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大摩:视觉数据决定AI未来,特斯拉(TSLA.US)站上“光子竞赛”前沿
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 09:55
Core Insights - Morgan Stanley highlights a "photon race" emerging as companies shift focus towards physical/embodied AI and robotics, emphasizing the strategic value of visual data for AI training [1] - Tesla is rated "Overweight" with a target price of $410, as it transitions to a "pure vision" training approach for its Optimus robot, moving away from motion capture and VR [2][3] Group 1: Visual Data Importance - Visual data is identified as the most scarce and strategically valuable resource for training visual-language-action models (VLA) [1] - The analogy of a 600-pound bluefin tuna illustrates that without the means to capture visual data, its value is zero; however, if captured and processed, its value can be immense [1] Group 2: Tesla's Strategic Shift - Tesla's shift to using videos of workers performing tasks as training data marks a significant adjustment in its training paradigm, highlighting the central role of visual data in robot behavior imitation and generalization [3] - The expectation is that visual data will not only be used for model training but also for creating "robot training gyms" to simulate billions of scenarios in a digital environment [3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Companies like Tesla, Meta, and Figure AI are pursuing different strategies for data collection, competing for leadership in the "photon race" across various domains, including vehicles and smart glasses [3]
大摩:特斯拉、Meta与Figure--一场“光子争夺战”正在上演
美股IPO· 2025-09-23 12:26
Core Insights - Visual data is becoming a new "gold mine" for AI training, with companies that possess data collection capabilities gaining a competitive edge in the AI robotics race [1][4][10] Group 1: Tesla's Strategic Shift - Tesla is transitioning its Optimus robot training to a "pure vision" method, moving away from traditional remote control and VR technologies [5][6] - The new approach involves recording videos of workers performing tasks to create training data for the robots [5][6] Group 2: Meta's Wearable Technology - Meta is utilizing smart glasses to collect daily activity data, which is seen as a long-term strategic investment despite not having immediate financial impact [6][7] - The potential scale of Meta's smart glasses could lead to significant data generation, with projections of 20 million devices in operation within two years [7] Group 3: Brookfield and Figure AI Collaboration - Brookfield is recognized as a leader in executing large-scale AI infrastructure solutions, partnering with Figure AI to create a data collection network in the real estate sector [10] - This collaboration allows Figure AI to gather essential AI training data, enabling humanoid robots to navigate and interact in human-centric environments [10]
马斯克给了AI5可以跑250B参数模型的预期
理想TOP2· 2025-09-07 12:09
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is shifting its focus towards synthetic data for training its Full Self-Driving (FSD) models, moving away from reliance on real-world data, which enhances efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and data coverage [5][6][7]. Group 1: AI Chip Development - Tesla's AI5 chip is expected to be the best for models with parameters below approximately 250 billion, boasting the lowest silicon cost and the highest performance-to-power ratio [1]. - The upcoming AI6 chip is anticipated to surpass AI5 in capabilities, consolidating the design efforts of Tesla's chip team [1]. - The transition to a single chip architecture allows Tesla's silicon talent to focus on creating an exceptional chip [1]. Group 2: Data Generation and Model Training - The traditional FSD model training process involved collecting real-world data, while the new approach utilizes a powerful cloud-based world model to generate synthetic data through inference [6][7]. - The inference process in Tesla's world model directly produces training materials, creating a feedback loop where the model's capabilities and data scale mutually enhance each other [8][10]. - The new training process relies on synthetic data generated from the world model's inference, marking a shift from traditional methods that depended solely on real-world data [9][10]. Group 3: Future Directions - In the next 2-3 years, Tesla aims to train a large-scale world model using NVIDIA GPU clusters, followed by using AI5 and AI6 chips in a Dojo 3 system for inference to generate synthetic data [6][7]. - The strategy involves a mixed data approach, where real-world data remains important but is supplemented by synthetic data to accelerate iteration and improve model performance [7][10]. - The closed-loop ecosystem created by this approach allows for continuous improvement of both the world model and the FSD model, enhancing their capabilities over time [10].
