Quantitative Factors and Models Summary Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. **Factor Name**: Market Style Factor **Construction Idea**: This factor tracks the market's preference for small-cap versus large-cap stocks and growth versus value stocks over the observed period **Construction Process**: - The factor is divided into two dimensions: size (small-cap vs. large-cap) and style (growth vs. value) - The factor measures the relative performance of small-cap stocks compared to large-cap stocks and growth stocks compared to value stocks - Observations include the directional bias (e.g., small-cap preference) and the volatility of these style preferences **Evaluation**: The factor indicates a market preference for small-cap and growth stocks, but with increased volatility, suggesting instability in market style trends [11][12] 2. **Factor Name**: Market Structure Factor **Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the dispersion and concentration of returns across industries and stocks to assess market structure dynamics **Construction Process**: - Industry excess return dispersion is calculated to measure the spread of returns across different sectors - Metrics such as the proportion of rising constituent stocks and the turnover concentration of the top 100 stocks and top 5 industries are tracked - Changes in these metrics are used to infer market structure stability and concentration trends **Evaluation**: The factor shows a decline in industry return dispersion and a slight increase in stock and industry concentration, indicating a more concentrated market structure [11][12] 3. **Factor Name**: Market Activity Factor **Construction Idea**: This factor measures market activity through volatility and turnover rates **Construction Process**: - Index volatility is calculated to assess market fluctuations - Turnover rates, particularly for indices like the SSE 50, are tracked to gauge trading activity - Observations include changes in these metrics over time **Evaluation**: The factor reveals a slight increase in market volatility but a continued decline in turnover rates, especially for the SSE 50, indicating reduced market activity [11][12] 4. **Factor Name**: Commodity Market Factors **Construction Idea**: These factors analyze trends, momentum, volatility, and liquidity in commodity markets **Construction Process**: - **Trend Strength**: Tracks the continuation of trends in sectors like energy and metals - **Basis Momentum**: Measures the momentum of basis changes, with specific focus on sectors like agriculture and metals - **Volatility**: Assesses the level of price fluctuations in different commodity sectors - **Liquidity**: Evaluates the trading activity and ease of transactions in commodity markets **Evaluation**: The factors highlight strong trends in energy and metals, low basis momentum in agriculture, high volatility in energy, and strong liquidity in energy and metals [23][27] 5. **Factor Name**: Option Market Factors **Construction Idea**: These factors assess market sentiment and risk expectations through option pricing metrics **Construction Process**: - **Implied Volatility**: Tracks the implied volatility of options on indices like SSE 50 and CSI 1000 - **Skewness**: Measures the relative pricing of put options versus call options to infer market sentiment - **Open Interest**: Monitors changes in open interest to gauge market positioning **Evaluation**: The factors suggest stable short-term sentiment but highlight potential downside risks for small-cap stocks based on skewness and rising open interest in put options [33][34] 6. **Factor Name**: Convertible Bond Market Factors **Construction Idea**: These factors analyze valuation and liquidity dynamics in the convertible bond market **Construction Process**: - **Valuation Metrics**: Tracks metrics like the premium rate of bonds near par value and the proportion of low-premium bonds - **Liquidity Metrics**: Monitors trading volume and credit spreads **Evaluation**: The factors indicate a slight recovery in valuation metrics but a rise in low-premium bonds, with stable trading volumes and narrowing credit spreads [35][37] Factor Backtesting Results 1. **Market Style Factor**: - Small-cap preference observed - Growth style preference observed - Increased volatility in both dimensions [11][12] 2. **Market Structure Factor**: - Industry return dispersion decreased - Stock and industry concentration slightly increased [11][12] 3. **Market Activity Factor**: - Market volatility slightly increased - Turnover rates decreased, especially for SSE 50 [11][12] 4. **Commodity Market Factors**: - Strong trends in energy and metals - Low basis momentum in agriculture - High volatility in energy - Strong liquidity in energy and metals [23][27] 5. **Option Market Factors**: - Stable implied volatility for SSE 50 and CSI 1000 - Skewness favors put options for CSI 1000 - Rising open interest in put options for CSI 1000 [33][34] 6. **Convertible Bond Market Factors**: - Premium rates near par value slightly recovered - Proportion of low-premium bonds increased - Trading volumes stable - Credit spreads narrowed [35][37]

