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商社行业周报:继续推荐高中教育,关注新消费超跌机会
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the education sector and highlights potential opportunities in the new consumption market [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of high school education reform and recommends specific companies such as Tianli International Holdings and Xueda Education, while also suggesting attention to Kevin Education [5]. - It identifies key trends in AI and consumption, recommending companies like Connet Optical, Small Commodity City, and Core International [5]. - The report notes a strong performance in the retail sector during the 618 sales event, with significant growth in categories like apparel and beauty products [5]. - The report highlights the increasing trend of family-oriented travel during the Dragon Boat Festival, with nearly 90% of the top 50 scenic spots being family-friendly [5][6]. Industry Updates - The social service industry saw a 2.5% year-on-year increase in cross-regional personnel flow during the Dragon Boat Festival, with a total of 65.37 million people traveling [5]. - E-commerce platforms like Alibaba and JD.com reported over 30% growth in apparel and beauty categories during the 618 sales event [5]. - The report mentions the opening of the 100th store under the "Fat Donglai" model by Yonghui Supermarket, indicating a significant expansion in the retail sector [5]. Company Announcements - Three Gorges Tourism Group appointed a new general manager on June 3, 2025 [5]. - Guangzhou Restaurant announced a share buyback of 500,000 shares, representing 0.088% of its total share capital [5]. - China Youth Travel Service transferred 17.37% of its shares to its parent company, Everbright Group, without compensation [5].
大消费行业周报(6月第1周):黄金珠宝“以旧换新”政策推动消费转型-20250609
Century Securities· 2025-06-09 01:23
大消费 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 9 日 [T分析师able_A:uthor 罗鹏 ] 执业证书号:S1030523040001 电话:0755-23602217 邮箱:luopeng@csco.com.cn 研究助理:赵靖 电话:0755-23602217 邮箱:zhaojing2@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 黄金珠宝"以旧换新"政策推动消费转型 [Table_ReportType] 大消费行业周报(6 月第 1 周) [Table_Summary] 行业观点: 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] | 一、 市场周度回顾 3 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、 行业要闻及重点公司公告 4 | | | | 2.1 4 | 行业要闻 | | | 2.2 5 | 公司公告 | | [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 计算机 2019 年 Q3 综合毛利率(%) 9.7 综合净利率(%) 6.9 行业 ROE(%) 25.6 行业 ...
大消费行业周报(6月第1周):黄金珠宝“以旧换新”政策推动消费转型
Century Securities· 2025-06-09 01:13
大消费 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 9 日 [T分析师able_A:uthor 罗鹏 ] 执业证书号:S1030523040001 电话:0755-23602217 邮箱:luopeng@csco.com.cn 研究助理:赵靖 电话:0755-23602217 邮箱:zhaojing2@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 黄金珠宝"以旧换新"政策推动消费转型 [Table_ReportType] 大消费行业周报(6 月第 1 周) [Table_Summary] 行业观点: 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] | 一、 市场周度回顾 3 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、 行业要闻及重点公司公告 4 | | | | 2.1 4 | 行业要闻 | | | 2.2 5 | 公司公告 | | [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 计算机 2019 年 Q3 综合毛利率(%) 9.7 综合净利率(%) 6.9 行业 ROE(%) 25.6 行业 ...
朝闻国盛:短期可能迎来“决断”
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-06-08 23:51
证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 09 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 短期可能迎来"决断" 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 【宏观】政策半月观—短期可能迎来"决断"——20250608 【宏观】美国经济将迎来至关重要的两个月——兼评 5 月非农就业—— 20250607 【金融工程】市场有望继续上涨——20250608 【金融工程&医药生物】新质生产力布局全球,一键投资 AH 创新药—— 永赢医药创新智选基金投资价值分析——20250608 【金融工程】择时雷达六面图:本周估值分数下降——20250607 【固定收益】利率为何能突破前低——20250608 【建筑材料】建材传统淡季来临,预计淡季不淡——20250608 【能源】迎峰度夏有望提振电力需求,新型电力系统试点解决新能源消 纳——20250608 【固定收益】利率下行,杠杆抬升——流动性和机构行为跟踪—— 20250607 【固定收益】如何理解央行预告式买断回购,影响几何?——20250606 【银行】本周聚焦—近期多家银行宣布分红派息——20250608 【能源】复盘煤价止跌的启示——历史如镜、照见兴衰规律—— 20250607 ...
