核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20260127 规模指数中中证 500 指数表现较好，板块指数中科创 100 指数表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 成长指数表现较好。国防军工、电 子、通信、传媒、机械行业表现较好，煤炭、农林牧渔、综合金融、钢铁、 医药行业表现较差。培育钻石、超硬材料、先进封装、光芯片、存储器等概 念表现较好，锂电电解液、六氟磷酸锂、动物疫苗、锂电隔膜、珠宝等概念 表现较差。 市场情绪：20260127 收盘时有 59 只股票涨停，有 13 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日高开高走，收盘收益为 2.58%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 -0.43%。今日封板率 71%，较前日提升 10%，连板率 19%，较前日提升 3%。 市场资金流向：截至 20260126 两融余额为 27254 亿元，其中融资余额 27080 亿元，融券余额 174 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融 交易占市场成交额比重为 9.5%。 证券研究报告 | 2026年01月27日 金融工程日报 沪指震荡收涨，培育钻石概念拉升、黄金股再度大涨 折溢价：20260126 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是国证 2000ET ...

格隆汇1月27日丨怡亚通(002183.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示，怡亚通正坚定向科技驱动型企业转型。公 司通过全资的怡佰电子与兴怡香港平台保障存储产品稳定供应，并与美光、东芝、铠侠等国际原厂深度 合作。在存储芯片领域，公司构建了全链条投资布局：战略投资星火半导体（存储芯片设计），服务长 安、比亚迪等客户；参股的存储控制器芯片龙头联芸科技（688249.SH）已上市；并通过投资上海芯景 铄完善存储模组布局。在算力与信创赛道，控股子公司卓优云智已交付多个AI算力平台；参股企业卓 怡恒通的产品全面适配海光、飞腾等六大国产CPU。此外，公司通过参股伟仕佳杰（00856.HK）、俊 知集团（01300.HK）等产业链优质企业，强化在分销网络与5G/6G通信领域的协同，共同构建自主可控 的产业生态，服务于国家数字经济发展战略。 ...

中证报中证网讯(郝健)1月27日晚间，宏利基金权益部执行总经理、基金经理李坤元在"中证点金汇"直 播间表示，目前科技板块经过过去几年的大幅度上涨后，更考验研究的"深度"，通信、电子及科创50指 数的PE处于历史高位，AI产业链呈现"产业趋势未结束，中小波段或有波折"的特征。 李坤元表示，科技产业趋势行情之间可能有空窗期，但拉长周期，2026年AI产业链行情有望逐步向应 用端过渡，下一轮科技行情发酵窗口或在年内开启，科技仍会有多个细分方向值得挖掘。 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates a slight decrease in the total share of active equity funds, with a total of 26,662.1 billion, reflecting a reduction of 727.8 billion from the previous quarter, although the rate of decline has narrowed [7][8] - The performance of active equity funds in Q4 showed a slight retreat, with the active stock index down by 3.04% and underperforming the CSI 300 by nearly 3 percentage points [12][13] - The allocation to cyclical sectors has increased, with significant additions in materials, chemicals, and oil sectors, while technology and consumer sectors have seen a reduction in allocation [24][20] Group 2 - Fund managers are optimistic about the market outlook for Q1 2026, expecting a continuation of a "slow bull" market supported by economic recovery, liquidity easing, and policy support [28][24] - The report highlights a focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and renewable energy, indicating a shift towards balanced growth and value stocks complementing growth stocks [28][24] - The top holdings in active equity funds include Zhongji Xuchuang, with significant increases in positions in China Ping An, Meituan, and Dongshan Precision [28][24]

观点评述：穿越情绪迷雾，拥抱企业本质 沃伦·巴菲特曾精辟地指出："一个投资者如果想成功，必须将两种能力结合在一起，一是判断优秀企业 的能力，一是将自己的思维和行为与市场中弥漫的极易传染的情绪隔离开来的能力。" 这句箴言犹如一 盏穿越市场迷雾的明灯，精准揭示了投资成功的双重基石。这两者相辅相成，缺一不可，共同构成了价 值投资最坚实的护城河。 板块方面，电子（+2.27%）、通信、国防军工领涨，成为市场焦点；而煤炭（-2.27%）、农林牧渔等 传统板块则深度调整。港股同样强劲，恒生A股专精特新企业指数暴涨3.43%。 今日行情：科技浪潮引领"结构牛"，产业信号点燃市场激情 驱动这场结构性行情的核心催化剂，源自一则重磅产业消息：存储芯片巨头SK海力士将独家向微软供 应最新HBM3E芯片。HBM作为AI算力的关键"高速内存"，此订单被视为对技术路径与供应链地位的权 威认证，直接点燃了A股存储芯片及AI算力产业链的投资热情，东芯股份等多只概念股大幅上涨。市场 风险偏好显著提升，资金正从防御性高股息资产向进攻性科技成长赛道进行战略切换。 1月27日，A股与港股市场呈现典型的"结构牛"特征。主要指数虽集体收涨，但内部分化剧 ...

