A股今日（6月11日）强势上扬，沪指重返3400点上方，创业板指涨超1%；港股亦拉升，恒生科技指数涨 超1%；富时中国A50指数期货盘中亦涨超1%。 具体来看，A股三大股指盘中全线走高，创业板指涨超1%。截至收盘，沪指涨0.52%报3402.32点，深证成指涨 0.83%报10246.02点，创业板指涨1.21%报2061.87点，上证50指数涨0.59%，沪深北三市合计成交12869亿元， 较此前一日减少超1600亿元。 场内超3400股飘红，券商、保险板块联袂拉升，兴业证券、信达证券一度涨停，新华保险、中国人寿涨超 3%；汽车产业链股爆发，同心传动、欣锐科技、金麒麟等均涨停；稀土板块再度活跃，中科磁业连续两日涨 停创出新高；数字货币概念强势，雄帝科技涨约15%，兆日科技、星辉娱乐涨约13%。值得注意的是，今日登 陆科创板的影石创新收盘大涨274.4%报177元/股，盘中最高至187.99元/股，涨幅接近300%，以收盘价计算， 该股单签盈利近6.5万元；以盘中最高价计算，该股单签盈利超7万元。 港股方面，截至收盘，恒生指数涨0.84%，恒生科技指数涨1.09%。个股方面，哔哩哔哩涨近10%，中国人寿涨 超 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a high and then a pullback, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1%. The trading volume reached 1.28 trillion [1] - The majority of stocks saw gains, with nearly 3,500 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets in the green [1] Hot Topics Rare Earth Materials - The rare earth materials sector saw significant gains, with companies like Beikong Technology and Zhongke Magnetic Industry hitting their daily price limits. Beikong Technology achieved a three-day consecutive limit up, while Zhongke Magnetic Industry had a two-day consecutive limit up [4][5] - Reports indicate that U.S. companies have only two to three months of rare earth inventory left, which could impact production if no new developments occur [4] - There are rumors that China has issued temporary export licenses to rare earth suppliers for three major U.S. automakers, with some licenses valid for at least six months [4] Automotive Parts - The automotive parts sector also performed well, with companies like Yingli Automotive and Xishanghai hitting their daily price limits [7][8] - Over ten automotive companies have announced a unified payment term of 60 days for suppliers, aimed at improving cash flow and promoting sustainable development in the automotive industry [7] - This move is expected to stabilize the supply chain and enhance the competitiveness of Chinese automakers in the global market [7] IP Economy - The IP economy continued to be active, with stocks like New Beiyang and Hars hitting their daily limits [9][10] - The Chinese trendy toy market is projected to reach a market size of 110.1 billion by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 20% from 2024 to 2026 [9] - The number of trendy toy consumers is expected to grow from 19 million in 2015 to 40 million by 2025, indicating strong market resilience [9] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Beikong Technology: Latest price 22.75, up 10.01%, market cap 39.97 billion [5] - Zhongke Magnetic Industry: Latest price 66.02, up 19.99%, market cap 29.39 billion [5] - Yingli Automotive: Latest price 3.96, up 10.00%, market cap 62.80 billion [8] - New Beiyang: Latest price 7.84, up 9.96%, market cap 61.74 billion [10]

一、行情回顾 市场午后集跳水，三大指数一度均跌超1%，随后跌幅有所收窄。航运板块逆势大涨，南京港、连云港、宁波海运、宁波远洋涨停。稀土磁材板块再度拉 升，中科磁业、北矿科技涨停。创新药概念反复活跃，众生药业、赛升药业、昂利康等涨停。下跌方面，军工板块走低，捷强装备跌超10%；信创、软件股 下挫，新致软件跌逾8%。个股跌多涨少，沪深京三市超4000股飘绿，今日成交1.45万亿。 | 风口板块 更多 | | | | | 涨跌幅榜 更多 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 航运 | +3.24% | 稀土磁材 | +1.95% | 医药 +0.60% | 动漫 +4.25% | | 中国和东亚输往美国西岸的货柜 | | 中国依法依规对稀土相关物项出 | | 创新药密集获批;龙头出海现成 | | | 海运费率跳涨94% | | 口许可申请进行审查 | | হুম | 」幸醇 | | | | | | | +2.39% | | 南京港 +10.02% | | 北矿科技 +10.00% | | 易明医药 +9.98% | | | | | | | | 江苏自贸区 | | | | ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.44% to 3384.82 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.86% to 10162.18 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.17% to 2037.27 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.42 trillion, an increase of 129 billion compared to the previous trading day [2] Company News - Zhongke Shuguang resumed trading with a limit-up, closing at 68.09, a 10% increase, with a total market value of 99.63 billion [4][5] - The merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang, with a transaction value of 1159.67 billion, is significant as it marks the first "child swallowing mother" merger in A-shares and is one of the largest mergers in the domestic AI chip sector [6][7] - Following the merger, Haiguang Information's total market value is expected to exceed 400 billion, potentially making it the highest-valued domestic AI chip and server company in A-shares [7] Industry Trends - The rare earth permanent magnet sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Zhongke Magnetic Industry hitting the limit-up, while other companies in the sector also saw gains [9][10] - The Ministry of Commerce has indicated that it will approve export license applications for rare earths that meet regulations, which could lead to price increases in the domestic market [11][12] - Silver prices surged approximately 9% last week, reaching over $36, driven by multiple factors including a rebound in base metal prices and increased retail demand in China [13][14]