帮主郑重:特朗普100%芯片关税要来了?苹果砸6000亿背后藏着什么信号?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 04:55
不过,这事儿对其他科技公司可就不那么友好了。像微软、亚马逊这些依赖进口芯片的企业,可能得重新考虑供应链布局。特别是英伟达,虽然黄仁勋 之前和特朗普会面争取到了H20芯片对华销售的许可,但这次关税计划会不会影响他们的全球布局,还得再观察观察。 各位老铁们,大新闻来了!最近美股市场简直比过山车还刺激,特朗普又双叒叕放大招,这次直接瞄准了芯片和半导体行业。听说他打算对进口芯片征 收100%的关税,这消息一出来,整个科技圈都炸开了锅。不过呢,有一家公司却偷偷笑出了声,那就是苹果。就在大家都在担心关税冲击的时候,苹果 突然宣布要在美国本土再砸1000亿美元搞制造业,未来四年总投资直接干到6000亿!这波操作直接让苹果股价当天暴涨,把美股三大指数都带飞了。 咱先说说特朗普这关税计划。他这次是铁了心要把制造业拉回美国,特别是芯片这种战略物资。按照他的说法,只要你在美国生产,或者承诺在美国生 产,就能豁免关税。这招够狠啊,直接逼着企业把生产线搬回来。不过这里面有个有意思的细节,特朗普前脚刚宣布关税计划,后脚就和苹果CEO库克 在白宫宣布了这笔1000亿美元的投资。明眼人都能看出来,苹果这是提前和白宫打好了招呼,用真金白银换来 ...
两大板块爆发!人形机器人王者归来?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-07 02:18
截至8月5日,A股两融余额突破2万亿元。上一次两融余额突破2万亿元,是在2015年5月份的大牛 市顶峰。 一般来说,A股两融余额的变动与行情走势密切相关。当市场风险偏好上升、指数走高时,融资客 看好行情,会加大融资力度;反之,则会减少融资力度。 如今,两融余额突破2万亿元,不仅是行情向好的表现,也是市场做多情绪提升的表现。 另外要提到的是,当前融资余额占流通市值的比例,维持在2.23%~2.30%,远低于历史峰值的 4.72%,这说明杠杆水平整体较为稳健,暂时不用担心杠杆是否可控的问题。 我们回到市场。 今天,A股三大指数继续上涨。截至收盘,上证指数、深证成指、创业板指数分别上涨0.45%、 0.64%、0.66%。A股全天成交1.76万亿元,上一个交易日成交1.62万亿元。 大市方面,上证指数距离前高的3636点一步之遥。按照当前三连阳的惯性,突破3636点是大概率事 件。 从最近一年的行情来看,无论是助力指数冲关,还是"配合市场"做短期顶部,证券板块都扮演着重 要角色。所以,接下来可能要观察证券板块到底会有怎样的表现。 板块方面,人形机器人(300024)与军工两大方向爆发。 人形机器人方面,PEEK材料 ...
A股盘前播报 | 特朗普拟对芯片征100%关税 苹果(AAPL.US)追加1000亿在美投资额
智通财经网· 2025-08-07 00:33
盘前要闻 1、特朗普拟对芯片产品征100%关税,苹果等在美建厂企业可豁免 类型:行业 情绪影响:中性 美国总统特朗普宣布,将对所有含有半导体的进口产品征收100%的关税,但对于那些已经或明确承诺 将生产转移至美国的公司将给予豁免。消息传出后,苹果、台积电等公司股价美股盘后明显上涨。 2、苹果宣布追加1000亿在美投资额,股价单日暴涨5%,创5月来最大涨幅 类型:公司 情绪影响:正面 苹果公司在官网宣布,将向美国本土追加投资1000亿美元,公司未来四年在美国投资总额将达到6000亿 美元。库克表示,启动全新的美国制造计划。这包括与全美10家公司开展新的、更广泛的合作。受此消 息影响,苹果股价收盘涨5.09%,上一次录得这样涨幅还是在5月12日。 3、交通运输部等三部门:到2027年全国完成新改建农村公路30万公里 类型:宏观 情绪影响:正面 交通运输部、财政部、自然资源部印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方案》,到2027年,全国完成新改建 农村公路30万公里,便捷高效、普惠公平的农村公路网络基本建成。拓宽融资渠道,鼓励金融机构、社 会力量合法合规参与农村公路发展。 4、中国光伏行业协会:征集《价格法修正草案(征求意 ...
