Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high of 3600 points, leading to increased sales of both private equity products targeted at high-net-worth individuals and broader equity-based financial products [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The continuous rise in A-shares is prompting a shift from pure fixed-income products to "fixed-income+" products, as residents seek higher returns amid declining deposit rates [1][4] - As of the end of June, the scale of existing fixed-income financial products reached approximately 23 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.96% [4] - The performance benchmark for fixed-income products is projected to decline to 2.86% by June 2025, a decrease of 27 basis points from the previous year [4] Group 2: Product Performance - Fixed-income products are currently the best-selling financial products, with annualized returns typically exceeding 3%, and some products achieving returns over 5% during equity market upswings [5] - The "fixed-income+" strategy involves investing over 80% in fixed-income assets while allocating up to 20% in riskier assets to enhance returns [4] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory changes, including the "Financial Institutions Product Appropriateness Management Measures," impose stricter compliance requirements for the sale of private equity products, emphasizing the need for appropriate product distribution to suitable clients [6][7] - The "Agency Sales Management Measures" aim to standardize bank agency sales practices to prevent misleading sales and ensure better consumer protection [7] - Special attention is required when selling high-risk products to clients aged 65 and above, including enhanced risk assessments and communication [7] Group 4: Market Sentiment - There is a cautious sentiment regarding the current equity market, with concerns about potential corrections as the Shanghai Composite Index approaches last year's high [8]

Group 1: Report's Core View - The capital flow of wealth management products is an important influencing factor in the credit bond market. This report analyzes the changes in wealth management scale and bond - allocation behavior under the background of net - value transformation to enrich the credit bond analysis framework [1][9] Group 2: Wealth Management Scale Trends 2.1 Overall Scale and New Product Term - Deposit interest rate decline drives deposit transfer to wealth management, leading to an increase in wealth management scale. As of Q1 2025, the wealth management product scale reached 29.14 trillion yuan. The average 1 - year fixed - deposit rate of the six major banks was only 0.96% in June 2025, while the wealth management yield was 3.01%. Newly issued products are mainly closed - end, and the term of new products has been extended, with the proportion of new wealth management products with a term over 1 year reaching 47% in June 2025, up about 14 percentage points from March 2024 [10][12] 2.2 Main Expansion Force - Open - ended products are more popular among individual investors. In 2024, the scale of open - ended products increased by 2.7 trillion yuan year - on - year, while that of closed - ended products increased by only 160 billion yuan. The minimum - holding - period products are the main expansion force of wealth management products in 2024, balancing liquidity and yield. As of the end of June 2025, the average maximum drawdown of minimum - holding - period products in the past 1 year was 0.18%, the lowest among open - ended products, and the average annualized yield in the past 1 year reached 2.53%, about 70bp higher than daily - open products [16][17] Group 3: Impact of the "Impossible Triangle" on Bond - Allocation Style 3.1 Bond Allocation Changes - To stabilize the net value of wealth management products, wealth management has reduced bond allocation in recent years and increased the allocation of cash and bank deposits with higher liquidity and lower valuation fluctuations. As of Q1 2025, the scale of wealth management investment in bonds, cash and bank deposits, and inter - bank certificates of deposit was 13.68 trillion yuan, 7.27 trillion yuan, and 4.20 trillion yuan respectively, accounting for 43.9%, 23.3%, and 13.5% of the total investment assets, with changes of - 6.5%, 5.8%, and 0.2% respectively compared to Q4 2022 [23] 3.2 Credit Bond Allocation - Credit bonds are the main investment direction of wealth management funds, accounting for 41% of the total investment assets. As of the end of 2024, the proportions of interest - rate bonds and credit bonds in bond investment were 5% and 95% respectively. In Q1 2025, wealth management preferred to allocate urban investment bonds, secondary perpetual bonds, and industrial bonds, accounting for 35%, 26%, and 23% of credit bonds respectively. Due to the short - term nature of most wealth management products and the instability of the liability side, the duration of credit bond allocation is short [33][37] 3.3 Increased Fund Entrustment - It is difficult for wealth management to meet the performance benchmark by directly investing in bonds. In Q2 2025, the wealth management performance benchmark dropped to 2.88%, still 84 - 87bp higher than the yields of 3Y AA(2) urban investment bonds and 7Y AA+ secondary perpetual bonds. With the blockage of insurance and trust channels, wealth management has increased entrusted investment in funds. The proportion of wealth management's penetrated investment in funds has been rising, indicating an increasing importance of entrusted funds [39][47] 3.4 Bond - Buying Behavior after Self - Built Valuation Model Restrictions - The "self - built valuation model" is a new way for wealth management to smooth net - value fluctuations but has problems such as liquidity risk and unfair returns. After the restriction of the self - built valuation model, some wealth management may reduce the allocation of long - term secondary perpetual bonds and medium - low - rated credit bonds and increase the allocation of short - term high - rated bonds [52][53] Group 4: Impact of Wealth Management on the Credit Bond Market 4.1 Influence of Scale Changes - The bond - allocation rhythm of wealth management is highly correlated with the scale change, which affects the credit spread trend. When the wealth management scale rises, the credit spread tends to narrow; when it falls, the credit spread tends to widen. The seasonal change of wealth management scale also makes the credit spread show seasonal characteristics. Quarter - beginning is a good time for credit spread compression, especially from August to the end of the year. September is a good allocation window, but beware of widening credit spreads in November [3][57] 4.2 Observing Market Adjustment from Wealth Management - During bond market adjustments, pay attention to the risk of "redemption tides". The "redemption tide" occurs when wealth management passively sells bonds due to significant net - value drawdowns. The "redemption tide" is accompanied by an increase in the net - value break - even rate. When the weekly环比 change of the 4 - week rolling net - value break - even rate exceeds 6%, the possibility of a "redemption tide" increases. The maximum drawdown rate of wealth management products can be a leading indicator of credit spread changes, leading by about 7 - 60 days [3][64]

Group 1 - The newly published "Housing Rental Regulations" prohibit the separate rental of non-residential spaces such as kitchens and bathrooms for living purposes, effective from September 15 [1] - The European Council President and the European Commission President are scheduled to visit China on July 24 for the 25th China-EU Leaders' Meeting [1] - China's LPR remained unchanged for the second consecutive month in July, with the 1-year rate at 3.0% and the 5-year rate at 3.5%, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2023, Hong Kong welcomed 52 IPOs, a 30% increase year-on-year, raising a total of 124 billion HKD, a 590% increase, making it the top global market for IPOs [2] - The latest holdings of actively managed equity funds show Tencent Holdings as the top holding, followed by CATL and Kweichow Moutai, with a notable reduction in concentration among the top 20 holdings [2][3] - The domestic TDI price has increased for five consecutive working days in July, with a monthly rise exceeding 3,900 RMB per ton, marking a 23% increase year-to-date and a 20% year-on-year increase [3] Group 3 - The first national standard for campus catering services has been released, set to take effect on December 1, 2023 [1] - The State Energy Administration reported that the total electricity consumption in June reached 8,670 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [2] - The Hainan Free Trade Port has released pilot guidelines for cross-border asset management, with an initial total scale limit set at 10 billion RMB [2]

Group 1: Open Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation on July 21, with a fixed rate and a total amount of 170.7 billion yuan, at an interest rate of 1.40%, with the same amount being awarded [1] - On the same day, 226.2 billion yuan of reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 55.5 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The overnight repurchase weighted average rate (DR001) for deposit-taking institutions decreased by nearly 10 basis points, returning to around 1.35% [3] - The latest overnight financing rate in the U.S. is 4.34% [3] Group 3: Interbank Certificates of Deposit - The latest transaction rate for one-year interbank certificates of deposit among major banks is around 1.63%, showing a slight increase from the previous day [6] Group 4: Bond Market - Major interbank interest rate bonds saw yields rise across the board, with mid- to long-term bonds showing significant weakness [8] - Government bond futures closed lower across the board, with the 30-year main contract down 0.46%, the 10-year down 0.05%, the 5-year down 0.05%, and the 2-year down 0.01% [11] Group 5: Economic Policies and Developments - The Ministry of Commerce responded to the EU's sanctions against Chinese enterprises and financial institutions, urging the EU to cease its actions, which are seen as detrimental to China-EU economic relations [12] - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) remained stable, with the one-year LPR at 3% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, aligning with market expectations [12] - The Ministry of Commerce highlighted the promotion of e-commerce and digital business as a means to enhance consumption and economic transformation [12] Group 6: Global Macro Developments - In Japan, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito failed to secure a majority in the House of Councillors for the first time since its establishment in 1955, leading to internal party tensions [14] Group 7: Bond Market Events - The scale of bond index funds reached nearly 1.5 trillion yuan in Q2, with major players like Bosera, Southern, and GF exceeding 100 billion yuan [16] - The issuance of Sci-Tech bonds surpassed 760 billion yuan, with banks and ETFs actively participating [16] - Chow Tai Fook completed the issuance of an 850 million HKD convertible bond [16]

