截至2025年末，境外机构在中国债券市场的托管余额为3.5万亿元，占中国债券市场托管余额的比重为1.8%。2025年，熊 猫债券累计发行1830.6亿元，新增56家境外机构进入银行间债券市场。 本报讯 （记者韩昱）中国人民银行2月11日发布了《2025年金融市场运行情况》（以下简称《情况》）。其中在货币市场 运行情况方面，2025年，同业拆借日均成交3610.7亿元，较2024年减少12.1%；银行间市场债券回购日均成交6.9万亿元，较 2024年增加3.0%。2025年末，同业拆借未到期余额1.0万亿元，银行间市场债券回购未到期余额12.0万亿元。 2025年，银行业存款类金融机构间利率债隔夜质押式回购（DR001）年加权平均利率为1.46%，较2024年下降19个基点； DR007年加权平均利率为1.63%，较2024年下降19个基点；银行间市场隔夜质押式回购（R001）年加权平均利率为1.55%，较 2024年下降21个基点。2025年，DR001与央行公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率的利差日均值为7个基点，R001与DR001的利差日 均值为8个基点。 债券市场运行方面，《情况》显示，2025年，政府债券 ...

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京2月11日电 11日，中国人民银行发布2025年金融市场运行情况。 一、货币市场运行情况 2025年，同业拆借日均成交3610.7亿元，较2024年减少12.1%；银行间市场债券回购日均成交6.9万亿 元，较2024年增加3.0%。2025年末，同业拆借未到期余额1.0万亿元，银行间市场债券回购未到期余额 12.0万亿元。 2025年，国债期货市场成交额97.0万亿元，较2024年增加43.9%。2025年末，国债期货持仓量64.8万 手，较2024年末增加30.4%；10年国债期货主力合约收盘价107.9元，较2024年末下降1.0%。 四、票据市场运行情况 2025年，商业汇票承兑发生额42.7万亿元，贴现发生额33.9万亿元。截至2025年末，商业汇票承兑余额 21.2万亿元，较2024年末增加7.2%；贴现余额16.5万亿元，较2024年末增加11.2%。 五、股票市场运行情况 2025年，银行业存款类金融机构间利率债隔夜质押式回购（DR001）年加权平均利率为1.46%，较2024 年下降19个基点；DR007年加权平均利率为1.63%，较2024年下降19个基点；银行间 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | C | 宏观金融数据日报 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 期货执业证号:F3074875: 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 2026/2/9 | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (bp) | | | (bp) | | 174 | DR001 | 1.28 | -4.41 | DR007 | 1.46 | -2.08 | | T | GC001 | 1.29 | -13.50 | GC007 | 1.60 | 2.50 | | J | SHBOR 3M | 1.58 | -0.05 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 2 | 1年期国债 | 1.32 | 0.44 | 5年期国债 | 1.56 | -0.69 | | 1 | 10年期国债 | 1.81 | -0.41 | 10年期美债 | 4.22 | 1.00 | 回顾:央行上周开展的逆回购操作中,包括4055亿元7天期逆回购操作 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Yesterday, the stock index was weakly volatile in the morning and rallied significantly in the afternoon, with the Shanghai 50 leading the gains driven by the coal and real estate sectors. The macro news was calm, precious metal prices rebounded, and market sentiment improved. In the short - term, it's necessary to focus on whether the panic caused by overseas liquidity tightening can be effectively alleviated. After the volume - shrinking rebound, the stock index is expected to consolidate through oscillations. In the long - run, in the context of low interest rates and "asset shortage", domestic market funds are generally abundant, and as the economy is in the bottom - building process, the medium - to - long - term upward trend of the stock index is not expected to end [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Interest Rates and Bond Market - Interest rates: DR001 closed at 1.32% with a 0.32bp increase; DR007 at 1.49% with a 0.57bp decrease; GC001 at 1.48% with a 12.50bp decrease; GC007 at 1.57% with a 3.50bp decrease; SHBOR 3M at 1.58% with a 0.13bp decrease; LPR 5 - year at 3.50% unchanged [3]. - Bond yields: 1 - year treasury bond at 1.30% with a 0.01bp decrease; 5 - year at 1.51% with a 0.25bp decrease; 10 - year at 1.81% with a 0.15bp increase; 10 - year US treasury bond at 4.28% with a 1.00bp decrease [3]. - Central bank operations: The central bank conducted 750 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 3775 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net withdrawal was 3025 billion yuan. This week, 17615 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature, and 7000 billion yuan of 91 - day repurchase - style reverse repurchases will mature on Wednesday [3]. 