Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has undergone a cyclical rise, with certain sectors and styles remaining undervalued, making Chinese assets attractive for global allocation in 2026. Key investment opportunities are identified in four main areas: globally competitive manufacturing leaders, industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, sectors with low valuations and potential for significant fundamental changes, and long-term high-return industries with mismatched valuations [2][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - The current A-share market is experiencing active trading volumes and turnover rates, but there is a notable differentiation among stocks, presenting both opportunities and risks. Some stocks are becoming expensive, while others, particularly in real estate and domestic demand, remain undervalued [3]. - The investment strategy for equities should focus on safety margins and certainty, avoiding blind speculation on volatility. The U.S. economy is not performing well, and potential monetary easing could occur in response to the upcoming mid-term elections, which may influence domestic fiscal policies [3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Four key investment opportunities for 2026 are highlighted: 1. Long-term focus on globally competitive manufacturing leaders, including sectors like power equipment, batteries, electric vehicles, home appliances, chemicals, and machinery. Observations from Southeast Asia indicate a significant gap in infrastructure and supply chains compared to China, reinforcing confidence in China's manufacturing competitiveness [5]. 2. Industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, such as real estate, aquaculture, chemicals, and light industry, are expected to enhance their global market positions and profitability [5]. 3. Sectors with low valuations and potential for substantial fundamental changes, such as chemicals, are noted for their past performance shifts, similar to coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals in previous years [6]. 4. Long-term high-return industries with severe valuation mismatches, including airport and airline services, insurance, and non-liquor food sectors, are highlighted for their high return on equity (ROE) despite low stock attention [6]. Group 3: Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include persistent inflation and sector-specific risks. The undervaluation of the RMB may pressure export industries, and inflation could pose significant risks to the stock market in the latter half of the year. Additionally, long-term risks associated with AI, including its impact on labor and technological competition, warrant attention [6].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a cyclical rise, with certain sectors and styles remaining undervalued, making Chinese assets attractive for global allocation in 2026. Key investment opportunities are identified in four main areas: globally competitive manufacturing leaders, industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, sectors with low valuations and potential for significant fundamental changes, and industries with high long-term returns but mismatched valuations [2][5][6]. Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market is currently active in terms of trading volume and turnover, but there is a notable differentiation among stocks, with some being overvalued while others remain undervalued, particularly in real estate and domestic demand sectors [4]. - The current market environment suggests a focus on safety margins and certainty in investments, avoiding blind speculation on volatility [4]. Group 2: Global Economic Context - The U.S. economy is not performing as well as perceived, with potential fiscal and monetary stimulus expected ahead of the mid-term elections, which may lead to a new economic cycle [4]. - Domestic policies in China may adapt based on international conditions, with interest rate cuts potentially signaling fiscal expansion [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The first investment opportunity focuses on manufacturing leaders with global competitiveness, including sectors like power equipment, batteries, electric vehicles, home appliances, chemicals, and machinery [7]. - The second opportunity targets industry leaders in sectors where supply-demand dynamics are expected to improve, such as real estate, aquaculture, chemicals, and light industry [8]. - The third opportunity involves sectors with low valuations and potential for significant changes, similar to past trends in coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals [8]. - The fourth opportunity highlights industries with high long-term returns and significant valuation mismatches, such as airport and airline services, insurance, and non-brewery food sectors [8]. Group 4: Risk Considerations - Potential risks include inflation persistence, undervaluation of the RMB, and the impact of AI on labor and competitive dynamics [9].

Core Insights - The global trade friction index for October is reported at 104, indicating a high level of trade tensions globally [1] - The monetary value of global trade friction measures has decreased by 7.3% year-on-year and 1.2% month-on-month [1] Country-Specific Insights - Among 20 monitored countries, the United States and India have the highest global trade friction indices, with the U.S. leading for 16 consecutive months in terms of the monetary value of trade friction measures [1] - The U.S. has the highest trade friction index concerning China, particularly in industries such as lithium batteries, semiconductors, and telecommunications equipment [1] Industry-Specific Insights - The trade friction measures are primarily concentrated in the electronics, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and light industry sectors, with the electronics sector having the highest trade friction index [1] - The import and export tariff measures index ranks first among five categories of sub-indices, indicating increased use of tariff tools by major economies in international trade activities [1] China-Specific Insights - The trade friction index concerning China from 19 countries is at 102, indicating a high level of trade tensions [1] - The monetary value of trade friction measures involving China has decreased by 33.2% year-on-year and 7% month-on-month [1]

