Core Conclusions - The A-share market typically exhibits balanced performance during spring rallies, with both growth and value sectors showing gains. In the latter half of bull markets, sector differentiation tends to converge, leading to a more uniform upward trend [1][2] - Recently, previously lagging sectors such as liquor and real estate have performed well, indicating a structural convergence in the market as it enters the latter half of the bull market and spring rally [1][3] - The equity market is expected to remain stable with potential for further upward movement. A balanced allocation strategy is recommended, with a focus on technology represented by AI applications, as well as traditional assets like liquor and real estate, and upstream cyclical sectors [1][3] Historical Context - Historically, during spring rallies since 2005, both growth and value styles have performed similarly, with average maximum gains of 24.0% for growth and 23.5% for value [2][14] - The current market is still within a bull market atmosphere that began in September 2024, with significant structural differentiation observed. The latter half of bull markets typically sees a more balanced performance across sectors [2][18] Market Dynamics - The recent A-share market has shown notable sector rotation, with the performance gap between styles narrowing. Since December 17, 2025, the spring rally has gradually unfolded, supported by broad-based ETFs, flexible foreign capital, and leveraged funds [1][11] - As of January 23, 2026, the industry rotation strength in the A-share market was at a historical low of 18% over the past five years, but there has been a recent uptick, suggesting that structural rotation may be beginning [12][14] Future Outlook - The current spring rally is expected to continue, with historical comparisons indicating a potential index increase of around 20%. The maximum increase of the Shanghai Composite Index since December 17, 2025, has only been 9.8%, indicating room for growth [3][30] - Continued macroeconomic policy support is anticipated to provide a fundamental basis for market growth, with a focus on stabilizing the real estate market as indicated by recent government statements [30][31] Sector Allocation - The technology sector, particularly driven by the AI wave, remains a key focus, with expectations for the rally to expand from hardware to application sectors. Recent developments in AI applications have been notable, suggesting a shift towards practical implementations [31][32] - In addition to technology, traditional value sectors such as undervalued liquor and real estate assets are also recommended for consideration in the current market environment [31][32]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月31日 港股投资周报 金融股领涨，港股精选组合年内上涨 7.92% 核心观点 金融工程周报 港股精选组合绩效回顾 本周，港股精选组合绝对收益 0.49%，相对恒生指数超额收益-1.89%。 本年，港股精选组合绝对收益 7.92%，相对恒生指数超额收益 1.07%。 港股市场创新高热点板块跟踪 我们根据分析师关注度、股价相对强弱、股价路径平稳性、创新高连续性等 角度在过去 20 个交易日创出过 250 日新高的股票池中筛选出平稳创新高股 票。 近期，中国秦发等股票平稳创出新高。 按照板块来看，创新高股票数量最多的是周期板块，其次为科技、消费、制 造和大金融板块，具体个股信息可参照正文。 港股市场一周回顾 宽基指数方面，本周港股通 50 指数收益最高，累计收益 2.78%；恒生科技 指数收益最低，累计收益-1.38%。 行业指数方面，本周能源业行业收益最高，累计收益 7.44%；医疗保健业行 业收益最低，累计收益-2.72%。 概念板块方面，本周安防监控指数概念板块收益最高，累计收益 27.50%； 卫星导航指数概念板块收益最低，累计收益-9.93%。 金融工程·数量化投资 | ...

连建明 2026年头一个月，A股走势让许多股民感到犹如"坐过山车"，好在主要指数月K线都收阳，为全年开了 好头。不过，周五的大幅震荡也在提示市场风险悄悄降临，展望未来，慢牛行情有望持续，但风险也需 提高警惕。 再细看个股方面，上涨股票数量远多于下跌股票。1月份上涨股票3800只，下跌股票1300多只。聚焦热 点板块，既有去年的"老明星"，又有今年出现的"新贵"，通过1月份净申购的ETF就能看出，净申购前 几名分别是有色金属ETF、化工ETF、电网设备ETF、黄金ETF等，这些板块几乎是本月涨幅最大的板 块，涨幅最大的是有色和黄金板块，黄金板块涨幅高达40%，这当然与本月黄金价格暴涨有关，但风险 也在显现，1月最后一个交易日由于黄金出现震荡，A股中的黄金类企业股票大幅下跌，很多股票跌 停。至于去年最热门的科技股尤其是半导体、人工智能板块热度还在延续，人工智能从去年炒硬件转为 AI应用，导致软件和传媒板块大涨，中证传媒指数1月份涨幅为22%。卫星和电网设备去年12月份就开 始成为热点，今年1月份炒作延续，但下半月出现明显回调。化工板块则是1月份异军突起的板块，表现 突出。 1月份还有一个显著特点，就是大盘股、小盘 ...

