新政还提出支持居民置换改善需求，规定自2026年1月1日起，对上海市户籍居民家庭中的子女成年后， 购买住房属于成年子女家庭唯一住房的，暂免征收个人住房房产税。即对购房人于未成年时（或于上海 市个人住房房产税试点前）已与父母、（外）祖父母共同拥有住房的，在上海市新购或置换住房后，该 住房仍属于成年子女家庭唯一住房的（除上述共同拥有住房外），暂免征收个人住房房产税。陈文静表 示，这体现出房产税政策的调整也更加精细化，精准适配支持购房需求。 政策一发布，上海楼市立刻有了积极变化。上海某房产中介买卖经纪人张廷锋说，他所负责的板块，外 地户籍的购房者占比30%左右，属于上海外环性价比很高的一个改善性板块。政策刚一出台，不少此前 一直关注上海楼市的购房者立刻把电话打了过来。 张廷锋说："本次新政出台后，有很多以前看过房子的客户来咨询政策细节，特别有一个客户社保已经 满了两年，按照之前的政策还需要等一年他才能买房，出了新政以后他随时可以买房。目前店里的经纪 人都在忙着回复客户的咨询，不少客户已经开始预约这周末的看房了。" 具体来看，新政包含三方面共七条具体措施，比如进一步调减住房限购政策、优化住房公积金贷款政 策、完善个人 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - frequency economic data focuses on four aspects: production seasonally cools down; the Spring Festival movie box - office drops nearly 40% year - on - year while tourist trips and spending hit new highs due to an extra holiday day; overall prices decline with oil, coking coal, and rebar prices falling, non - ferrous prices rising slightly, and agricultural products entering a seasonal downward trend; affected by the Spring Festival, subway ridership and peak congestion index in first - tier cities are low, while flight volume is high. Short - term attention should be paid to the progress of front - loaded fiscal efforts and the recovery of the real estate market [2][31]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Production: Seasonal Obvious Cooling - Steel: In the week of February 20, the coke oven capacity utilization rate decreased by 0.11 pct, the blast furnace operating rate increased by 0.6 pct, and the rebar output increased by 1.22 tons. The inventory of rebar increased by 57.48 tons [9]. - Petroleum Asphalt: In the week of February 11, the operating rate of domestic petroleum asphalt plants decreased by 2.8 pct at a low level [9]. - Chemicals: On February 24, the PX operating rate remained flat compared with the previous week, while the PTA operating rate decreased by 3.86 pct [9]. - Automobile Tires: In the week of February 19, the full - steel tire operating rate decreased by 28.2 pct, and the semi - steel tire operating rate decreased by 45.2 pct [10]. Demand: Spring Festival Tourism and Consumption Hit New Highs, Movie Box - Office Drops Significantly Year - on - Year - Real Estate: In the week of February 22, the commercial housing transaction area decreased, the inventory - to - sales ratio increased significantly, the land supply area dropped sharply, and the residential land transaction premium rate decreased [13]. - Movie Box - Office: In 2026, the Spring Festival movie box - office was 5.752 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 39.5%; the number of moviegoers was 120 million, a year - on - year decrease of 35.8% [13]. - Tourism Consumption: Due to an extra day of the Spring Festival holiday, the number of tourist trips and spending both hit new highs. During the 9 - day Spring Festival holiday, there were 596 million domestic tourist trips and the total domestic tourism spending was 803.483 billion yuan [14]. - Automobile Sales: In the week of February 8, the average daily retail sales of passenger cars decreased by 9,218 units, and the average daily wholesale sales decreased by 15,720 units [18]. - Shipping Freight Rates: In the week of February 13, the SCFI index decreased by 1.19%, and the CCFI index decreased by 3.03%. On February 24, the BDI index increased by 1.62% compared with the previous week [20]. Prices: Non - ferrous Prices Rise, Agricultural Products Enter a Seasonal Downward Trend - Energy: On February 24, the Brent crude oil price decreased by 1.38% to $70.77 per barrel [22]. - Coking Coal: On February 24, the coking coal futures price decreased by 1.74% to 1,100.5 yuan per ton [22]. - Metals: On February 24, the LME copper, aluminum, and zinc futures prices increased by 1.78%, 0.26%, and 0.15% respectively, while the domestic rebar futures price decreased by 0.98% [23]. - Agricultural Products: On February 24, the overall agricultural product price declined, with the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index decreasing by 0.81%. The prices of pork, eggs, vegetables, and fruits changed by - 0.17%, - 2.46%, - 2.33%, and + 1.50% respectively compared with before the festival [25]. Logistics: Flight Volume is High, Spring Festival Personnel Flow Hits a New High - Subway Ridership: On February 24, the seven - day moving average of subway ridership in Beijing decreased by 125.34 million person - times, a week - on - week decrease of 18.32%; in Shanghai, it decreased by 171.29 million person - times, a week - on - week decrease of 23.57% [26]. - Personnel Flow: During the 2026 Spring Festival holiday, the cross - regional personnel flow in the whole society reached 2.81 billion person - times, a new high. The daily average was 310 million person - times, an 8.2% increase compared with the same period last year [29]. - Flight Volume: On February 24, the seven - day moving average of domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) flight volume increased by 3.37%, that of domestic (Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) increased by 1.08%, and that of international flights increased by 0.35% [29]. - Urban Traffic: On February 24, the seven - day moving average of the peak congestion index in first - tier cities decreased by 5.79% compared with the previous week [29].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion HKD, with net inflows of 484 million HKD recorded in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - The US stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 0.63%, S&P 500 up 0.81%, and Nasdaq up 1.26%, driven by Nvidia's strong earnings report [2] Sector Performance - In Hong Kong, local real estate, software, and 5G concept sectors faced significant declines, while gold stocks performed well [1] - The technology sector showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Technology Index slightly down by 0.19% [1] - In the US, major tech stocks like Microsoft and Facebook saw gains, while the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.47% [2] Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of "self-reliance in technology" and AI applications as key themes for future growth in the Hong Kong stock market, suggesting that leading companies in these sectors may see long-term development opportunities [3] - The recent policies from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding national computing power and communication infrastructure are expected to boost domestic computing and communication sectors [3] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic consumption, such as sports apparel and non-essential services, as well as undervalued central state-owned enterprises with high dividends [3] Key Company Highlights - Haidilao (6862.HK) led the Hang Seng Index component stocks with a gain of 6.2%, while HSBC Holdings (0005.HK) and Longfor Group (0960.HK) rose by 5.5% and 4.6%, respectively [1] - The report notes that the recent adjustments in Shanghai's real estate policies are expected to release pent-up demand, benefiting core area property companies and their supply chains, such as Longfor Group and China Resources Land [10] - The Hong Kong government announced plans to issue licenses for stablecoin issuers and establish a committee focused on AI and industry development, which could benefit sectors related to digital assets and fintech [11]

