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早报|特朗普称心中已定美联储下任主席;万科郁亮辞去所有职务;海底捞回应锅里被扔尿不湿事件;雷军宣布小米未来5年研发再投2000亿
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-09 00:10
Group 1 - The next Federal Reserve chairman is yet to be announced, but President Trump has indicated he has a decision in mind [2] - Minimax's IPO in Hong Kong saw a subscription rate of 1,837.17 times for retail investors, raising a total of 4.8 billion HKD [3] - Apple is reportedly accelerating succession planning for CEO Tim Cook, with potential internal candidates being groomed for the role [4] Group 2 - Nestlé (China) is under scrutiny for recalling specific batches of infant formula following preventive measures taken in Europe [5] - Trump claims the U.S. has begun profiting from Venezuelan oil resources, expecting to control the country long-term [6][7] - OpenAI has acquired the core team of executive coaching AI tool Convogo to enhance its AI cloud business [8] Group 3 - Vanke's executive vice president, Yu Liang, has resigned due to retirement [10] - Huiyuan Group has announced plans to regain control of the Huiyuan brand amid disputes with its restructuring party [11] - Sinopec and China Aviation Oil are undergoing a restructuring process approved by the State Council [12] Group 4 - Wang Teng, former Xiaomi executive, has founded a new company named "Today Yixiu" focused on sleep health products [15] - IKEA China will close seven stores starting February 2, citing a need for resource reallocation and efficiency improvement [21][22] - Aima Technology has faced rumors of significant layoffs, but the company claims the adjustments are normal and not as severe as reported [23] Group 5 - Shanghai Mobile has denied allegations of pressuring employees to disconnect customers' internet services for revenue generation [24] - MiniMax is set to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange today, with shares priced at the upper limit of 165 HKD [25] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange is implementing measures to cool down the silver futures market due to overheating [26]
中产“自律三件套”,它第一个塌房?
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The myth of premium yogurt brands, particularly Blueglass, is rapidly collapsing as prices drop and consumer trust erodes [4][8][30]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Blueglass, once dubbed the "Hermès of yogurt," has seen its prices slashed, with promotional offers as low as 45% off [5][6]. - Other brands like K22 and Mo Yogurt, which were once thriving, are now struggling to compete in the lower price segments [7][27]. - The once high-priced yogurt drinks, marketed as health products, are now facing a backlash as consumers question their quality and value [30][32]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are shifting away from the narrative of "fresh and healthy" towards a more straightforward desire for taste, as evidenced by the rise of dairy snacks like milk skin [44][53]. - The previous trend of spending on premium yogurt for health reasons is being replaced by a willingness to pay for indulgent treats, such as milk skin snacks [54][56]. - The perception of yogurt as a health product is diminishing, with consumers now prioritizing flavor over health claims [52][55]. Group 3: Brand Challenges - Blueglass and other yogurt brands are facing significant challenges, including quality control issues and negative publicity related to product safety [34][35]. - The rapid expansion of these brands has led to operational pressures that compromise product quality, resulting in a loss of consumer trust [34][36]. - As the market for premium yogurt collapses, brands are attempting to pivot by introducing new concepts, but consumer enthusiasm is waning [41][43].
岗位没有消失,但好工作更难找了
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The employment situation in 2025 is characterized by a paradox where macroeconomic indicators show stability, but individual experiences of employment are increasingly negative, leading to a perception of a declining availability of desirable jobs [4]. Group 1: Structural Challenges - The transformation of industrial structure is deepening, with traditional labor-intensive sectors losing their capacity to absorb employment, while new industries like AI and digital economy are still in a phase of selective hiring [6]. - Economic growth is slowing down, and uncertainty is increasing, causing companies to adopt more cautious hiring practices, leading to a conservative and flexible employment demand [7]. - Weak consumer recovery is limiting the expansion of traditional employment sectors, with rising operational costs squeezing profit margins for small service businesses, resulting in a trend of "less hiring, slower hiring, and short-term hiring" [7]. Group 2: Key Facts - In 2025, the number of college graduates reached 12.22 million, marking a record high, with projections indicating this number will remain above 12 million for the next decade [9]. - The youth unemployment rate for those aged 16-24 is persistently high, fluctuating between 16% and 18%, significantly above the overall unemployment rate of around 5% [9]. - There is a notable increase in risk-averse choices among youth, with 3.718 million candidates applying for national civil service exams in 2026, surpassing the number of graduate school applicants for the first time in over a decade [10]. Group 3: Employment Mismatch - The current employment issue is fundamentally one of mismatch rather than disappearance, with a significant portion of the workforce unable to find suitable positions due to skill and expectation mismatches [14]. - Skills mismatch is evident as the demand for complex, integrated skills rises, while the supply of general skills remains abundant, leading to difficulties for highly educated workers to find appropriate roles [14]. - Expectation mismatches are also prevalent, with young people seeking job stability and security that many available positions do not offer, leading to a concentration of talent in stable but less innovative sectors [15]. Group 4: AI's Impact on Employment - AI is reshaping the employment landscape, leading to job polarization where high-end positions are expanding while middle-skill jobs are being systematically compressed [20][21]. - New opportunities are emerging in AI-related fields, with a growing demand for technical roles such as algorithm training and data annotation, indicating a shift in the types of skills that are valued in the labor market [22]. - The rise of flexible employment and new job forms is becoming a significant channel for income generation, with the government actively promoting these trends as part of its long-term economic strategy [24]. Group 5: Rural Employment Trends - The early return of migrant workers to rural areas in 2025 is attributed to weak demand in construction and manufacturing, leading to increased job insecurity and financial pressures on families [29]. - The trend of declining inter-provincial migrant workers is evident, with the number dropping from 78.67 million in 2014 to 68.4 million in 2024, reflecting changing attitudes towards urban employment [30]. - The employment risks for migrant workers have shifted from merely finding work to concerns about job security and fair compensation, highlighting the need for policies that address these emerging challenges [31].
