Group 1 - The company Binhai Investment (02886) announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase 10,000 shares at a total cost of HKD 11.2 million [1] - The buyback is scheduled for November 25, 2025, with a repurchase price of HKD 1.12 per share [1]

Real Estate - In October, the core 30 cities saw a total of 133 residential land transactions, down 33.2% year-on-year, with an average floor price of 9,279 yuan per square meter, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year [4] - From January to October, the total area of residential land transactions in 100 cities decreased by 9% year-on-year, while the average floor price increased by 15% year-on-year [4] - The total transaction value of residential land in the core six cities reached 541.2 billion yuan, accounting for 44.7% of the total in 100 cities, indicating a further deepening of market differentiation [4] Non-ferrous Metals - Cable manufacturers' operating rates have increased for three consecutive weeks, with tight supply conditions persisting; the Q4 peak season for the power grid is expected to continue [5] - Air conditioning production in October decreased by 28% year-on-year, but there is a continuous improvement in production on a month-on-month basis [5] - The supply-demand balance for copper is expected to remain tight, with copper prices likely to continue rising after short-term fluctuations [5] Electric Power and Environmental Protection - The hydrogen ammonia methanol sector is expected to attract more investment as a key direction for new energy consumption and green electricity applications [6] - The ongoing electricity shortage in the U.S. presents opportunities for rebound in underperforming sectors such as overseas energy storage and solid-state batteries [6] - The independent energy storage bidding in China for 2026 is expected to maintain a favorable level compared to 2025 [6] Public Utilities - The domestic thermal coal price remained stable week-on-week, while imported coal prices increased significantly [7] - In October, the total electricity consumption in China reached 8,572 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [7] Pharmaceuticals - The small nucleic acid drug sector is experiencing significant advancements, indicating the onset of a new wave of innovative drugs [8] - The industry is entering a golden development period driven by "technological breakthroughs + commercial realization," with many domestic pharmaceutical companies advancing to clinical research stages since 2025 [8] Company Analysis - Hangyang Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 11.43 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 760 million yuan, up 12.1% year-on-year [9] - The gross margin was 20.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.4%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [9]