网:zhouying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130511090001 要闻 BAH A 2025年6月10日 银河观点集萃 责任编辑 周颖 ☎：010-80927635 中国5月 CPI 同比下降0.1% 每日晨报 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 ● 宏观:核心 CPI 延续改善,PPI 同比降幅走阔 -- 5 月物价数据解读。CPI 低 位运行,PPI 仍将承压:年内 CPI 将呈现"V"型走势,预计全年 CPI 同比增 速持平,二、三、四季度增速分别为 0、-0.2%和 0.4%。年内 PPI 改善程度或 有限,PPI同比无法转正,预计全年 PPI 同比-2.3%,二、三、四季度增速分 别为-3.1%、-2.5%和-1.4%。 新能源智造:加大财税政策支持,大模型加速在制造业落地——具身智能产业 ● 链跟踪(3)。最新观点:1)主机:新参与者持续涌入,基于场景应用的新品 比例提升。中短期我们看好具备细分场景快速落地能力的主机厂，长期看好: 1综合技术积累深厚、产品生态格局好的龙头企业;② ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Aviation Industry - Boeing's aircraft delivery suspension has a limited impact on the Chinese aviation industry, with three previously suspended aircraft set to be delivered to Xiamen Airlines and China Southern Airlines. China Eastern Airlines plans to introduce 46 Boeing aircraft by 2025, with about 10 already delivered in Q1. These new aircraft represent less than 1% of the total industry fleet of 4,300 aircraft [2][4] - Market expectations suggest that tax rebates may compensate airlines for the delivery suspension, which has not significantly affected stock prices [4] - The summer 2025 aviation market is expected to see good pre-sales, with non-fuel ticket prices projected to achieve double-digit growth, although current seat occupancy rates are lower than last year [5] Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery sector is experiencing price increases, particularly in Yiwu, while intense price wars among major companies have not yielded expected results. The growth rate for Zhongtong's parcel volume in Q1 was only 19%, compared to the industry average of 22% [6] - The price war may reach a temporary bottom if price increases continue, presenting a good opportunity for investment in companies like Zhongtong, Jitu, YTO, and Shentong [6] - The application of unmanned vehicles in the last-mile delivery is rapidly advancing, with SF Express increasing its investment in unmanned vehicles, significantly reducing per-package costs [7][8] Chemical Industry - The CCPI price index has decreased due to oil price fluctuations and the seasonal decline in consumption. The index currently stands at 44,033 points, down one percentage point from the previous week [9] - U.S. inventory growth in March was 3.47%, indicating potential future demand decline, which may affect chemical product exports [10] - OPEC's decision to increase production may impact the chemical industry, with a focus on supply-constrained products [11] Fertilizer Market - Potash fertilizer contract prices have risen, with ongoing tight supply and demand conditions expected to maintain high prices. The price for potash contracts in India is $349 per ton, up $70 year-on-year [13][14] Refrigerant and Vitamin Markets - Refrigerant prices are rising due to increased downstream demand, with R32 reaching 51,000 yuan per ton. Vitamin E prices are expected to rise due to low inventory levels and production halts among leading companies [15] Precious Metals Market - Silver prices are rising due to increased tariffs on copper and aluminum, while platinum and palladium prices are influenced by industrial demand fluctuations. The gold market is currently volatile, with attention on potential risks to the U.S. dollar's credibility [18][19] Oil Market - Brent crude oil prices have risen to $66.65 per barrel, with expectations of fluctuations between $63 and $67 in June. Despite OPEC's production increase, global demand remains tight [20]

