian is 2,534 with a decline of 21, and the basis is 51 with a decline of 3 [23].
冠通期货早盘速递-20250828
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-08-28 10:17
Group 1: Hot News - Next month, the Ministry of Commerce will introduce several policies and measures to expand service consumption, using fiscal and financial means to optimize and enhance service supply capacity and stimulate new service consumption volume. The Ministry of Commerce and relevant departments have jointly formulated "Several Policy Measures to Promote Service Exports", and relevant documents will be publicly issued soon [2] - Shanghai has issued an implementation opinion on accelerating the renovation of urban villages, prioritizing the renovation of villages with urgent public needs and many urban safety and social governance hidden dangers. The renovation of urban villages should solicit the opinions of villagers, and the initial shareholding ratio of the town collective economic organization in the cooperative renovation should generally not be less than 10% [2] - In July, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 1.5% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 2.8 percentage points compared to June and narrowing for two consecutive months. Among them, the profits of high-tech manufacturing increased by 18.9% from a 0.9% decline in June, driving the profit growth rate of all industrial enterprises above designated size to accelerate by 2.9 percentage points compared to June, showing a significant leading role [2] - As of August 27, among 89 blast furnaces of 23 sample steel enterprises surveyed, 2 new blast furnaces were under maintenance, with a newly added maintenance volume of 4340m³ and a daily average impact on hot metal production of about 10,300 tons. Currently, a total of 16 blast furnaces of steel enterprises in Tangshan are under maintenance, with a daily average impact on hot metal of about 47,400 tons, and the capacity utilization rate is 88.83%. Steel mills will gradually shut down and maintain blast furnaces at the end of the month as required. It is expected that 16 new blast furnaces will be under maintenance, with a daily average impact on hot metal production of about 116,600 tons (including previously maintained blast furnaces). The capacity utilization rate will drop to 78.13%, a decrease of 10.7% compared to the current level (August 27) and a decrease of 6.84% compared to the same period last year [3] - Goldman Sachs expects the oil surplus to intensify, with an average daily surplus of 1.8 million barrels from the fourth quarter of 2025 to the fourth quarter of 2026. By the end of 2026, global oil inventories will increase by nearly 800 million barrels. It is expected that the Brent crude oil price will fall to just over $50 by the end of 2026 [3] Group 2: Key Focus - Key commodities to focus on are urea, polysilicon, PVC, Shanghai copper, and plastic [4] Group 3: Night Session Performance - Night session performance by sector: Non-metallic building materials 2.81%, precious metals 27.04%, oilseeds 12.20%, non-ferrous metals 21.32%, soft commodities 2.52%, coal, coke, and steel ore 14.43%, energy 3.18%, chemicals 12.11%, grains 1.22%, and agricultural and sideline products 3.17% [4] Group 4: Large Asset Performance - Equity: The Shanghai Composite Index had a daily decline of 1.76%, a monthly increase of 6.36%, and an annual increase of 13.38%. The S&P 500 had a daily increase of 0.24%, a monthly increase of 2.24%, and an annual increase of 10.20%. Other indices also had their respective performance [7] - Fixed income: The 10-year treasury bond futures had a daily increase of 0.08%, a monthly decrease of 0.43%, and an annual decrease of 0.83%. Other treasury bond futures also had corresponding performance [7] - Commodities: The CRB commodity index had a daily increase of 0.76%, a monthly increase of 0.32%, and an annual increase of 1.35%. WTI crude oil had a daily increase of 0.96%, a monthly decrease of 7.74%, and an annual decrease of 11.21%. Other commodities also showed different trends [7] - Others: The US dollar index had a daily decrease of 0.05%, a monthly decrease of 1.86%, and an annual decrease of 9.48%. The CBOE volatility index had no daily change, a monthly decrease of 12.56%, and an annual decrease of 15.73% [7]
油脂油料产业日报-20250825
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-08-25 11:48
油脂油料产业日报 2025/08/25 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究 ...
油脂油料产业日报-20250822
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 10:47
油脂油料产业日报 2025/08/22 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究 ...