3.2 Stock Index Futures and Stock Market - Stock index futures prices: IF当月 closed at 4699 with a 0.9% increase; IH当月 at 3072 with a 1.3% increase; IC当月 at 8321 with a 0.3% increase; IM当月 at 8230 with a 0.2% increase [3][5][10]. - Stock index prices: The CSI 300 rose 0.83% to 4698.7; the SSE 50 rose 1.14% to 3069.2; the CSI 500 rose 0.15% to 8299.1; the CSI 1000 fell 0.02% to 8207.1 [5]. - Trading volume and open interest: IF volume decreased by 21.8%, open interest by 5.6%; IH volume by 17.5%, open interest by 6.9%; IC volume by 18.1%, open interest by 2.9%; IM volume by 11.4%, open interest by 0.5% [5][10]. - Market turnover: The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2.5 trillion yuan, a decrease of 623 billion yuan from the previous day [5]. - Industry performance: Most industry sectors rose. The coal, photovoltaic equipment, airport, glass fiber, mining, and real estate development sectors led the gains, while the precious metal, cultural media, gaming, internet service, and semiconductor sectors led the losses [5]. 3.3 Stock Index Futures Basis - IF basis: - 0.06% for the current - month contract, 0.90% for the next - month contract, 1.94% for the current - quarter contract, 3.01% for the next - quarter contract [7]. - IH basis: - 1.75% for the current - month contract, - 0.69% for the next - month contract, 0.30% for the current - quarter contract, 1.71% for the next - quarter contract [7]. - IC basis: - 6.03% for the current - month contract, - 1.45% for the next - month contract, 2.71% for the current - quarter contract, 3.78% for the next - quarter contract [7]. - IM basis: - 6.36% for the current - month contract, 0.38% for the next - month contract, 5.33% for the current - quarter contract, 6.27% for the next - quarter contract [7].

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 == | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号:Z0017779 | | | 2026/2/4 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.32 | -4.73 | DR007 | 1.50 | 0.69 | | ਵਿ | | | | | | | | | GC001 | 1.60 | -18.00 | GC007 | 1.61 | -3.00 | | 市 | SHBOR 3M | 1.59 | -0.30 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 市 | | | | | | | | | 1年期国债 | 1.30 | -0.50 | 5年期国债 | 1.57 | -0.75 | | 场 | | | | | | | | | 10年期国债 | 1.81 | -0.40 | 10年期美债 | 4.29 | 3.00 | | ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 = 宏观金融数据日报 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | | 2026/2/3 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | | | | | | | | (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.36 | 3.65 | DR007 | 1.49 | -10.20 | | नि | GC001 | 1.78 | 17.50 | GC007 | 1.64 | 3.00 | | E | | | | | | | | | SHBOR 3M | 1.59 | -0.01 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 市 | 1年期国债 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 5年期国债 | 1.57 | -0.10 | | 场 | | | | | | | | | 10年期国债 | 1.81 | 0.10 | 10年期美债 | 4.26 | 2. ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监详可【2012】31号 宏观金融数据日报 | 国贸期货研究院 | 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | | 2026/1/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 (bp) | | DRO01 | 1.36 | -0.39 | DR007 | 1.59 | 4.28 | | GC001 1 | 1.60 | 12.50 | GC007 | 1.62 | 1.50 | | SHBOR 3M 1 | 1.59 | -0.37 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 1年期国债 2 | 1.29 | -0.50 | 5年期国债 | 1.58 | 0.50 | | 10年期国债 1 | 1.82 | 0.35 | 10年期美债 | 4.26 | 2.00 | 回顾:央行昨日开展了3540亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率1.40%,投标 量3540亿元,中标量3540亿元。当日2102亿元逆回 ...