Group 1 - The overall A-share profit growth is expected to accelerate from 6% in 2025 to 8% in 2026, primarily driven by the non-financial sector [1] - The revenue growth of non-financial A-shares is closely related to China's nominal GDP growth and PPI inflation, with a projected nominal GDP growth of 4.3% in 2026 [1] - The net profit margin (NPM) of non-financial A-shares has rebounded in the first nine months of 2025, reversing a long-term downward trend since 2021 [1] Group 2 - The financial sector's profit growth is expected to remain stable, supported by solid asset quality in the banking sector and improved market sentiment [2] - The cumulative profit growth of industrial enterprises in China was only 0.1% in the first eleven months of 2025, but certain sectors like computer and electronic equipment manufacturing saw a 15% profit increase [2] - Investors should pay attention to potential revisions in profit growth expectations around April 2026, as historical data shows discrepancies in profit growth forecasts during that period [2] Group 3 - The current rolling P/E ratio of the Wind All A-share index has risen above the historical average, leading some investors to worry about overvaluation [13] - Despite concerns, the equity risk premium in the A-share market remains above historical averages, indicating potential for further revaluation [13][16] - Factors such as clearer fiscal support, accelerating profit growth, and increased household savings reallocating to stocks are expected to drive A-share growth in 2026 [16] Group 4 - The Chinese central bank plans to moderately expand the deficit and maintain stable credit pulses, which is expected to support A-share revaluation [17] - The anticipated reduction in policy rates and reserve requirement ratios by the central bank may further enhance liquidity in the market [17] - A moderate expansion in P/E ratios is expected as profit growth accelerates, with historical data showing a correlation between profit growth and P/E ratios [21] Group 5 - The ongoing market capitalization management reforms are changing investor perceptions, leading to increased focus on shareholder returns [27] - A-share cash dividends reached 2.06 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a significant increase, while stock buybacks have also risen [27] Group 6 - Daily trading volume in A-shares has significantly increased in 2026, driven by improved investor risk appetite, with average daily turnover reaching 3.03 trillion yuan [28] - Regulatory measures have been implemented to cool down excessive trading activity, with daily turnover ratios fluctuating [28][33] - The financing balance in A-shares reached a historical high of 2.7 trillion yuan, indicating increased leverage in the market [33] Group 7 - The trend of reallocating household savings towards stocks is evident, with a significant portion of household deposits still available for investment in A-shares [40] - Despite a recent uptick in the stock market, the influx of household funds into the market has not yet reached overheating levels [42][46] - The potential for further inflows into A-shares exists as investors may gradually shift from fixed-income products to equity investments [49] Group 8 - The issuance of active funds has been slow, but the performance of equity funds has improved, potentially leading to increased inflows as market conditions stabilize [53] - The ETF market has seen rapid growth, with A-share holdings in ETFs surpassing those in active equity funds for the first time [58] Group 9 - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to improve supply-demand dynamics and support price recovery, enhancing corporate profitability [64] - The narrowing and eventual recovery of PPI is crucial for the revenue growth of non-financial A-shares, which may lead to stock price revaluation [65] Group 10 - The growth style is expected to outperform the value style in the mid-term, with cyclical stocks likely to perform better than defensive stocks [66] - Tactical preferences lean towards sectors benefiting from innovation, ample liquidity, and narrowing PPI, such as electronics, telecommunications, and chemicals [66] Group 11 - Despite recent declines in financing balances and market turnover, the technology sector's fundamentals remain strong, with expectations for continued growth in 2026 [75] - Metrics for assessing trading congestion in technology stocks include the proportion of trading volume and financing balances relative to market capitalization [78]