Group 1: Market Performance - Rare earth magnetic material stocks, including Longmag Technology, saw significant gains, with increases exceeding 10% for several companies [1] - Key performers included: - Jinli Permanent Magnet (300748.SZ) with a price of 22.57, up 7.17%, and a market cap of 256 billion [1] - Keheng Co., Ltd. (300340.SZ) at 12.55, up 6.81%, with a market cap of 26.4 billion [1] - Longmag Technology (300835.SZ) at 36.48, up 6.67%, with a market cap of 29.9 billion [1] - Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259.SS) at 54.78, up 5.29%, with a market cap of 184.3 billion [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - China has implemented export controls in the rare earth sector, causing global automotive manufacturers to express concerns and consider relocating some production to China [2] - The introduction of a tracking system for the rare earth magnet industry indicates that export controls may become a long-term policy [2] Group 3: Price Trends and Demand - Since 2024, rare earth prices have been low, but the introduction of export controls has led to a significant price increase for overseas medium and heavy rare earths, stimulating demand for inventory replenishment [3] - The humanoid robot market is projected to create a demand equivalent to a new rare earth permanent magnet market, with potential sales of 10 million units translating to 20-40 thousand tons of rare earth materials [3] - The primary export markets for rare earth products are Europe, Southeast Asia, Japan, and South Korea, with ongoing approval processes for export licenses [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The global electric vehicle market is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to reach 18.236 million units in 2024, a 24.4% increase year-on-year, with China contributing 70.5% of the total sales [4] - Continued policy support and increasing consumer acceptance are expected to drive sustained growth in the electric vehicle market, thereby increasing demand for rare earth magnetic materials [4]

Investment Rating - The report rates the new materials industry as "Positive" [3] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, the new materials industry experienced a strong start with revenue increasing year-on-year and significant improvement in profitability, indicating a recovery in demand and supply dynamics [11][35] - The rare earth magnetic materials sector showed notable performance, with a substantial year-on-year revenue increase and a significant turnaround in net profit, driven by improved supply-demand conditions and strong downstream demand [19][21] - The report highlights that various sub-industries within the new materials sector achieved positive revenue growth in Q1 2025, with the catalyst purification materials sector leading with a 26.6% increase [16][19] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The new materials industry reported a total revenue of 1,544.57 billion, representing an 11.9% year-on-year increase, while net profit reached 87.48 billion, up 32.4% year-on-year [11][35] - The average gross margin for the industry was 14.1%, showing a slight decline of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 0.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [15][35] Sub-Industry Analysis - The catalyst purification materials sector had the highest revenue growth at 26.6%, while the rare earth magnetic materials sector also performed well with a 21.0% increase [16][19] - The superhard materials sector had the lowest revenue growth at 2.1%, with a significant decline in net profit by 33.2% due to competitive pressures in the photovoltaic industry [21] Price Trends - In Q1 2025, new material prices generally increased, with rare earth prices showing significant gains, including a 11.23% rise in the rare earth price index [32][34] - Prices for various materials, such as magnesium ingots and aluminum futures, also saw increases, reflecting a broader trend of price recovery in the sector [32][34] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the rare earth magnetic materials sector is poised for continued improvement in profitability, supported by favorable supply-demand dynamics and government policies [21][35] - The overall sentiment in the new materials industry is optimistic, with expectations of sustained demand growth and a favorable regulatory environment [35]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly focusing on copper and aluminum prices, as well as investment opportunities in the sector [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Recovery**: Since early April, copper prices have significantly rebounded from a low of $8,100/ton to over $9,600/ton, driven by a declining US dollar index and fluctuating tariff policies [2][3]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Three main investment opportunities in the non-ferrous metals sector are identified: gold, rare earth magnets, and mergers & acquisitions (M&A) [1][3]. - **Gold**: The rise