Group 1 - The establishment of China Yajiang Group increases the number of central enterprises to 99 [1] - In the first half of the year, China saw a significant increase in foreign investment, with 30,014 new foreign-invested enterprises established, a year-on-year growth of 11.7% [2] - Over 43.77% of the 1,540 A-share companies that disclosed their semi-annual performance forecasts reported positive expectations [3] Group 2 - The scale of joint venture wealth management companies increased by over 50% in the first half of the year, reaching 188 billion yuan [4] - The issuance of sci-tech bonds exceeded 760 billion yuan since the new policy was implemented, indicating a growing market [5] - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend, with the main index potentially reaching new highs [6] Group 3 - Some investors in Hong Kong and U.S. stocks are considering shifting to the Hong Kong Stock Connect due to tax notifications requiring them to pay a 20% tax on overseas investment income [8] - Nearly 100 quantitative strategy funds have reached historical net asset value highs, indicating a resurgence in this investment strategy [9] - Four funds focused on innovative drugs have doubled their net value this year, despite signs of capital outflow in some products [10] Group 4 - Nine provinces in China have reported their GDP data for the first half of the year, with four central provinces outperforming the national average [11] - QDII funds are increasingly allocating assets to Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on the technology sector [12] - Foreign institutions are optimistic about Chinese assets, driven by a resilient economic outlook, with GDP growth of 5.3% in the first half of 2025 [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and outlook of fixed income products in the context of the bond market, highlighting the stability of short-term interest rates and the potential for credit bonds to outperform interest rate bonds in the near future [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Review of Fixed Income Product Returns - In the past month, the bond market experienced low volatility with positive returns across various fixed income products. The leading performance was observed in rights-embedded bond funds, followed by medium to long-term bond funds [3][8]. - As of July 17, the returns for different products over the past month were: rights-embedded bond funds at 0.89% (previously 0.54%), medium-term bond funds at 0.22% (previously 0.31%), short-term bond funds at 0.19% (unchanged), high-grade interbank certificates of deposit at 0.17% (previously 0.15%), and cash management products at 0.11% (unchanged) [3][8]. Bond Market Review - The bond market has shown low volatility with mixed performance between short and long-term bonds. The market sentiment improved due to "anti-involution" policies and the delayed imposition of tariffs by the U.S., which bolstered optimistic expectations [10][11]. - The liquidity in the banking sector was relatively relaxed, with the central bank's actions leading to a slight decrease in short-term interest rates. The one-year AAA interbank certificate of deposit rate fell to 1.63% [11][15]. Industry Events Tracking - On July 11, the National Financial Supervision Administration released the "Financial Institutions Product Suitability Management Measures," effective from February 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing consumer protection and regulating financial institutions' suitability management [37]. Outlook for the Bond Market - Short-term expectations indicate stable interbank certificate of deposit rates, while the long-term outlook remains bullish for bonds, with the 10-year government bond yield expected to fluctuate between 1.5% and 1.8% [1][31]. - Credit bonds are anticipated to perform better than interest rate bonds, with a focus on maintaining a balanced duration strategy and considering high-grade long-term credit bonds for potential gains [1][40]. Fixed Income Product Strategy and Recommendations - For investors needing liquidity management, maintaining cash-like products is advisable, while for conservative investors, holding pure bond products with a potential extension of duration is recommended [40][41]. - For more aggressive investors, the article suggests considering fixed income plus products that include convertible bonds and equity assets, with strategies such as quantitative neutral, index enhancement, and multi-asset approaches [42].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The investment in secondary and perpetual bonds (referred to as "two - eternal bonds") in the current bond market has reached the fourth stage. Since 2024, two - eternal bonds have become amplifiers of interest rate fluctuations. The report focuses on analyzing the institutional behavior patterns of two - eternal bonds and attempts to discover effective signals [2][15]. - Different types of institutions have different allocation patterns for two - eternal bonds. For example, banks act as stabilizers in the bond market, while securities firms have high - frequency trading, funds are the main buyers, and other institutions have their own preferences [5][6]. - It is difficult to use the institutional behavior of two - eternal bonds to predict interest rate trends, but it can help investors understand the market's expectation of whether interest rates can continue to decline. The report constructs investment sentiment measurement indicators for the trading desks of two - eternal bonds to assist investors in observation [7][8]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Why Focus on the Institutional Behavior of Two - eternal Bonds? - The investment in two - eternal bonds has gone through four stages. Since 2024, they have become amplifiers of interest rate fluctuations. The report aims to analyze their institutional behavior patterns and find effective signals [2][15]. - The report discusses three types of bonds (secondary capital bonds, perpetual bonds, and ordinary financial bonds) and six types of investors (banks, securities firms, funds, wealth management, insurance, and others). Different investors' term preferences are mainly concentrated in 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y, and the trading volume of two - eternal bonds over 5Y declines significantly [3][15]. 