Market Overview - The SW public utility sector declined by 4.33% this week, ranking 10th among 31 SW primary industries. The CSI 300 index fell by 3.77%, the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.9%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 5.13%, and the ChiNext Index by 6.15% [4] - Among sub-sectors, thermal power dropped by 4.68%, hydropower by 1.44%, photovoltaic power by 10.88%, wind power by 4.29%, comprehensive energy services by 7.28%, and gas by 5.7% [4] - The top five gaining stocks in the public utility sector were Dazhong Public Utility (+8.10%), Delong Huineng (+3.56%), Shimao Energy (+3.09%), Hengsheng Energy (+1.02%), and Chuaneng Power (+0.24%). The top five losing stocks were Baichuan Energy (-20.63%), Mindong Electric Power (-19.89%), Shouhua Gas (-19.15%), Changchun Gas (-18.49%), and Guo Xin Energy (-18.36%) [4] Data Update - Domestic thermal coal prices remained stable week-on-week, with Qinhuangdao Port's 5500 kcal thermal coal price exceeding 830 RMB/ton. Imported coal prices increased significantly, with Fangchenggang's 5500 kcal thermal coal rising by 10 RMB/ton and Guangzhou Port's 5500 kcal thermal coal increasing by 25 RMB/ton [5] - In terms of electricity prices, the weighted average spot settlement prices in Guangdong and Shanxi decreased week-on-week. The introduction of the "Document No. 136" mechanism for new energy pricing in regions like Sichuan, Jiangxi, and Guangdong has put pressure on overall green electricity prices, with Guangdong's proxy purchase price down by 13% year-on-year, and Sichuan and Jiangxi down by 5% and 2% respectively [5] Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice regarding the signing and supervision of medium- and long-term contracts for coal supply in 2026, detailing requirements for signing parties, methods, and quantities. Notable changes from 2025 include the establishment of a monthly price adjustment mechanism and requirements for power generation companies to determine contract signing volumes based on reasonable demand [6][7] - On November 21, the National Energy Administration released data indicating that the total electricity consumption in October reached 857.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%. By industry, the first, second, and third sectors grew by 13.2%, 6.2%, and 17.1% respectively, while urban and rural residential electricity consumption rose by 23.9% year-on-year [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among 467 companies, indicating a concentration of shares, with some companies experiencing continuous declines for up to 10 periods [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - 60 companies have reported a continuous decrease in shareholder accounts for more than three periods, with the most significant decline being 38.45% for Rundou Co., which has seen a decrease for 10 consecutive periods [1]. - Mingpai Jewelry also experienced a 30.49% decline in shareholder accounts over 10 periods, with the latest count at 28,500 [1]. - Other companies with notable declines include Yihua New Materials and *ST Huike, among others [1]. Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with decreasing shareholder accounts, 13 have seen their stock prices rise, while 47 have experienced declines, with Allianz Ruishi, Boying Special Welding, and Lijun Thermal Energy showing the highest increases of 30.34%, 14.79%, and 13.84%, respectively [2]. - 15 companies outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index during this period, with Allianz Ruishi achieving a relative return of 29.90% [2]. Group 3: Industry and Sector Analysis - The industries with the highest concentration of companies experiencing declining shareholder accounts include machinery, automotive, and public utilities, with 8, 6, and 5 companies, respectively [2]. - The distribution of these companies shows that 37 are listed on the main board, 22 on the ChiNext, and 1 on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2]. Group 4: Institutional Activity - In the past month, 11 companies with decreasing shareholder accounts have been subject to institutional research, with Boying Special Welding, Shuanghui Development, and Changhua Group receiving the most attention, with 12, 2, and 2 research instances, respectively [2]. - The companies with the highest number of participating institutions in research include Boying Special Welding (164 institutions), Bozhong Precision Engineering (43), and Yingli Co. (36) [2].

债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.11.24 压力测试下转债具备韧性 [Table_Authors] 顾一格(分析师) 转债事件点评 债 券 本报告导读： 预计未来一到两周，转债市场预计将延续震荡格局，为年末行情夯实基础。建议利 用市场震荡进行布局，耐心等待"春季躁动"行情的展开。 投资要点： | | 021-38038201 | | --- | --- | | | guyige@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880522120006 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 REIT 打新策略数据跟踪 2025.10.29 买卖国债如何理解：从"长"计议 2025.10.28 把握反击窗口期 2025.10.26 不惧扰动，保持定力 2025.10.20 存款流向非银为何减速——9 月金融数据点评 2025.10.16 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 研 究 事 件 点 评 [Table_Summary] 过去一周（11 月 17 日-11 月 21 日），A 股市场经历了全线深度调 整，转债相对具备韧性。此次调整主要受内外因素交织影响。外部 而言，市 ...

