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万亿,吊打美国!你还不知道?
债券笔记· 2026-01-16 10:52
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant investment by China's State Grid in upgrading the energy system, emphasizing the competitive advantage in energy costs for AI development compared to the U.S. [4][6][7] Group 1: Investment in Energy Infrastructure - The State Grid plans to invest 4 trillion yuan in the energy system during the 155 period, marking a substantial increase in funding [4]. - The investment will focus on enhancing ultra-high voltage direct current transmission channels, aiming to improve cross-regional power delivery capacity by over 30% [6]. Group 2: Energy and Technology Advantage - The energy advantage translates into a technological advantage, as seen in Tesla's Shanghai factory, where the cost of electricity from local wind power is 40% lower than in Nevada, leading to a 15% reduction in battery costs [6]. - The low electricity costs in China enable the development of AI models at a lower expense, with training costs being 40% cheaper than in the U.S. [7]. Group 3: Future of AI and Energy Competition - The essence of the AI competition is rooted in energy competition, with the future dominance in AI likely belonging to those who can manage vast amounts of electricity [7].
【笔记20260116— 你大哥永远是你大哥】
债券笔记· 2026-01-16 10:52
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that in trading, it is more important to respond to market trends rather than predict market movements [1] Group 2 - The interbank funding environment is balanced, with a slight decline in long-term bond yields. The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 867 billion yuan, with a net injection of 527 billion yuan after 340 billion yuan matured [3] - The funding rates have continued to decline, with DR001 around 1.32% and DR007 around 1.44% [3] Group 3 - The stock market opened high but closed slightly lower, with a calm news environment and a slight decline in bond market rates. The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated around 1.848% before settling at approximately 1.8325% [5] - The first rule of survival in the stock and bond markets is that regulation is always the dominant force, impacting market behavior significantly [5]
牛尿了?
债券笔记· 2026-01-15 10:21
以下文章来源于笔记财经晨会 ,作者笔记小助手 笔记财经晨会 . 有观点的财经晨会 点击上方 蓝字"笔记财经晨会" 关注我们 今日金曲:周杰伦-疗伤烧肉粽 笔友们早上好,欢迎点击上方收听精彩详细音频,用心不AI,音频更精彩! 文字内容我们简要聊聊,详细内容可听上面的音频。 3.9 万亿成交,太火热了,村里都看不下去了,下点雨降降温,村里的牛应该是踏实勤恳的慢牛,要是 谁家里有头疯牛,那心里可太不踏实 倒也不慌,牛市不会因为下雨就变熊市,改不了趋势,只会改变下节奏,也说不准,可能资金会有反 骨,接着奏乐接着舞呢? 估计很多人在今天这个行情都晕车了, Ai 在今天的过山车行情保持强势,没怎么受降温影响 今天和大家俩聊 Ai 的细分领域 Ai 医疗 1. 英伟达和礼来宣布成立人工智能联合创新实验室,旨在加速药物研发,双方将在未来五年内共同投资 至多 10 亿美元用于基础设施和研究 现在国内 AI 应用格局基本定型,豆包、千问这些通用型玩家已经占据头部 而蚂蚁阿福作为第一个冲进 AI App 第一梯队的健康类产品,用数据证明了:只要选对垂直赛道,把 " 技术能力 " 转化为 " 用户能感知的实用价值 " ,就能跑出第二 ...
【笔记20260115— 这饼我熟】
债券笔记· 2026-01-15 10:21
Group 1 - The stock market experienced a slight decline, with December financial data meeting expectations and the central bank implementing a structural interest rate cut of 25 basis points [5] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 1,069.4 billion yuan through reverse repos, with 1,793 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos and 9,000 billion yuan in a buyout reverse repo operation [3] - The interbank funding rates showed a mixed trend, with DR001 around 1.37% and DR007 around 1.50%, indicating a balanced funding environment [3][4] Group 2 - The 10-year government bond yield opened at 1.843% and fluctuated slightly, closing at 1.843% after a brief dip and recovery [5] - The central bank's announcement indicated that there is still room for further rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, reflecting a cautious approach to monetary policy [5] - The market sentiment in the bond market remained stable, with trading volumes and rates reflecting a cautious outlook among investors [4][5]
【笔记20260114— 股市过山车,债农先吐了】
债券笔记· 2026-01-14 10:28
Group 1 - The stock market experienced significant volatility, with a sharp rise followed by a decline, described as a "roller coaster" effect [6] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted a 240.8 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, with a net injection of 212.2 billion yuan after 28.6 billion yuan of reverse repos matured [3][5] - The 10-year government bond yield fluctuated, opening at 1.85%, peaking at 1.8605%, and later dropping to a low of 1.838% before closing at 1.843% [5][8] Group 2 - Import and export data for December exceeded expectations, contributing to market movements [5] - Regulatory measures were implemented to increase the margin requirement for new financing contracts, aimed at cooling down the stock market [6] - The bond market showed mixed reactions, with bond yields experiencing fluctuations throughout the day [5][6]
美国是真缺d
债券笔记· 2026-01-14 10:28
以下文章来源于笔记财经晨会 ,作者笔记小助手 笔记财经晨会 . 有观点的财经晨会 点击上方 蓝字"笔记财经晨会" 关注我们 今日金曲:SHE-Super Star 笔友们早上好,欢迎点击上方收听精彩详细音频,用心不AI,音频更精彩! 文字内容我们简要聊聊,详细内容可听上面的音频。 大盘降温了,航天也降温了,这样也好,再这么涨下去,场外的人怎么进来呢,就和吃流水席一样,你 不下桌,别人啥时候才能上桌吃饭? 昨天 Ai 应用还是挺抗揍,主要还是 Ai 医疗相关涨的好,还是那句话:万物皆可 Ai ,不要低估 Ai 的创 造力。 美国的 Ai 又要缺电了,昨天特朗普喊话微软那几个大型科技公司:不希望因为数据中心让美国的民众 承担更高的电费,要求这些科技公司"自掏腰包" 具体细节我们不知道,但是有一个数据,去年,美国消费者支付的电费同比上涨了 6% ,在数据中心集 中的地区上涨尤为明显,美国的电价涨幅已经超过了整体通胀水平。不禁感慨,我们的电价已经多少年 没变了? 笔记大咖课收录(部分) 求点赞 求分享 求喜欢 而且,民主党一直将价格和通胀问题作为选举的核心议题,这就说通了。 特朗普:你们可以搞 Ai ,但别影响我的选 ...