8月7日早餐 | 苹果大涨;美威胁加征芯片关税
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-07 00:04
Group 1: Market Overview - US stock markets experienced gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.18%, Nasdaq up 1.21%, and S&P 500 up 0.73% [1] - Notable stock performances include Apple rising 5.09%, Amazon up 4.00%, and Tesla increasing by 3.62% [1] Group 2: Trade and Tariffs - Trump plans to impose a 100% tariff on chip products, with exemptions for companies like Apple that manufacture in the US [2] - Japan has raised concerns over US tariff announcements, demanding corrections, while the US will impose an additional 15% tariff on Japanese products [3] Group 3: Apple Developments - Apple is collaborating with Samsung to introduce innovative chip manufacturing technology for iPhone and other products [4] - Apple has partnered with Corning to produce 100% of iPhone and Apple Watch-related products in Kentucky, USA [5] - Apple is investing an additional $100 billion in US manufacturing amid tariff pressures [2] Group 4: Tesla Innovations - Tesla is training a new Full Self-Driving (FSD) model, which is expected to be ten times more capable than the current version [6][12] - The FSD system is anticipated to be publicly released by the end of next month, with advanced features being integrated [12] Group 5: Industry Trends - The Chinese pan-anime user base is growing, with the market expected to reach 597.7 billion yuan by 2024, driven by diverse product forms and a younger demographic [10] - The national integrated computing network is progressing, with the release of nine technical documents aimed at enhancing resource scheduling and security [14]
音频 | 格隆汇8.7盘前要点—港A美股你需要关注的大事都在这
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 23:51
2、美国原油期货收跌超1.2%,纽约天然气涨超2.2%; 3、特朗普:将对芯片征收约100%关税 在美建厂可豁免; 4、特朗普对印度加征25%额外关税; 5、美媒:特朗普计划最早在下周与普京面对面会晤; 6、韩国9月29日起对中国团队游客实行临时免签; 7、德国准备设立1000亿欧元基金投资战略资产; 8、马斯克:特斯拉正在训练一个新的FSD模型; 9、特朗普:若有其他国家进口俄罗斯原油,可能会被加征25%关税; 10、苹果再投1000亿美元加码美国本土制造 累计投资将达6000亿; 11、日本人口降幅创有记录以来新高; 12、据报印度总理莫迪月底访华; 1、预告:国新办今日举行国务院政策例行吹风会 介绍逐步推行免费学前教育政策有关情况; 2、国新办今日就"推动电影高质量发展 丰富人民精神生活"举行中外记者见面会; 3、三部门印发《新一轮农村公路提升行动方案》目标到2027年全国完成新改建农村公路30万公里; 4、中国光伏行业协会:征集《价格法修正草案(征求意见稿)》意见; 5、国家电网用电负荷连续三天创历史新高; 6、香港房租逼近历史高位; 7、理想汽车、中国汽研、东风柳汽发布联合声明; 1、美股三大指数集 ...
A股晚间热点 | 三部门印发!事关农村公路改建 马斯克:下月或发布新FSD模型
智通财经网· 2025-08-06 14:40
Group 1 - The Ministry of Transport, the Ministry of Finance, and the Ministry of Natural Resources have issued a plan to complete the construction and renovation of 300,000 kilometers of rural roads by 2027, aiming to establish an efficient and equitable rural road network [1] - Local governments are encouraged to use government bonds for eligible rural road projects and to ensure stable operation of rural passenger transport through subsidies [1] - Financial institutions and social forces are being encouraged to participate in rural road development, exploring increased long-term credit support for rural road funding mechanisms [1] Group 2 - TSMC is facing a leak of its 2nm process technology, with three engineers suspected of stealing trade secrets, leading to legal actions and potential severe penalties [2] - The Taiwanese government has classified manufacturing technologies below 14nm as core technologies, with strict regulations against theft [2] - TSMC has confirmed internal investigations and has taken disciplinary actions against involved personnel [2] Group 3 - Li Auto, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, and Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor have released a joint statement regarding the crash test of the Li Auto i8, emphasizing the test's purpose to enhance safety performance [3] - The China Automotive Technology and Research Center acknowledged shortcomings in information management that led to potential risks and expressed regret [3] - Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor reaffirmed its commitment to fair competition and compliance in the automotive industry [3] Group 4 - Yushu Technology launched a new quadruped robot, Unitree A2, weighing approximately 37 kg with a 20 km range, aimed at industry applications [4] - The A-share market has over 30 listed companies involved in quadruped robot businesses, with significant interest from investors [4] - Companies like Jingye Intelligent have reported receiving small orders for their quadruped robot products and plan to continue product optimization and market expansion [5] Group 5 - Jiechuan Intelligent has integrated AI technologies into its security robots and quadruped robot series [6] - Wanma Co. has engaged in collaborations with various quadruped robot companies, focusing on