Core Insights - Electrification is a decisive infrastructure challenge and opportunity in the 2020s, with global passenger electric vehicle sales expected to exceed 17 million in 2024 and 20 million by the end of 2025 [1] - The integration of transportation, energy, and digital technologies is reshaping the entire value chain, but profitability remains uncertain, particularly for early movers in electric vehicle infrastructure [1][5] - Investors face a fundamental dilemma in allocating capital to drive transformation while achieving reliable infrastructure-like returns [1][5] Investment Framework - Infrastructure investors typically categorize assets into core and core-enhanced assets, with electric vehicle infrastructure presenting unique challenges due to uncertain demand and evolving technology standards [5][9] - Public charging infrastructure is capital-intensive but faces low average utilization rates, with European public charging stations averaging below 15% [5][9] - The shift from public funding to private capital requires a change in investment logic, emphasizing profitability and cost discipline [9] Emerging Trends - The Electrification-as-a-Service (EaaS) model bundles vehicles, charging, and energy into long-term service agreements, reducing demand risk and aligning incentives among stakeholders [6][15] - The current electric vehicle market is rapidly developing but unevenly, with China leading at nearly 40% penetration, followed by Europe at around 25%, and the U.S. lagging below 10% [9][12] - The integration of oil giants, utility companies, OEMs, and digital solution providers is creating both competitive and collaborative opportunities within the value chain [10] Profitability and Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) - TCO plays a critical role in consumer purchasing decisions, with subsidies significantly influencing sales, as seen in Germany's sharp decline in sales after subsidy cuts [12][13] - For commercial operators, TCO parity has been achieved in some regions for light commercial vehicles, but overall economic viability remains uncertain due to various cost factors [12][13] - Fluctuations in electricity prices and the absence of long-term supply contracts can erode profit margins, complicating the investment landscape [13] Risk Factors - Utilization risk remains a significant concern, with many public charging assets underperforming, necessitating careful contract design to mitigate revenue erosion [17][19] - Technological and reliability risks are heightened due to rapid hardware standard evolution, impacting the long-term viability of assets [17][19] - Structural risks must be managed through diversified revenue streams and resilient project designs to ensure sustainable returns [19][23] Strategic Opportunities - The most attractive investment opportunities lie in areas that can ensure dedicated utilization, such as fleet-based charging and long-term service contracts [28] - A balanced investment strategy should combine current infrastructure-like returns with future growth potential, particularly through EaaS models [15][26] - Collaborations among various stakeholders can enhance resilience and economic viability, as demonstrated by successful projects in the UK bus electrification sector [21][24]

Volatility - A total of 13 stocks in the A-share market experienced a volatility exceeding 20% today, with Meideng Technology, Jianglong Shipbuilding, and Jiuzhiyang leading the list [1] Turnover Rate - There were 7 stocks in the A-share market with a turnover rate exceeding 40% today, with Rongji Software, Southern Road Machinery, and Jianglong Shipbuilding at the forefront [1] Main Capital Flow - Main capital today saw a net inflow into sectors such as defense and military, media, retail, construction decoration, public utilities, and banking, while there was a net outflow from electronics, computers, power equipment, basic chemicals, communications, and biomedicine [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflow included BlueFocus Communication Group, Shengguang Group, Aerospace Development, Dataport, and Midea Group, with net inflows of 1.344 billion, 738 million, 446 million, 397 million, and 347 million respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net outflow included Xinyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, Industrial Fulian, Rongji Software, and Yidian Tianxia, with net outflows of 1.177 billion, 1.126 billion, 883 million, 878 million, and 835 million respectively [1]

