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对谈黄灯:普通二本学生的出路在哪里?
乱翻书· 2025-06-13 10:04
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that for students from non-top-tier universities, personal abilities and enthusiasm are more important than academic credentials, and practical skills should be prioritized over merely pursuing higher degrees [1][2][3]. Group 1: Employment Market and Education - The current job market is challenging, and blindly competing for civil service exams or graduate studies is not cost-effective for students from second-tier universities due to limited competitive advantages [1][2]. - There is a significant disconnect between university curricula and societal needs, with many educational programs lagging behind technological advancements [1][2]. - Students should focus on identifying their strengths and aligning them with market demands rather than pursuing academic upgrades without a clear purpose [1][2]. Group 2: Skills Development - Students should abandon the "degree-centric" mindset and instead enhance their problem-solving skills and self-directed learning abilities [2][3]. - The advent of AI tools has transformed the learning landscape, allowing individuals to acquire skills like data analysis and video production in a fraction of the time previously required [2][3]. - Emphasis should be placed on practical skills that can lead to employment opportunities in small to medium enterprises, which value cost-effective and proactive talent [2][3]. Group 3: Career Strategies for Ordinary Students - Ordinary students should prioritize skill development over academic performance, as competing for grades in less prestigious institutions offers minimal advantages in the job market [3]. - Emerging skills such as no-code development and new media operations have lower barriers to entry, and platforms like Bilibili and YouTube provide abundant free resources for skill acquisition [3]. - Students should focus on real-world applications of their skills to enhance their employability and career prospects [3]. Group 4: The Role of Higher Education - The perception of higher education as a guaranteed pathway to success is diminishing, and students should not idolize degrees as the sole means of achieving their goals [12][54]. - The competitive landscape has changed, and while the difficulty of gaining admission to universities remains high, the job market for graduates has become more challenging [54][56]. - Students from second-tier universities should leverage their local advantages and industry-specific skills to find opportunities in their regions [27][58]. Group 5: The Importance of City and Major Selection - When choosing universities, students should prioritize cities with robust economic opportunities, as urban environments provide richer experiences and better job prospects [46][49]. - Students should pursue majors that align with their interests and market needs, as passion can lead to long-term success despite initial challenges [47][48]. - Utilizing AI tools for informed decision-making in the college application process can help bridge information gaps and enhance students' choices [49][51]. Group 6: Social Awareness and Practical Experience - Young individuals should cultivate social awareness and engage with real-world experiences to enhance their understanding of societal needs [61]. - Practical experiences such as internships and part-time jobs are crucial for shaping a realistic career perspective and developing essential skills [66]. - Active participation in social networks and communities can significantly enhance a student's visibility and opportunities in the job market [62][64].
旅游业的第四次技术跃迁
乱翻书· 2025-06-10 15:04
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant potential of the cultural and tourism industry, illustrated by the unexpected rise of Chongqing Rongchang as a tourist destination driven by social media influence and local government initiatives [1][2] Group 1: Tourism Growth and Economic Impact - Rongchang's tourism saw explosive growth during the "May Day" holiday, with visitor numbers reaching 2.345 million and a staggering 752% increase in the sales of local delicacy, "Lu Goose" [1] - In May, Rongchang welcomed 6.7398 million tourists, generating a total tourism revenue of 3.774 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 224% [1] - The overall domestic tourism revenue in China reached 5.75 trillion yuan last year, activating an economic scale of 17 trillion yuan across related industries through a consumption multiplier effect of 1:3 [2] Group 2: Changing Consumer Demographics and Preferences - The younger generation, particularly those aged 30 and below, is emerging as the main force in tourism consumption, comprising 51% of high-value members on platforms like Meituan [4][10] - This demographic shift is accompanied by a fundamental change in travel demand, moving from basic sightseeing to a desire for personalized, immersive experiences that resonate emotionally [4][6] Group 3: Innovative Business Models in the Tourism Industry - The integration