第一：巴菲特卸任前最后一份年报，现金储备再创新高 伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司发布3季报，现金储备增至创纪录的3816亿美元，超越一季度的3477亿美元。 巴菲特5月份宣布，将在今年年末卸任CRO，结束70年的投资传奇经历。自从那之后，伯克希尔股价下跌了10%。 来自其全资业务（包括保险与铁路等）的经营利润（剔除部分投资结果）在第三季度同比跃升34%，至134.85亿美 元。 不过细看下，好像多地的房价才开始放松。以汕头为例，今年是我感受降幅最大的一年。 第三：事关黄金穗收，两部门重磅发布 昨天，两大部门发布关于黄金穗收的信息，明确2027年底志气啊，通过交易所交易标准黄金金，卖出方会员单位或 客户销售标准黄金时，免征增值税。 通过非交易所渠道如银行柜台、金店等购买投资性金条和黄金制品的卖方仍需缴纳增值穗。 也就是说，平时购买黄金的渠道，会比交易所的稍微贵点，里面含穗了。 第三季度伯克希尔录得净利润307.96亿美元，上年同期净利润为262.51亿美元。 这点跟我们合伙企业类似，全资经营的公司算经营收入，资本市场操作的利润算投资利润。 第二：地产利好持续不断 截至10月28日，今年有超200个省市县出台政策超510条 ...

交通运输 上 市 公 司 2025 年 11 月 02 日 建发股份 (600153) ——业绩下滑低于预期，地产销售逆势增长 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 10 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 10.19 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 11.71/9.22 | | 市净率 | 0.5 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 6.87 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 29,546 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,954.79/13,378.21 | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 19.21 | | 资产负债率% | 74.27 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 2,900/2,900 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 10-31 11-30 12-31 01-31 02-28 03-31 04-30 05-31 06-30 07-31 0 ...

该尽快卖房套现，还是咬牙买房入市？在这个问题上，知名企业家曹德旺近期的一番见解引起了广泛讨 论。 曹德旺作为福耀玻璃的创始人，一向以直言不讳著称。他在最近的一次公开交流中提到："对于普通家 庭来说，房子首先是用来住的，其次才考虑其投资价值。在当前环境下，如果自己有刚需，手头有足够 的资金，且能找到性价比合适的房源，不妨适当考虑购入自住房。对于已经有多套住房的家庭，可以考 虑适当调整房产配置结构。" 这番话虽然简短，但包含了对当前房地产市场的理性判断。那么，2025年的房地产市场到底是怎样的形 势？我们又该如何做出明智决策呢？ 根据国家统计局发布的数据，2024年全国商品房销售面积为10.2亿平方米，同比下降8.7%；销售金额 9.5万亿元，同比下降12.3%。这些数据表明，房地产市场确实处于调整期。而2025年第一季度的数据显 示，70个大中城市中，有42个城市新房价格出现不同程度下跌，平均跌幅在3.2%左右。 前几天，我朋友小张愁眉苦脸地来找我聊天。原来他手头有套两居室，买了快十年了，最近听说房价要 跌，正在犹豫要不要尽快卖掉。而他弟弟小李刚结婚，正为买房的事发愁，担心现在买房会不会"接 盘"。"现在媒体上 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the decline of the rental market in Hangzhou, particularly for influencers and content creators, as the boom in the live streaming and short video industry has slowed down significantly [5][7][15]. Group 1: Market Conditions - In 2019, rental properties in Hangzhou were in high demand, but by 2025, the market has cooled significantly, with landlords offering incentives like rent-free months to attract tenants [5][7]. - The number of people in rental groups has decreased, indicating a downturn in the rental market [5][7]. - Influencers are increasingly sensitive to rental prices, with many expressing a desire for lower rents due to unstable incomes [11][13]. Group 2: Influencer Dynamics - Many influencers who initially moved to Hangzhou for opportunities are now leaving for cities like Chengdu and Changsha, as the promise of success in the "influencer capital" has diminished [7][9]. - The average monthly salary for mid-tier influencers has dropped by 30% year-on-year, reflecting the broader industry downturn [13]. - Influencers are no longer willing to pay a premium for desirable rental properties, indicating a shift in their priorities and financial realities [11][13]. Group 3: Housing Trends - The rental market previously thrived on the influx of influencers, with properties designed specifically for their needs, but this trend is reversing as demand decreases [16][21]. - The once-coveted luxury apartments are now less appealing, and many influencers are opting for more affordable housing options [11][21]. - The rise of hotel-style luxury apartments was a response to the needs of influencers, but the market is now adjusting to a new reality where such properties are less in demand [21][26]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the rapid growth of the influencer economy in Hangzhou may have peaked, leading to a reassessment of living and working conditions for content creators [15][27]. - As the market stabilizes, there is a potential shift towards more practical and sustainable living arrangements for influencers, with a focus on cost-effectiveness [15][27]. - The ongoing changes in the rental market reflect broader trends in the influencer economy, where adaptability and resilience are becoming essential for survival [15][27].

