Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the silver market and the impact of U.S. economic policies, particularly the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve Chairman by Trump, which has led to significant volatility in precious metals prices. Group 1: Market Data - The current trading price of silver is approximately $80.26 per ounce, with T+D silver trading around 23,420 yuan per kilogram and the Shanghai silver main contract at 24,832 yuan per kilogram [1] - On January 30, the dollar index rose by 1.02% to close at 97.136, while silver closed at $84.63 per ounce, down 26.93% [1] - The SLV silver ETF held 15,523.36 tons as of January 30, unchanged from the previous trading day [2] Group 2: Economic Policies and Predictions - Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve Chairman position, indicating that he believes it is inappropriate for the White House to pressure for interest rate cuts, although Warsh is expected to receive support from Democrats and may advocate for rate cuts [2] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement more than two rate cuts this year, each by 25 basis points [2] Group 3: Market Analysis - The silver market opened at 71.182 at the beginning of January, reached a historical high of 121.794, and then experienced a strong pullback, closing at 84.619 [6] - The market is expected to have a demand for a pullback in February, with potential targets set at 86 and 80, and further levels at 78.7, 76, and 75 if broken [6]

2026.02.02-02.06 黄金、白银 期货品种周报 沪金期货整体趋势处在强势上涨阶段，当前可能处于趋势尾声。 中线趋势判断 1 01 P A R T 黄金期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 目录 中线行情分析 趋势判断逻辑 上周黄金价格呈"冲高回落"走势。于1月29日创下1249.12元/克的 高点。随后因美联储暂停降息的信号明确，美元指数反弹至9 7 . 1 2，叠 加多头大量获利了结，金价大幅回调，净多持仓显著下降。 短期来看，金价或进入高位震荡阶段。一方面，地缘不确定性、全球 央行购金等长期支撑依然存在；另一方面，美联储政策转向与美元可能 的持续反弹将构成主要压制，且技术面存在回调需求。后市需重点关注 地缘局势演变、美元指数动向及市场资金面变化，警惕避险情绪退潮带 来的价格调整风险。 2 建议观望。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 上周策略回顾 沪金合约2604短期谨慎看多，下方支撑位1085－1095元/克，建 议逢低买入，短期高位波动较大注意控制仓位。 本周策略建议 沪金合约2604短期高位大幅回调，上方压力：1115－1165元/克， 下方支 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The sharp rise in international gold prices is the result of geopolitical turmoil, the shaking of the global political and economic order, and a continuously loose liquidity environment. In 2026, the Fed is expected to continue to cut interest rates, and the loose liquidity environment provides strong support for the rise of precious metals. Global investors' strategic allocation demand for precious metals has increased, and the scale of gold and silver ETFs has continued to expand, driving up precious metal prices. Short - term silver has risen significantly, and there may be some pressure for funds to take profits, while gold is more stable [4]. - Morgan Stanley expects that driven by geopolitical uncertainty, continuous central bank gold purchases, and strong ETF demand, the gold price is expected to rise to $5,700 per ounce in the second half of the year. If the Fed starts to cut interest rates in 2026, it may further support strong physical gold demand [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Prices**: The closing prices of Shanghai Gold 2606 and 2604 on the previous day were 1146.58 and 1143.32 respectively, with increases of 28.20 (2.52%) and 27.68 (2.48%) compared to the day before. The closing prices of Shanghai Silver 2606 and 2604 on the previous day were 27,189 and 27,207 respectively, with increases of 2259 (9.06%) and 2242 (8.98%) compared to the day before [3]. - **Positions and Volumes**: The positions of Shanghai Gold 2606 and 2604 were 85,261 and 215,820 respectively, and the trading volumes were 76,211 and 395,962 respectively. The positions of Shanghai Silver 2606 and 2604 were 169,868 and 322,579 respectively, and the trading volumes were 605,689 and 965,900 respectively [3]. - **Spot Premium and Discount**: The spot premiums and discounts of Shanghai Gold 2606 and 2604 were - 2.32 and 0.94 respectively, and those of Shanghai Silver 2606 and 2604 were 324 and 306 respectively [3]. Spot Market - **Prices**: The closing price of Shanghai Gold T + D on the previous day was 1144.26, up 33.91 (3.05%) from the day before. The closing price of London Gold was $5042.75 per troy ounce, up $21.76 (0.44%) from the day before. The closing price of Shanghai Silver T + D on the previous day was 27,513, up 2525 (10.10%) from the day before. The closing price of London Silver was $106.61 per troy ounce, up $0.53 (0.52%) from the day before [3]. - **Price Spreads**: The current spreads of Shanghai Gold 2606 - Shanghai Gold 2604 and Shanghai Silver 2606 - Shanghai Silver 2604 were 3.26 and - 18.00 respectively. The current gold - to - silver ratio in the spot market was 41.59, and the ratios of Shanghai Gold to London Gold and Shanghai Silver to London Silver were 1.01 and 1.15 respectively [3]. Inventory - **Futures Exchanges**: The current inventories of gold and silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were 103,029 kg and 573,810 kg respectively, with changes of + 1020 kg and - 7280 kg compared to the day before. The current inventories of gold and silver on the COMEX were 35,941,502 troy ounces and 415,241,837 troy ounces respectively, with changes of - 202,778 troy