1月27日，南下资金净卖出港股6.35亿港元，为连续第三日净卖出。 其中：净买入腾讯控股10.24亿、中国人寿5.11亿、长飞光纤光缆3.54亿、中国海洋石油3.12亿；净卖出中国移动11.47亿、紫金矿业8.42亿、中芯国际5.52 亿、阿里巴巴-W 4.01亿、华虹半导体1.91亿、招金矿业1.45亿、紫金黄金国际1.33亿。 据统计，南下资金已连续5日净买入中海油，共计14.0858亿港元；连续3日净买入腾讯，共计22.7903亿港元；连续17日净卖出中国移动，共计140.4003亿港 元；连续3日净卖出阿里巴巴，共计21.2684亿港元。 | | 沪股通 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 涨跌幅 | 净买入额(亿) | 成交额 | 名称 | | 阿里巴巴-W | 2.9% | -0.57 | 47.26 Z | 阿里巴巴-W | | 腾讯控股 | 1.3% | 8.69 | 33.88 Z | 腾讯控股 | | 中国移动 | -0.4% | -15.93 | 26.36 Z | 中芯国际 | | 中芯国际 | 1.4% | -0.86 | 2 ...

1月27日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报4139.9点，上涨0.18%；深证成指收报14329.91点，上涨0.09%；创业板指收报3342.6点，上涨0.71%。两市合计成交 28949.81亿元，较上一交易日减少3532.21亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超410亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出373.34亿元，尾盘净流入41.39亿元，两市全天主力资金净流出414.34亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况 (亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2026- 1- 27 | - 414. 34 | -373. 34 | 41. 39 | - 173. 55 | | 2026- 1- 26 | - 757. 10 | -324. 59 | - 15. 61 | - 496. 92 | | 2026- 1-23 | - 41. 67 | - 83. 56 | 58. 37 | 119. 93 | | 2026- 1- 22 | - 104. ...

港股通成交数据披露（沪深合计） 恒生指数今日涨1.35%，报27126.95点，大市成交2543.73亿港元。 披露的南向资金成交股中，腾讯控股、中国人寿、长飞光纤光缆分别获净买入10.24亿港元、5.11亿港 元、3.55亿港元；中国移动、紫金矿业、中芯国际分别遭净卖出11.47亿港元、8.43亿港元、5.53亿港 元。 本文源自：市场资讯 作者：智投君 证券简称成交金额净买入额收盘价涨跌幅腾讯控股 0070056.62亿港元10.24亿港元607.00港元12.50%中国人寿 0262817.21亿港元5.11亿港元34.10港元59.70%长飞光纤光缆 0686923.09亿港元3.55亿港元65.15港元37.40%中国海洋石油 008839.47亿港元3.12亿港元23.52港元7.70%钧达股份 0286513.71亿港元0.38亿港元35.26港元-32.40%小米集团－Ｗ 0181015.00亿港元-0.96亿港元35.56港元9.70%紫金黄金国际 0225910.85亿港元-1.33亿港元233.00港元115.90%招金矿业 018187.94亿港元-1.45亿港元38.42港元-22. ...

当市场从开年的热烈中稍稍降温，成交额从近4万亿的高位回落，我们或许需要跳出K线的起伏，从更沉静的视角理解正在 发生的变化。 时值一月尾声，公募基金四季报的集中披露，恰如一本适时打开的投资风向手册。 它记录的不只是基金经理们上一季的"作业"，更像是一面镜子，映照出聪明资金的集体思考与时代脉搏的深层走向。 在红绿交错的行情之外，这些真实的数据与持仓轨迹中，正藏着关于未来更清晰的线索。 线索1：时代的浪潮 被动指数基金成为大势所趋 最直观的变化，藏在资金入市的路径里。 与上一轮牛市主动权益基金主导的格局不同，本轮牛市中，以ETF为代表的被动指数基金正成为大势所趋，"被动型>主动 型"的分化格局持续拉大，甚至重塑着A股的定价逻辑。 2024年三季度，指数型基金持股市值首次超越主动偏股型基金。这一趋势，在2025年四季度进一步强化。 指数型基金股票市值达到4.70万亿元，环比增长3.4%，而主动偏股型基金则降至3.37万亿元，环比下滑5.2%，两者差距从 上季度的1万亿元，扩大至1.3万亿元。 来源：Wind，东吴证券 | | | 最大回撤(均值) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...