Group 1 - The enthusiasm of foreign institutions for cornerstone investments in Hong Kong IPOs has surged this year, with 15 out of 27 companies introducing foreign investors as cornerstone investors, compared to only 3 in the same period last year [1][3] - Cornerstone investors are typically large institutions, corporate groups, or well-known wealthy individuals who commit to purchasing a certain number of shares at the issue price before the IPO, with a lock-up period of 6 to 12 months [3] - Notable companies attracting foreign cornerstone investors include Ningde Times, which had one of the largest IPOs in recent years, introducing 23 cornerstone investors, including global sovereign wealth funds and multinational asset management giants [3][4] Group 2 - The new consumption and pharmaceutical sectors are particularly favored by foreign investors, with companies like Mixue Group and Biorun attracting significant investments and experiencing substantial stock price increases post-IPO [3][4] - In the pharmaceutical sector, companies like Yimeng Bio and Weisheng Pharmaceuticals have also drawn attention from foreign cornerstone investors, enhancing market confidence and long-term value through strategic collaborations [4] - The increase in foreign cornerstone investors in Hong Kong IPOs reflects a resonance between international capital allocation needs and China's industrial upgrade dividends, with a notable return of funds previously invested in dollar assets [4]

今天上午， A股继续反弹，三大股指齐涨 。截至上午收盘，上证指数上涨0.43%，深证成指上涨 0.91%，创业板指上涨1.22%。 盘面上， 算力产业链迎来反弹 ，稀土永磁、固态电池等板块上涨，大消费继续走强，啤酒板块领涨。 上午临近收盘， 大金融板块异动 ，证券板块拉升明显，光大证券领涨。 算力产业链反弹 今天上午，算力产业链走强，铜缆高速连接、光模块、CPO、算力租赁等板块涨幅居前。新易盛、中际 旭创、沪电股份、太辰光等龙头股均大涨，其中， 新易盛（300502）上午上涨5.94%，成交额为41.07 亿元，居A股第一 。 另外，算力产业链最近有一个潜在的催化因素。日前，海光信息与中科曙光双双发布公告，宣布拟进行 战略重组。公告显示，海光信息与中科曙光筹划由海光信息通过向中科曙光全体A股换股股东发行A股 股票的方式换股吸收合并中科曙光，并发行A股股票募集配套资金。双方自5月26日起停牌，预计停牌 时间不超过10个交易日。 新消费概念走强 被网友称为港股"新消费三姐妹"的 蜜雪集团、泡泡玛特、老铺黄金最近不断刷新历史新高，今天上 午，这三只个股盘中股价再创历史新高 。 A股方面，盐津铺子、万辰集团、有友食品 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded on June 3, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.5% to close at 23,512 and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.1% to 5,189, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 203.7 billion, showing a notable increase compared to previous days, although the net inflow from the Stock Connect was only HKD 3.9 billion [1] - Major financial stocks, including CITIC Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Agricultural Bank of China, hit historical highs, reflecting continued investment in high-dividend defensive assets [1] Industry Dynamics - The automotive sector saw a rebound, with Xiaomi's automotive business losses decreasing and expectations for profitability in Q3 or Q4 of this year, driven by the upcoming launch of the YU7 model [3] - The healthcare sector also performed well, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising by 2.5%. Notable gains were seen in companies reporting positive clinical data at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) [3] - The renewable energy and utilities sectors experienced widespread gains, with Goldwind Technology rising by 13.3% due to share buyback plans and the establishment of an AI-related subsidiary [4] Company-Specific Insights - The report on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group indicated a 21.9% year-on-year decline in total revenue for Q1 2025, amounting to RMB 7.01 billion, primarily due to a slowdown in the sales of its core products [5] - The company expects a gradual recovery in product sales starting from Q2 2025, as the impact of centralized procurement has already been reflected in Q1 results [6] - CSPC has secured multiple overseas licensing agreements, with expected upfront payments totaling approximately RMB 1 billion and potential milestone payments exceeding RMB 25.6 billion, indicating strong future revenue prospects [7][8] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The report on the Chinese real estate market highlighted a 12.0% year-on-year decline in new home transaction volume across 30 major cities, with first-tier cities showing resilience [9] - First-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen reported increases in cumulative transaction volumes, with Shanghai up by 9.5% and Shenzhen by 45.8% year-on-year [10] - The land transaction volume in 100 major cities fell by 46.9% year-on-year, indicating ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [12]

6月4日周三，A股早盘小幅走高，创业板一度涨超1%，核电板块活跃，黄金珠宝板块再度走强。港股恒指、恒科 指也双双上涨，核电股也表现活跃，生物科技板块大涨，泡泡玛特再创新高。债市方面，国债期货悉数上涨。核 心市场走势： | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | | 3370.47 | 8.49 | 0.25% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | | 10119.74 | 62.57 | 0.62% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | | 2018.96 | 16.26 | 0.81% | | 000300 | 沪深300 | | 3866.63 | 14.62 | 0.38% | | 000016 | 下证50 | | 2695.84 | 8.55 | 0.32% | | 000680 | 科创综指 | | 1177.13 | 4.93 | 0.42% | | 000688 | 科创50 | 2 | 985.75 | 4.04 | 0.41% | | 899050 | ...