in gold prices is attributed to the collapse of US dollar credit, with expectations of significant bond issuance following the maturity of US debt in June [3]. - **Rare Earth Magnets**: A forecasted annual reversal in 2025 is anticipated for this segment [1]. - **M&A Activity**: Strong performance in M&A within the non-ferrous sector, with notable transactions such as Yunnan Copper Group acquiring a stake in Liangshan Mining [1][6]. Important Data and Trends - **Copper Fundamentals**: Global visible copper inventories have decreased by nearly 20,000 tons, with LME stocks down by 15,000 tons, providing price support [5]. - **Production Growth**: Companies expected to show significant production growth in 2025 include Zijin Mining (8%), Tongling Nonferrous Metals (26%), and China Gold International (40%) [9]. - **Valuation Metrics**: Current equity valuations are at low levels, with mainstream targets around 10-11 times earnings, indicating potential for significant rebounds if macroeconomic conditions improve [8][11]. Additional Noteworthy Content - **M&A Developments**: The rapid progress in M&A within the steel and non-ferrous sectors is highlighted, with specific examples of companies like Maanshan Iron & Steel and China National Gold making strategic moves [6][7]. - **Market Sentiment**: The overall market sentiment reflects a cautious outlook due to potential macroeconomic recession risks, but there is optimism for recovery driven by industry catalysts and policy changes [8][11]. - **Long-term Outlook**: The long-term view remains positive for the non-ferrous metals industry, with expectations of tightening supply and demand dynamics leading to higher price levels [11].

Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) - The Beijing Tiantan Hospital has established a clinical and translational ward for brain-computer interface technology, marking the first clinical application of BCI in China. The ward will conduct clinical trials and promote the transformation of scientific research into practical applications [1] - BCI technology is recognized as a key core technology for human-machine interaction and is being developed in various fields including bionics, medical diagnosis, and consumer electronics. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has outlined plans to advance BCI technology and products [1] - McKinsey predicts that the global BCI industry could generate up to $200 billion in economic value over the next 10-20 years [1] IPv6 - The Chinese government has set goals for IPv6 deployment by the end of 2025, aiming for 850 million active users and 1.1 billion IoT IPv6 connections. The share of IPv6 traffic in fixed networks is expected to reach 27%, while mobile networks will exceed 70% [2] - The IPv6 market is expected to grow rapidly, driven by policies, technology, and demand, with significant investment opportunities across the industry chain [3] - By 2025, the global number of IPv6 device connections is projected to exceed 7.5 billion, with China's IPv6+ IoT market expected to surpass 250 billion yuan [3] Genetically Modified Organisms (GMO) - The Beijing Tongzhou International Seed Industry Science and Technology Park will hold a launch event for the "Jingbanxin 1.0" project, focusing on tomato breeding using solid-phase gene chip technology, which has been dominated by foreign companies [3] - The project aims to enhance China's self-sufficiency in seed technology and reduce reliance on foreign technology, addressing high research costs and technological constraints [4] - The gene chip market is in a growth phase, with China expected to become the second-largest market globally by 2030, supported by technological breakthroughs and favorable policies [4] Macro and Industry News - China dominates the global shipping industry, with eight of the top ten ports for cargo and six for container throughput located in the country [5] - Government bond issuance is accelerating, with a 17.7% year-on-year increase in national government fund budget expenditures from January to April [6] - A new high-proportion renewable energy grid control system has been developed in China, addressing the challenge of integrating large-scale renewable energy into the grid [7] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to enhance policies for consumer goods replacement and large-scale equipment updates, with a focus on fixed asset investment projects in energy and high-tech sectors [7]