Group 1: Fund Market Overview - In September, the market saw a total of 126 new funds issued, with a total issuance scale of 1,096.71 billion yuan, including 27 active equity funds with an issuance scale of 168.61 billion yuan and 76 index funds with an issuance scale of 807.51 billion yuan [3][4] - The performance of funds in September was generally positive, with all major fund types rising except for pure bond funds, which fell by 0.10%. Commodity funds had the highest increase, rising by 9.40% [3][4] - The average increase for large funds (over 10 billion yuan) was 7.43%, while small funds (1-10 billion yuan) had an average increase of 4.98% [4] Group 2: Financing and Margin Trading - As of September 30, the margin trading balance in the A-share market was 23,867.40 billion yuan, an increase of 1,327.62 billion yuan from the previous month [8] - The financing balance was 23,709.72 billion yuan, up by 1,328.72 billion yuan, while the securities lending balance decreased slightly to 157.68 billion yuan [8] - The electronic, power equipment, and communication sectors saw significant net buying in financing, while the defense, agriculture, and oil sectors had lower net buying [9] Group 3: Industry Insights - The price of packaging paper has been rising, with average prices for various types of paper increasing by 30 to 140 yuan per ton compared to late September [11] - The light manufacturing industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 1.23 percentage points, while the textile and apparel industry outperformed by 2.12 percentage points during the period from October 9 to October 10 [11] - The report indicates that the recent increase in U.S. tariffs poses short-term risks, but the long-term competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing remains strong [12]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. Core Viewpoints The report comprehensively summarizes the policy dynamics in multiple fields from August 21 to September 5, 2025, including macro - tone, fiscal, monetary, financial regulatory, real estate, and tariff policies, aiming to provide a reference for market participants to understand the policy environment and potential investment opportunities [1]. Summary by Directory 1. Macro - tone - The "Artificial Intelligence +" action opinion was released, with clear goals for 2027, 2030, and 2035. Measures will be taken to avoid disorderly competition, and multiple policies will support the development of artificial intelligence [10]. - "Anti - involution" measures continued to advance, including the initiative of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, the release of the draft Internet platform price behavior rules, and the self - imposed production restrictions by coke enterprises in Henan with an estimated limit of 20 - 35% [11]. - Policies to expand service consumption were introduced to release domestic demand potential. The State Council Executive Meeting emphasized the effectiveness of relevant policies and the need to strengthen support, and the Ministry of Commerce will introduce measures to expand service consumption next month [12]. - The director of the National Development and Reform Commission chaired a symposium to listen to suggestions on expanding domestic demand and stabilizing employment during the "15th Five - Year Plan" period [13]. 2. Fiscal Policy - The policy on VAT final withholding tax refund was improved. Starting from the VAT tax filing period in September 2025, eligible general VAT taxpayers can apply for a refund. Different industries have different refund rules [17]. - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration issued tax policies to support the operation and management of state - owned equity and cash proceeds transferred to enrich social security funds, including VAT exemption and other preferential measures [18]. - Over 4,500 plots of land across the country plan to use special bond funds for land acquisition and storage. As of the end of August, the planned land acquisition area exceeded 230 million square meters, and the planned total amount exceeded 610 billion yuan. The Ministry of Finance also improved the accounting treatment for local government special bonds [19]. 3. Monetary Policy - In August, the central bank did not conduct open - market treasury bond trading. The MLF had a net investment of 300 billion yuan, and the PSL had a net withdrawal of 160.8 billion yuan. The open - market repurchase had a net investment of 300 billion yuan [22]. - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the central bank held its second meeting, discussing topics such as financial market operations, government bond issuance management, and central bank treasury bond trading operations [22]. - On September 5, the central bank carried out a 100 - billion - yuan 3 - month (91 - day) fixed - quantity, interest - rate - tender, and multi - price - winning bid repurchase operation, which was an equal - amount renewal [23]. 