Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector, with multiple companies reaching historical highs, driven by rising prices of gold, silver, copper, and tin amid geopolitical tensions [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Zinc Industry Co. saw a peak increase of 8.28%, with a total market value of 8.45 billion [2] - China Uranium Industry rose by 7.32%, with a market capitalization of 155.6 billion [2] - Hunan Silver increased by 7.02%, with a market value of 31.8 billion [2] - Jiangxi Copper surged by 6.50%, reaching a market cap of 228.6 billion [2] - Xiamen Tungsten climbed by 5.95%, with a total market value of 87.3 billion [2] - Yunlu Co. and Western Mining both increased by over 4%, with market values of 13 billion and 76.5 billion respectively [2] Group 2: Metal Prices and Investor Sentiment - Gold, silver, copper, and tin have all reached historical highs, indicating strong investor interest [1] - Analysts suggest that concerns over geopolitical tensions, particularly in Venezuela and Iran, are prompting investors to reassess asset allocations [1] - There is potential for further increases in gold and silver prices as the market reacts to changing geopolitical and trade dynamics [1]

Group 1 - Recent geopolitical tensions have led to simultaneous all-time highs in the prices of gold, silver, copper, and tin, a phenomenon not seen in the 20-year career of BMO analyst Helen Amos [1] - Concerns over regional conflicts, particularly involving Venezuela and Iran, are driving investor sentiment and supporting price increases in key strategic non-ferrous metals such as copper, tungsten, molybdenum, cobalt, and rare earth materials [1] - The U.S. labor market shows signs of significant weakness, with December's non-farm payrolls adding only 50,000 jobs, below expectations, and a downward revision of 76,000 jobs in the previous two months, indicating a potential for two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 [1] Group 2 - The Zhongzheng Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has risen by 1.18%, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Chihong Zn & Ge (up 6.09%), Jiangxi Copper (up 5.56%), and Jinchuan Group (up 5.15%) [1] - The Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF closely tracks the Zhongzheng Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Index, which includes 50 prominent securities in the non-ferrous metals sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Northern Rare Earth Group [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong rally, driven by multiple factors including global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, enhanced monetary attributes, and improved domestic macro expectations [1] - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) has seen significant inflows, with a real-time net subscription of 57 million units and a total net inflow of 473 million yuan over the past 10 days [1] - Analysts suggest that the current non-ferrous metal supercycle is influenced by the "AI leap" and "century change," with historical parallels to significant macro narratives [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) and its linked fund (017140) cover a wide range of metals including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, providing risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [2] - As of January 15, the latest scale of the non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) reached 1.453 billion yuan, marking a historical high and ranking first among three ETFs tracking the non-ferrous metal index in the market [2]

Core Insights - The national production material market prices increased by 1.0% from January 5 to January 11 compared to the previous week [1] Group 1: Metal Prices - Non-ferrous metal prices continued to rise, with aluminum, copper, and zinc increasing by 5.2%, 3.3%, and 2.8% respectively [2] Group 2: Rubber Prices - Rubber prices saw a slight increase, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber rising by 1.7% and 1.4% respectively [3] Group 3: Fertilizer and Steel Prices - Fertilizer prices experienced a slight increase, with urea and compound fertilizer rising by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively - Steel prices showed a slight recovery, with hot-rolled strip steel, welded steel pipes, and channel steel priced at 3521 yuan, 3712 yuan, and 3560 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively [4] Group 4: Coal Prices - Coal prices exhibited slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 777 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.4%, while anthracite and coking coal decreased by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively [4] Group 5: Chemical Raw Material Prices - Basic chemical raw material prices showed minor fluctuations, with methanol and polypropylene increasing by 1.1%, while sulfuric acid and soda ash decreased by 0.4% and 0.3% respectively [4] Group 6: Oil Prices - Wholesale prices of finished oil experienced a slight decline, with 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 0.6%, 0.3%, and 0.2% respectively [5]

Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national market prices for edible agricultural products remained stable compared to the previous week, with a slight increase in production material prices by 1.0% [1] - Average wholesale prices for six types of fruits saw minor increases, with citrus, watermelon, and bananas rising by 1.7%, 1.4%, and 0.5% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices for meat products experienced slight fluctuations, with pork priced at 18.67 yuan per kilogram, increasing by 0.9%, while beef and lamb decreased by 0.2% [1] - Average wholesale price for 30 types of vegetables was 5.68 yuan per kilogram, showing a decrease of 0.9%, with specific vegetables like zucchini, cabbage, and tomatoes dropping by 8.2%, 5.0%, and 4.4% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - Prices for non-ferrous metals continued to rise, with aluminum, copper, and zinc increasing by 5.2%, 3.3%, and 2.8% respectively [2] - Rubber prices saw a slight increase, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber rising by 1.7% and 1.4% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices experienced minor increases, with urea and compound fertilizers rising by 0.6% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Steel prices showed slight recovery, with hot-rolled strip steel, welded steel pipes, and channel steel priced at 3521 yuan, 3712 yuan, and 3560 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.7%, 0.5%, and 0.5% respectively [2] - Coal prices showed slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 777 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.4%, while anthracite and coking coal decreased by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively [2] - Prices for basic chemical raw materials experienced minor fluctuations, with methanol and polypropylene increasing by 1.1%, while sulfuric acid and soda ash decreased by 0.4% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Wholesale prices for finished oil products saw slight declines, with 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline decreasing by 0.6%, 0.3%, and 0.2% respectively [2]

2026 年 01 月 16 日 锌：易涨难跌 数据来源：Bloomberg，Reuters，同花顺 iFinD，SMM，国泰君安期货研究 【新闻】 1. 白银狂欢暂歇，特朗普政府暂未对关键矿产征关税，现货银价一度跌超 7%。特朗普政府决定暂不对 包括白银和铂金在内的关键矿产征收全面关税，转而寻求双边谈判并考虑设定价格底线。此决定显著缓解 了市场对美国采取全面关税措施的担忧。华尔街看好白银中期前景，认为供应缺口、工业消费以及来自黄 金的溢出需求将继续支撑银价，但警示短期风险。（华尔街见闻） 2. 央行：下调货币政策工具利率 0.25 个百分点，今年降准降息还有一定空间。各类结构性货币政策工 具利率下调 0.25 个百分点，各类再贷款一年期利率降至 1.25%，其他期限档次利率同步调整。同时将会同 金融监管总局将商业用房购房贷款最低首付比例下调至 30%。邹澜强调，从今年看，降准降息还有一定空 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期 货 研 究 季先飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012691 jixianfei@gtht.com 王宗源（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03142619 wangzong ...

公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入1454.85亿元，同比下降5.99%，实现净利润 142.80亿元，同比增长72.61%，基本每股收益为0.6700元，加权平均净资产收益率18.65%。 1月16日公司发布2025年业绩预告，预计实现净利润200.00亿元至208.00亿元，同比变动区间为 47.80%~53.71%。（数据宝） （文章来源：证券时报网） 洛阳钼业股价再创历史新高，该股近期呈不断突破新高之势，近一个月累计有13个交易日股价刷新历史 纪录。截至09:36，该股目前上涨2.37%，股价报24.62元，成交4487.31万股，成交金额10.95亿元，换手 率0.26%，该股最新A股总市值达4298.86亿元，该股A股流通市值4298.86亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，洛阳钼业所属的有色金属行业，目前整体涨幅为1.91%，行业内，目前股价 上涨的有120只，涨幅居前的有湖南白银、天力复合、锌业股份等，涨幅分别为8.16%、8.10%、 7.25%。股价下跌的有18只，跌幅居前的有华锡有色、丽岛新材、江南新材等，跌幅分别为1.38%、 1.21%、0.99%。 两融数据显示，该 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: The risk - aversion sentiment has rebounded [2]. - Silver: There is volatility in tariff expectations [2]. - Copper: The strengthening of the US dollar restricts price increases [2]. - Zinc: It is prone to rise and difficult to fall [2]. - Lead: The decrease in LME inventory supports the price [2]. - Tin: It is consolidating at a high level [2]. - Aluminum: It is under slight pressure; Alumina is oscillating downward; Cast aluminum alloy follows the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2]. - Platinum: It is oscillating upward [2]. - Palladium: It is following the upward oscillation [2]. - Nickel: There is a game between industrial and secondary funds, and it is operating in a wide - range oscillation [2]. - Stainless steel: Ferronickel raises the oscillation center, and the market is in a game about Indonesian policies [2]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Gold and Silver - **Price and Trading Volume**: For gold, the closing price of Shanghai Gold 2602 was 1,035.20 with a daily decline of 0.52%, and the night - session closing price was 1035.98 with a 0.04% increase. For silver, the closing price of Shanghai Silver 2602 was 22713 with a 0.41% decline, and the night - session closing price was 23089.00 with a 1.40% increase. The trading volume and positions of both gold and silver futures decreased compared to the previous day [4]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai Gold was unchanged, while Comex gold inventory (in the previous day) decreased by 80,956 ounces. The inventory of Shanghai Silver increased by 9703 kilograms, and Comex silver inventory (in the previous day) decreased by 1,311,010 ounces [4]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The People's Bank of China decided to lower the re - loan and re - discount rates by 25 basis points and stated that there is still room