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing sector in China experienced a decline in October, with the manufacturing PMI dropping to 49.0%, indicating a contraction in production and market demand, while the non-manufacturing sector showed slight improvement with a PMI of 50.1% [2][3][4] Manufacturing Sector Analysis - The manufacturing production index fell to 49.7%, a significant drop of 2.2 percentage points, marking the first contraction since April [3] - The new orders index decreased to 48.8%, reflecting a decline in market demand [3] - Seasonal factors, including the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival, contributed to the decline in manufacturing PMI, with historical data showing a pattern of decreases in October [3][4] - Despite the overall decline, certain industries such as agricultural processing, automotive, and aerospace maintained production and new orders indices above 52.0%, indicating robust activity [4][5] External Demand and Trade Impact - The new export orders index fell by 1.9 percentage points to 45.9%, highlighting the impact of high tariffs from the U.S. on global trade and Chinese exports [4] Structural Highlights in Manufacturing - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech sectors showed resilience, with their respective PMIs at 50.5% and 50.2%, indicating continued expansion [5] - Large enterprises reported stable performance, with production and new orders indices remaining in the expansion zone for six consecutive months [5] Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose slightly to 50.1%, indicating a return to expansion, with significant growth in sectors related to consumer spending and infrastructure [6][7] - The service sector, particularly in transportation and hospitality, saw high activity levels, driven by holiday consumption and promotional events [6][7] - The construction sector experienced a temporary decline, but indicators suggest a potential acceleration in infrastructure investment due to recent policy measures [7] Policy Impact and Future Outlook - Recent fiscal policies, including the introduction of new financial tools and local government debt issuance, are expected to support infrastructure investment and stabilize economic activity [7][8] - The overall economic activity is anticipated to remain resilient, with macroeconomic policies expected to take effect and further consolidate the foundation for stable economic operation [8]

Core Insights - A-share companies' profits showed a year-on-year growth of 5.4% in the first three quarters of 2025, with non-financial profits increasing by 1.7% [2][5][25] - The third quarter saw a significant improvement in profit growth across various sectors, with non-financial net profits rising by 11.4% year-on-year, compared to 3.8% in the second quarter [2][5][7] Performance Growth - A-share companies' net profits for the first three quarters of 2025 were 5.4% for all A-shares, 9.5% for financials, and 1.7% for non-financials [5][25] - In Q3 2025, the net profit growth for non-financial sectors was 11.4%, with a notable improvement from Q2 [2][7] - The revenue for non-financial sectors increased by 0.6% year-on-year, indicating a slight recovery in profit margins [2][5] Industry Performance - The number of industries with profit improvements increased, with 48 industries (37% of total) reporting a year-on-year net profit growth exceeding 20% [15][19] - The TMT sector, non-ferrous metals, and certain midstream industries performed well, reflecting the positive impact of policy shifts [15][19] - The energy and raw materials sector saw a decline in profit share from nearly 40% in 2022 to 30.5% in Q3 2025 [13][19] Economic Segmentation - New economy sectors showed a profit growth of 12.1% year-on-year in Q3, while traditional sectors experienced a reduced decline of -2.1% [11][19] - Upstream, midstream, and downstream profit growth rates were 4.0%, 10.3%, and -3.1%, respectively, indicating a recovery in upstream profits [16][19] - The performance of the consumer sector was weak due to policy rollbacks and weak demand, with significant declines in various sub-sectors [17][19] Profit Quality - A-share non-financial ROE stabilized in Q3 2025, with a slight increase compared to Q2, indicating potential stabilization after a prolonged decline [25][26] - The cash flow situation showed improvements, with operating cash flow remaining at a high level, supporting dividend certainty for A-share companies [31][33] - Non-financial companies' free cash flow to equity ratio maintained at around 5.2%, providing a solid foundation for dividends [33]

日经GO 东京23区二手房价创新高，1年涨37% 原创 阅读全文 ...

Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for October is at 49.0%, indicating a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a downturn in manufacturing activity [1][2] - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from last month, indicating expansion in the service sector [1][5] - The comprehensive PMI output index decreased to 50.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting overall stability in production and business operations [1] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI has been in contraction for seven consecutive months, matching the longest stretch since August 2015 [2] - Key sub-indices such as production index (49.7%), new orders index (48.8%), and raw material inventory index (47.3%) all fell below the critical point, indicating weakened manufacturing activity [2][3] - The new export orders index dropped by 1.9 percentage points to 45.9%, reflecting reduced demand [3] Price Indices - The main raw material purchase price index and factory price index decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 52.5% and 47.5%, respectively, continuing a downward trend for two months [3][4] - The decline in price indices is attributed to weakened downstream consumer demand and reduced upward pressure from upstream raw material prices [4] Service Sector - The service sector's business activity index increased to 50.2%, indicating a recovery in service sector activity, driven by holiday effects [5] - Industries closely related to consumer travel, such as rail and air transport, showed strong performance with indices above 60.0% [5] Construction Sector - The construction business activity index fell to 49.1%, indicating a decline in activity for three consecutive months, primarily influenced by the real estate sector [6] - Despite the decline, the business activity expectation index rose to 56.0%, suggesting improved market outlook among construction firms [6] Policy Outlook - There are expectations for increased policy support to stabilize market conditions, with potential monetary policy easing on the horizon [7][8] - The anticipated impact of new policy measures, including significant financial tools for investment, may help the construction sector recover [7] Economic Trends - The ongoing demand contraction in the market is leading to an imbalance in the macroeconomic landscape, with supply exceeding demand [7] - Analysts emphasize the need for stronger counter-cyclical economic policies to stimulate demand and support business investment [7]

Market Overview - Amazon shares surged nearly 10% following strong earnings, boosting tech stocks, while major US indices closed higher. Apple opened high but closed slightly down. Meta fell 2.72%, marking a nearly 12% decline in October [3] - The 10-year US Treasury yield dipped by 0.4 basis points, with a weekly increase of 9.23 basis points. The dollar rose for three consecutive days, gaining 0.27% [3] - Bitcoin rebounded by 1.80%, testing $111,000, while Ethereum saw a rise of over 3.9% [3] - Spot gold decreased by 0.55%, trading at $4002, briefly falling below $4000. Oil prices fluctuated due to the situation in Venezuela [3] Key Economic Indicators - China's official manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in October, while the non-manufacturing index rose to 50.1, indicating expansion in three key sectors [22] - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods sectors maintained expansion with PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1% respectively [22] - The new orders index remained at 46.0%, indicating weak market demand in the non-manufacturing sector [22] AI Sector Developments - Nvidia reached a significant AI agreement with South Korean tech giants, deploying 260,000 Blackwell chips to create Asia's first "Industrial AI Cloud" [25] - The AI sector is witnessing a shift towards off-balance-sheet financing, with companies like Meta raising $30 billion through special purpose vehicles (SPVs) [26] Company Performance - The "hottest AI sector" saw mixed results, with "Yizhongtian" experiencing significant growth, while only Zhongji Xuchuang met high expectations with a steady increase in revenue and profit margins [23] - The lithium battery industry reported a notable recovery, with a 32.86% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters, driven by surging demand in energy storage [30] International Relations Impact - Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of open development and economic globalization during the APEC meeting, proposing five key suggestions to maintain trade stability and promote inclusive growth [20] - The meeting between Xi and Canadian Prime Minister Carney highlighted the need for mutual understanding and cooperation in various sectors, including trade and energy [20]

Economic Overview - Singapore's economy grew by 2.9% year-on-year in Q3 2025, a decrease from the revised 4.4% growth in Q2, but still above market expectations of 2% [1] - The quarterly seasonally adjusted growth was 1.3%, slightly lower than Q2's 1.5%, indicating a continued recovery trend [1] Sector Performance - Manufacturing sector growth was nearly stagnant in Q3, significantly down from 5.5% in Q2, primarily due to declines in biomedical manufacturing and general manufacturing output [1] - However, the manufacturing sector showed a positive change with a 6.1% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q3, indicating adaptation to market changes [1] Construction Industry - The construction industry experienced a 3.1% year-on-year growth in Q3, a significant slowdown compared to Q2 [2] - Despite growth from public and private sector construction, the industry faced short-term pressure with a 1.2% quarter-on-quarter contraction in Q3 [2] Services Sector - The services sector showed mixed performance, with wholesale and retail trade, and transportation and warehousing growing by 2.5% year-on-year, down from 4.9% in Q2 [2] - Core service sectors such as information and communication, finance and insurance, and professional services maintained robust growth at 4.4%, consistent with Q2's performance [2] Other Services - Other service sectors, including accommodation and food services, real estate, and administrative support, grew by 4.1% year-on-year, stable compared to Q2 [3] - The recovery of international tourist numbers significantly boosted the accommodation sector, supported by stable domestic consumption [3] Economic Outlook - Despite the resilience shown in Q3, global economic uncertainties remain a significant risk factor [3] - The Monetary Authority of Singapore decided to maintain the nominal effective exchange rate policy to balance potential inflation risks with economic growth uncertainties [3] - Long-term economic growth in Singapore will continue to be influenced by global economic conditions, trade tensions, and policy adjustments in major economies [3]