3.2 Institutional Behavior Patterns of Two - eternal Bonds 3.2.1 Banks Still Act as Stabilizers in the Bond Market - Since the second half of 2024, commercial banks have increased the trading volume of 1Y/3Y secondary capital bonds and continuously net - sold 5Y secondary capital bonds. For perpetual bonds, the trading volume of 1Y/3Y is small, and 5Y is significantly net - sold. For ordinary financial bonds, the trading volume in the 3Y term is the largest, and they are mostly net - sold, except for increasing allocation during bond market corrections [5][16]. 3.2.2 Securities Firms Have High - Frequency Band - trading of Two - eternal Bonds - Securities firms show obvious trading - desk characteristics in the trading of two - eternal bonds, frequently switching between buying and selling with a relatively large scale. They have a high preference for 1Y/3Y/5Y two - eternal bonds and ordinary financial bonds [5][21]. 3.2.3 Funds Are the Main Buyers of Two - eternal Bonds - Funds tend to make trend - based allocations to two - eternal bonds. They continuously buy during bull markets and sell significantly during bear markets, driving market trends. In recent years, with the overall decline in the interest rates of two - eternal bonds, funds have shown a trend of increasing allocation [5][30]. 3.2.4 The Institutional Behavior Characteristics of Wealth Management in Two - eternal Bonds Are Diverse - In most periods, the trading characteristics of wealth management in two - eternal bonds are not obvious, showing an overall allocation trend. At some points, they take profits during bull markets, buy during bear markets, and continue to buy during volatile markets [5][37]. 3.2.5 Insurance Also Acts as a Stabilizer in the Bond Market - Insurance institutions generally net - sell two - eternal bonds but increase allocation during market corrections, acting as stabilizers [5][46]. 3.2.6 Other Types of Institutions Prefer to Continuously Allocate 5Y Two - eternal Bonds - Other types of institutions have a greater preference for continuously allocating 5Y two - eternal bonds [6][52]. 3.3 How to Use the Institutional Behavior Patterns of Two - eternal Bonds? - It is relatively difficult to use the institutional behavior of two - eternal bonds to predict interest rate trends due to factors such as the synchronicity of institutional behavior indicators, less trading data, and data delays [7][61]. - However, the institutional behavior of two - eternal bonds can help investors understand the market's expectation of whether interest rates can continue to decline. When investors expect interest rates to continue to decline, the trading desks of two - eternal bonds will continue to buy, compressing the spread. When the expectation weakens, the buying power will decrease [7][61]. - The report constructs investment sentiment measurement indicators for the trading desks of two - eternal bonds, which are the smoothed overall purchases of funds and securities firms in 5Y secondary capital bonds and 5Y perpetual bonds. When these indicators decline significantly and approach zero, it indicates that the trading desks are less optimistic about buying two - eternal bonds for capital gains. This year, there were two such time points in January 15th and late April, corresponding to subsequent bond market corrections or fluctuations [8][62].

Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Insurance's stock experienced a significant decline of 2.03% on July 16, indicating potential concerns among investors regarding the company's performance and market position [1]. Company Overview - Xinhua Life Insurance Co., Ltd. was established in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, primarily engaged in the insurance industry. The company has a registered capital of 3.12 billion RMB [1]. - The legal representative of Xinhua Insurance is Yang Yucheng [1]. Shareholder Activity - Huatai-PineBridge Fund's Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF is among the top ten shareholders of Xinhua Insurance, having reduced its holdings in the second quarter of this year [1]. - The fund has reported a year-to-date return of 3.73%, ranking 2052 out of 3426 in its category [1][2]. Fund Performance - The performance metrics for the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF show a weekly increase of 0.78%, a monthly increase of 4.85%, and a quarterly increase of 8.33% [2]. - The fund's year-to-date performance is 3.73%, which is below the average of its peers at 7.42% [2]. Fund Management - The fund manager for Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF is Liu Jun, who has extensive experience in fund management, having joined Huatai-PineBridge in 2004 and managed various funds since then [4][5]. - Liu Jun has a master's degree in financial management from Fudan University and has held multiple positions within the company, demonstrating a strong background in investment management [4][5].