ounces and - 1,183,026 troy ounces compared to the day before [3]. Related Derivatives and Indicators - **Indices and Yields**: The current values of the US Dollar Index, S&P 500 Index, 10 - year US Treasury yield, Brent crude oil price, and US dollar - to - RMB exchange rate were 97.04, 6,950.23, 4.22%, $64.89, and 6.9572 respectively, with changes of - 0.46, + 34.62, - 0.02%, - 0.55, and - 0.0070 compared to the day before [3]. - **ETF and CFTC Positions**: The current positions of SPDR Gold ETF and SLV Silver ETF were 1,087 tons and 15,974 tons respectively, with changes of 0 tons and - 116 tons compared to the day before. The current net positions of CFTC speculators in gold and silver were 244,770 and 25,214 respectively, with changes of - 6468 and - 6846 compared to the day before [3]. Macroeconomic News - **Geopolitical**: The USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group has entered the US Central Command's area of responsibility in the western Indian Ocean. If the White House orders an attack on Iran, the strike group could launch military operations within "one or two days." Trump said the situation in Iran is "changing rapidly" and that Iran wants to reach an agreement [4]. - **Trade**: Trump announced that the reciprocal tariffs on South Korean automobiles, timber, pharmaceuticals, and all other goods will be raised from 15% to 25% due to the South Korean Congress's failure to approve the trade agreement [4]. - **Fed Interest Rate Expectations**: According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 2.8%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 97.2%. By March, the probability of a cumulative 25 - basis - point rate cut is 15.5%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 - basis - point rate cut is 0.4% [4]. - **Commodity Market Analysis**: An analyst pointed out that this is one of the most glorious days in the silver market. The price of silver has risen rapidly due to its small market size and low liquidity. Retail investors are flocking in, and there is a (relatively small - scale) gap in the spot market. This is good news for silver miners, but selling some future production in the futures market may bring some selling pressure [4]. - **Economic Data**: The monthly rate of US durable goods orders in November was 5.3%, the largest increase since May 2025 [4].

Report Overview - Report Title: Gold, Silver Futures Weekly Report [2] - Report Period: January 26 - 30, 2026 [1] 1. Gold Futures 1.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 1.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is in a strong upward phase, possibly at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support, but short - term risks of high - level corrections exist [7]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [8]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 1.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Gold futures is strongly rising, possibly at the end of the trend [7]. - Driving Factors: Last week's strong rise was driven by geopolitical conflicts, central bank gold purchases, a weak dollar, and interest - rate cut expectations [7]. - Support: Geopolitical risks and central bank gold purchases provide long - term support [7]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators and policy uncertainties [7]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy path and global macroeconomic data [7]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. 1.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it was recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a resistance level of 1045 - 1050 yuan/gram and a support level of 1020 - 1025 yuan/gram. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [10]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: For the Shanghai Gold contract 2604, it is recommended to be cautiously bullish in the short term, with a support level of 1085 - 1095 yuan/gram. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [11]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, at a sensitive position in the head. There is a possibility of trend reversal. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, and there is a certain risk of a market turn [12]. 1.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Gold and COMEX gold, SPDR gold ETF holdings, COMEX gold inventory, US 10 - year Treasury yields, the US dollar index, the US dollar against the offshore RMB, the gold - silver ratio, Shanghai Gold basis, and the gold price difference between domestic and foreign markets [18][21][23][25][28] 2. Silver Futures 2.1 Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2.2 Core View - The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is in a strong upward phase, currently at the end of the trend. Geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds drive the price up. In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up, but short - term correction risks exist [32]. - It is recommended to wait and see in the medium term [32]. 