Market Overview - In January 2026, global markets exhibited significant divergence, with structural trends dominating the month [1] - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced upward movements, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 3% and the Hang Seng Index increasing by more than 6% [1] - The U.S. stock market reached historical highs but faced consolidation by the end of the month, with all three major indices still showing monthly gains exceeding 1% [1] A-shares Performance - The A-share market showed a steady upward trend in January, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 3.76%, the ChiNext Index up 4.47%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index up 5.03% [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector led the gains with a 22.59% increase, followed by media, oil and petrochemicals, construction materials, and basic chemicals, which saw increases of 17.94%, 16.31%, 13.31%, and 12.72% respectively [3] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong market also trended upwards in January, with the Hang Seng Index leading with a 6.85% increase, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 4.53% and 3.67% respectively [5] - The optical communication sector was the standout performer, surging by 32.34%, followed closely by the paper industry with a 31.76% increase [6] Precious Metals - January witnessed a remarkable rally in precious metals, with gold and silver prices rising sharply due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and ongoing central bank purchases [8] - Gold prices increased by over 16%, while silver prices surged more than 34% during the month, marking them as the most notable assets in this rally [8] Industrial Metals and Energy - The industrial metals market also performed strongly, with LME nickel rising over 9% and LME copper increasing by 8.97% [10] - The energy market saw WTI crude oil futures rising over 14%, reaching $65.88 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures also increasing by over 14%, priced at $70.04 per barrel [10] Future Market Outlook - The focus for February is expected to remain on interest rate expectations, dollar movements, and geopolitical risks [12] - Analysts suggest that the A-share market may experience a healthy adjustment, with a shift towards a more sustainable "slow bull" market, driven by earnings growth and profitability improvements [12] - For the Hong Kong market, a positive outlook is maintained, with expectations of a structural rebound supported by earnings recovery, improved liquidity, and policy support [13]

订阅二维码↓↓↓ 《中国能源报》创刊于2 0 0 9年6月1日，系人民日报社主管主办的国内第一张覆盖能源全 产业链的主流产经类报纸，是《人民日报》在能源领域影响力的延伸和覆盖面的体现，官 方网站中国能源网（含官方微博、官方微信）入列中央新闻网站。《中国能源报》历经十 余年行业深耕，已成为宣传解读习近平总书记关于能源工作重要论述的权威阵地、全面展 现能源行业高质量发展的重要平台、助力能源行业发展的媒体风向标、行业媒体融合创新 发展的先行者。 《中国能源报》的读者受众覆盖能源全产业链，是能源各细分领域广大从业者首选的行业 读物，大多数读者有保存收藏《中国能源报》的习惯。同时， 《中国能源报》 与能源业 内众多政府机关、企事业单位、智库机构等建立了良好而深入的合作伙伴关系，通过订阅 《中国能源报》，享受融媒体产品矩阵传播服务，将为企业树立良好的品牌形象。 我们期待与各能源企事业单位开展深入合作，依托《中国能源报》立体多元融媒体传播平 台，为合作伙伴的品牌建设与提升提供有力支撑。《中国能源报》真诚希望专业读者加入 到我们的队伍中，支持我们的发行工作，为能源发展建言献策、携手并进、共促行业高质 量发展，为碳达峰碳中和目 ...

（记者 张明双） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——中国无人驾驶"军团"，"武装"阿布扎比 每经AI快讯，天舟文化1月30日晚间发布公告称，公司第四届第三十次董事会会议于2026年1月30日以 通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于公司董事会换届选举暨提名第五届董事会独立董事候选人的议案》等 文件。 ...

FICC日报 | 2026-01-30 地产上涨，上证50反弹 市场分析 关注中外关系。宏观方面，国家主席习近平会见来华访问的英国首相斯塔默，国务院总理李强同斯塔默举行会谈。 中英双方达成一系列积极成果，其中：双方致力于发展中英长期稳定的全面战略伙伴关系；双方欢迎成立中英金 融工作组并召开首次会议；中方积极考虑对英国公民实施单方面免签政策；中方将威士忌酒进口关税税率由10% 降至5%。2026年全国春节文化和旅游消费月正式启动。从即日起持续至3月初，各地将举办约3万场次文旅消费活 动，发放超3.6亿元消费券等消费补贴，推出门票减免、票根联动优惠、跨区域文旅优惠等举措。海外方面，美国 国会参议院在程序性投票中未能推进已获众议院通过的政府拨款法案，美国联邦政府再次面临部分"停摆"的危机， 美国数个联邦部门的运转资金将于1月30日耗尽。 沪指收涨。现货市场，A股三大指数震荡，上证指数涨0.16%收于4157.98点，创业板指跌0.57%。行业方面，板块 指数涨多跌少，食品饮料、传媒、房地产、非银金融行业领涨，电子、国防军工、电力设备、机械设备行业跌幅 居前。当日沪深两市成交额升至约3.2万亿元。海外方面，美国三大股 ...