泊寓清退风波下的深圳年轻人:“住着住着,家没了”
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent wave of apartment clearances in Shenzhen, particularly affecting the "Boya" rental apartments, which has caused significant distress among young tenants who have built their lives and communities in these spaces [4][5][6]. Group 1: Overview of the Clearances - At least 13 areas in Shenzhen have experienced clearances of "Boya" apartments over the past two months, affecting regions such as Fuyong, Qinghu, Meilin, and Bantian [4]. - The clearances primarily target buildings from the 2017 "Wancun Plan," focusing on low-efficiency or high-risk existing projects [4]. Group 2: Tenant Experiences - Tenants like Zou Ling received sudden notifications about the clearances, leading to emotional turmoil as they had lived in these apartments for years and formed strong community ties [4][6]. - Various tenants expressed concerns about the uncertainty of their housing situation, with some opting to renew leases with original landlords while others feared potential future clearances [6][7]. Group 3: Compensation and Relocation Options - "Boya" offered tenants options such as renewing leases with original landlords, moving out, or transferring to other "Boya" apartments, with compensation of one month's rent for the first two options and a relocation fee of 300 yuan for the third [6][7]. - Some tenants reported positive experiences with landlords, while others faced challenges, such as unexpected rent increases or changes in lease terms after the clearances [7][8]. Group 4: Community Impact - The article highlights the sense of community that existed in "Boya" apartments, where tenants engaged in various social activities and built relationships with neighbors and staff [12][13]. - The clearances have disrupted these communities, leading to feelings of loss and nostalgia among former residents who valued the social connections they had developed [15][19]. Group 5: Broader Implications - The clearances have not only affected tenants but also local businesses, as the reduction in resident numbers has led to decreased foot traffic and sales [17]. - Some tenants expressed mixed feelings about "Boya," noting both positive experiences and frustrations with high rents and staff turnover, indicating a complex relationship with the brand [17][18].
英伟达发布Alpamayo对特斯拉意味着什么?
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses NVIDIA's launch of the Alpamayo autonomous driving platform, which is expected to level the playing field in the autonomous driving sector, particularly against Tesla's existing advantages [3][4]. Group 1: Features of the Alpamayo Platform - Alpamayo is the first autonomous driving platform with reasoning capabilities, capable of processing multimodal data (visual, language, action) [3]. - The platform enhances safety by allowing autonomous vehicles to handle rare and unexpected scenarios, addressing a significant pain point in the industry [4]. - It is an open-source platform that integrates open-source models, simulation frameworks, and datasets, creating a comprehensive ecosystem for developers [4][6]. Group 2: Industry Response and Adoption - Major companies such as Jaguar Land Rover, Lucid, and Uber have expressed interest in utilizing Alpamayo to develop reasoning-based autonomous driving technology [6]. - The first vehicles equipped with NVIDIA technology are expected to hit the roads in the U.S. in the first quarter, Europe in the second quarter, and Asia later in the year [6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - NVIDIA's strategy is to empower automakers rather than compete directly in the autonomous vehicle market, akin to how it previously built an ecosystem around its GPUs [6][7]. - The competition is intensifying as traditional automakers and new entrants aim to challenge Tesla's dominance in the autonomous driving space [7]. Group 4: Historical Context and Relationships - The article outlines the historical collaboration between Tesla and NVIDIA, highlighting how NVIDIA's technology has been integral to Tesla's early autonomous driving capabilities [9][10]. - Following Tesla's decision to develop its own autonomous driving hardware, the relationship between the two companies has become more distant, although both still rely on NVIDIA's GPUs for various applications [14][12].
