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多项全球占比过半!中国有色金属产量一览
天天基金网· 2025-06-05 11:17
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant role of China in the global rare earth market, with a projected production share of 69.23% in 2024, indicating strong market influence and potential for growth in demand due to advancements in sectors like electric vehicles and wind power [1]. Group 1: Rare Earth and Metal Production - The rare earth sector saw a notable increase of 3.52%, attracting market attention [1]. - According to USGS, China's rare earth production is expected to dominate the global market, reinforcing its strategic importance [1]. - Citic Securities anticipates sustained growth in demand for rare earth permanent magnet materials, benefiting the sector amid strict national resource controls, which may stabilize prices and enhance profitability for companies in this space [1]. Group 2: Other Metals and China's Position - China also leads in the production of tungsten, vanadium, cobalt, and antimony, with production shares exceeding 50%, particularly tungsten at 82.72%, showcasing significant industry chain advantages [1]. - In basic metals, China is the largest producer of electrolytic aluminum, with a projected 2024 production share of 59.72%, and also holds over 30% shares in lead and zinc production [1]. - However, China faces challenges in copper production, with a 2024 output of 1.8 million tons, accounting for only 7.83% of global production, due to issues like small scale, low grade, and high extraction costs [1].
有色金属篇:结构之变:新一轮供给侧的供需耦合
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 12:14
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the previous supply - side reform, the problems faced by the non - ferrous sector were much smaller than those of the black sector [2][6] - The 656th Document established the "ceiling" for electrolytic aluminum production capacity, ending the dilemma of continuous growth despite repeated regulations [3][38] - Compared with the black sector, the supply - demand balance of the non - ferrous metal industry is relatively healthy, and strategic resources are being reserved by accumulating intermediate inventories [4][49] - The industry prosperity of the non - ferrous metal demand side varies, and the emerging economy has a higher driving force for non - ferrous metals than traditional industries [5][75] - It is less likely to launch a new round of supply - side reform in the non - ferrous sector due to its relatively healthy supply - demand balance, strategic nature, and complex and dispersed industrial chain [106] 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Reform Background and Motivation - The current market's attention to potential supply - side reform is due to over - supply of industrial products, weakening external demand caused by trade frictions, and the call for anti - "involution - style" price cuts. Similar problems led to the 2015 supply - side reform [8] - In the 2015 supply - side reform, industrial product prices (PPI) declined for 54 consecutive months, and over - capacity seriously squeezed industrial enterprises' profit margins. Currently, over - capacity is spreading to the middle and lower reaches [8][12] - External economic downturn led to a decline in China's exports in 2015, and trade protectionism in developed economies and competition from low - cost countries further worsened China's foreign trade environment [18][19] 3.2 Comparison between Non - ferrous and Black Sectors - From 2012 - 2016, the non - ferrous sector was more prosperous than the black sector, with relatively stable capacity utilization in non - ferrous smelting and rolling industries. However, non - ferrous metal prices were under pressure, dragging down enterprise profit growth [20][28] 3.3 Factors Affecting Non - ferrous Metal Demand - In 2017, factors such as enterprise capital expenditure, emerging industries (new energy vehicles, 