orders related to industrial and humanoid robots [6] Group 6 - Feng Liu's fund has reduced its holdings in Hikvision while increasing its stake in Taiji Group, reflecting a shift in investment focus [7] - Private equity firms have shown increased interest in the pharmaceutical sector, with significant research activity in the computer industry [7] - The report indicates a potential for continued growth in China's innovative pharmaceutical market, driven by advancements in AI [7] Group 7 - The State Grid has reported record-high electricity loads due to extreme weather conditions, with the maximum load reaching 1.233 billion kilowatts, an increase of 53 million kilowatts from last year's peak [8] - The national electricity load has set multiple records this summer, indicating rising energy demands across various regions [8] Group 8 - Berkshire Hathaway's A shares have seen a significant decline of 16% since May, underperforming the S&P 500 index, which has risen by 11% during the same period [9] - Investor Dong Yongping has expressed confidence in his strategy to outperform the S&P 500 by selling put options on Berkshire's B shares [9] Group 9 - The U.S. plans to impose tariffs on imported drugs, potentially increasing costs for the pharmaceutical industry by up to $19 billion annually [12] - Key indicators such as the number of manufacturing plants and their geographical distribution will determine companies' resilience to tariff risks [12] Group 10 - Tesla is training a new Full Self-Driving (FSD) model, with plans to release it to the public if testing goes well [15] - The FSD system aims to minimize human intervention in navigation and control, becoming a core strategy for Tesla's revenue growth [15]
晚报 | 8月7日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-08-06 14:14
Robotics - Unitree Technology has launched a new quadruped robot, Unitree A2, weighing approximately 37 kilograms with a range of 20 kilometers and a maximum speed of 5 meters per second [1] - Major technology companies like Tesla, Huawei, and Figure AI are investing in humanoid robotics, which is expected to accelerate industry advancements and commercialization [1] - The global market for humanoid robots is projected to exceed $150 billion by 2035, driven by policy support, technological maturity, and increasing demand [1] Computing Power - Huawei announced the full open-source of its Ascend hardware and CANN, enabling users to develop custom applications [2] - The national integrated computing power network has completed the release of nine technical documents, marking a transition from planning to application [2] - The computing power industry is experiencing high growth, with potential valuation increases due to ongoing demand and supply chain dynamics [2] Autonomous Driving - Tesla is advancing its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, with a new model expected to be released by the end of next month, featuring ten times the parameters of the current version [3] - The FSD system has shown strong performance in complex driving scenarios, and its deployment in the U.S. is planned for this year [3] - The introduction of FSD in the domestic market is anticipated to accelerate the development of the intelligent driving industry in China [3] Nano-Imprinting - China has successfully developed its first PL-SR series inkjet stepper nano-imprinting equipment, breaking foreign monopolies in high-end semiconductor manufacturing [4] - The new equipment supports nano-imprinting lithography processes with linewidths smaller than 10nm, surpassing similar products from international competitors [4] - This technology is expected to reduce equipment investment costs by 60% compared to traditional EUV lithography [4] Environmental Protection - A new round of global negotiations on plastic pollution is underway, aiming to establish a legally binding international agreement [5] - The global waste plastic market is projected to exceed $137 billion by 2025, with China being the largest producer of plastic [5] - The recycling and regeneration market in China is expected to surpass 400 billion yuan by 2030, driven by chemical recycling and biodegradable materials [5] Macro and Industry News - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued basic rules for electricity market measurement and settlement, marking a significant step in market construction [6] - The Ministry of Transport aims to complete the construction of 300,000 kilometers of new and renovated rural roads by 2027 [7] - Shanghai's government has released a development plan for the embodied intelligence industry, targeting a core industry scale of 50 billion yuan [8]