4. Financial Regulation - Three banks in Sichuan plan to jointly apply to establish a wealth management company, and preliminary preparations have begun [25]. - The CSRC issued a decision to modify the "Regulations on the Classification and Supervision of Securities Companies", adjusting the evaluation framework and emphasizing functions such as promoting the function of securities companies and high - quality development [26]. - Fourteen fund companies submitted applications for the second batch of science and technology innovation bond ETFs, and the first batch of 10 science and technology innovation bond ETFs' repurchase business was launched [27]. - The Financial Regulatory Administration is formulating a guiding opinion on improving the service guarantee level of health insurance, aiming to promote the coordinated development of the health insurance industry and the health industry [28]. - The optimization arrangement for offshore RMB bond repurchase business was officially launched, with over 60 transactions involving more than 3 billion yuan on the first trading day [28]. 5. Real Estate Policy - The central government and the State Council issued an opinion on promoting high - quality urban development, aiming to systematically promote the construction of "good houses" and complete communities [31]. - Shanghai optimized and adjusted real estate policies, including canceling the outer - ring housing purchase restrictions, optimizing the housing provident fund policy, and adjusting the commercial personal housing loan interest rate pricing mechanism [32]. - Guangzhou held a meeting on urban renewal and quality improvement, and Shanghai issued an implementation opinion on accelerating the transformation of urban villages [33]. 6. Tariff Policy - From August 27 - 29, the Chinese negotiation representative held talks with US government officials and business representatives, emphasizing the need to promote the healthy and sustainable development of Sino - US economic and trade relations [36]. - China will continue to impose anti - dumping duties on imported phenol from the US, the EU, South Korea, Japan, and Thailand for a period of 5 years starting from August 29, 2025 [36].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the central bank's operations have been relatively proactive, leading to fluctuations in the bond market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising above 3800 points, marking a new high. This has resulted in a noticeable stock-bond effect, causing the bond market to weaken and fund net values to decline, triggering redemption indicators [1][10]. - Credit bond yields have generally risen, with most credit spreads widening. Specifically, the yields on 1-year short-term bonds, 4-5 year AA-rated industrial bonds, and 15-year medium-term notes have passively narrowed, while 9-10 year municipal bonds and 3-4 year insurance subordinated bonds have shown relatively weak performance [1][10]. Group 2 - The report highlights that the net asset value of medium- to long-term pure bond funds fell by 16.18 basis points on August 18, triggering a redemption signal. The cumulative decline for the week was 13.5 basis points for medium- to long-term pure bond funds and 3.91 basis points for short-term pure bond funds [2][12]. - Fund selling of credit bonds was significant, with net sales concentrated in 1-3 year, 3-5 year, 7-10 year, and over 10-year categories, totaling net sales of 186 billion, 106 billion, 204 billion, and 62 billion respectively. In contrast, wealth management products continued to net buy credit bonds, particularly short-term bonds within 3 years, with a total net purchase of 185 billion [3][18]. Group 3 - The outlook for the bond market remains cautious, with expectations of seasonal headwinds from August to October. The current economic fundamentals have not shown significant improvement, and the central bank's stance remains supportive. The bond market is in a phase of adjustment rather than a trend reversal [4][31]. - The report suggests that there are structural accumulation opportunities amidst the adjustments. The widening of credit spreads across most categories, except for certain AA-rated and 15-year bonds, has improved the cost-effectiveness of credit bond allocations. It is recommended to avoid long-term credit bonds for trading purposes in the short term and to focus on the cost-effectiveness of medium- to short-term bonds [4][31].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The science - innovation bonds still have relative value, especially the inter - bank science - innovation bonds. The scale of science - innovation bond funds is expected to have significant room for improvement, and the total scale of science - innovation bond ETFs focusing on high - grade corporate bonds may reach 139.4 billion yuan this year. The current valuation of science - innovation bonds is not expensive, and the inter - bank science - innovation medium - term notes are relatively more recommended [3][4]. - The premium and discount of science - innovation bond ETFs will bring redemption and arbitrage opportunities. When the premium or discount amplitude exceeds 0.245%, there may be certain arbitrage space. In the short - term rapid bear market of credit bonds, ETFs are expected to be better bottom - fishing tools [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Features and Yield Levels of Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - The first batch of science - innovation bond ETFs have made the yield of component bonds about 7BP lower than that of ordinary corporate bonds on average. These ETFs are an important tool for regulators to support science - innovation bonds this year. With their establishment and the increase in shares, they directly benefit the performance of component bonds and indirectly benefit other exchange - listed bonds of the same issuer. The component bonds of the science - innovation bond index tracked by the first batch of science - innovation bond ETFs are all high - grade public - offering science - innovation corporate bonds listed on the exchange, so these bonds have performed well recently [4][6]. - As of July 15, the component bonds of the benchmark market - making credit bond index were 6.1BP lower than ordinary corporate bonds, the component bonds of the science - innovation bond index were 7BP lower than ordinary corporate bonds, and the general corporate bonds that were component bonds of both indexes were 12.2BP lower than ordinary corporate bonds [4]. 