HTFX外汇表示，美国联邦储备委员会于6月13日发布的利率决议再次搅动全球金融市场。虽然联储维 持利率不变，但其政策立场显著偏鹰，打破市场对年内快速降息的幻想，引发美元大涨、黄金重挫及风 险资产连锁波动。 美联储最新"点阵图"显示，多数委员预计2024年仅会降息一次，远低于市场原先预期的两次。此外，长 期中性利率被上调，主席鲍威尔在发布会上直言"对通胀下行缺乏信心"，令市场彻底丧失对短期宽松转 向的期待。 市场震荡连锁反应：美元走强 黄金、科技股大幅回调 美元强势回归：美元指数在决议后急速拉升，单日上涨0.8%，突破105.5，创4月以来最大涨幅。美债收 益率同步攀升，2年期国债收益率上行15个基点至4.75%，利差优势推动美元对非美货币全面升值。 黄金闪崩式回调：现货黄金在决议后一小时内暴跌58美元，最低触及2290美元/盎司，日内跌幅达 2.5%，创半年最差单日表现。HTFX外汇表示，市场对实际利率上升的担忧快速升温，迫使多头仓位集 中止损。 在高波动背景下，HTFX外汇提醒投资者重点关注以下领域： 科技股：对利率高度敏感，波动可能加剧； 黄金市场：在政策预期反复中寻求支撑； 新兴市场货币：受美元强势与资 ...

面对不可预测的美国政策以及全球贸易战带来的风险，交易员纷纷避开美元，欧元随之在全球外汇期权 市场中扮演起了更重要的角色。对比美国存管信托及清算公司(DTCC)今年头五个月与2024年最后五个 月的数据，可以看到约15%-30%与美元兑主要货币挂钩的合约已变成欧元。此外，还有迹象表明，欧元 正被用作避险资产（传统上由美元扮演的角色），以及用于押注大幅波动。 ...

Group 1 - The White House indicated that President Trump will make a decision within two weeks, with a significant chance of resolving issues through negotiations, leading to a calming of market sentiment [1] - Oil prices fell approximately 2%, while U.S. oil rose about 0.7%, reflecting mixed reactions in the energy sector [1][9] - European stocks saw gains, with the German stock market rising about 1% and the French market increasing by approximately 0.7% [1] Group 2 - Spot gold decreased by about 0.6%, and silver fell by approximately 1%, indicating a decline in precious metals [2] - Bitcoin and Ethereum both rose over 1%, suggesting a positive trend in the cryptocurrency market despite overall market caution [2] - Analysts warn of potential volatility due to geopolitical tensions, particularly if the U.S. increases its involvement in ongoing conflicts, which could lead to oil prices soaring above $130 per barrel [2] Group 3 - In the U.S. stock market, major indices experienced a limited decline of about 0.2% across the board [2][3] - The British pound saw a slight increase of about 0.2% against the dollar following the release of disappointing retail sales data [6]

贵金属早报 研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/20 价 格 表 现 品种 伦敦金 伦敦银 伦敦铂 伦敦钯 WTI原油 LME铜 最新 3368.90 36.31 1304.00 1057.00 - 9621.50 变化 -22.60 -0.85 37.00 12.00 - -96.50 品种 美元指数 欧元兑美元 英镑兑美元 美元兑日元 美国10年期TIPS 最新 98.78 1.15 1.35 145.46 - 交 易 数 据 | 日期 | COMEX白银 | 上期所白银 | 黄金ETF持仓 | 白银ETF持仓 | 上金所白银 | 上金所黄金 | 上金所白银 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 库存 | 库存 | | | 库存 | 递延费支付方向 | 递延费支付方向 | | 最新 | - | 1242.99 | - | - | - | 1 | 1 | | 变化 | - | 13.96 | - | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 | 贵 金 属 比 价 升 贴 水 、 库 存 、 E T F 持 仓 变 化 以上图表数据来源： ...