1.3 Summary by Directory 2.3.1 Medium - term Market Analysis - Trend: The overall trend of Shanghai Silver futures is strongly rising, currently at the end of the trend [32]. - Driving Factors: Last week's price increase was driven by geopolitical risks, industrial supply - demand gaps, and market funds [32]. - Support: In the long - term, the price center has the basis to move up due to the growth of green industry demand, continuous supply - demand gaps, and asset allocation diversification [32]. - Risks: Short - term risks include overbought technical indicators, ETF reductions, and policy uncertainties [32]. - Focus: Future attention should be on the Fed's policy and global manufacturing PMI [32]. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see [32]. 2.3.2 Variety Trading Strategy - Last Week's Strategy Review: The silver contract 2604 was trading at a high level, with a resistance level of 23,200 - 23,700 yuan and a support level of 21,000 - 21,500 yuan/kg. It was advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [35]. - This Week's Strategy Suggestion: The silver contract 2604 is trading at a high level, with a support level of 22,500 - 23,000 yuan/kg. It is advised to buy on dips and control positions due to high - level volatility [36]. - Market Conditions: The daily line is in a strong upward phase, possibly near the end of the trend. The main force shows a strong bullish sentiment, with large capital inflows and increased attention. The external market had a significant pre - opening increase [37]. 2.3.3 Relevant Data Situation - Data includes the price trends of Shanghai Silver and COMEX silver, SLV silver ETF holdings, COMEX silver inventory, Shanghai Silver basis, and the silver price difference between domestic and foreign markets [43][46][48]

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 98.553, while spot silver opened at $94.64/oz and is currently around $95.21/oz, indicating a slight increase in silver prices [1] - On January 20, the dollar index fell by 0.50% to close at 98.548, while spot silver rose by 0.14% to close at $94.57/oz, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets due to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on European allies [1] - The SLV silver ETF holdings increased by 149.42 tons to 16,222.48 tons as of January 20, indicating a growing interest in silver investments [1] Group 2 - The European Parliament has frozen the approval process for the US-EU trade agreement, which may impact trade relations and market dynamics [2] - The Congolese government forces have recaptured the strategic eastern town of Uvira, which could influence regional stability and economic conditions [2] - US and Russian presidential envoys held a two-hour meeting in Davos to discuss a peace plan, reflecting ongoing geopolitical negotiations that may affect global markets [3] Group 3 - The ADP weekly employment report indicates that private sector employers added an average of 8,000 jobs per week over the four weeks ending December 27, 2026, suggesting a stable employment environment [4] - The silver market experienced fluctuations, with a strong rebound after hitting a low of $92.513, closing at $94.573, indicating volatility and potential trading opportunities [5]

Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.928, while spot gold opened at $4597.42 per ounce and is currently around $4594.97 per ounce. Gold T+D is trading at approximately 1026.30 CNY per gram, and the Shanghai gold main contract is at about 1028.86 CNY per gram [1] - On the previous trading day, the US dollar index fell by 0.16% to 98.896, while spot gold rose by 1.97% to $4597.94 per ounce. Other precious metals also saw gains: spot silver increased by 6.51% to $85.16 per ounce, platinum rose by 3.03% to $2337.30 per ounce, and palladium gained 1.80% to $1851.00 per ounce [1] Inventory Data - As of January 12, COMEX gold inventory remains unchanged at 1129.43 tons, while COMEX silver inventory decreased by 70.15 tons to 13607.32 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 6.24 tons to 1070.80 tons, and SLV silver ETF holdings rose by 39.47 tons to 16347.95 tons on the same date [2] - The payment direction for deferred compensation fees indicates that for Au(t+d), shorts pay longs, and for Ag(t+d), shorts also pay longs [2] Economic Events - Key economic data to be released includes Japan's trade balance for November, the US NFIB small business optimism index for December, and various CPI metrics for December, including the unadjusted and seasonally adjusted core CPI [4] - The Federal Reserve's Musalem is scheduled to speak, and the EIA will release its monthly short-term energy outlook report [5]

| 贵金属期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可 【2 0 11】1292号 2025年12月31日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 国内期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品 种 | 12月30日 | 12月29日 | 涨 跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单 位 | | AU2602合约 | 984.84 | 1007.18 | -22.34 | -2.22% | 元/克 | | AG2602合约 | 18140 | 18205 | -65 | -0.36% | 元/千克 | | PT2606合约 | 589.85 | 634.35 | -44.50 | -7.02% | 元/克 | | PD2606合约 | 447.45 | 494.10 | -46.65 | -9.44% | | | 外盘期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品 种 | 12月30日 | 12月29日 | 涨 跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单 位 | | COMEX黄金主力合约 | 4352.30 | 4350.20 | 2.10 ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 98.367, while spot gold opened at $4340.68 per ounce and is currently