Core Insights - The economic performance of Zaozhuang in 2025 is projected to be strong, with significant growth in key economic indicators during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1] - The city aims to transition into a resource-based, green, and low-carbon development model, focusing on industrial enhancement and transformation strategies [1] Group 1: Economic Performance - From January to November, 14 out of 16 major economic indicators in Zaozhuang ranked in the top 10 of the province, with 9 indicators in the top 5 and 7 in the top 3 [1] - The GDP growth rate reached 5.7%, consistently exceeding the provincial average for 15 consecutive quarters [1] - General public budget revenue increased by 4.5%, surpassing the provincial average by 3.2 percentage points, ranking first in the province [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus for 2026 - In 2026, Zaozhuang will prioritize industrial economy, urban construction, public welfare, and workforce development [2] - The city will enhance four pillar industries: new energy, chemical new materials, high-end equipment, and modern light industry, while also fostering three emerging industries: artificial intelligence, low-altitude economy, and biomanufacturing [2] - 2026 has been designated as the "Year of Serving Enterprises," aiming to create a favorable business environment for investment and operations [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for all recommended stocks in the consumer sector [11][12][13][14][16][17][21][22]. Core Insights - The report highlights nine advantageous sectors within the consumer industry, including agriculture, retail, social services, automotive, textiles, light industry, food, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals, with key stock recommendations for January 2026 [4][7]. - The report emphasizes the expected growth and profitability of the recommended companies, projecting significant increases in net profits and improvements in cash flow over the next few years [11][12][13][14][16][17][21][22]. Summary by Sector Agriculture - Recommended Stock: Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 154.9 billion, 160.2 billion, and 225.5 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 17, and 12 [11][27]. Retail - Recommended Stock: Shangmei Co., Ltd. (上美股份) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.2 million, 14.0 million, and 17.0 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 24, 19, and 16 [12][27]. Social Services - Recommended Stock: Jinjiang Hotels (锦江酒店) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 9.53 million, 10.57 million, and 11.63 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 28, 25, and 23 [13][27]. Automotive - Recommended Stock: Top Group (拓普集团) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 27.8 million, 34.1 million, and 43.3 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 45, 37, and 29 [14][27]. Textiles - Recommended Stock: HLA (海澜之家) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 21.6 million, 23.1 million, and 24.5 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14, 13, and 12 [16][17][27]. Light Industry - Recommended Stock: Craft Home (匠心家居) - Projected net profits for 2025-2026 are 9.2 million and 12.0 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22 and 17 [17][27]. Food - Recommended Stock: Wancheng Group (万辰集团) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 12.81 million, 20.46 million, and 26.81 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 30, 19, and 14 [18][27]. Home Appliances - Recommended Stock: Anker Innovations (安克创新) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 26.57 million, 31.98 million, and 38.95 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22.5, 18.7, and 15.4 [21][27]. Pharmaceuticals - Recommended Stock: Zhaoyan New Drug (昭衍新药) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 0.61 million, 0.85 million, and 0.97 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 31.8, 22.9, and 19.9 [22][27].

Macro Policy Updates - The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's fifth plenary session will be held from January 12 to 14, 2026[2] - The National People's Congress will convene its fourth session on March 5, 2026[2] Fiscal Policy - The national fiscal work conference on December 27 emphasized expanding fiscal spending and optimizing government bond tools[3] - New special bond quotas will be allocated to regions with high investment efficiency and project readiness[3] - The Ministry of Finance will enforce strict accountability for local government debt and prohibit the creation of new hidden debts[3] Monetary and Capital Markets - The People's Bank of China suggested integrating incremental and stock policies to enhance financial support for key sectors[4] - The 2025 Financial Stability Report aims to improve the investment scale and proportion of long-term funds in A-shares[4] Industrial Development - The National Development and Reform Commission is focusing on optimizing traditional industries and regulating competition in emerging sectors[5] - The industrial and information technology conference highlighted the need for technological innovation and the development of new industries[5] Risk Management - There is a risk of delayed policy updates affecting economic stability[5]