在风云变幻的外汇交易市场，选择一个可靠的交易平台是投资者稳健前行的基石。面对市面上纷繁复杂 的平台，如何挑选出真正适配自身需求的优质之选？今天，我们带来四大主流外汇交易平台推荐，为投 资者拨开迷雾，提供清晰的选择参考。 外汇交易平台推荐需综合考量资金安全、产品丰富度、交易成本与服务支持等多方面因素。对于追求全 面服务、注重资金安全与学习资源的投资者而言，FXTM富拓凭借其均衡的优势与稳健的运营，不失为 值得优先考虑的优质选择。 FXTM富拓作为深耕行业超10年的全球顶尖在线交易品牌，近年来深受投资者青睐。平台提供丰富多元 的产品矩阵，涵盖外汇、差价合约、股票、大宗商品等，满足不同投资者的交易需求。凭借优质服务与 卓越产品，富拓已斩获45+行业权威大奖，低主货币点差、低佣金的成本优势降低交易门槛，海量市场 教育资源助力新手快速成长、老手进阶提升。在资金安全方面，多国金融监管与严格的资金隔离机制为 投资者筑牢防线，与劳埃德银行集团合作设立的百万赔偿基金更让资产安全无忧。 福汇（FXCM）作为全球外汇交易领域的头部企业，始终保持行业领先地位。平台受美国NFA与英国 FSA双重监管，交易产品覆盖外汇、贵金属、原油等热 ...

Core Points - NCE Forex demonstrates exceptional compliance capabilities, enhancing market credibility through international certifications [3][16] - The company employs advanced technology and strict privacy protection measures to ensure a secure and transparent trading environment [4][16] - NCE Forex enhances user experience through personalized solutions and efficient technical support [5][16] - Effective implementation of risk management strategies reduces trading risks and optimizes returns [6][16] Compliance and Regulation - The company strictly adheres to international regulatory standards, which significantly boosts platform credibility [3] - Collaboration with regulatory bodies is crucial for maintaining market stability and enhancing transaction transparency [3][4] Technology and Security - The use of intelligent risk control systems and blockchain technology significantly improves transaction security [4] - Data privacy protection measures are in place to prevent unauthorized access, ensuring user confidence [5][13] Customer Service and Support - NCE Forex focuses on understanding customer needs to provide tailored solutions and improve communication skills [5][6] - Technical support is essential for customer satisfaction, with a focus on quick response and accurate problem resolution [6] Risk Management - Identifying potential trading risks is a priority, with strategies in place to monitor market volatility and optimize fund management [6][8] - Regular assessment and updates of risk plans are necessary to adapt to market changes [8] Investor Education - Continuous learning and development are emphasized, with training programs covering risk identification, portfolio management, and compliance knowledge [9][10] - Access to diverse learning resources enhances investors' ability to make informed decisions [10][11]