3.2 Comparison of Different Indexes and Bonds - There is a large overlap in the underlying bonds of the first batch of science - innovation bond ETFs and the first batch of benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs. There are about 254 bonds included in both the AAA benchmark market - making credit bond index and the three AAA science - innovation bond indexes, with a total scale of 527.7 billion yuan, accounting for about 50% of the total scale of both indexes [7]. - The yield of science - innovation bond index component bonds is significantly lower than that of non - component corporate bonds, and the yield of science - innovation bonds that are component bonds of both types of indexes is even lower. Also, the yield of science - innovation bond index component bonds is lower than that of the same - issuer science - innovation medium - term notes [12]. 3.3 Investment Value of Science - Innovation Bonds - From the perspective of physical bonds, science - innovation bonds still have relative value, and investors are advised to pay more attention to inter - bank science - innovation bonds. The scale of science - innovation bond funds is expected to continue to rise. The current interest rate of science - innovation bonds is slightly higher than that of green bonds, so science - innovation bonds are expected to outperform other bonds in the future [15]. - The yield of science - innovation medium - term notes significantly exceeds that of science - innovation corporate bonds, and as science - innovation bond funds are expected to include inter - bank science - innovation bonds in their investment scope, inter - bank science - innovation bonds may outperform exchange - listed science - innovation bonds in the future [18]. 3.4 Investment Opportunities of Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - The premium and discount of science - innovation bond ETFs will bring two types of investment opportunities at the ETF level: redemption and arbitrage, and discount regression trading. The redemption and arbitrage cost is about 0.245%, so when the premium or discount amplitude of science - innovation bond ETFs exceeds 0.245%, there may be certain arbitrage space. The first batch of science - innovation bond ETFs had a small premium and discount amplitude on the listing day, so it is expected to be difficult to realize arbitrage for the time being [19][22]. - In the short - term rapid bear market of credit bonds, ETFs are expected to be better bottom - fishing tools. It is recommended that investors participate in bottom - fishing opportunities on the right side [4].

Core Conclusions - The communication industry is experiencing a dual increase in performance and valuation within the computing power sector, which remains the most certain direction for investment [1][5][9]. Communication Industry Insights - The communication sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 7.56%, ranking first among 31 industries [5]. - Key stocks such as NewEase and Zhongji Xuchuang reported impressive half-year earnings forecasts, driven by significant growth in AI demand [5][8]. - The sub-sectors showing the highest gains include optical devices and modules (+9.59%), temperature control equipment (+8.59%), and power equipment (+8.25%) [6]. Investment Strategy - Focus on companies with high growth certainty in the computing power sector, particularly in optical modules and copper interconnects [9]. - The performance of major computing power companies indicates a sustained high demand for AI computing resources, with significant investments expected in data centers and computing leasing [9][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of self-sufficiency in the computing power supply chain, highlighting the expansion of the Ascend industry chain and its positive impact on related companies [9]. Market Trends - The upcoming earnings reports are crucial for assessing the valuation alignment and performance of high-growth sectors [3][19]. - The North Exchange market is expected to maintain structural activity driven by policy support and industrial upgrades, although individual stock differentiation and external economic disturbances remain risks [19][23]. Fixed Income Insights - The first batch of 10 sci-tech bond ETFs has seen rapid growth, with total assets exceeding 88 billion yuan, indicating high trading activity [13][14]. - The current yield spreads for these ETFs are at historically low levels, suggesting limited room for further compression [14][15]. Key News and Developments - Meta is building the "Prometheus" AI supercomputing cluster, expected to reach 1GW of computing power by 2026, while Google DeepMind has introduced a new architecture that significantly enhances processing speed [8][9]. - The establishment of the China Yajiang Group marks a significant development in the industry, reflecting ongoing governmental support for technological innovation [18].

