东吴证券近日发布建筑材料行业跟踪周报：本周全国高标水泥市场价格为354.7元/吨，较上周+4.5元/ 吨，较2024年同期-70.3元/吨。较上周价格持平的地区：泛京津冀地区、两广地区、华北地区、东北地 区、西北地区；较上周价格上涨的地区：长三角地区（+10.0元/吨）、长江流域地区（+10.7元/吨）、 华东地区（+5.7元/吨）、中南地区（+6.7元/吨）、西南地区（+11.0元/吨）；无较上周价格下跌的地 区。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 本周（2025.11.29–2025.12.5，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅1.55%，同期沪深300、万得全 A指数涨跌幅分别为1.28%、0.72%，超额收益分别为0.27%、0.82%。 1、玻纤：（1）普通品类短期复价节奏需关注下游库存去化情况和终端需求支撑。（2）风电、热塑短 切等供给格局相对较好的中高端品类同时复价，体现龙头企业提升盈利的意愿，龙头企业凭借产品结构 优势享受超额利润，叠加10月初7628电子布提价0.3元也已落地，中高端占比相对较高和普通电子布体 量大的龙头企业业绩增厚有望更为显著（巨石、中材科技、国际复材等）。（3）我们认为 ...

智通财经APP获悉，财通证券发布研报称，水泥国内供需长期或企稳，核心在供给收缩，新一轮供给侧 改革政策聚焦控产能、反内卷或有望成为限制水泥供给的因素之一。增量主要靠海外，非洲在竞争格 局、盈利空间、需求潜力方面更具优势。水泥具高股息的配置逻辑，且海外贡献增量业绩、国内价格止 跌回暖的基本面逻辑。 玻纤：传统看反内卷，高端看技术迭代 玻纤性能良好广泛应用于工业各领域，包括建筑材料(占25%)、交通运输(24%)、电子电气(18%)、能源 环保(14%)、消费品(8%)等。而传统领域方向，9月初，中国玻璃纤维工业协会发布了相关文件将反内卷 正式引入玻纤行业，未来玻纤粗纱价格中枢有望稳步向上;而新领域方向，随着人工智能技术和应用的 快速发展，AI服务器需求强劲，同时AI服务器需求摒弃了传统的电子布，转向低介电(LowDk)电子布， AI服务器不断地升级对低介电子布的要求不断提升，产品的迭代也带来价格的提升和企业单位盈利的 提升。 消费建材：复价持续推进，静待困境反转 拐点渐显，竞争减缓是大势所趋，前期白热化价格竞争下小企业亏损加剧、加速出清，龙头通过主动和 被动的方式提升集中度，其经营思路从提量转为高质量发展：1) ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector has shown a weekly increase of 1.55%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices, which increased by 1.28% and 0.72%, respectively, resulting in excess returns of 0.27% and 0.82% [4]. - Cement prices have increased to 354.7 CNY/ton, up by 4.5 CNY/ton from the previous week, but down by 70.3 CNY/ton compared to the same period last year [4][14]. - The average cement inventory level is at 66.4%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points from the previous week, while the average cement shipment rate is 44.6%, down by 0.8 percentage points week-on-week [21]. - The report highlights that infrastructure construction is expected to be a key driver for economic stability in the short term, with recommendations to focus on companies in the infrastructure supply chain and home improvement sectors [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data - **Cement**: The national average cement price is 354.7 CNY/ton, with significant regional price increases noted in the Yangtze River Delta and Southwest regions [4][14]. The average shipment rate has decreased to 44.6% [21]. - **Glass**: The average price of float glass is reported at 1163.9 CNY/ton, reflecting a weekly increase of 16.0 CNY/ton but a year-on-year decrease of 254.7 CNY/ton [48]. The inventory level for float glass is 5675 million weight boxes, down by 83 million from the previous week [50]. - **Fiberglass**: The market remains stable with no significant price changes, and the focus is on the demand recovery in the downstream sectors [4]. 2. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report notes that the construction materials sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, particularly in the southern regions, while northern regions face challenges due to seasonal weather impacts [4]. 3. Weekly Market Review and Sector Valuation Table - The construction materials sector has shown resilience with a positive performance compared to broader market indices, indicating potential investment opportunities [4]. 4. Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in infrastructure, home improvement, and export-oriented sectors, including Conch Cement, Oriental Yuhong, and China Communications Construction [4].