2月25日，上海正式发布2026年首个房地产新政——"沪七条"，旨在更好满足居民刚性和改善性住房需求。该政策由市住建委、市房管局等部门联合印发， 涉及限购、公积金及房产税三大领域调整，并将于2月26日起施行。 此次调整中，非沪籍居民购买外环内住房的社保或个税缴纳年限由"连续满3年"缩短至"满1年"；连续缴纳满3年及以上者，可在执行现有限购政策基础上， 于外环内增购1套住房。 公积金政策大幅优化，首套房公积金贷款最高额度由160万元提升至240万元，叠加多子女家庭及绿色建筑上浮政策后，家庭最高可贷324万元。此外，对已 结清公积金贷款的缴存人家庭，若上海名下无房或仅有一套，再次购房时可重新申请公积金贷款。 房产税方面，对户籍家庭中的成年子女，若新购住房为其家庭唯一住房（不含未成年时与父母共有的住房），暂免征收个人住房房产税，支持置换改善需 求。 业内分析认为，新政在释放刚需及改善型购房活力的同时，也将直接带动家装、家居等下游消费市场，为2026年上海家居行业带来积极预期。 ...

【南华观点】特朗普 2026 年第二任期首次国情咨文演讲，不仅是其化解执政危机、为国 会中期选举造势的核心政治动作，更是决定 2026 年全球宏观定价逻辑、大类资产走势与 跨境资本流动的核心风向标，其政策表态直接牵动美元信用、全球贸易体系与金融市场风 险偏好。本次演讲是在特朗普执政多重风险集中爆发的背景下落地，核心关税政策被美国 最高法院釜底抽薪式否决、支持率跌至第二任期谷底、政府部分停摆与两党极化加剧，叠 加中期选举的关键时间窗口，决定了本次演讲的政策表态兼具危机对冲与政治博弈的双重 属性，也为全球金融市场埋下了短期情绪波动与长期不确定性的双重伏笔。演讲核心的金 融相关政策中，最受市场关注的关税体系重构，特朗普正面回应司法危机，给出以《1974 年贸易法》为核心的替代法律框架，推出 150 天 15% 的全球临时进口关税，配套 301、 232 条款构建长期关税体系，短期对冲了财政收入缺口，却并未消除政策的长期不可预测 性，临时关税的到期风险、专项调查的边界模糊，将延后企业资本开支、扰动全球供应链 修复，加剧市场对通胀反弹的担忧，进而打乱美联储货币政策的宽松节奏，为美元指数、 美债收益率带来持续波动压力。与 ...