5G, semiconductors), and real - estate recovery driven by shantytown renovation monetization and overseas economic recovery boosted non - ferrous metal demand [30][37] 3.4 Electrolytic Aluminum Industry Reform - Before setting the 4500 - million - ton production capacity ceiling in 2017, the electrolytic aluminum industry had experienced six rounds of "failed" regulations. The 656th Document established the ceiling and launched supply - side reform, including measures such as determining the ceiling, setting energy and environmental thresholds, and optimizing production capacity layout [38][40][42] - Compared with the "one - size - fits - all" approach in the black sector, electrolytic aluminum production restrictions are more "seasonal" and "refined", mainly concentrated in the heating season and becoming more precise over time [46] 3.5 Supply - Demand Balance of the Non - ferrous Sector - The capacity utilization rate of non - ferrous smelting and rolling has been stable at around 80%. The non - ferrous sector emphasizes the logic of "resource is king", with the intermediate smelting end yielding profits to the upstream mining end. Different non - ferrous metal varieties have different profit performances due to downstream demand [59] - The non - ferrous sector shows a pattern where the upstream is stronger than the middle and downstream, and refined metal inventories are accumulating. This is related to the high import dependence of non - ferrous minerals in China, and China reserves strategic resources by expanding intermediate inventories [60][68][74] 3.6 Demand - side Characteristics of Non - ferrous Metals - The non - ferrous sector has more diverse intermediate products and a more dispersed downstream demand compared to the black sector, which increases the difficulty of supply - side reform [77] - The demand from the power industry for non - ferrous metals accounts for a high and increasing proportion. The demand for copper in the power industry is expected to grow by 6.5 - 9%, and the demand for aluminum in the power industry is expected to grow by about 10% in 2025 [80][85][86] - The real - estate sector's demand for non - ferrous metals is differentiated. While the real - estate market is generally weak, policies have promoted the demand for copper in the power and home appliance industries, leading to a differentiation strategy of "long non - ferrous, short black" [87] - The new energy vehicle and photovoltaic industries have become new drivers of non - ferrous metal demand. In 2025, the cumulative year - on - year sales of new energy vehicles reached 46.3%, and the global and Chinese new - added photovoltaic installations are expected to drive the demand for non - ferrous metals [105]
有色和贵金属每日早盘观察-20250530
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 03:35
银河有色 有色研发报告 | 研究所副所长、有色及贵 | 有色和贵金属每日早盘观察 | | --- | --- | | 金属板块负责人:车红云 | | | 期货从业证号:F03088215 | 贵金属 | | 投资咨询号:Z0017510 | 【市场回顾】 | | | 1. 贵金属市场:昨日,因市场评估特朗普政府与美国贸易法院裁决之间的较量,伦敦 | | 研究员:王伟 | 金先跌后涨,盘中一度失守 3250 美元关口,随后持续上涨超 80 美元,最终收涨 | | 期货从业证号:F03143400 | 0.95%,报 3317.8 美元/盎司。伦敦银收涨 1%,报 33.3 美元/盎司。受外盘驱动,沪金 | | 投资咨询从业证号: Z0022141 | 主力合约收涨 0.96%,报 773.78 元/克,沪银主力合约收涨 0.28%,报 8235 元/千克。 | | | 2.美元指数:美元指数先涨后跌,盘中冲上 100 大关,随后持续回吐日内全部涨幅并转 | | 研究员:王露晨 CFA | 跌,最终收跌 0.6%,报 99.28。 | | 期货从业证号:F03110758 | 3.美债收益率:10 年期美债收益率 ...
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2025年5月29日
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-28 23:31
华见早安之声 请各位听众升级为见闻最新版APP,以便成功收听以下音频。 市场概述 在经历了上日大涨后,美股涨势暂歇,临近尾盘,芯片领域的相关消息拖累美股大盘快速下跌,最终几大股指全线收跌。苹果和Meta收涨,特斯拉收跌 1.65%。芯片软件设计公司新思科技跌近10%。 黄金倒V反转。OPEC+维持当前石油产量配额计划,市场聚焦周末的7月增产事宜,原油一度涨超2%。 亚洲时段,AH股集体收跌,新消费概念爆发,汽车股继续调整,快手绩后收涨6%,螺纹钢刷新9个月低位。 要闻 英伟达Q1营收增长放缓至两年最低的69%、仍高于预期,顶住出口限制压力,Q2料H20收入减少80亿美元、总收入符合预期,Blackwell Ultra预 计Q2开始出货。黄仁勋称Blackwell NVL72 AI超算全面投产;中国是最大的AI市场之一。股价盘后一度涨5%。 盘后英伟达财报,一度涨超5%,提振美股指盘后上涨。Salesforce财报后股价一度涨超5%、后涨幅显著回吐。 5年期美债拍卖亮眼,美债收益率涨幅收窄。美元上涨。比特币下挫2%,跌破昨日低点价位10.7万美元。 DeepSeek R1模型完成"小版本试升级",编程、逻辑理解 ...