申万期货品种策略日报:油脂油料-20250822
Shen Yin Wan Guo Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 03:12
Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Views - Protein meal: Night trading of soybean and rapeseed meal showed weak fluctuations. Pro farmer field surveys indicated good growth of US soybeans, strengthening expectations of high yields for the new season. However, due to the significant reduction of US soybean planting area in the August supply - demand report, there is strong support at the bottom. Dalian meal will mainly fluctuate in a short - term range, and its price is expected to remain firm under the support of import costs [2] - Oils: Night trading of oils closed up. High - frequency data showed an increase in Malaysian palm oil production and exports in August. The sharp increase in August exports boosted palm oil prices. Concerns about Indonesia's inability to meet production recovery expectations and the strict implementation of Indonesia's DMO policy also provided support. But there is a risk of a short - term decline due to US biodiesel news and profit - taking [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Domestic Futures - **Prices and Changes**: The previous day's closing prices of domestic futures were 8394 for soybean oil, 9500 for palm oil, 9791 for rapeseed oil, 3113 for soybean meal, 2610 for rapeseed meal, and 8844 for peanuts. The price changes were - 20, - 54, - 37, - 47, - 57, and 26 respectively, with percentage changes of - 0.24%, - 0.57%, - 3.15%, - 1.49%, - 2.14%, and 0.29% [1] - **Spreads and Ratios**: Spreads such as Y9 - 1, P9 - 1, OI9 - 1, etc., and ratios like M9 - 1, RM9 - 1, M - RM09, etc., showed different values compared to the previous values [1] International Futures - **Prices and Changes**: The previous day's closing prices of international futures were 4423 for BMD palm oil, 1036 for CBOT soybeans, 51 for CBOT US soybean oil, and 297 for CBOT US soybean meal. The price changes were - 25, 20, 2, and - 3 respectively, with percentage changes of - 0.56%, 1.88%, 4.59%, and - 1.08% [1] Spot Market Domestic Spot - **Prices and Changes**: Spot prices of various oils and meals in different regions showed different percentage changes. For example, the prices of Tianjin and Guangzhou first - grade soybean oil were 8570 and 8690 respectively, with percentage changes of - 0.12% and 0.12% [1] - **Basis and Spreads**: Spot basis and spreads between different products, such as the basis of various oils and meals and the spreads between soybean oil and palm oil, showed different values compared to the previous values [1] Import and Profit - Import profits of different sources of soybeans, palm oil, and rapeseed showed different values compared to the previous values. For example, the import profit of near - month Malaysian palm oil was - 283, compared to - 242 previously [1] Warehouse Receipts - Warehouse receipts of soybean oil, palm oil, rapeseed oil, soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and peanuts showed different values compared to the previous values. For example, the warehouse receipt of soybean oil was 15,310, the same as the previous value [1] Industry Information - Indonesia's palm oil inventory decreased by 13% month - on - month to 2.53 million tons at the end of June, despite increased production and accelerated exports. Exports in June reached 3.61 million tons, a sharp increase of 35.4% month - on - month [2] - From August 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysian palm oil yield decreased by 2.12% month - on - month, oil extraction rate increased by 0.46% month - on - month, and production increased by 0.3% month - on - month [2]
油脂油料早报-20250822
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-08-22 01:30
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents overnight market information on oilseeds and oils, including US soybean export sales, Indian rapeseed oil imports, Malaysian palm oil production, and Indonesian palm oil inventory and exports [1] - It also shows the spot prices of related products from August 15 - 21, 2025 [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - From August 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysian palm oil production increased 0.30% month - on - month, with a 2.12% drop in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.46% increase in oil extraction rate [1] - As of August 14, US current market - year soybean export sales net decreased 0.57 million tons, down 98% from the previous week and 105% from the four - week average; next market - year sales net increased 114.26 million tons; export shipments were 51.79 million tons, down 3% from the previous week and up 9% from the four - week average [1] - Due to a price increase to a three - and - a - half - year high, India imported 6,000 tons of rapeseed oil from the UAE in August, the first import in five years, and soybean oil imports are also rising [1] - In June, Indonesia's palm oil inventory decreased 13% month - on - month to 2.53 million tons, exports increased 35.4% month - on - month to 3.61 million tons, and production increased 15.8% month - on - month to 4.82 million tons [1] Spot Prices - Spot prices of products such as soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from August 15 - 21, 2025 are provided [2]