港股新消费概念股继续走强，蜜雪集团(02097.HK)涨超4%，泡泡玛特(09992.HK)涨超3%，老铺黄金 (06181.HK)涨超1%，均再创历史新高。 ...

港股新消费概念股继续走强，蜜雪集团涨超4%，泡泡玛特涨近4%，老铺黄金涨超1%，均再创历史新 高。 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market has seen strong trading activity this year, with southbound capital actively entering the market despite adjustments, leading to a recovery in the Hang Seng Index, which has risen 17.21% year-to-date as of June 3 [1] - Public funds are launching Hong Kong stock ETFs, with significant inflows into innovative drug ETFs, technology ETFs, and dividend ETFs, indicating a strong interest from investors [2] - Analysts suggest that the current market environment favors a structural "barbell strategy," with technology and dividend sectors expected to contribute to excess returns in a rotating manner [3] Group 2 - The number of shares in various Hong Kong stock ETFs has surged, with the ICBC Innovative Drug ETF increasing from under 1.3 billion shares to nearly 3.7 billion shares, a growth of 192% [2] - The market quality of Hong Kong stocks is expected to improve as high-competitiveness technology giants are listed, and policies encourage quality companies to list in Hong Kong [3] - Analysts recommend focusing on leading stocks in cloud computing, new consumption, and pharmaceuticals, as well as opportunities in newly listed companies, which have shown impressive performance [3]

本期受邀嘉宾是： 贝莱德首席中国经济学家宋宇 长城证券首席经济学家汪毅 【编者按】中国基金报每月初会邀请中外资金融机构的代表，分享他们对全球经济及重大事件的分析与评判。希望他们观点的碰撞，能对大家有所启发。 渣打中国财富管理部首席投资策略师王昕杰 南方东英量化投资部主管王毅 "AI+新消费" 瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室宏观策略师李慧琪 点燃外资投资中国兴趣 中国基金报：当前投资者应如何调整中国市场的投资策略？ 王昕杰：我们增加了中国资产的比例。我们的基础场景是，随着"美国例外论"收敛，之前受到美元虹吸影响的资产，将得到重估的机会，首当其冲的是中 国资产。 港股方面，短期仍以国企高派息的板块作为防御，同时坚持逢低布局以科技为主的成长板块。 A股方面，重点关注农林牧渔、食品饮料和消费电子等消费子板块。 王毅：目前，A股方面我们比较看好的是芯片硬科技相关的行业，港股方面是科技以及新消费。 随着DeepSeek的出现，投资者对中国科技在AI产业上的后发优势非常感兴趣。全球范围内，对于美国资产的担忧也引发了投资人对于第二选择的讨论和 实践。一些表现十分亮眼的新消费公司的出现，也点燃了境外投资人对于中国市场的兴趣。 李慧 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced a rebound on June 3, with major indices showing slight increases, and the total trading volume in Shanghai and Shenzhen reaching 1.14 trillion, an increase of 22.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - The focus of the market was on the pharmaceutical and consumer sectors, with over 3,300 stocks rising, leading to the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.16%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.48% [1] - The drone concept gained traction following Ukraine's significant drone attack on Russian airbases, with companies like Yongyue Technology and Zhongtian Rocket achieving consecutive gains [1] Group 2 - BioNTech announced a licensing agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb for its new cancer drug BNT327, which could yield up to 11.1 billion in milestone payments, highlighting the ongoing trend of large-scale business development agreements in the innovative drug sector [2] - The consumer market saw a resurgence during the Dragon Boat Festival, with new consumption trends emerging, particularly in the 618 shopping event, where companies like Pop Mart, Laopu Gold, and Mixue Group reached new historical highs [2] - The health beverage sector also saw significant activity, with companies like Yinyuan Health achieving a full limit-up, and others like Ruoyuchen, Wancheng Group, and Caibai Co. hitting historical highs [2]