香港特区政府财政司司长陈茂波25日发表新一份财政预算案。他宣布，秉持"能者多付"原则，1亿港元 以上的住宅物业交易印花税税率，将由4.25%调高至6.5%，影响约0.3%的住宅物业交易，估计每年可为 特区政府增加约10亿港元收入。措施将于条例修订草案获通过后，追溯至2月26日开始生效。 ...

上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进指出，在今年前两月房地产市场总体向好的背景下，此类增量政策将发挥积极效应，进一步促进房地产市场 的平稳健康发展。 调减住房限购政策，满足多样化住房需求 2026年开年，上海楼市迎来新一轮楼市新政。 2月25日，上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、市公积金管理中心等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房 地产政策的通知》（以下简称"新七条"），并自2026年2月26日起施行。此次新政涉及限购政策调减、公积金政策优化和完善个人住房房产税政策 等三大项内容。 上海中原地产分析师卢文曦指出，当前中高端改善需求较为明显，尤其是新房，特别讲究地段，政策精准释放这些买家的需求。其次，对社保满3 年的非户籍家庭或单身人士可以在外环内增购1套住房。多一张房票给买家更多灵活操作空间。 | 调整前 | 调整后 | | --- | --- | | 1年社保可购外环外的住房 | 1年社保可购全市的住房 | 新政明确，调减非沪籍居民购房缴纳社保年限。对非本市户籍居民家庭或成年单身人士购买外环内住房的，购房所需缴纳社会保险或个人所得税 的年限从目前"满3年及以上"调减为"满1年及以 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2026-02-26 地产新政出台，沪指冲⾼回落 股指期货：地产新政出台，交易主线散乱。 股指期权：短期波动预期降低，视⻆可转向中期温涨。 国债期货：政策及⻛险偏好扰动，债市下跌。 股指期货方面，地产新政出台，交易主线散乱。周三沪指冲高回落， 上行出现阻力，中小盘股占优。变盘发生在午间，上海发布楼市新政，降 低购房的社保年限门槛，板块出现轮动。结合同时段各行业的走势，周期 板块集中止盈，包含石油石化、化工、煤炭，而地产链的建材、房地产相 对抗跌。其他主线缺乏，小概念轮动为主，如商业航天、有色稀土等受事 件驱动。主线散乱状态下，上方高度或受限，但随着节后A股量能有所恢 复，流动性充裕、商品联动风险消退，两会以前政策看涨期权仍有效，仍 以IM多单配置，等待会期。 股指期权方面，短期波动预期降低，视角可转向中期温涨。昨日标的 市场继续上涨，中小盘相关品种相对涨幅更大，期权市场成交量有小幅上 行，但未回到近期高位，结合各品种隐含波动率普遍进一步下探，可以推 测当前市场交易逻辑逐渐从对冲和博弈转向中期布局，短期波动预期大大 降低。而从持仓 ...

专题：四大证券报精华 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中国证券报 近期，港股市场显著分化。一方面，恒生科技指数震荡回落，部分互联网龙头持续调整；另一方面，以 智谱、MiniMax为代表的人工智能（AI）公司股价近期表现强势，尽管2月25日出现调整，但资金关注 度明显提升。 公募积极布局港股 科技与周期品种仍是投资主线 春节期间，市场对人形机器人的讨论热度不减。随着具身智能技术快速发展，人形机器人正在一步步从 实验室走向生活场景。与此同时，配套的风险兜底需求同步增多。目前，多家大型财险公司已布局相关 业务，让人形机器人也能有自己的保单。 上海证券报 上海出台楼市新政 进一步调减住房限购政策 公积金贷款额度提高 房产税暂免征扩围 人形机器人上保险 风险轮廓还需摸得清 2月25日，上海市住房和城乡建设管理委员会、上海市房屋管理局等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化 调整本市房地产政策的通知》（以下简称《通知》），内容涉及进一步调减住房限购政策、优化住房公 积金贷款政策、完善个人住房房产税政策等内容。《通知》自2026年2月26日起施行。 有色和化工板块联袂大涨 春季行情主线渐明 ...

票据的定价(包括本金总额、发售价及利率)将由Citigroup Global Markets Limited及海通国际证券(作为建 议票据发行的联席全球协调人、联席账簿管理人及联席牵头经办人)透过入标定价活动厘定。在票据条 款落实后，预期发行人、公司及当中名列的初始买方将订立购买协议。发行人及公司拟将建议票据发行 所得款项净额用于为同步2026年购买要约提供资金、现有债务再融资及一般企业用途。 格隆汇2月26日丨新城发展(01030.HK)发布公告，公司子公司New Metro Global Limited新城环球有限公 司建议进行由公司担保以美元计值的担保优先票据的国际发售，并将向机构投资者开展一连串推介会。 ...