中国贸促会新闻发言人王文帅表示，从行业指数看，在监测范围内13个主要行业中，经贸摩擦措施的冲 突点聚焦于电子、医药、机械设备和轻工行业，其中电子行业经贸摩擦指数居首。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 从国别指数看，在监测范围内的20个国家（地区）中，美国、印度全球经贸摩擦指数位居前列，美国全 球经贸摩擦措施涉及金额最多，连续16个月居首。 今天（29日）下午，中国贸促会举办新闻发布会，公布了最新一期经贸摩擦指数。数据显示，今年10月 份，全球经贸摩擦措施涉及金额同比下降7.3%，但仍处于高位。 从综合指数看，10月份全球经贸摩擦指数为104，处于高位。全球经贸摩擦措施涉及金额同比下降 7.3%，环比下降1.2%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Yunnan Provincial Party Committee has released recommendations for the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the strengthening and expansion of resource-based industries through technological advancements and deep processing [1] Group 1: Resource-Based Industries - The plan aims to enhance the position of aluminum, silicon, phosphorus, non-ferrous, and rare metals in the national industrial chain and supply chain [1] - There is a focus on promoting green aluminum towards deep processing and terminal manufacturing, with the goal of establishing a "Green Aluminum Valley" [1] - The initiative includes upgrading the silicon photovoltaic industry and creating major production bases for leading enterprises [1] Group 2: Phosphorus and Non-Ferrous Metals - The development of fine phosphorus chemicals is prioritized, aiming to couple phosphorus resources with new energy battery materials and create a national advanced manufacturing cluster for green phosphorus chemicals [1] - The plan emphasizes the deep processing of non-ferrous metals and the extension of rare metals from materials to devices and equipment, with a focus on building a national advanced manufacturing cluster for rare metals in central Yunnan [1] Group 3: Mineral Resource Exploration and Utilization - A new round of strategic actions for mineral exploration is proposed to promote the exploration, development, and increase of important mineral resources [1] - The plan aims to improve the comprehensive utilization of mineral resources and strengthen the coordinated development of strategic and advantageous minerals [1] - There is an emphasis on the comprehensive utilization of recycled resources such as aluminum, copper, and platinum group metals [1] - The initiative includes the transformation and upgrading of industries such as mining, metallurgy, chemicals, building materials, and light industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of optimizing and upgrading traditional industries, particularly in the light industry and textile sectors, to enhance cost efficiency, expand production, and improve quality [1] Group 1: Industry Significance - The light industry and textile sectors are crucial for ensuring livelihoods, stimulating market prosperity, expanding exports, and creating employment opportunities due to their large scale and diverse product offerings [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, there is a focus on accelerating product innovation, enriching product categories, and enhancing supply characteristics to achieve diversification, quality improvement, and brand creation [1] - Support for enterprises in equipment upgrades and technological transformation is essential, alongside the application of advanced and suitable technologies to promote digital transformation and green upgrades [1] Group 3: Quality and Standards - The implementation of key consumer goods quality enhancement actions aims to elevate mandatory product energy efficiency and safety standards, ensuring the enforcement of national standards [1] - Strengthening quality support and standard leadership is a priority to enhance the overall quality of products in the industry [1] Group 4: Brand Development - Promoting brand construction and effectively organizing events like China Brand Day is vital for increasing the recognition and influence of Chinese brands [1] Group 5: Regional Development - There is a need to improve the collaborative mechanism for the orderly transfer of industries within the country, guiding the light industry and textile sectors to shift towards the central and northeastern regions [1]

Market Outlook - The market is expected to continue a slow bull trend in 2026, with signs of a profit bottom emerging and ample liquidity gradually reflecting in the performance of listed companies [4][9] - Valuation metrics indicate that the price-to-earnings ratio of stocks relative to bonds is near historical averages, with a low interest rate environment providing upward valuation momentum [9][10] - The Chinese stock market has significant room for improvement in its securitization rate, suggesting potential for further growth [9][10] Industry Allocation Outlook - The report emphasizes a focus on technology, domestic circulation, strategic security, and opening up to the outside world as key investment directions [4][10] - The technology sector is highlighted as a primary area of interest, particularly in AI applications and robotics, which are expected to drive market performance [7][10] - The cyclical recovery is anticipated, with attention on sectors such as high-tech manufacturing, new consumption patterns, and resource scarcity [10] 2025 Market Review - The market has shown a steady upward trend, characterized by a slow bull market, with technology and metals leading the gains [8][23] - Key themes included AI-driven growth, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with significant performance from small-cap and resource stocks [23][24] - The overall market performance has been robust, with major indices achieving over 15% gains, particularly in the ChiNext and Northbound indices [23][28] Profit and Valuation Trends - As of Q3 2025, the overall revenue growth for A-shares has turned positive, with a year-on-year increase of 4.19%, and the ChiNext leading with a 15.74% increase [36][40] - Profit growth has also shown significant improvement, with A-shares experiencing an 11.45% year-on-year increase in profits, and the ChiNext achieving a remarkable 32.90% growth [36][40] - There is a structural divergence in profitability, with high valuations correlating with high growth in sectors like technology, while domestic demand sectors lag behind [42][45] Global Economic Context - The report anticipates a favorable global liquidity environment due to ongoing monetary and credit easing, particularly in the U.S., which is expected to positively impact Chinese exports [9][10] - The U.S. economy is projected to experience a mild recovery in 2026, with inflation trends remaining manageable, supporting a favorable investment climate for equities [55]