for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate cuts this year [4][6][11][15][20]. Copper - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Copper's main contract was 102,560, with a 1.26% daily decline, and the night - session closing price was 102860 with a 0.29% increase. The trading volume of Shanghai Copper Index decreased by 48,394, and the position decreased by 14,853 [7]. - **Inventory and Spread**: The inventory of Shanghai Copper increased by 13,378 tons, and the inventory of LME Copper decreased by 500 tons. The spread of LME copper and other related spreads changed to varying degrees [7]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The People's Bank of China lowered interest rates; the US employment market remained resilient; the copper premium proposed by Pan - Pacific Copper to Japanese customers in 2026 reached a new high; the copper production of Codelco in November decreased by 3%; the US government may lift the mining ban; Codelco proposed a 1.3 - billion - dollar plan to extend the life of a copper mine; the State Grid plans to increase fixed - asset investment [7][9]. Zinc - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Zinc's main contract was 25090, with a 2.51% increase. The trading volume of Shanghai Zinc's main contract increased by 259257, and the position increased by 22673 [10]. - **News**: The Trump administration decided not to impose tariffs on key minerals for the time being; the central bank lowered interest rates and may cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates further [11][13]. Lead - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Lead's main contract was 17550, with a 0.95% increase. The trading volume of Shanghai Lead's main contract increased by 40261, and the position increased by 7992 [14]. - **Inventory and News**: The inventory of LME Lead decreased by 3800 tons. The central bank lowered interest rates, and the US employment market remained resilient [14][15]. Tin - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Tin's main contract was 433.000, with a 4.80% increase, and the night - session closing price was 418.860 with a 3.27% decline. The trading volume of Shanghai Tin's main contract increased by 187.519 [18]. - **Macro and Industry News**: The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the innovation of state - owned enterprises; Goldman Sachs planned to issue at least 12 billion US dollars in bonds; the central bank lowered interest rates; the demand for AI chips was strong [18][19][20][21]. Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Aluminum's main contract was 24375, with a decrease of 220. The prices of alumina and cast aluminum alloy also changed. The trading volume and positions of related contracts changed to varying degrees [24]. - **Inventory and Spread**: The inventory of LME Aluminum decreased by 0.20 million tons. Various spreads also had different changes [24]. - **Comprehensive News**: China's social financing scale increased significantly in 2025; the Pentagon adjusted the aircraft - carrier strike group, and Iran temporarily closed its airspace [25]. Platinum and Palladium - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of platinum futures 2606 was 609.05, with a 3.43% decline; the closing price of palladium futures 2606 was 478.60, with a 3.41% decline. The trading volume and positions of platinum and palladium futures changed compared to the previous day [28]. - **Macro and Industry News**: Trump postponed the decision on military strikes against Iran; the US mortgage rate dropped to a three - year low; the US planned to establish a strategic reserve for key minerals; the US initial jobless claims were lower than expected; the Chinese central bank introduced measures to support the economy [30][31]. Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Price and Trading Volume**: The closing price of Shanghai Nickel's main contract was 146,750, with an increase of 5,810; the closing price of stainless steel's main contract was 14,415, with an increase of 490. The trading volume and positions of relevant contracts changed [33]. - **Industry News**: Indonesia suspended the issuance of new smelting licenses; China implemented export license management for some steel products; Indonesia planned to revise the nickel ore price formula, lower the production target, and some mines faced fines [33][34][36].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant growth in the A-share market's margin trading and securities lending activities, with new account openings and financing balances reaching record levels [1][3][4] Group 2 - In 2025, the number of new margin trading accounts reached 1.542 million, a 52.9% increase from 1.0085 million in 2024, with total accounts exceeding 15.64 million by year-end [1][4] - By January 14, 2026, the A-share financing balance reached 2.68 trillion yuan, increasing by approximately 156.5 billion yuan within the first eight trading days of the year, setting a new historical record [3] - The financing balance rose from 1.85 trillion yuan at the beginning of 2025 to 2.52 trillion yuan by the end of the year, marking an annual growth rate of over 36% [3] - The hard technology and high-end manufacturing sectors