来源：中国能源网 上周行情回顾 过去一周（12.01–12.07）主要指数涨跌幅情况：申万建筑材料行业指数（+1.55%），上证指数 （+0.37%），深证成指（+1.26%），创业板指（+1.86%），沪深300（+1.28%）。在申万31个一级子 行业指数中，建筑材料涨跌幅排名居第9位。 风险提示： 水泥：11月北方逐步进入采暖季，错峰生产政策将推动供给收缩，价格有望迎来阶段性上涨，同时短期 由于部分项目抢工，需求阶段性提升。整体来看，基建端整体受到天气干扰、需求释放节奏等因素影 响，其对需求并未完全显现，房建端，需求端仍然处于弱复苏态势。从中期维度来看，水泥行业产能有 望在限制超产政策下产能持续下降，产能利用率从而大幅提升带来利润弹性。关注：海螺水泥、华新建 材。 玻璃：行业需求端在地产影响下25年呈现需求持续下行态势。短期来看，需求传统旺季订单改善力度一 般仍承压，中间商库存相对较高。目前行业供需矛盾仍存，下游终端需求改善有限。供给端，考虑到目 前浮法玻璃行业中大部分企业已能达到环保要求，我们判断反内卷政策不会产生一刀切式产能出清，但 仍会提升环保要求及成本，加速行业的冷修进度。后续持续关注政策变化的 ...

发布时间：2025-12-08 行业投资评级 证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 5252.51 | | 52 周最高 | 5417.39 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -11% -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《"反内卷"下拐点渐显，关注出海及 转型机遇》 - 2025.11.26 建材行业报告 （2025.12.01-2025.12.07） 需求逐步进入淡季，期待地产及化债政策落地 投资要点 12 月 2 日，国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁在《党建》杂志发布《深 入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神，以高质量发展新成效谱写中国 式现代化新篇章》署名文章。文章中提到要提高防范化 ...

周期半月谈 - 聚焦资源品与行业自律 20251207 摘要 有色金属价格将轮动上涨，降息和去美元化长期趋势不变，但短期受风 险偏好扰动。黄金市场前景乐观，受央行购金、ETF 购进及黄金代币化 推动，预计 2026 年黄金价格上涨空间可期，黄金股票估值具吸引力。 铜价短期暴涨因美国关税预期导致 LME 和 COMEX 价差扩大，美国市场 定价脱离基本面。2026 年美国虹吸效应或使非美地区面临紧仓风险， 但若 LME 挤仓或关税预期下降，美国可能重回基本面定价，带来阶段性 过剩风险。 铝价跟随铜价走势，全球电力紧张影响供应。国内产能见顶、海外能源 成本高企及投资周期约束使全球电解铝供应弹性减弱，预计 2025- 2030 年供给增速持续下滑，需牛市强化价格激励，偶发事件亦推动铝 价。 建材行业普遍经历盈利压力下的供给收缩，推荐消费建材和玻纤龙头。 细分赛道企业通过产品差异化获得超额利润，浮法玻璃龙头有望通过自 发冷修实现供给平衡并带动盈利修复。 Q&A 对于有色金属行业的整体看法是什么？ 我们继续保持对有色金属市场的乐观态度，认为其行情将持续波澜壮阔。受益 于江西地区的发展以及中美两国在 2026 年的积极财 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights three main directions: overseas expansion, AI new materials, and domestic demand in the real estate chain, characterized by "rationality and restraint" with short-term fluctuations rather than trend changes [12][13] - In the AI materials sector, domestic and international manufacturers are rapidly entering the market, leading to high-frequency positive and negative feedback. A "steady response" approach is recommended, with a focus on diversified product offerings [13] - The lithium battery sector is identified as a potential area for improvement, with notable advancements in the lithium copper foil business of Copper Crown Copper Foil and the lithium diaphragm business of China Materials Technology [3][13] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Discussion - The AI new materials sector is experiencing rational market behavior, with no significant upward adjustments in valuations or profit expectations for ongoing testing and development projects [12] - The report suggests that a "material supermarket" approach is safer than a "specialty store" model due to rapid changes in downstream industries [13] 2. Cyclical Linkage - Cement: The national average price is 355 RMB/t, down 70 RMB/t year-on-year, with a slight increase of 5 RMB/t month-on-month. The average shipment rate is 44.6% [15] - Glass: The average price of float glass is 1163.86 RMB/ton, up 16.02 RMB/ton, with a 1.40% increase. Inventory levels have increased slightly [15] - Concrete: The capacity utilization rate for concrete mixing stations is 8.15%, up 0.46 percentage points [15] 3. Market Performance (1201-1205) - The construction materials index increased by 2.61%, with notable performances in glass manufacturing (2.10%) and fiberglass (5.22%) [19] - The report indicates that the market is experiencing a mix of price increases and stability across various segments, with specific attention to the performance of leading companies in overseas markets [14][19] 4. Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices have increased by 1.3% this week, particularly in East and Southwest regions, driven by rising production costs and limited time for price adjustments [29] - The float glass market is experiencing mixed price movements, with regional variations and a focus on inventory management as year-end approaches [43][44] 5. Important Developments - Recent announcements include a capital increase plan by Zhongda An and a contract signed by China Materials International for a mining project worth 2.7 billion RMB [5]