A股后市如何?机构建议这样布局
Group 1 - A-shares experienced fluctuations and upward trends in early June, with a focus on fundamental investment logic from June to August [1] - Institutions recommend focusing on traditional capacity reduction, the rise of new consumption, and sectors with high industry prosperity, including automotive, non-ferrous metals, retail, beauty care, and chemical pharmaceuticals [1][6] - Short-term fluctuations in Hong Kong stocks are expected, but they possess recovery potential in the medium to long term, making them worthy of investor attention [10] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for seven consecutive months, with a total of 7.383 million ounces as of the end of May, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 60,000 ounces [2] - Foreign institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs express optimism about the asset allocation value in China, citing favorable economic growth expectations and relatively low asset valuations [4] Group 3 - Citic Securities emphasizes the importance of fundamental investment logic from June to August, highlighting the supply chain for computing power (AI servers, optical modules, switches, etc.) as a key focus area [5] - Dongwu Securities suggests that short-term thematic rotation may continue, with attention on new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, controllable nuclear fusion, AI edge devices, and commercial aerospace [7] - Huatai-PB Fund anticipates an increase in focus on consumption and cyclical sectors, driven by improved Q1 A-share company performance and potential recovery in foreign trade and economic expectations [8] - Huitianfu Fund indicates that the timing for technology growth investments is approaching, with the market sentiment having been released after prior adjustments, particularly in the AI industry chain [9]
【十大券商一周策略】AI产业链或迎反弹!港股是本轮牛市主战场
券商中国· 2025-06-08 14:21
中信证券:规避宏观扰动,回归产业趋势 在三季度末到四季度可能到来的指数牛市的关键入局点前,还将经历3—4个月的过渡阶段。从宏观面来看,内 需和价格信号仍偏弱,还需要看到更多反内卷和提振内需的实际举措;海外不确定性依然较大,后续美国减税 法案落地可能成为海外新一轮市场动荡的诱因。 从市场层面来看,A股小微盘和题材普遍在高位,在经过4—5月的极致演绎后,可能会出现波动。从应对思路 来看,抵御宏观扰动依赖AI这样的高景气度产业趋势,近期北美AI应用端在发生新的积极变化,中国市场不 久也会跟上。跨市场的均衡配置是另一条应对思路,港股的流动性还在持续改善,如果随海外市场出现波动是 较好的增仓机会。 国泰海通:港股是本轮牛市主战场 今年港股明显跑赢A股,背后反映宏观偏弱背景下港股稀缺性资产更具吸引力,类似2012—2014年移动互联浪 潮下港股比A股率先崛起。互联网、新消费、创新药、红利等板块的稀缺资产在港股更集中,与当前AI应用、 新消费等产业趋势相关度更高,即港股资产的稀缺性所在。随着外部环境对风险偏好的扰动减缓,来自基本面 和资金面的修复力量望推动港股进一步向上。 中期来看,政策发力驱动基本面修复,叠加资金面持续改 ...
国泰海通|金工:市场下周或将延续震荡上行态势——量化择时和拥挤度预警周报(20250608)
因子拥挤度观察:小市值因子表现较好。 小市值因子拥挤度 1.05 ,低估值因子拥挤度 0.06 ,高盈利因 子拥挤度 -0.18 ,高盈利增长因子拥挤度 -0.23 。 行业拥挤度:机械设备、综合、商贸零售、环保和美容护理的行业拥挤度相对较高。 美容护理和银行的行 业拥挤度上升幅度相对较大。 报告导读: 从技术面来看, Wind 全 A 于 6 月 4 日突破 SAR 点位,发出做多信号;均 线强弱指数与顶部仍有一定的距离,证明指数仍有上行空间。因此,我们认为,市场下周 或将延续震荡上行态势。 下周市场观点:市场下周或将延续震荡上行态势。 从量化指标上看,基于沪深 300 指数的流动性冲击指 标周五为 0.30 ,高于前一周( 0.13 ),意味着当前市场的流动性高于过去一年平均水平 0.30 倍标准 差。上证 50ETF 期权成交量的 PUT-CALL 比率震荡下降,周五为 0.85 ,低于前一周( 1.15 ),投资 者对上证 50ETF 短期走势谨慎程度下降。上证综指和 Wind 全 A 五日平均换手率分别为 0.82% 和 1.40% ,处于 2005 年以来的 56.33% 和 68.58% 分位点 ...