【笔记20260113— 你大妈动了】
债券笔记· 2026-01-13 10:22
Core Viewpoint - The market cannot remain in a state of euphoria indefinitely; even in a bull market, there needs to be a period of rest and adaptation to new market heights, suggesting that the market may be experiencing fatigue with the previous bullish logic and is waiting for the next narrative or story [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The Shanghai Composite Index (沪指) has halted its 17-day consecutive rise, indicating a potential adjustment phase [5] - The marginal contraction of the funding environment is noted, with the People's Bank of China conducting a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 358.6 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 257.6 billion yuan [3] - The interbank funding rates are stable, with DR001 slightly rising to approximately 1.33% and DR007 around 1.49% [3] Group 2: Bond Market - The bond market is experiencing fluctuations, with the 10-year government bond yield starting at 1.8525% and fluctuating throughout the day [5] - The sentiment in the bond market remains stable, with the 30-year government bond yield showing cautious movements [6] - The bond market strategy includes a "barbell strategy" where investors are buying both bonds and technology stocks, betting on future market movements [6]
【笔记20260112— 巴菲特连夜来开户】
债券笔记· 2026-01-12 10:25
Group 1 - The market is experiencing a 17-day consecutive rise, with trading volume reaching a historical high, indicating strong bullish sentiment [6] - The interbank funding environment is balanced and slightly loose, with DR001 rising to approximately 1.33% and DR007 around 1.49% [4][3] - The bond market shows stability, with the 10-year government bond yield slightly declining to around 1.888% after opening higher [6] Group 2 - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is not significant, as stock prices surge while bond yields fluctuate downwards [6] - Recent geopolitical risks have led to a rise in gold prices, reflecting market uncertainty [6] - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 861 billion yuan, with a net injection of 361 billion yuan after 500 billion yuan matured [3]
先胖不算胖 后胖压倒炕
债券笔记· 2026-01-12 10:25
笔友们早上好,欢迎点击上方收听精彩音频,用心不AI,音频更精彩! 行情扑朔迷离,机会永远存在,解构市场,遍地遗珠!欢迎加入"笔记财富圈"知识星球,让 我们一起用最前沿的量化技术细数未来投资机会! 以下文章来源于笔记财经晨会 ,作者笔记小助手 笔记财经晨会 . 有观点的财经晨会 点击上方 蓝字"笔记财经晨会" 关注我们 今日金曲:阿冗-你的答案 笔记大咖课收录(部分) 求点赞 求分享 求喜欢 第1课: 量化是洪水猛兽?一招教你反割量化! 第2课: 还在恐惧量化?扒一扒量化底裤! 第3课: 2026了,你还不会斗牛? 第4课: 敬请期待。。。 ...
【笔记20260109— 股市16连阳 站上4100】
债券笔记· 2026-01-10 23:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, highlighting a strong performance with the market reaching 4100 points, driven by favorable inflation data and a balanced monetary environment [5]. Market Overview - The stock market has experienced a 16-day consecutive rise, with a notable increase in investor sentiment, as over 90% of investors expect the market to break through 4200 points, and 30% are optimistic about surpassing 4500 points [5]. - The December inflation data was slightly better than expected, contributing to the bullish sentiment in the stock market [5]. Monetary Policy and Market Liquidity - The central bank conducted a 340 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net injection of liquidity into the market, which is characterized as balanced and slightly loose [3][5]. - The interbank funding rates remained stable, with DR001 around 1.27% and DR007 at approximately 1.47% [3]. Bond Market Insights - The bond market showed a slight decline in long-term yields, with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing to around 1.886% [5]. - Investor sentiment in the bond market is mixed, with one-third of investors expecting upward movement, while another third anticipates fluctuations or declines [5]. Trading Activity - The trading volume for various repo rates indicates a decrease, with R001 at 1.35% and R007 at 1.52%, reflecting a slight downward trend in rates [4].