智谱上市,我们与其天使投资人聊了聊
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 09:39
大量资源都会往硬科技里砸 出品|虎嗅科技组 作者|陈伊凡 编辑|苗正卿 头图|视觉中国 "早期投资,更重要的是投人,只要人看好了,就没有太多犹豫。" 在1月8日智谱上市前的几天,中科创星创始合伙人米磊,在接受包括虎嗅在内的机构交流时,如是回答了 虎嗅的问题。 作为智谱的联合发起方,中科创星在2019年智谱创立之初便天使轮独家投资了4000万元,在此后的6年时 间,根据智谱招股书显示,其先后完成了8轮融资,机构股东超过了80家,融资规模超过了83亿元。 了 在今天智谱开盘股价报120港元,较发行价116.2港元涨3.27%,总市值达528亿港元,中间智谱的股价跌破 发行价。截至发稿,智谱的股价为128.7港元。 "尽管在2023年,全球AI进展迅速,中国模型公司被质疑,但其实还是有一些模型公司,在很短的时间里做 出来了,比如智谱。"米磊解释,很多人都低估了中国科技人才的创新能力和创业能力。 但米磊显得很平静,在交流中,他回应了最初投资智谱的动机;中科创星对于AI投资的底层逻辑;以及对 大模型公司未来空间的想象。 通过行业找技术方向、 通过最权威的组织寻找 合适的人 最初关注到人工智能,是2012年前后。 米磊和 ...
给还在大厂工作的朋友21条忠告
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 09:39
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding user problems over merely writing good code, suggesting that the best engineers are those who are deeply obsessed with solving user issues [5][6] - It highlights that achieving consensus is more valuable than simply proving oneself right in technical discussions, as collaboration is key to project success [7] - The article advocates for action and iteration over perfection, stating that real learning comes from engaging with users and receiving feedback [8][9] Group 1: Key Principles for Engineers - The best engineers focus on user problems, leading to simpler and more effective solutions [5] - Consensus in discussions is crucial; strong opinions should be held with a flexible stance to foster collaboration [7] - Prioritizing action over perfection can lead to better outcomes; initial prototypes and MVPs are more valuable than theoretical debates [8][9] Group 2: Code and Collaboration - Clear code is more important than clever code, as it reduces operational risks and aids future maintenance [10] - Innovation should be strategic; introducing new technologies should be limited to areas where unique benefits can be gained [11][12] - Networking and relationships are vital for long-term career success, often providing opportunities that technical skills alone cannot [33][34] Group 3: Process and Performance - Many performance improvements come from reducing unnecessary work rather than adding complexity [35] - Effective processes should aim to reduce uncertainty and facilitate collaboration, rather than serve as bureaucratic hurdles [37] - Time becomes more valuable than money as careers progress; understanding this can guide better decision-making [40][41] Group 4: Learning and Growth - Continuous learning and deliberate practice are essential for professional growth, with a focus on long-term development rather than quick fixes [42] - Teaching others can clarify one's own understanding and reinforce learning [22][23] - Acknowledging uncertainty fosters a culture of curiosity and learning within teams [31][32]
锂电大变局
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 09:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the geopolitical implications of the U.S. interest in Venezuela's oil resources under the guise of anti-drug efforts, highlighting the potential shifts in global commodity pricing and supply chains due to U.S. actions in South America [4]. Group 1: Lithium Market Overview - South America, particularly the "Lithium Triangle" of Argentina, Chile, and Bolivia, holds over half of the world's lithium reserves, with Chile currently being the core producer [7]. - Argentina is expected to see a significant increase in lithium production, with projections of over 700,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent by 2030 [8]. - China's lithium carbonate imports heavily rely on South American salt lake lithium, with 49% of imports coming from Chile and 36% from Argentina as of November 2025 [10]. Group 2: Price Dynamics and Market Trends - The price of lithium carbonate has seen a remarkable recovery, stabilizing around 80,000 yuan/ton in October 2025 and peaking at over 120,000 yuan/ton by December, reflecting a doubling from mid-year lows [10]. - The supply-demand balance in the lithium market is tight, influenced by production cuts from upstream companies, which have led to a significant price increase [12]. - Major lithium producers have seen substantial stock price increases, with companies like Dazhong Mining and Cangge Mining rising over 200% in 2025 [12]. Group 3: Midstream and Downstream Implications - The demand for lithium battery materials is shifting from solely electric vehicles to a dual-driven model including energy storage, with energy storage demand growing rapidly [14]. - By the end of 2024, China's new energy storage capacity is projected to reach 84.53 million kilowatts, requiring a compound annual growth rate of 30% from 2025 to 2027 [17]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate, a key component in battery electrolytes, surged to over 120,000 yuan/ton by November 2025, reflecting strong downstream demand [18]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Companies like CATL face challenges due to their lack of control over salt lake resources, which are crucial for lithium extraction, while competition intensifies with other players in the market [24]. - The relationship between battery manufacturers and automotive companies is becoming more complex, with competition heating up in the lithium iron phosphate segment [27]. - The upcoming changes in tax policies and subsidy structures for new energy vehicles are expected to impact sales and production strategies in the industry [28].