机构论后市丨预计指数整体维持震荡;关注银行等偏防守板块
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-08 09:58
Group 1 - The liquidity of the Hong Kong stock market continues to improve, presenting good opportunities for increasing positions during market fluctuations [1] - A-shares have shown strong performance, with the median increase in A-shares being the highest since 2022, particularly favoring smaller market capitalization stocks [2] - Consumer sectors are expected to remain a key driver of economic recovery, with domestic policies focusing on expanding domestic demand [3] Group 2 - Investment strategies should focus on traditional capacity reduction, the rise of new consumption, and sectors with high industry prosperity [2] - Defensive sectors such as banking are recommended for short-term stability, given the uncertain environment surrounding tariff negotiations [4] - The overall market index is expected to maintain a volatile trend, with external risks having potentially peaked [3]
本周超120只标的获券商推荐买入
● 本报记者 胡雨 6月首个交易周(6月3日至6月6日),A股三大股指整体呈震荡拉升态势。行情回暖之际,券商等专业 机构也在积极研究、挖掘市场投资机遇。 Wind数据显示,截至6月6日中国证券报记者发稿时,已有超过120只标的被券商给予"买入"评级(含推 荐、强烈推荐、增持,下同)。其中,电子、汽车、电力设备等行业标的相对更受青睐,部分北交所上 市公司也获得券商关注。对于相关行业板块后市投资机遇,券商看好存储芯片产业链、汽车智能化产业 链、电力运营商等方向。 长城汽车最受青睐 尽管近期股价震荡调整,但长城汽车在6月首个交易周仍获得中信证券、上海证券、民生证券、国投证 券4家券商给予"买入"评级,是同时期获推荐买入频次最多的上市公司。新品发力使得公司5月汽车销量 回暖是券商看好长城汽车投资价值的主要原因,在民生证券汽车行业首席分析师崔琰看来,长城汽车新 能源智能化车型占比快速提升,高端智能化路线愈发清晰。 Wind数据显示,包括长城汽车在内,截至6月6日记者发稿时,6月首个交易周已有125只标的被券商给 予"买入"评级,长安汽车、中国平安均获得3家券商给予"买入"评级,孩子王、南京银行、中国神华、 中国海油、兴 ...
兴业期货日度策略-20250606
Xing Ye Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 11:45
兴业期货日度策略:2025.06.06 重点策略推荐及操作建议: 商品期货方面:白银相对坚挺,氧化铝、尿素承压。 联系电话:021-80220262 操作上: 品种基本面分析及行情研判: | 品种 | 观点及操作建议 | 方向研判 | 分析师 | 联系人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股指 | 中美谈话再传积极信号,风险偏好继续回升 本周以来 A 股市场持续走强,资金量能小幅提升,虽然海外宏 | | 投资咨询部 | | | | 周四 A 股市场涨势延续,创业板继续领涨,沪深两市成交额提 | | | | | | 升至 1.32(前值 1.18)万亿元。从行业来看,TMT、金融板块领 | | | | | | 涨,农林牧渔、商贸零售行业领跌。股指期货随现货走强,IC、IM | | | | | | 近月合约基差逐步修复,但远月合约仍处于深度贴水状态。 | | 张舒绮 | 联系人:房紫薇 | | | | | 从业资格: | 021-80220135 | | | | 震荡 | | | | | 观扰动频发,但国内市场依旧表现出稳定的经济和政策预期。昨晚 | | F3037345 | ...