2026 年 1 月 23 日 总量研究 如何看待近期 DR001 的上行？ ——2026 年 1 月 23 日利率债观察 要点 1、DR001 要"加息"了？ 在 1 月 15 日国新办举行的新闻发布会上，人民银行邹澜副行长表示要"引导隔 夜利率在政策利率水平附近运行"。2025 年下半年 DR001 的均值为 1.35%，低 于 1.4%的 7D OMO 利率。因此部分投资者担心，未来 DR001 的均值要上行并 向 1.4%靠拢。恰巧 2026 年 1 月中旬以来（截至 1 月 22 日，下同）DR001 的 均值是明显高于前段时间的，这更加大了上述担心，市场中甚至有了货币市场利 率要"加息"的说法。 我们认为，近期没有必要对此担心。"引导隔夜利率在政策利率水平附近运行" 并不等同于"引导隔夜利率的均值恰好等于政策利率"，上述 1.35%的 DR001 已经可以说是在"在政策利率附近运行"了。 此外，我们认为"引导隔夜利率在政策利率水平附近运行"与人民银行之前常提 及的"引导短端货币市场利率围绕政策利率中枢运行"并不矛盾，因为两者描述 的对象和相对应的状态皆是不同的。从描述的对象看，前者明确是隔夜期限， ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank's rate cuts and policy adjustments aim to support economic structural transformation and optimization [4] - In 2025, the domestic economy showed a "high - front, low - back" trend, and in 2026, the economic growth pressure in the first half of the year is relatively large, so there is a need for policies to be implemented earlier [6] - The upward trend of stock indices is expected to continue as the current capital - driven force is strong and the domestic fundamentals are in the bottom - building stage, and long - term bulls can choose the right time to enter the market [6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.32 with a - 0.17bp change, DR007 at 1.48 with a 3.42bp change, etc. The 10 - year US Treasury yield rose 7.00bp to 4.24 [3] - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 1793 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 99 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 1694 billion yuan [3] - **Stock Index Futures**: IF当月 closed at 4733 with a 0.1% change, IH当月 at 3076 with a - 0.1% change, etc. Trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased by 22.2, 28.5, 11.3, and 14.8 respectively, while IC and IM's open interest increased by 2.0% and 0.3% respectively [5] - **Stock Indices**: The Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 rose 0.05% to 4734.5, the Shanghai 50 fell 0.12% to 3075.9, etc. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 27325 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 3243 billion yuan from the previous trading day [5] - **GDP Data**: The annual GDP in 2025 was 1401879 billion yuan, a 5.0% increase year - on - year. The Q4 GDP increased 4.5% year - on - year, 0.3 percentage points slower than Q3 [6] 3.2 Policy Hot - Comments - The central bank cut the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, adjusted the re - loan interest rates, and increased the quota of agricultural and small - business re - loans by 5000 billion yuan, with a 10000 - billion - yuan special quota for private enterprises [4] 3.3 Stock Index Futures Basis - The basis rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM for different contracts are presented, such as IF's basis rate for the current - month contract is 0.40%, etc. [7]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank's adjustment of structural monetary policy tools, including interest rate cuts and increased support for agriculture, small businesses, and private enterprises, aims to optimize the economic structure [5]. - The stock index market is currently experiencing short - term adjustments due to policy regulations, but the upward trend is expected to continue as the current strong capital - driven force and the domestic fundamentals in the bottom - building stage suggest that the upward pattern of the stock index has not ended. Long - term investors can consider long - term bullish positions [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Money Market - DRO01 closed at 1.32 with a - 4.73bp change, DR007 at 1.44 with a - 5.94bp change, GC001 at 1.22 with a - 14.50bp change, and GC007 at 1.53 with a 0.50bp change. SHBOR 3M was 1.60 with no change, and LPR 5 - year was 3.50 with no change. 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds had respective changes of - 1.66bp, - 0.98bp, and - 0.34bp, while 10 - year US bonds rose 7.00bp [4]. - Last week, the central bank conducted 9515 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with 1387 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturing, resulting in a net injection of 8128 billion yuan. Also, 6000 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase matured, and the central bank carried out 9000 billion yuan of outright reverse repurchase operations [4]. 3.2. Structural Monetary Policy Adjustments - On January 15, 2026, the central bank announced a 0.25 - percentage - point cut in the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools. The one - year interest rate of various re - loans dropped to 1.25%, and other term - based interest rates were adjusted accordingly. The central bank also increased the amount of re - loans for agriculture and small businesses by 5000 billion yuan, and set up a 1 - trillion - yuan special re - loan for private enterprises, mainly supporting small and medium - sized private enterprises [5]. 3.3. Stock Index Market - The closing prices of major indices on a certain day: the CSI 300 was 4732 with a - 0.41% change, the SSE 50 was 3080 with a - 0.83% change, the CSI 500 was 8233 with a 0.11% change, and the CSI 1000 was 8233 with a - 0.10% change. The corresponding index futures also had different changes [5]. - Last week, the CSI 300 fell 0.57% to 4731.9, the SSE 50 fell 1.74% to 3079.8, the CSI 500 rose 2.18% to 8232.7, and the CSI 1000 rose 1.27% to 8232.7. The market liquidity remained abundant, with the average daily trading volume increasing by 6131.1 billion yuan compared to the previous week, and the margin trading balance hitting a new high [5]. - Policy regulations led to short - term adjustments in the stock index market. The increase in the margin ratio for margin trading by exchanges and the large - scale selling of broad - based index ETFs by Central Huijin affected the market. However, considering the strong capital - driven force and the domestic fundamentals in the bottom - building stage, the upward trend of the stock index is expected to continue [6]. 3.4. Index Futures Basis - For the IF contract, the basis for the next - month contract was 1.42%, the current - quarter contract was 1.10%, and the next - quarter contract was 2.63%. For the IH contract, it was - 0.44%, - 0.90%, and 0.08% respectively. For the IC contract, it was 0.76%, 1.62%, and 4.79%, and for the IM contract, it was 1.04%, 3.89%, and 7.40% [7].