trading at approximately $4332.10 per ounce [1] - On the previous trading day, the US dollar index rose by 0.18% to 99.319, and spot gold increased by 0.81% to $4337.16 per ounce [1] - Other precious metals saw gains, with spot silver up 3.82% to $66.17 per ounce, platinum up 2.62% to $1896.20 per ounce, and palladium up 2.52% to $1646.50 per ounce [1] Group 2 - As of December 17, COMEX gold inventory remains unchanged at 1119.46 tons, while COMEX silver inventory decreased by 27.85 tons to 14088.35 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 0.85 tons to 1052.54 tons, while SLV silver ETF holdings remained unchanged at 16018.29 tons [2] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's joint survey indicates that tariffs continue to trouble businesses, with an expected 4% increase in prices next year [4] - Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that monetary policy remains in a restrictive range, with room for further rate cuts, as current rates are 50 to 100 basis points above neutral [4] - US Treasury Secretary Basant mentioned that the "Trump account" could help ensure all Americans own stocks, aiming to reduce the 38% of Americans who do not currently hold stocks to zero [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The overall non - farm payroll report is weak, increasing the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March next year. The London silver price soared in the early session, and the Shanghai silver main contract broke through the significant threshold of 15,000 yuan per kilogram, hitting a new record high [1] - The growth of employment in the US in November remains weak, and the unemployment rate rises, indicating a continued cooling in the labor market. There are differences within the Fed regarding whether to be more worried about inflation or the employment market, and FOMC officials currently show low willingness to continue cutting interest rates [1] - In the context of easing tariff tensions, the core inflation approaching the target range paves the way for further actions. If subsequent non - farm data is stronger than expected, the Fed's internal stance may turn hawkish [1] - In the short term, considering the market has fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut, the recent pulse - like rise in silver may increase the risk of short - term corrections, and the gold - silver ratio is expected to stabilize and rebound in the short term [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai gold main contract is 979.720 yuan/gram, up 8.3 yuan; the closing price of the Shanghai silver main contract is 15,512 yuan/kilogram, up 846 yuan [1] - The main contract holding volume of Shanghai gold is 197,105 hands, up 899 hands; that of Shanghai silver is 18,292 hands, up 938 hands [1] - The main contract trading volume of Shanghai gold is 275,889 hands, down 18,015 hands; that of Shanghai silver is 1,627,068 hands, up 55,692 hands [1] - The warehouse receipt quantity of Shanghai gold is 91,722 kilograms, up 420 kilograms; that of Shanghai silver is 911,924 kilograms, up 21,209 kilograms [1] 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange is 972.71 yuan/gram, up 7.82 yuan; the spot price of Huatong No.1 silver is 15,190 yuan/kilogram, up 318 yuan [1] 3.3 Basis - The basis of the Shanghai gold main contract is - 7.01 yuan/gram, down 0.48 yuan; the basis of the Shanghai silver main contract is - 322 yuan/kilogram, down 528 yuan [1] 3.4 Supply and Demand - The SPDR gold ETF holding is 1,051.68 tons, unchanged; the SLV silver ETF holding is 16,018.29 tons, down 42.31 tons [1] - The non - commercial net long position of gold in CFTC (weekly) is 204,588 contracts, down 5,751 contracts; that of silver is 32,188 contracts, down 1,828 contracts [1] - The total quarterly supply of gold is 1,313.07 tons, up 86.24 tons; the total annual supply of silver is 32,056 tons, up 482 tons [1] - The total quarterly demand for gold is 1,257.90 tons, up 174.15 tons; the total annual demand for silver is 35,716 tons, down 491 tons [1] 3.5 Macroeconomic Data - The US dollar index is 98.22, down 0.06; the real yield of the 10 - year US Treasury bond is 1.92%, down 0.01% [1] - The VIX volatility index is 16.48, down 0.01; the ratio of S&P 500 to gold price is 1.57, down 0.01; the gold - silver ratio is 68.66, up 1.09; the CBOE gold volatility indicator is 20.18, down 1.02 [1] 3.6 Industry News - The US added 64,000 non - farm jobs in November, higher than the expected 50,000, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021. The non - farm jobs in October decreased significantly by 105,000, far exceeding the expected 25,000 decline, and the figures for August and September were also revised down by 33,000 in total. The average hourly wage in November increased 3.5% year - on - year, the lowest growth rate since May 2021 [1] - The US retail sales in October were flat month - on - month, slightly lower than the expected 0.1% growth, mainly dragged down by a 1.6% decline in auto sales. Core retail sales increased 0.5% month - on - month, slightly exceeding the expected 0.4% growth [1] - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in December dropped to 51.8, a 5 - month low. The preliminary value of the service PMI dropped