have become the primary focus for leveraged funds, with the electronics industry leading in net financing purchases at 31.78 billion yuan [3] - Key companies in the AI and new energy sectors have attracted significant financing, with Zhongji Xuchuang receiving a net purchase of 16.186 billion yuan, and other leading firms like Ningde Times and New Yisheng also exceeding 16 billion yuan [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For the stock index, the long - term policy support for the capital market remains unchanged. In the short term, pay attention to the market rhythm and adopt the strategy of buying on dips [2][4]. - For treasury bonds, the economic recovery momentum needs further observation, and the capital situation is expected to be stable. The bond market is expected to fluctuate in the first quarter [6][8]. - For precious metals, it is recommended to hold existing long positions, and there are significant risks in opening new long or short positions [9][10]. - For non - ferrous metals, most metal prices are expected to fluctuate at high levels, and specific operations should refer to the corresponding price ranges [12][13][15]. - For black and building materials, steel prices are affected by inventory and demand, and the prices of related products such as iron ore, coking coal, and coke are expected to fluctuate in a range [35][37][44]. - For energy and chemicals, different products have different strategies. For example, rubber can be considered for short - selling if it breaks below a certain level, and crude oil is recommended for short - term waiting and seeing [58][63][64]. - For agricultural products, different products have different outlooks. For example, the short - term pig price may support the near - month contract, while the egg price may have different strategies for near - month and far - month contracts [88][90][92]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index - **行情资讯**: The central bank lowered the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points. In December, the M2 balance was 340.29 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year increase of 8.5%. The 2nd Commercial Space Industry Development Conference will be held in March, and the central bank lowered the minimum down payment ratio for commercial housing loans to 30% [2]. - **期指基差比例**: The basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH for different contract periods are provided [3]. - **策略观点**: The regulatory adjustment of the margin ratio for margin trading is to prevent short - term market overheating. In the long run, the policy supports the capital market. In the short term, pay attention to the market rhythm and buy on dips [4]. Treasury Bonds - **行情资讯**: On Thursday, the closing prices and changes of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts are provided. The central bank announced the social financing scale and money supply data for 2025 and the adjustment of structural monetary policy tool interest rates [5][6]. - **流动性**: The central bank conducted 1793 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on Thursday, with a net investment of 1694 billion yuan [7]. - **策略观点**: The December financial data shows a stable total social financing scale. The economic recovery momentum needs further observation, and the capital situation is expected to be stable. The bond market is expected to fluctuate in the first quarter [8]. Precious Metals - **行情资讯**: The prices and changes of Shanghai gold and silver, COMEX gold and silver, the US 10 - year Treasury yield, and the US dollar index are provided. Trump announced not to impose tariffs on key metals, and the inflation data has an impact on the market [9]. - **策略观点**: The current international gold price is rising steadily, and the silver price is rising rapidly. It is recommended to hold existing long positions, and there are significant risks in opening new long or short positions [10]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **行情资讯**: The geopolitical situation and commodity prices affect the copper price. The London copper price fell, and the Shanghai copper price rebounded after a decline. The inventory and basis information are also provided [12]. - **策略观点**: The sentiment is not pessimistic. The copper supply is in a tight situation, and the copper price is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [13]. Aluminum - **行情资讯**: The decline in crude oil and precious metals prices led to a fall in the aluminum price. The inventory and basis information are provided [14]. - **策略观点**: The sentiment is neutral to positive. The domestic inventory has a cumulative pressure, but the overseas low - inventory and strong spot support the aluminum price, which is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [15]. Zinc - **行情资讯**: The zinc price rose. The inventory, basis, and other information are provided, and the LME announced restrictions on certain zinc brands [16][17]. - **策略观点**: The zinc industry situation has not improved significantly, but the zinc price has a large room for a supplementary increase compared with copper and aluminum. Observe the trends of leading varieties and the Shanghai - London ratio [18]. Lead - **行情资讯**: The lead price rose. The inventory, basis, and other information are provided, and the LME announced restrictions on certain lead brands [19]. - **策略观点**: The lead industry situation is complex, and the lead price may follow the sector for a supplementary increase due to strong macro - sentiment [20]. Nickel - **行情资讯**: The nickel price was strong. The spot price, cost, and other information are provided [22]. - **策略观点**: The nickel has a large excess pressure, but the macro - factors support the price. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term, and the price is expected to fluctuate widely [23]. Tin - **行情资讯**: The tin price continued to rise. The supply, demand, and inventory information are provided [24]. - **策略观点**: Although the tin market demand is weak and the supply is expected to improve, the price is expected to fluctuate with the market sentiment. It is recommended to wait and see [24]. Lithium Carbonate - **行情资讯**: The lithium carbonate price index and contract price changes are provided. The inventory decreased, and the export tax - rebate policy adjusted [25]. - **策略观点**: The lithium carbonate price fluctuates greatly. It is recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [26]. Alumina - **行情资讯**: The alumina index fell. The basis, overseas price, and inventory information are provided [28]. - **策略观点**: The ore price is expected to decline, and the alumina smelting capacity is in excess. It is recommended to wait and see and consider short - selling on rallies [29]. Stainless Steel - **行情资讯**: The stainless - steel price rose. The spot price, raw material price, and inventory information are provided [30]. - **策略观点**: The nickel ore supply is expected to be tight, and the stainless - steel price is expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [31]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **行情资讯**: The cast aluminum alloy price fell. The inventory and trading volume information are provided [32]. - **策略观点**: The cost supports the price, but the demand is average. The price is expected to move sideways in the short term [33]. Black and Building Materials Steel - **行情资讯**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil changed. The inventory and demand information are provided [35]. - **策略观点**: The steel production has increased slightly, the apparent demand has improved, but the inventory is still high. Pay attention to the de - stocking progress and policy changes [36]. Iron Ore - **行情资讯**: The iron ore price fell. The inventory and basis information are provided [37][38]. - **策略观点**: The overseas iron ore shipment volume is declining. The iron ore price is expected to fluctuate in the short term [39]. Coking Coal and Coke - **行情资讯**: The coking coal price fell, and the coke price rose. The spot price, basis, and technical analysis information are provided [40][41]. - **策略观点**: The coking coal price was driven by the market atmosphere and policy expectations. The double - coke price is expected to fluctuate in a range in the short term, but be cautious of market sentiment shocks [42][44]. Glass and Soda Ash - **玻璃行情资讯**: The glass price fell. The inventory and trading information are provided [46]. - **玻璃策略观点**: The glass daily melting volume has decreased, and the cost supports the price. However, the terminal demand is weak, and it is recommended to wait and see [46]. - **纯碱行情资讯**: The soda - ash price fell. The inventory and trading information are provided [47]. - **纯碱策略观点**: The soda - ash supply is under pressure, the demand is weak, and the price is expected to be weak [47]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **行情资讯**: The prices of manganese silicon and ferrosilicon fell. The spot price, basis, and technical analysis information are provided [48]. - **策略观点**: The commodity market sentiment may continue, but be cautious of market sentiment shocks. The future market trends are affected by the overall market sentiment and cost factors [49][50]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **工业硅行情资讯**: The industrial silicon price fell. The inventory and basis information are provided [51]. - **工业硅策略观点**: The industrial silicon supply and demand are difficult to change significantly. The price is expected to be under pressure, and pay attention to supply - side disturbances [52][54]. - **多晶硅行情资讯**: The polysilicon price fell. The inventory and basis information are provided [55]. - **多晶硅策略观点**: The polysilicon price was affected by market sentiment and policy. The price is expected to be weak in the short term, and it is recommended to operate cautiously [56]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **行情资讯**: The rubber price fluctuated weakly. The tire factory's operating rate, inventory, and spot price information are provided [58][59][61]. - **策略观点**: The rubber seasonality is weak. Adopt a neutral strategy. Consider short - selling if the RU2605 contract breaks below 16000, and partially build positions for the strategy of buying NR main contract and short - selling RU2609 [62]. Crude Oil - **行情资讯**: The crude oil price fell, and the prices of related refined products changed. The US EIA weekly data shows the inventory changes [63]. - **策略观点**: Although the geopolitical premium has disappeared, the OPEC supply has not increased significantly. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and adopt a range - trading strategy [64]. Methanol - **行情资讯**: The regional spot and futures prices of methanol changed [65]. - **策略观点**: The methanol valuation is low, and the future pattern is expected to improve. It is feasible to buy on dips [66]. Urea - **行情资讯**: The regional spot and futures prices of urea changed [67][68]. - **策略观点**: The import window has opened, and the fundamental outlook is bearish. It is recommended to take profits on rallies [69]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **行情资讯**: The prices, basis, and supply - demand information of pure benzene and styrene are provided [70]. - **策略观点**: The styrene non - integrated profit has room for upward repair. It is recommended to go long on the non - integrated profit before the first quarter [71]. PVC - **行情资讯**: The PVC price fell. The cost, supply - demand, and inventory information are provided [72]. - **策略观点**: The PVC supply is strong, and the demand is weak. It is recommended to short on rallies in the medium term [73]. Ethylene Glycol - **行情资讯**: The ethylene glycol price fell. The supply - demand, inventory, and cost information are provided [76]. - **策略观点**: The ethylene glycol supply is high, the inventory is accumulating, and the valuation may be compressed in the medium term. Be cautious of rebound risks in the short term [77]. PTA - **行情资讯**: The PTA price fell. The supply - demand, inventory, and cost information are provided [78]. - **策略观点**: The PTA supply is expected to be high in the short term, and the demand will decline. It is expected to accumulate inventory during the Spring Festival. Pay attention to long - buying opportunities on dips in the medium term [79]. p - Xylene - **行情资讯**: The p - xylene price fell. The supply - demand, inventory, and cost information are provided [80]. - **策略观点**: The p - xylene is expected to accumulate inventory slightly before the maintenance season. Pay attention to long - buying opportunities following the crude oil price in the medium term [81][82]. Polyethylene (PE) - **行情资讯**: The PE price fell. The supply - demand, inventory, and basis information are provided [83]. - **策略观点**: The PE price may be supported by inventory reduction. It is recommended to go long on the LL5 - 9 spread on dips [84]. Polypropylene (PP) - **行情资讯**: The PP price rose. The supply - demand, inventory, and basis information are provided [85]. - **策略观点**: The PP supply pressure will ease in the first half of 2026. The price may bottom out when the oversupply pattern changes [86]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **行情资讯**: The live pig prices in different regions changed. The northern farms are waiting for price increases, and the southern market may reduce prices to increase sales [88]. - **策略观点**: The low price and festival effect stimulate consumption. The short - term spot price may support the near - month contract. In the medium term, pay attention to the pressure on the near - contract and wait for rallies to short. In the long term, wait for price drops to go long [90]. Eggs - **行情资讯**: The egg prices in different regions were stable or rising. The supply and demand are relatively normal, and some people are still bullish [91]. - **策略观点**: The late Spring Festival drives the near - month contract to be strong. However, the supply is large, and it is recommended to short on rallies for the near - month contract. For the far - month contract, be cautious of over - valued pressure [92]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **行情资讯**: The protein meal futures prices were weakly volatile. The USDA data shows the global soybean production and consumption situation. The domestic soybean inventory and oil - mill operating rate are provided [93][94]. - **策略观点**: The January USDA report is slightly bearish, but the overall situation is better than in 2024/25. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [95]. Oils - **行情资讯**: The oil futures prices fell. The USDA and other data show the production, consumption, and inventory situation of different oils [96][97][98]. - **策略观点**: The current fundamental situation of palm oil is weak, but the long - term outlook is optimistic. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [99]. Sugar - **行情资讯**: The sugar futures price was volatile. The UNICA and other data show the sugar production and export situation in Brazil [100][101]. - **策略观点**: The raw sugar price has fallen below the support level. The international sugar price may rebound after the northern hemisphere's harvest in February. The short - term downward space of the domestic sugar price is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [102]. Cotton - **行情资讯**: The cotton futures price fell slightly. The USDA data shows the global cotton production and consumption situation. The domestic cotton inventory and spinning - mill operating rate are provided [103][104][105]. - **策略观点**: The January USDA report is neutral. The Zhengzhou cotton price is mainly affected by the domestic market. Wait for price corrections to go long [106].