《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案(2025—2027年)》审议通过,聚焦碳足迹核算标准制定等三大领域
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of promoting green and low-carbon development in the manufacturing industry, highlighting the need for technological innovation, traditional industry transformation, and the establishment of a comprehensive support system for enterprises [1][2]. Group 1: Focus Areas of the Action Plan - The action plan will focus on three main areas: carbon footprint accounting standards for industrial products, the establishment of a new solid waste comprehensive utilization system, and the promotion of clean low-carbon hydrogen applications in the industrial sector [2]. - It aims to accelerate the development of carbon footprint accounting standards for key products such as steel, electrolytic aluminum, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles, facilitating the reduction of carbon emissions throughout the product lifecycle [2]. - The plan will also address the comprehensive utilization of waste materials, particularly focusing on used power batteries and photovoltaic components, to prepare for the upcoming retirement peak [2]. Group 2: Key Strategies - Strengthening green technology innovation and application is a core direction of the action plan, aiming to fundamentally change manufacturing processes to reduce energy consumption and environmental pollution [3]. - The plan emphasizes the transformation of traditional industries, which are crucial yet challenging for green low-carbon development, by optimizing production equipment and processes to enhance energy efficiency and reduce emissions [4][5]. - For emerging industries, the plan advocates for high-standard green development, promoting clean energy use and resource recycling from the outset, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics [6]. Group 3: Technical and Policy Support - The action plan highlights the need for common technology breakthroughs, which are essential for supporting the green low-carbon development of the manufacturing sector, alongside the establishment of standardized practices [7]. - Optimizing policies and establishing a robust service system are crucial for creating a favorable environment for green transformation, including financial incentives and support services for enterprises [8].
制造业绿色低碳转型如何突破?国常会发布新行动方案
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-24 07:11
南都讯记者王玮发自北京国务院总理李强5月23日主持召开国务院常务会议,审议通过《制造业绿色低 碳发展行动方案(2025-2027年)》。 会议指出,推进制造业绿色低碳发展是大势所趋,要加快绿色科技创新和先进绿色技术推广应用,强化 新型工业化绿色底色。 我国制造业在绿色发展方面取得一定成效的同时,整体仍面临绿色技术水平有待提高、产业结构不够优 化、资源利用效率需进一步提升等问题。 此前,工业和信息化部有关负责人在2024年10月23日召开的国新办发布会上也曾透露,下一步,将着眼 健全绿色低碳发展机制,制定出台《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案》,聚焦钢铁、电解铝、锂电池、新 能源汽车等重点产品,加快研制一批碳足迹核算标准。聚焦废旧动力电池,制定出台综合利用管理办 法。聚焦废旧光伏组件等,提前布局综合利用能力,为迎接退役高峰做好准备。聚焦清洁低碳氢应用的 瓶颈制约,加快推动其在冶金、化工、石化等行业规模化应用。 会议强调,要推进传统产业深度绿色转型,结合大规模设备更新等政策实施,积极应用先进装备和工 艺,加快重点行业绿色改造升级。要引领新兴产业高起点绿色发展,加大清洁能源、绿色产品推广,提 升资源循环利用水平。要加强共 ...
《制造业绿色低碳三年行动方案》出炉
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-24 02:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that green development will become the core driving force for promoting high-quality economic development in China, as indicated by the approval of the "Manufacturing Green Low-Carbon Development Action Plan (2025-2027)" [1][3] - The meeting highlighted the necessity of advancing green low-carbon development in the manufacturing sector, accelerating green technology innovation, and promoting the application of advanced green technologies [3] - The government plans to focus on key products such as steel, electrolytic aluminum, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles, and will develop carbon footprint accounting standards while preparing for the comprehensive utilization of retired products like used power batteries and photovoltaic components [3] Group 2 - Establishing a horizontal ecological protection compensation mechanism is crucial for enhancing ecological environment protection and promoting regional collaborative development [4] - The meeting called for a comprehensive, clear, and efficient horizontal ecological protection compensation mechanism, which will facilitate the interaction between ecological product supply areas and beneficiary areas [4] - The discussion on the revision of the Food Safety Law reflects the government's high emphasis on food safety issues, providing a stronger legal guarantee for ensuring the safety of food for the public [4]
国常会,最新部署!