of "accommodation+" models is becoming crucial for hotels to tap into new revenue streams, with significant growth in cross-category demands such as "accommodation + dining" and "accommodation + entertainment" [9][12] - High-end hotels are increasingly adopting innovative strategies, such as offering unique dining experiences and cultural activities, to attract younger consumers [10][12] Group 4: Technological Advancements and AI Integration - The tourism industry is entering a new phase characterized by the application of AI, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and customer service through data-driven decision-making [15][16] - Meituan's AI tools are designed to optimize hotel operations by providing dynamic pricing strategies and personalized service recommendations based on user preferences and local events [16][17] - The shift towards AI-driven models is anticipated to redefine competition in the tourism sector, moving from traditional metrics of scale and price to a focus on technology, data integration, and refined operational capabilities [17]
《腾讯·悟空》出版:与程苓峰聊自媒体、数字游民和创作自觉
乱翻书· 2025-06-05 06:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unique journey of Cheng Lingfeng after leaving Tencent, emphasizing his pursuit of creative freedom and the development of his own philosophical framework through the lens of Tencent and broader societal observations [2][49]. Group 1: Cheng Lingfeng's Journey - Cheng Lingfeng transitioned from a Tencent journalist to a self-media entrepreneur, exploring various avenues of self-expression and commercial viability in the digital space [2][10]. - His departure from Tencent was motivated by a desire for freedom and the realization of the potential in self-media platforms like Weibo and WeChat [8][12]. - Cheng's early self-media ventures included innovative monetization strategies such as advertising and reader donations, which he successfully implemented [14][15]. Group 2: Philosophy and Creative Freedom - Cheng emphasizes the importance of creative freedom in media, arguing that true creativity is stifled in traditional media environments due to organizational constraints [16]. - He believes that the current generation of creators operates on a different level, characterized by a more intuitive and less effortful approach to information acquisition [33][35]. - Cheng's philosophical evolution reflects a shift from a focus on resume-based competition to a more profound, philosophical competition, suggesting that understanding systems is crucial for navigating the modern landscape [22][61]. Group 3: Observations on Media and Society - Cheng critiques the media's role in shaping narratives, acknowledging the responsibility that comes with the power to influence public perception [27][48]. - He reflects on the changing dynamics of social media, particularly the distinction between familiar and unfamiliar social interactions, and how this impacts platforms like WeChat and Douyin [39][40]. - The article highlights Cheng's belief that the essence of media lies in its ability to resonate with audiences, rather than merely relying on the creator's fame [19][20].
当更快到手的低价成为变量,618变了
乱翻书· 2025-05-28 12:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of the 618 shopping festival, highlighting how Meituan's entry into the event has changed the dynamics of e-commerce promotions, focusing on speed, simplicity, and competitive pricing [1][6][10]. Group 1: E-commerce Promotion Evolution - The origin of e-commerce promotions like 618 was driven by logistical challenges and consumer fears of scarcity and high prices, leading to a culture of bulk buying during sales [4]. - As the industry matured, promotions became more complex, with various discount mechanisms that often confused consumers and eroded trust [4][5]. - The traditional bulk-buying mentality is being challenged by instant retail and rational consumption, as consumers now prefer immediate access to products rather than stockpiling [5]. Group 2: Meituan's Strategy in 618 - Meituan's participation in 618 is not just a simple addition but a strategic move leveraging its flash purchase model, emphasizing low prices and quick delivery [7][10]. - The company offers a unique selling proposition with a promise of delivery within 30 minutes, contrasting with traditional e-commerce's longer wait times [8][9]. - Simplified rules and clear discounts are key features of Meituan's approach, eliminating complex discount structures and enhancing consumer experience [10]. Group 3: Pricing and Consumer Preferences - Meituan is breaking the perception that instant retail is expensive, showcasing competitive pricing on popular items like the iPhone 16 and premium liquor [12]. - The demand for quick delivery is evident, with over 50% of consumers wanting same-day delivery, indicating a shift away from the traditional bulk-buying mindset [12]. - The combination of fast delivery and competitive pricing is expected to attract younger consumers, who are increasingly looking for convenience and immediacy in their shopping experiences [12][14].