Group 1: Fund Market Trends - Over 130 funds have been liquidated this year, continuing the trend of "normalization of liquidation" seen in the past two years, with popular thematic funds like dividend and pharmaceutical funds also facing pressure [1] - The number of funds focusing on dividend assets has surged, with nearly 40 new funds established this year, reflecting a strong demand for long-term capital in the market [1][2] Group 2: Banking Sector Developments - Commercial banks have issued approximately 894.6 billion yuan in perpetual bonds this year, with 57 issues recorded, indicating a significant increase in capital replenishment efforts [1] - The issuance of these bonds is seen as a way to enhance the stability of operations amid declining profitability and limited internal capital retention [1] Group 3: A-Share Market Performance - As of July 15, 1494 A-share companies have disclosed mid-year profit forecasts, with 417 companies expecting a net profit growth rate exceeding 100% [2] - Among these, Muyuan Foods anticipates the highest profit growth rate of 973.39%, driven by increased pig sales and reduced costs [2] Group 4: Low-altitude Economy - Various regions are actively developing low-altitude economy applications, with new scenarios emerging for drone logistics and tourism, indicating a shift from niche trials to broader commercial applications [2] Group 5: Engineering Machinery Sales - In June 2025, forklift sales reached 137,570 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 23.1%, with domestic sales up by 27.3% [3] Group 6: Corporate Leadership Changes - Renault Group appointed Duncan Minto as interim CEO, effective July 15, while he continues to serve as the Chief Financial Officer [5] Group 7: Payment License Developments - China Insurance Group's payment subsidiary voluntarily withdrew its payment license, which was acquired for 400 million yuan less than four years ago [6] Group 8: Biopharmaceutical Collaboration - China Biopharmaceutical confirmed that its collaboration with Merck on a dual-specific antibody is progressing normally, with a milestone payment of 300 million USD expected upon completion of technology transfer [6] Group 9: Oil and Gas Exploration - China National Offshore Oil Corporation achieved a significant breakthrough in deep metamorphic rock exploration in the South China Sea, with a well producing 400 barrels of oil and 165,000 cubic feet of gas per day [8] Group 10: Stock Market Movements - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising by 0.18% while the Dow Jones fell by 0.98%, influenced by inflation data and ongoing tariff concerns [9]

Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Green Finance Support Project Directory (2025 Edition)" aims to unify standards for green financial products, enhancing efficiency and guiding financial resources towards green and low-carbon projects [1][2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Green Finance Growth - As of May, China's green, inclusive, pension, and digital loans grew by 27.4%, 11.2%, 38%, and 9.5% year-on-year, respectively, all exceeding the growth rate of other loans [1] - Over 1 trillion yuan in green and technology-related bonds were issued in the first half of 2025 [1] New Categories in the Directory - The new directory introduces two major categories: green trade and green consumption, focusing on low-carbon sectors [2][3] - Green trade includes efficient energy equipment, advanced transportation equipment, and green agricultural products, while green consumption covers electric vehicles and energy-efficient appliances [2][3] Impact on Financial Institutions - The directory provides a clear framework for banks to identify and manage green credit projects, enhancing the classification of green assets and guiding the development of green financial products [6][7] - Financial institutions can use the directory to support green bonds and ESG investments, ensuring compliance and effective project selection [6][7] Support for High-Carbon Industries - The directory outlines pathways for high-carbon industries like steel and petrochemicals to transition through clean production and process optimization [10][11] - It emphasizes the importance of third-party services for technical consulting and carbon management to lower transformation costs [10][11] International Alignment - The directory aligns with international standards, enhancing the comparability of China's green finance initiatives with global practices [12][13] - It aims to improve the international influence of China's green finance by addressing long-standing discrepancies in project identification standards [11][12] Expansion of Project Types - The directory expands the number of supported projects significantly, with 271 items listed, reflecting the latest trends in China's green economy [9][11] - It removes 11 fossil fuel-related projects, reinforcing the focus on sustainable practices [9][11]