券商中国· 2025-05-23 15:16
5月23日,国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议。审议通过《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案(2025- 2027年)》,研究进一步健全横向生态保护补偿机制有关举措,讨论《中华人民共和国食品安全法(修正 草案)》。 会议指出,推进制造业绿色低碳发展是大势所趋,要加快绿色科技创新和先进绿色技术推广应用,强化新型工 业化绿色底色。要推进传统产业深度绿色转型,引领新兴产业高起点绿色发展,加强共性技术攻关。 会议指出,建立成本共担、效益共享、合作共治的横向生态保护补偿机制,对于加强生态环境保护、促进区域 间协同发展具有重要意义。要推动建立覆盖更加全面、权责更加清晰、方式更加多元、治理更加高效的横向生 态保护补偿机制。 加快重点行业绿色改造升级 会议审议通过《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案(2025-2027年)》(下称《行动方案》)。会议指出,要推进 传统产业深度绿色转型,结合大规模设备更新等政策实施,积极应用先进装备和工艺,加快重点行业绿色改造 升级。要引领新兴产业高起点绿色发展,加大清洁能源、绿色产品推广,提升资源循环利用水平。 会议还指出,要加强共性技术攻关,完善重点领域标准,优化相关政策,健全绿色制造和服务体系,更好支 ...
国常会最新部署!
证券时报· 2025-05-23 12:49
国常会最新部署。 绿色低碳是新型工业化的生态底色,去年以来,工业和信息化部持续加强政策供给,联合相关部门出台了《加 快推动制造业绿色化发展的指导意见》,加强绿色工厂梯度培育和工信领域节能降碳技术装备推广应用,锻造 产业绿色竞争优势。 工业和信息化部有关负责人在2024年10月23日召开的国新办发布会上曾透露,下一步,将着眼健全绿色低碳发 展机制,制定出台《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案》,聚焦钢铁、电解铝、锂电池、新能源汽车等重点产品, 加快研制一批碳足迹核算标准。聚焦废旧动力电池,制定出台综合利用管理办法。聚焦废旧光伏组件等,提前 布局综合利用能力,为迎接退役高峰做好准备。聚焦清洁低碳氢应用的瓶颈制约,加快推动其在冶金、化工、 石化等行业规模化应用。 健全横向生态保护补偿机制 5月23日,国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议。审议通过《制造业绿色低碳发展行动方案(2025-2027 年)》,研究进一步健全横向生态保护补偿机制有关举措,讨论《中华人民共和国食品安全法(修正草 案)》。 会议指出,推进制造业绿色低碳发展是大势所趋,要加快绿色科技创新和先进绿色技术推广应用,强化新型工 业化绿色底色。要推进传统产业深度 ...
银河期货有色金属衍生品日报-20250522
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 12:57
大宗商品研究所 有色研发报告 有色金属日报 2025 年 5 月 22 日星期四 研究所副所长、有色及贵 金属板块负责人:车红云 期货从业证号:F03088215 投资咨询从业证号:Z0017510 研究员:王伟 期货从业证号:F03143400 投资咨询从业证号:Z0022141 研究员:陈婧 FRM 期货从业证号:F03107034 投资咨询从业证号:Z0018401 研究员:陈寒松 期货从业证号:F03129697 投资咨询从业证号:Z0020351 联系方式: 上海:021-65789219 北京:010-68569781 1.期货:今日沪铜 2506 合约收于 77920 元,跌幅 0.22%,沪铜指数减仓 6043 手至 52.50 万 手。 2.现货:现货商甩货,现货升水大幅下降。上海报升水 135 元/吨,较上一交易日下跌 140 元/吨。天津报贴水 70 元/吨,下降 70 元/吨,由于持货商对后市悲观低价出货。广东库存 和铜价均走低,持货商挺价出货,报升水 205 元/吨,上涨 20 元/吨。 【重要资讯】 1. 5 月 22 日,铜矿商自由港印尼公司称,其位于东爪哇岛、耗资 37 亿美元 ...