做企业“压舱石” 守护“油瓶子”安全
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 00:57
Group 1 - The forum focused on how the futures market can assist the oilseed and oil industry in responding to trade changes, emphasizing the importance of oilseed safety as a critical component of food security in China [1][2] - The China Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (CZCE) aims to provide a high-quality risk management system for the industry, adapting to the current global economic adjustments and increasing trade uncertainties [1][2] - The oilseed and oil market in China plays a significant role globally, being the second-largest importer and the largest consumer of rapeseed oil and meal, as well as the largest importer and consumer of peanuts [2] Group 2 - COFCO Oils has been actively using futures and derivative tools to mitigate price volatility risks, ensuring stable operations within the industry [3] - The oilseed and oil sector has developed a relatively complete derivative system, which serves as a valuable risk management tool for the industry [3] - Discussions at the forum included topics such as changes in global oilseed trade patterns, challenges and opportunities for import and processing enterprises, and the use of futures derivatives to support stable operations and national oil supply security [3]
我国油脂油料行业风险和机遇并存
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 00:57
Group 1 - The current risks faced by the domestic oilseed industry are primarily due to changes in international trade policies, leading to adjustments in the global supply chain [1] - China’s Ministry of Commerce has initiated an anti-dumping investigation against imported canola seeds from Canada, with a preliminary determination of dumping and a temporary anti-dumping measure involving a 75.8% deposit [1] - The resilience of China's oilseed supply chain is improving, with Australian canola seeds potentially filling the import gap left by Canada, as Australia produces between 6 million to 8 million tons, half of which are non-GMO varieties [1] Group 2 - Oilseed processing companies need to actively respond to policy changes to mitigate risks, with flexible production capabilities in southern and southwestern regions allowing for diversified operations [2] - The import of soybean meal from Argentina has significantly increased, although the absolute quantity remains low, indicating a need for further observation [2] - The import landscape for peanuts is changing, with zero tariffs and low shipping costs enhancing the competitiveness of African peanuts in the Chinese market [2] Group 3 - The shift in the import structure is prompting a three-dimensional restructuring of the domestic peanut industry, with a 63% reduction in production capacity from Africa due to the Sudan conflict, leading to a 77.7% decrease in exports to China [2] - Domestic planting area for peanuts has increased by 5%, with oilseed processing companies now sourcing 80% of their peanuts from domestic production [2] - The current market dynamics are seen as a starting point for the revaluation of the peanut industry, with short-term strategies focusing on domestic supply and risk management through futures [3]
为千万企业提供“期货答卷” ,做保障国家粮食安全的“压舱石”
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-20 23:48
Group 1 - The forum focused on how the futures market can assist the oilseed and oil industry in responding to trade changes [2][3] - The oilseed and oil industry is crucial for food security and economic stability in China, with challenges in stabilizing planting areas and managing price risks [3][4] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) has developed oilseed futures over the past decade, becoming an essential risk management tool for industry players [3][4] Group 2 - The global economic landscape is undergoing significant changes, leading to increased trade uncertainties and price volatility in the oilseed and oil market [3][4] - The domestic supply of edible vegetable oil remains robust despite a reduction in imports, with global supply continuing to increase [5] - The development of the biodiesel industry is significantly impacting global oilseed supply and demand, with nearly 20% of vegetable oil used for biodiesel [5][6] Group 3 - The ZCE is committed to enhancing market functions and service quality to help the oilseed industry navigate global trade challenges [4] - The domestic market for rapeseed and peanut oil is expected to face risks due to fluctuations in supply and demand, influenced by weather conditions and import levels [6][7] - The peanut industry in China is transitioning from a net exporter to a net importer, indicating a shift in trade dynamics [7][8] Group 4 - The future of the peanut market is projected to grow, driven by consumption, industry upgrades, and technological innovation [8] - The oilseed market is experiencing a divergence in oil and meal prices, with strong oil prices supported by biodiesel demand while meal prices remain under pressure [8]