Core Insights - The overall shareholding ratio of southbound funds in Hong Kong Stock Connect stocks is 19.38%, with 242 stocks having a shareholding ratio exceeding 20% [1] - Southbound funds hold a total of 4,900.47 million shares, accounting for 19.38% of the total share capital of the stocks, with a market value of 60,614.05 million HKD, representing 14.66% of the total market value [1] - The stocks with the highest shareholding ratios by southbound funds are primarily AH concept stocks, with 129 out of 242 stocks (53.31%) having a shareholding ratio over 20% [1] Group 1: Shareholding Distribution - 242 stocks have a shareholding ratio of over 20%, 131 stocks between 10% and 20%, 91 stocks between 5% and 10%, 84 stocks between 1% and 5%, and 21 stocks below 1% [1] - The stock with the highest southbound fund shareholding is China Telecom, holding 100,451.36 million shares, which is 72.38% of its issued shares [2] - Other notable stocks include Green Power Environmental (69.48%) and China Resources Power (69.45%) [2] Group 2: Industry Concentration - Southbound funds with shareholding ratios over 20% are concentrated in the healthcare, industrial, and financial sectors, with 56, 36, and 34 stocks respectively [2] - The healthcare sector includes stocks like Kanglong Chemical (59.10%) and Fosun Pharma (57.28%) [2][3] - The financial sector features stocks such as Guotai Junan (58.97%) and Zhongtai Securities (60.50%) [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The global capital markets experienced a significant sell-off of risk assets, with the A-share market also declining sharply, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards defensive sectors [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.90%, the Shenzhen Component dropped by 5.13%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 6.15%, all reaching new lows [1] - Over 5,000 stocks declined, with nearly 100 hitting the daily limit down, reflecting extreme market pessimism [1] - Defensive sectors such as shipbuilding, cultural media, and agriculture showed resilience, while previously popular sectors like energy metals, batteries, and photovoltaic equipment faced significant losses [1] Global Market Context - The Hang Seng Index fell by 5.09%, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.95%, and the Nasdaq decreased by 2.74%, influenced by cooling expectations for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and instability in the U.S. AI narrative [1] - Federal Reserve officials began to signal dovish stances, with New York Fed President Williams stating there is still room for rate cuts, potentially alleviating liquidity concerns [1] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating significant short-term overselling [2] - Following the panic selling, some institutional funds are starting to position themselves against the trend, increasing the likelihood of a technical and emotional market recovery [2] Key Factors to Watch - Upcoming U.S. economic data, including September retail sales and PPI, could influence market sentiment, especially if they underperform, potentially reinforcing expectations for a December rate cut [3] - International events such as the progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace plan and the UK's autumn budget may also impact market emotions [4] Sector Opportunities - Performance certainty will remain a core theme, with technology sectors like AI applications, robotics, and storage chips showing potential for recovery due to their recent declines and technological advancements [4] - Low-valuation, high-dividend sectors like banks and utilities are suitable for risk-averse investors [4] Investment Strategy - Prioritize high-quality stocks with solid performance and significant pullbacks while avoiding speculative stocks [5] - Continuous monitoring of Federal Reserve policy and global economic data is crucial, as these will be key variables determining market direction [6] Market Signals - A successful market rebound, even if limited, would indicate the market's self-repair mechanism is functioning, suggesting underlying resilience [6] - Conversely, a failure to rebound would signal that market confidence is still fragile and that a trend reversal is not yet imminent [6][7] Observational Approach - Investors should remain vigilant, recognizing that the market may still be searching for a true bottom, requiring patience and careful observation [7] - Quality rebounds should be accompanied by increasing trading volume and orderly rotation of market hotspots, while weak performance may indicate deeper adjustment pressures [8]

Core Insights - The global asset allocation trend is shifting towards increasing allocation in RMB assets, driven by China's economic recovery and technological innovations like AI, with A-shares expected to continue rising and sectors like new energy and consumption showing investment value [1][2][4] Global Asset Allocation Trends - Two main themes have emerged in global asset allocation: the first is risk aversion, with gold prices rising significantly as central banks increase their gold holdings, indicating strong market demand for safe-haven assets [4] - The second theme is the "valuation gap effect" in risk assets, where funds are moving towards undervalued assets, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, as the dollar's strength diminishes [4] - The increasing convertibility and liquidity of RMB assets are enhancing their appeal to international capital [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market has shown resilience, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a maximum increase of over 20% this year, maintaining a volatile yet upward trend after surpassing the 4000-point mark [7] - The current 4000-point level in A-shares differs fundamentally from previous bull markets, with a shift from retail and leveraged funds to institutional capital driving the market [9] - A-shares are expected to have a 20%-30% upside potential, supported by improving valuation and earnings [11] Investment Focus Areas - Three key investment directions are identified: technology sector opportunities, new energy sector expected to lead in the cross-year market, and precious metals as safe-haven assets [11] - The energy sector, including both new and traditional energy, is seen as a core driver of technological development, with innovative pharmaceuticals also gaining attention [11] - There is a noted overheating in AI hardware, with a potential shift of funds towards software and application sectors, emphasizing the importance of application services [11] Cross-Year Market Expectations - The A-share market is poised for a cross-year rally, supported by stable trading volumes and the absence of earnings burdens during the reporting gap [12] - New energy is expected to be the leading sector in the upcoming cross-year market, with regional sectors benefiting from policy expectations also gaining traction [13] - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to provide clear policy signals that could further energize the market [13]