Group 1 - The overall change in public fund holdings shows an increase in allocation to non-ferrous metals and communications, while reducing allocation to electronics and pharmaceuticals. The top five industries with increased holdings are non-ferrous metals (up 2.1 percentage points), communications (1.8 percentage points), non-bank financials (0.9 percentage points), chemicals (0.8 percentage points), and machinery (0.7 percentage points). The top five industries with reduced holdings are electronics (-1.6 percentage points), pharmaceuticals (-1.6 percentage points), media (-1.2 percentage points), electric new energy (-0.9 percentage points), and computers (-0.8 percentage points) [1][8][12] Group 2 - The report categorizes funds into four types: increasing, decreasing, adjusting, and extreme style. The increasing funds focus on growth style, adding positions in industrial metals, military electronics, and photovoltaic equipment, while reducing positions in batteries, digital media, and social networks. Decreasing funds are shifting from growth to value, adding positions in components, liquor, and coal mining, while reducing positions in communication equipment, semiconductors, and passenger vehicles. Adjusting funds show a balanced configuration, adding positions in semiconductors, industrial metals, and insurance, while reducing positions in consumer electronics, batteries, and state-owned banks. Extreme style funds make internal adjustments within their styles, adding communication equipment and renovation materials while reducing consumer electronics and bioproducts [7][15][16] Group 3 - The report highlights that the consensus for selling includes bioproducts, internet e-commerce, consumer electronics, social media, batteries, and digital media, while the consensus for buying includes insurance, securities, chemical products, components, photovoltaic equipment, and industrial metals [15][16][18] Group 4 - The analysis indicates that increasing funds prefer large-cap and high-valuation stocks, while decreasing and adjusting funds focus on both growth and profitability. Extreme growth funds tend to hold small-cap, high-valuation stocks with pressured profitability, while extreme value funds focus on low-valuation, large-cap stocks with low earnings growth [7][18][25]

1月30日，A股三大股指早盘高开后大幅跳水，随后低位震荡反弹，股指整体呈现"V"型走势，截止午 盘，沪指跌1.19%报4108.46点，深成指跌0.96%报14162.2点，创业板指涨0.8%报3330.91点，科创50指数 跌0.56%报1499.24点。沪深两市半日成交额1.93万亿，全市场超3800只个股下跌。 农业板块走强 农业概念震荡走强，农发种业3天2板，秋乐种业、神农种业、北大荒、康农种业等纷纷跟涨。 消息面上，1月29日，生意社大豆基准价为4468.00元/吨，与本月初相比，上涨了1.18%。此外，农业农 村部副部长近日张兴旺表示，粮食产量达到了14298亿斤，再创历史新高。 煤炭（核心股）板块走高 盘面上热点快速轮动，算力（核心股）硬件概念逆势爆发，天孚通信涨超10%、长飞光纤涨停，均创历 史新高；AI应用端盘中拉升，电声股份20cm涨停，引力传媒（核心股）涨停。影视（核心股）板块表 现活跃，横店影视2连板。农业概念反复活跃，农发种业3天2板。下跌方面，有色金属板块集体大跌， 贵金属方向领跌，晓程科技、赤峰黄金等多股跌停。锂矿概念大跌，金圆股份跌停。 热门板块 贵金属（核心股）概念集体回调 ...

流动性方面，A500ETF基金(512050)盘中换手18.09%，成交74.03亿元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截 至1月29日，A500ETF基金(512050)近1年日均成交53.24亿元。 截至2026年1月30日 10:50，中证A500指数(000510)成分股方面涨跌互现，湖南黄金领涨9.99%，光线传 媒上涨9.53%，航天发展上涨8.87%；南山铝业领跌。A500ETF基金(512050)最新报价1.23元。 湘财证券指出，在春季行情中，2月多数处于相对高潮阶段。就 2026年2月的宏观面、市场面和基本面 分解，由于2026年春季行情的展开符合此前春季行情的整体规律，虽然略有提前，但目前发展节奏符 合"慢牛"特征，对于2月，尤其是春节前的行情开展，依旧相对乐观。 A500ETF基金紧密跟踪中证A500指数，中证A500指数从各行业选取市值较大、流动性较好的500只证券 作为指数样本，以反映各行业最具代表性上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，中证A500指数(000510)前十大权重股分别为宁德时代、贵州茅台、中 国平安、中际旭创、紫金矿业、招商银行、新易盛、美的集 ...