Group 1 - The A-share market opened with mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.1%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.55% [1] - Sectors such as automotive disassembly, fiberglass, and HBM saw significant gains, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, forestry, and iron ore experienced declines [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities suggests that the market may exhibit a balanced characteristic with a focus on mid-cap blue chips, while small-cap growth stocks may show weakness [1] - The firm emphasizes selecting sectors with improving marginal prosperity, particularly those benefiting from global supply reshaping, policy stimulus, and structural upgrades in consumption [1] - Huachuang Securities notes a recovery in industry rotation intensity, with the technology sector expanding towards dividend and "anti-involution" assets [2] - The firm highlights that the Producer Price Index (PPI) has improved from a low of -3.6% to -2.1% in October, indicating a potential benefit for cyclical assets with high weight in dividend assets [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Views - Focus on the expectation of glass cold repairs and emphasize high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] - Cement prices continue to decline, while glass inventory has slightly decreased month-on-month [7][8] - The real estate policy outlook is improving, suggesting a focus on high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials [5][6] Summary by Sections Cement - National cement prices have continued to decline, with a current average price of 355.00 yuan/ton, down 0.65 yuan/ton month-on-month and down 77.10 yuan/ton year-on-year [26] - The cement market is entering the off-season, with a national shipment rate of approximately 45%, down 0.3 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [7][26] - The northern market is experiencing a seasonal decline in demand, while some southern regions show slight recovery [7][25] Glass - The domestic float glass market prices have stabilized after a decline, with a current average price of 60.59 yuan/weight box, down 0.59 yuan/weight box month-on-month and down 15.51 yuan/weight box year-on-year [39] - The production capacity of float glass has slightly decreased, with 218 out of 283 production lines currently in operation, and a daily melting capacity of 156,155 tons [8][36] - Inventory levels in key monitored provinces have decreased, with a total inventory of 59.32 million weight boxes, down 730,000 weight boxes month-on-month [38][39] Consumer Building Materials - High-quality leading companies in consumer building materials are expected to have bottom value, with recommendations for companies like SanKeTree, TuBaoBao, and WeiXing New Materials [6] - From a cyclical bottom and structural optimization perspective, companies in waterproofing and coatings are recommended due to significant supply exits and increased market share for leading companies [6] - If market conditions improve, the expected price performance ranking is waterproofing > coatings > pipes/hardware/gypsum board [6] Special Fabrics - Attention is drawn to the opportunities in AI special fabrics after recent adjustments, with domestic leaders like ZhongCai Technology benefiting from domestic substitution trends [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the AI new materials sector, particularly focusing on domestic leaders such as Zhongcai Technology and Tongguan Copper Foil, which are expected to maintain a technological edge and product reserves [1][11]. Core Insights - The demand for AI new materials is increasing, with a notable distinction between the Google chain and NV chain, leading to differences in quantity, suppliers, and generational products. Cost-effectiveness is prioritized, especially in materials like fiberglass cloth and copper foil [1][11]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic substitution in the market, particularly in response to statements from Mitsui Mining and Manufacturing, indicating a shift in production dynamics among Japanese material companies [1][11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of balancing profitability, capacity, and customer relationships in the context of limited domestic supply capabilities, suggesting that domestic players are currently in a follower position rather than a leading one [1][11]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The focus this week is on the Google chain, Mitsui's statements, and the motivation for Japanese material companies to shift production. The domestic leaders in materials are expected to maintain their technological advantages [1][11]. Cyclical Linkage - Cement prices averaged 350 RMB/t, down 78 RMB/t year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 45.4%. Glass prices decreased to 1147.84 RMB/ton, a drop of 20.53 RMB/ton, with inventory days at 30.42 days [3][13]. - The report notes a slight increase in the price of fiberglass, with the average price for 2400tex alkali-free yarn at 3535.25 RMB/ton, reflecting a 0.1% increase [3][61]. Market Performance - The construction materials index decreased by 1.18%, with specific declines in glass manufacturing and fiberglass sectors. The report indicates a need for cautious observation of the cement market due to low demand [16][12]. Price Changes in Construction Materials - Cement prices continued to decline by 0.2%, with regional variations noted. The report indicates a high inventory level in the cement market, with a capacity ratio of 68.13% [29][30]. - The floating glass market is stabilizing, with an average price of 1147.84 RMB/ton, although high inventory levels continue to exert downward pressure on prices [3][42].