from 54.1 to 52.9, and the preliminary value of the composite PMI dropped to 53, all hitting 6 - month lows [1] - US Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed optimism about the US economic outlook, expecting the full - year GDP growth rate in 2025 to reach 3.5%. Bessent pointed out that Trump will announce the candidate for the Fed Chairman in early January next year [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Core Viewpoints - The precious metal market is generally strong, with the London gold price rising continuously and the decline of the London silver price significantly narrowing. After the Fed's interest rate cut was fulfilled as expected, silver reached multiple historical highs and then had a short - term correction due to the squeeze caused by the continuous shortage of global physical silver inventory and the boost of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations. The Fed has internal differences on whether to worry more about inflation or the employment market, and FOMC officials currently do not show a high willingness to continue cutting interest rates. In the short term, considering that the market has fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut, the recent pulsed upward movement of silver may increase the short - term correction risk, and the gold - silver ratio is expected to stabilize and rebound in the short term. The London gold is expected to have an upper resistance level of $4350 per ounce and a lower support level of $4250 per ounce; the London silver is expected to have an upper resistance level of $64.5 per ounce and a lower support level of $59 per ounce [2] Summary by Directory Futures Market - The closing price of the Shanghai gold main contract is 970.66 yuan/gram, up 12.5 yuan; the closing price of the Shanghai silver main contract is 14793 yuan/kilogram, down 99 yuan. The main contract positions of Shanghai gold are 203,038 hands, down 836 hands; the main contract positions of Shanghai silver are 7,206 hands, down 196 hands. The main contract trading volume of Shanghai gold is 439,719 hands, up 147,983 hands; the main contract trading volume of Shanghai silver is 2,357,087 hands, up 630,503 hands. The warehouse receipt quantity of Shanghai gold is 91,302 kilograms, unchanged; the warehouse receipt quantity of Shanghai silver is 820,921 kilograms, up 36,893 kilograms [2] Spot Market - The spot price of gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange is 0 yuan, unchanged; the spot price of Huatong No.1 silver is 14,638 yuan, down 83 yuan. The basis of the Shanghai gold main contract is - 970.66 yuan/gram, down 964.25 yuan; the basis of the Shanghai silver main contract is - 155 yuan/gram, up 16 yuan [2] Supply and Demand Situation - The SPDR gold ETF holdings are 1053.12 tons, up 2.29 tons; the SLV silver ETF holdings are 16,102.90 tons, up 19.74 tons. The non - commercial net positions of gold in CFTC are 210,339 contracts, up 3,270 contracts; the non - commercial net positions of silver in CFTC are 34,016 contracts, up 1,030 contracts. The total quarterly supply of gold is 1313.07 tons, up 86.24 tons; the total annual supply of silver is 32,056 tons, up 482 tons. The total quarterly demand for gold is 1257.90 tons, up 174.15 tons; the total annual demand for silver is 35,716 tons, down 491 tons [2] Macro Data - The US dollar index is 98.40, up 0.04; the 10 - year US Treasury real yield is 1.93, up 0.04. The VIX volatility index is 15.74, up 0.89; the CBOE gold volatility index is 21.46, up 0.49. The ratio of the S&P 500 to the gold price is 1.57, down 0.06; the gold - silver ratio is 67.38, down 0.72 [2] Industry News - Multiple Fed officials spoke. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said inflation is no longer the biggest enemy, and the downside risk of employment is more worthy of concern. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said he voted against the interest rate cut on Wednesday to wait for more data and expects more interest rate cuts next year than the median forecast. Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester both said they hope the policy remains moderately restrictive. According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 75.6%. By March next year, the probability of a cumulative 25 - basis - point interest rate cut is 41.9%, the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 49.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 - basis - point interest rate cut is 8.3%. The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and other senior officials have repeatedly signaled support for an interest rate hike. Although there is no clear opposition within the policy committee, the central bank said it will comprehensively evaluate potential market risks such as sharp stock market fluctuations and a sharp appreciation of the yen before making a final decision. If this interest rate hike is implemented, it will be the Bank of Japan's second increase in the policy rate since January 2025, after an 11 - month interval [2] Key Points to Watch - December 15, 21:30, US December New York Fed Manufacturing Index; December 15, 23:00, US December NAHB Housing Market Index; December 16, 21:30, US November Non - farm Payrolls Report [2]