对话果麦路金波:从榕树下到抖音,作家、读者与出版业的二十年变迁
乱翻书· 2025-05-14 13:10
Core Viewpoint - The publishing industry is undergoing significant changes due to the rise of short video platforms like Douyin, shifting from a supply-driven model to a demand-driven one, where user needs dictate supply [1][21][34]. Group 1: Changes in the Publishing Industry - The media environment has transitioned from a tree structure to a network structure, increasing the weight of demand and shifting the publishing industry from "supply determines demand" to "demand influences supply" [1][21]. - Short video platforms have transformed book sales from "people searching for books" to "books finding people," leading to more efficient supply-demand matching [1][21][34]. - The emergence of generative AI will serve as a creative aid, but the ultimate value still lies in human judgment and creativity [1][21]. Group 2: The Role of Literature - Literature may continue to decline under the influence of media technology, as it occupies a brief period in human cultural history, with modern novels flourishing for only about 160 years [2][44]. - The era of super bestsellers, like Han Han's 20 million copies sold, has passed, but the content market has become more diverse and equitable, allowing more voices from ordinary writers to be heard [2][44]. Group 3: Historical Context of Chinese Literature - Three significant "baby booms" in modern Chinese culture are identified, each corresponding to key historical events that shaped the literary landscape [4]. - The first generation was born around 1898, participating in the May Fourth Movement; the second around 1955, coinciding with the Reform and Opening Up in 1978; and the third around 1978, emerging during the internet era [4]. Group 4: The Impact of Short Video Platforms - Short video platforms have become major channels for book sales, with a notable increase in the popularity of social science books during the period from 2020 to 2023 [14][16]. - The publishing industry has seen a shift where books are now used as a primary entry point for new platforms seeking to expand their user base [16][34]. Group 5: Supply Chain Innovations - The publishing company has adopted a zero-inventory model, allowing for rapid response to demand through a highly efficient supply chain that can produce books within hours [32][37]. - This shift has enabled the company to reduce warehouse space while increasing the speed and efficiency of matching supply with demand [32][37]. Group 6: The Future of Literature and AI - The decline of literature is anticipated as other media forms, such as short videos and AI-generated content, become more prevalent [44][60]. - AI is seen as a tool to enhance productivity in the publishing process, but the intrinsic value of content will still rely on human creativity and judgment [61][62]. Group 7: The Role of the Publisher - The publisher's role is evolving into that of a cultural merchant, utilizing technology to discover demand while maintaining a cultural judgment to match supply [65][66]. - The focus remains on discovering value and producing quality content, adapting to the changing landscape of media and consumer preferences [66].
阿里:只当创造者,不做守成人
乱翻书· 2025-05-09 04:41
Core Viewpoint - Growth creates complexity, which can silently undermine growth. The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining the entrepreneurial spirit within large organizations like Alibaba to navigate challenges and sustain innovation [1][10]. Group 1: Entrepreneurial Spirit - The entrepreneurial spirit is characterized by a mission to meet unmet customer needs and a commitment to innovation, which is essential for large companies to avoid stagnation [11]. - Alibaba aims to revive its entrepreneurial spirit by recalling its origins and emphasizing a "from zero to one" mindset, encouraging employees to think like a startup [12]. - The company recognizes the need to combat organizational inertia and path dependency to maintain its innovative edge in the AI era [12]. Group 2: Infrastructure Development - Alibaba's vision has consistently focused on building future business infrastructure, aiming to facilitate customer interactions and operations through its platforms [6][8]. - The company has historically succeeded in various sectors, including e-commerce, mobile payments, and cloud computing, by proactively exploring new avenues rather than merely defending existing positions [9]. - The shift towards an AI-driven strategy is seen as a continuation of Alibaba's mission to create a robust infrastructure that supports diverse business needs [14]. Group 3: AI Strategy and Challenges - Alibaba's primary goal in its AI strategy is to achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), which could significantly impact global GDP and employment structures [14]. - The company faces challenges in building an AI infrastructure, ensuring synergy across its various business units, and enhancing operational efficiency to avoid the pitfalls of large organizations [9][14]. - The transition to an AI-driven business model requires a complete overhaul of existing systems rather than mere optimization, highlighting the need for substantial transformation [14][15].
中餐出海:有缝隙的地方,就会有光
乱翻书· 2025-05-08 08:07
出境旅游时,打开大众点评"搜一搜",已经成为无数中国游客的本能动作。无论是在新加坡、东京还是曼谷, 国人早已习惯在就餐前参考"必吃榜""黑珍珠"选餐厅、定路线。目前美团、大众点评的服务已覆盖海外170多个 国家,近1000个城市的商家,正是吃遍天下美食这一使用习惯,让大众点评成为国人旅行中必备的"生活指南 针"。 但与此同时,中国企业"走出去"的步伐也在经受新的考验与调整。自4月初特朗普在白宫宣布新一轮加征关税政 策以来,外贸企业陷入前所未有的不确定之中。环境稳定才是一切中长期决策的前提,对于许多中国出口商而 言,这不仅是前所未见的挑战,更是信心的考验:有人坚持"换个地方继续做生意",有人则开始重新评估市场 布局的方向。虽然相对地位正在下降,美国依然是中国最大的单一出口市场,但"三天一变的政策让任何积极的 应对变得可笑而无用"。越来越多的企业开始把目光转向东南亚、中东和欧洲等新兴区域,以规避"变动过快"带 来的风险。 在这样一个全球贸易裂变、焦虑蔓延的时刻,美团旗下的"黑珍珠餐厅指南"首次将发布会搬到了海外——亚洲 精致餐饮的"十字路口"新加坡。作为连接中国与东南亚的重要枢纽,新加坡在吸引中国游客方面也具备天 ...
为什么贴吧之后再无贴吧?