XAU/USD（黄金） 昨日回顾与ETO Markets观点 黄金周三维持窄幅震荡，凌晨受美联储利率决议及鲍威尔讲话影响，金价短暂下探3363后反弹，日线收带上下影线阴线。美联储虽维持年内降息50基点预 期，但放缓未来降息节奏，叠加中东局势升温，多空因素交织限制波动。当前1小时级别宽幅震荡进入第3日，方向突破在即，日内建议保持谨慎。 关键点位与操作建议 压力位：3423、3400 支撑位：3363、3345 策略：日内观望为主，静待区间突破后顺势操作；激进者可结合M5模型于趋势线附近短线博弈。 三色线交易策略 H1三色线维持绿色，前期3403空单已盈利100点离场。今日以M5模型为主，关注H1趋势线阻力有效性。 EUR/USD（欧美） 昨日回顾与ETO Markets观点 欧美周三震荡收跌，日线录得十字阴线。欧元区经济数据未超预期，美联储按兵不动但维持鹰派立场，美元受避险需求支撑。欧美日内波幅70点，尾盘收于 1.146附近，短期趋势仍偏弱。 关键点位与操作建议 压力位：1.152、1.156 支撑位：1.139、1.134 策略：早盘已下破，建议反弹至1.149-1.150做空，止损1.155，目标30-5 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai is set to implement eight policy measures aimed at enhancing its status as an international financial center, focusing on financial openness and innovation in response to global economic trends [1][4][6]. Group 1: Policy Measures - Establishment of an interbank market transaction reporting database [6] - Creation of a digital RMB international operation center [6] - Formation of a personal credit agency [6] - Launch of a comprehensive reform pilot for offshore trade finance services in the Lingang New Area [6] - Development of offshore bonds in the free trade zone [6] - Optimization and upgrading of free trade account functions [6] - Innovation of structural monetary policy tools through "first trial" initiatives [6] - Collaboration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission to promote RMB foreign exchange futures trading [6] Group 2: Financial Openness and Cooperation - Emphasis on attracting foreign financial institutions and long-term capital to Shanghai, enhancing its role as a financial hub [2][11] - Commitment to expanding institutional financial openness and improving the business environment for foreign investments [11][13] - Focus on creating a more inclusive international financial system and enhancing global financial stability [11][10] Group 3: Technological and Market Development - Promotion of the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation, particularly in the capital market [3] - Support for the development of a technology finance service system to facilitate the transformation of technological achievements into new productive forces [3][17] - Continuous improvement of the financial market structure and internationalization to enhance global resource allocation capabilities [2][3] Group 4: Risk Management and Regulatory Framework - Strengthening financial regulation and risk prevention measures to ensure stability in the financial sector [3][20] - Implementation of a more convenient, open, secure, and intelligent foreign exchange management system [16][21] - Introduction of supportive policies to stabilize employment, enterprises, and market expectations amid changing external environments [21][22]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月18日 陆家嘴论坛主题演讲解读 以高质量金融改革，应对外部不确定性 经济研究·宏观快评 | 证券分析师： | 李智能 | 0755-22940456 | lizn@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980516060001 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 田地 | 0755-81982035 | tiandi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524090003 | | 证券分析师： | 董德志 | 021-60933158 | dongdz@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980513100001 | 事项： 6 月 18 日，2025 陆家嘴论坛正式开幕。中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、 中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清、国家外汇管理局局长朱鹤新出席论坛并作主题演讲。 解读分析：坚定不移深化金融改革开放 中国人民银行行长潘功胜提出关于上海金融中心建设的八项重磅政策，国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽 提出九项金融开放举措，中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清 ...

新华财经北京6月18日电全球市场交易氛围谨慎，中东地区紧张局势升级以及美联储货币政策决策的不 确定性，投资者对股市和货币市场的投资态度转为观望。 美国作为能源出口国，相关市场近期保持上涨态势，欧元、英镑、日元表现不一。美联储预计将在周三 晚些时候公布政策决策，市场普遍预期其将维持当前利率不变，但会密切关注其对经济和利率预测的更 新情况。 此外，由于美国零售销售数据表现疲软，市场将紧密关注美联储"点阵图"，以期从中寻找到何时恢复降 息的线索。 大多数货币随时间推移呈现下跌趋势，短期波动性小于长期波动性。 美元指数在1周周期有-1.14%的跌幅 三菱日联分析师指出，美国的介入可能加速冲突结束，抑制伊朗中断原油供应的动机，进而导致油价回 落。油价下跌将削弱美国作为石油生产国的贸易条件，同时为美联储进一步降息提供理由，这些因素均 对美元不利。 英镑/美元在1周周期表现最差（-0.79%) 图为：截至北京时间，19:15主要货币波动情况来源：新华财经 2024年欧盟家庭物质福利差异显著。2024年，欧盟27国人均实际个体消费（AIC）以购买力平价标准 （PPS）计算，与欧盟平均水平的差距在72%到141%之间。9个国家 ...