Core Viewpoint - The first batch of 10 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs has been approved, marking a significant innovation in the credit bond ETF market in China, with expectations for rapid issuance and strong market demand [2][4][5]. Group 1: Approval and Issuance - The first batch of 10 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) just 10 trading days after submission [4]. - These ETFs are expected to quickly release their prospectuses and may start selling as early as July 7 [2][4]. - Each ETF may have a single issuance cap of 3 billion yuan, with strong interest from institutional investors potentially leading to some products selling out in one day [5]. Group 2: Market Context and Demand - The credit bond ETF market has seen exponential growth this year, and the introduction of these ETFs is anticipated to replicate the success of earlier credit bond ETFs [4][5]. - Major commercial banks have secured custody qualifications for multiple Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs, indicating strong institutional support [5]. Group 3: Strategic Importance - The approval of these ETFs aligns with national strategies to support technological innovation and expand financing channels for tech companies [7][8][9]. - The introduction of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs fills a gap in the public fund sector, providing a transparent and efficient investment vehicle for both institutional and individual investors [8]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The current active trading and liquidity of Science and Technology Innovation Bonds are expected to improve further, with ongoing policy support likely to enhance the market's growth [11]. - The favorable financing environment and improving credit quality of issuers suggest a positive outlook for the pricing of Science and Technology Innovation Bonds, potentially leading to a premium similar to green bonds [12].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the long-term positive trend in the military industry due to escalating great power competition and increased defense spending in response to regional tensions [7][17][20] - The report highlights the significant growth in the scale of credit bond ETFs, with a total scale of 1,066 billion yuan as of June 20, 2025, reflecting a substantial increase since March [2][34] - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in low-valued newly issued sci-tech bonds, suggesting that there is still room for exploration in the primary market [4][37] Group 1: Credit Bond ETF Insights - The expansion pace of index constituent bonds is significantly slower than the growth of credit bond ETF scale, with the scale increasing by 777 billion yuan since March [2][34] - The report notes that the duration of Shenzhen credit bond ETFs is 3.05 years, while Shanghai credit bond ETFs have a duration of 4.11 years, indicating a shift in demand towards mid to long-term credit bonds [3][35] - The report suggests that the low valuation transactions in constituent bonds are becoming more prominent, particularly for those with larger outstanding scales and stable valuations [2][34] Group 2: Military Industry Insights - The military sector experienced a decline recently, with the defense industry index dropping by 2.39% in the week of June 15-20, 2025, underperforming the broader market [8][19] - The report highlights the successful launch of the Zhongxing 9C satellite and the showcasing of advanced military equipment at the Paris Air Show, including the J-35A stealth fighter [8][19] - The report indicates that the ongoing international military dynamics underscore the importance of national defense construction, with a focus on advanced technology and informationization in modern warfare [20]

Economic Focus - The central government is emphasizing infrastructure development, "trade-in" policies for consumer goods, and foreign trade, particularly in economically strong provinces like Jiangsu[1] - Recent surveys in Jiangsu highlighted the need for high-standard project execution and the importance of Jiangsu's role in national economic contributions[1] Industrial Development - The government is focusing on technological advancements and new production capabilities, with significant attention on sectors like engineering machinery, AI, and clean energy[2] - Regulatory measures are being reinforced in the platform economy to combat issues like false advertising and unfair competition practices[2] Financial Initiatives - The establishment of an offshore financial service reform pilot in Shanghai is aimed at enhancing international trade finance capabilities[4] - A digital RMB international operation center is being set up to facilitate cross-border payments and enhance the global use of the RMB[4] International Cooperation - The recent China-Central Asia summit resulted in the signing of multiple cooperation agreements, marking a significant milestone in regional diplomatic relations[9] - The summit emphasized the importance of mutual trust and support among participating nations, with a focus on high-quality development along the Belt and Road Initiative[10] Financial Market Reforms - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is set to introduce a growth tier on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board to better support innovative companies[21] - Plans to expand the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) program to include 100 tradable futures and options products are underway, enhancing foreign investment opportunities[5]