乱翻书· 2025-05-07 13:39
Core Viewpoints - Baidu is reassessing its Tieba platform to enhance user-generated content (UGC) and compete with platforms like Xiaohongshu and Douyin, as its search market share declines [1][5] - The future strategy for Tieba includes reducing advertisements to attract back old users and promote self-creation [5] - The transition from PC to mobile has posed significant challenges for traditional forums like Tieba, which struggle with content organization and user engagement in the mobile era [8][9] Group 1: Challenges and Evolution of Tieba - Tieba, once the largest Chinese forum in the PC era, faces difficulties in the mobile environment due to mismatched product forms and inefficient content organization [9][12] - The rise of creator economy has shifted quality content producers towards platforms with monetization opportunities, impacting Tieba's content quality [9][17] - The community's value proposition is being challenged by platforms like Xiaohongshu, which offer a more open UGC ecosystem, allowing ordinary users to gain attention and monetization opportunities [9][10] Group 2: Community Dynamics and Future Trends - The future of interest communities is expected to focus on higher information efficiency, stronger interactive feedback, and vertical tool utilization [54] - Successful communities often emerge from organic growth and cultural development rather than aggressive marketing strategies [52][54] - The integration of commerce and community is becoming essential, with platforms like潮玩族 demonstrating how interest-based communities can effectively merge content and consumption [40][41] Group 3: Community Commercialization and Creator Ecosystem - Community commercialization remains a complex issue, with successful models often relying on unique cultural attributes rather than just content [36][40] - The creator ecosystem must provide pathways for recognition and monetization to retain quality contributors, as seen in platforms like Xiaohongshu and Bilibili [43][45] - The balance between content value and community engagement is crucial for sustaining user interest and participation [44][46]
AI让我变得更勤奋了
乱翻书· 2025-04-28 02:07
新周刊 . 中国最新锐的生活方式周刊。 编者荐语: 今年深入使用AI后,感慨到"人猿相揖别,只几个石头磨过"。 新周刊做了期《守住工位》的封面专题,找了同为内容/创意创作者的我,聊了对AI如何影响、定义自己的工作的疑问。 我最大的感受是:如果你不去熟练使用工具,那就会被更熟练使用工具的人剥削。 以下文章来源于新周刊 ,作者王立 如果自我意识不过是人类的神经活动,那机器迟早也会拥有。如果连意识都不是独特的, 面对机器更强大的学习能力和处理能力,人类该如何自视、如何自处? 作者 | 王立 编辑 | DR 参加工作时,我的第一个选题是关于AlphaGo的。2016年3月,谷歌旗下人工智能公司DeepMind研发的围棋机器人AlphaGo,在人机大战中战胜了围 棋世界冠军李世石。 科幻小说《深渊上的火》作者弗诺·文奇曾提及"技术奇点"这个概念:在未来的某个时间点,比人类更聪明的智能体将被创造出来并引发"智能爆 炸",使科技进步以指数级速度加速,技术发展将进入一个人类完全不可预测和不可逆转的阶段。 有人将"奇点"的来临形容为"在站台上等待列车":你知道火车迟早会到达,但具体什么时候到却无法确定。火车到站、离开的时间只是 ...
独立开发者的黄金时代
乱翻书· 2025-04-26 18:08
小红书首届"独立开发大赛"结了从16岁少年到60后的开发者,共有1355个项目报名,他们开发的产品涵盖硬件、游戏到各类效率工具,展现了一批与传统 开发者非常不同的创作者群像。 在这个背景下,我邀请了三位独立开发者和两位大赛相关嘉宾一起探讨独立开发的现象与未来。独立开发者有AI美食记录产品胃之书的开发者赵纯想、 AI笔记应用「心光」开发者王禹效和中途加入的玉伯,他在开发一款AI创作工具youmind。大赛相关嘉宾有小红书社区爱好负责人散兵,他是小红书大赛 的发起人之一,另外骆轶航是硅星人的创始人,也是这届大赛的媒体评委。 最近小红书举办了首届独立开发者大赛,作为评委之一,我感受到独立开发者这个群体在AI时代正变得越来越活跃。应用开发正成为AI时代的内容创作 新形态,或者说开发者就是AI时代的创作者,而小红书平台上活跃着超过5万名独立开发者。 我们主要探讨了独立开发者的定义、动机、生存状态,以及小红书从美妆、时尚等生活方式平台演变为覆盖各种兴趣爱好的生活社区,其用户真实反馈和 解决问题的社区氛围吸引了大量独立开发者。在AI赋能下,独立开发者通过解决具体生活问题创造价值,形成一种新的组织和工作形态——自由人的自 由 ...