中国式“好学生”:前半生拿高分,后半生治内耗
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 09:39
在公司里,他们既不擅长应对领导的 PUA,也不太会拒绝同事的"顺手帮忙"。加班成了常态,回报却始终不成正比。在生活中,他们习惯 把委屈全都埋在心里,"忍一时风平浪静"成了人生座右铭。 学生时代人人向往的"好学生"标签,现在正让越来越多人叫苦不迭。 以下文章来源于网易数读 ,作者网易数读 网易数读 . 网易旗下栏目,用数据说话。 本文来自微信公众号: 网易数读 ,作者:网易数读,头图来自:AI生成 在中国,有一群人,他们是父母眼中的乖小孩,是老师口中的好学生。升学、考研、找工作,一路标准、一路稳妥,人生像提前写好答案, 活成了"别人家的小孩"。 但走进社会之后,很多人才开始察觉,事情似乎有些不对劲。 一、当个好学生,究竟有多累 在如今的中文互联网语境里,好学生早已不再是一个纯粹的褒义词。 这一变化,被真正摆上台面讨论,始于豆瓣的一个小组。2023 年 1 月,受"优等生心态"这一说法启发,"好学生心态受害者"小组成立。小 组的创建者认为,好学生是一种被老师、父母和上级塑造出来的形象 [1] 。 为了减轻好学生的表达压力,小组不设门槛,三年内成员已超过 12 万人。 好学生心态到底是什么?怎么判断自己有没有这种心 ...
内存条涨疯了,国产替代如何破局?
虎嗅APP· 2026-01-08 00:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant price increase of memory chips, particularly 32GB memory modules, which have surged from under 800 yuan at the beginning of the year to over 2200 yuan currently, leading to comparisons with gold bars due to their high value [4][5]. Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - Since Q3 2025, the global memory chip market has experienced an "epic" price surge, with DRAM prices increasing by 171.8% compared to the same period in 2024, significantly outpacing the less than 110% increase in international spot gold prices [12]. - Major storage manufacturers, including Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix, have reported substantial profit increases due to rising memory prices, with Samsung's operating profit reaching approximately $8.56 billion, a 32.2% year-on-year increase [17]. - Analysts predict that memory prices will continue to rise, with a forecasted additional increase of 20% early next year and sustained price growth potentially lasting until mid-2026 [14][15]. Group 2: Impact on Supply Chain and Consumer Electronics - The rising cost of memory chips is expected to increase the overall costs of smartphones and computers, as memory components account for 10%-20% of the BOM (Bill of Materials) costs [23][24]. - Smartphone and computer manufacturers face three difficult choices in response to rising memory costs: maintain configurations at original prices, reduce configurations while keeping prices stable, or increase prices, which may deter consumers and impact sales [25][26]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Factors - The price increase is attributed to a dynamic interplay between supply and demand, with supply constraints arising from manufacturers' previous production cuts during industry downturns and demand surges driven by applications such as artificial intelligence [28][32]. - The production of memory chips is capital-intensive and has long lead times, making it difficult for supply to quickly respond to sudden increases in demand [37]. Group 4: Market Structure and Competitive Landscape - The global memory market is dominated by manufacturers from the US, Japan, and South Korea, with Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron holding over 93% of the DRAM market share [53]. - Chinese companies like Changxin Storage and Yangtze Memory Technologies are emerging but still lag significantly behind leading firms, particularly in high-bandwidth memory (HBM), where 99% of the market is controlled by the top three companies [57]. Group 5: Geopolitical and Technological Challenges - The Chinese memory chip industry faces significant challenges, including geopolitical tensions and technology barriers, which hinder its ability to compete effectively in the global market [64][66]. - The recent price surge presents both challenges and opportunities for Chinese companies to accelerate technological advancements and improve efficiency, while also highlighting the need for a comprehensive strategy to overcome systemic issues in the industry [68][69].