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光伏反转信号,虽迟但到
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a silicon material storage platform marks a significant event in the photovoltaic industry, indicating a shift towards reducing production capacity and addressing overcapacity issues in the sector [2][5][21]. Group 1: Background and Development - The silicon material storage platform, named Beijing Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd., was officially established on December 9, with a registered capital of 3 billion [2]. - The platform was formed by ten photovoltaic companies, primarily silicon material producers, including Tongwei, GCL, and Daqo Energy [2][18]. - The industry has been anticipating the establishment of this platform since mid-2025, with various discussions and speculations circulating in the market [5][6]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Challenges - Following the announcement of the platform's establishment, major silicon material companies saw significant stock price increases, with some rising by 10% on the same day [6]. - However, negative sentiments emerged in November when claims of the "failure of anti-involution" led to a sharp decline in the photovoltaic sector, with the photovoltaic ETF dropping by 11.27% from November 12 to December 10 [9][8]. - The concerns regarding "anti-monopoly" issues have been cited as a major factor affecting the implementation of the anti-involution measures [11][14]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, the photovoltaic industry is expected to reach a turning point, with potential for asset revaluation as the market begins to focus on the recovery of photovoltaic asset valuations [21][25]. - The effectiveness of the silicon material reduction plan will be crucial for improving the fundamentals and performance of photovoltaic companies [23]. - The anticipated recovery in the market is expected to begin in the first or second quarter of the following year, with price increases in silicon materials likely to benefit upstream companies first [24][25].
打破“强省会”,突然开始了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift from a "strong provincial capital" model to a "dual-pole" or multi-center development strategy in certain provinces, particularly highlighting the case of Shaanxi and its cities, Xi'an and Yulin [4][6][7]. Group 1: Shaanxi's New Development Strategy - Shaanxi's "14th Five-Year Plan" proposes a "dual-pole drive" strategy, indicating that Xi'an will no longer be the sole growth center, with Yulin emerging as a comparable growth pole [6][7]. - Xi'an contributes 37.5% to Shaanxi's GDP, making it the largest economic hub in the province and the broader northwest region [8]. - Yulin, as China's second-largest coal-producing city, has a GDP exceeding 750 billion, positioning it as a leading city in central and western China [9]. - Yulin has rapidly ascended in national rankings, moving from outside the top 60 to around 40, aiming for a trillion GDP city status [11]. - Yulin's economic strength allows it to become a new growth pole, suggesting a potential transition for Shaanxi from a single-pole to a dual-pole model [13]. Group 2: Comparison with Other Provinces - Other provinces like Sichuan and Hubei continue to emphasize the "strong provincial capital" model, with plans to enhance the core functions of their respective capitals, Chengdu and Wuhan [16][17]. - Provinces such as Shanxi, Guangxi, and Gansu have reiterated the importance of strong provincial capitals, indicating that this remains a mainstream choice in central and western China [19][20]. - The article notes that multi-center development models are typically found in economically strong regions or those with significant ports, contrasting with the majority of central and western provinces that lack such conditions [21][28]. Group 3: Implications for Strong and Weak Provinces - The debate around strong provincial capitals arises from concerns that a singular focus on one city can limit the development of surrounding areas [35]. - For underdeveloped provinces, having a strong provincial capital is crucial for establishing a presence and competing nationally, especially in attracting talent and businesses [37]. - The consensus suggests that economically developed provinces should cultivate multiple centers, while underdeveloped provinces benefit from a strong provincial capital, although there should be efforts to develop multiple growth poles in overly dominant regions [38][39].
被优绩主义困住的人,最终都要学着做个普通人
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the societal pressure of achieving success and the struggle of accepting one's ordinary status in life, particularly in East Asian cultures, where external validation often dictates self-worth [6][9][19]. Group 1: Understanding Ordinary Life - The narrative highlights the shift from a meritocratic mindset to a more accepting view of ordinary life, questioning the necessity of success for self-worth [6][9]. - The film "Perfect Days" is referenced to illustrate the beauty found in ordinary lives, emphasizing that fulfillment can come from simple pleasures rather than societal achievements [6][8]. - The concept of "ordinary" is explored through discussions among editors, revealing a collective struggle to embrace this identity [7]. Group 2: Cultural Influences - The article notes that East Asian collectivist culture often overlooks individual value, leading to a reliance on external achievements for self-assessment [8][9]. - Many individuals, raised in a success-driven environment, find it challenging to accept their ordinary status, which is seen as a common issue in clinical psychology [8][9]. - The societal expectation to excel creates a cycle where individuals feel unworthy unless they meet high standards, perpetuating anxiety and dissatisfaction [9][10]. Group 3: Personal Experiences and Reflections - Contributors share personal stories of grappling with the acceptance of being ordinary, often tied to experiences of failure and societal pressures [11][19]. - The process of accepting one's limitations is described as a gradual reconciliation, where individuals learn to treat themselves with kindness and understanding [12][20]. - The article emphasizes that recognizing one's ordinary status can lead to a sense of freedom and relief from the burdens of comparison and expectation [19][21].
恒大是从哪个项目开始变坏的
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the downfall of Evergrande, highlighting its rapid expansion, excessive debt, and the eventual consequences of its unsustainable business practices [4][7][56]. Group 1: Evergrande's Business Practices - Evergrande's leverage strategy involved using 39 billion yuan in capital to support 2 trillion yuan in debt, maintaining a debt ratio exceeding 85% while offering high dividend rates [10]. - The company expanded aggressively, developing over 1,300 projects in 280 cities, including large-scale tourism projects [11]. - Evergrande's marketing strategies included creating grandiose visions for projects, such as the "Evergrande Venice," which had low land costs due to innovative land acquisition methods [16][23]. Group 2: Financial Mismanagement - The company reported a staggering total debt of 2.38 trillion yuan against total assets of only 1.74 trillion yuan, resulting in a shortfall of nearly 640 billion yuan [58]. - Evergrande's financial practices included using pre-sale funds to inflate revenue figures and issuing commercial bills to suppliers, effectively transferring risk [46][49]. - The company faced scrutiny for its financial reporting, with auditors failing to identify discrepancies in its financial statements [68]. Group 3: Market Environment and Industry Context - The article emphasizes that Evergrande's issues are reflective of broader industry problems, where high leverage and rapid expansion were common practices during China's real estate boom [64][80]. - The real estate market was characterized by a belief that property prices would always rise, leading to reckless investment behaviors among developers and buyers alike [38][81]. - The article suggests that the entire industry operated under a flawed premise, where success was often attributed to market conditions rather than sound business practices [82].
为什么有些顶级CEO很闲?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 10:13
以下文章来源于张琨随笔 ,作者张琨 张琨随笔 . 勤于思考,勇于实践,乐于分享 本文来自微信公众号: 张琨随笔 ,作者:张琨,题图来自:AI生成 前段时间,我参加了一场顶级企业家的闭门研修,与几位颇具声望的大企业掌舵者深度共处一周多。 这次观察让我看到了一种非常向往的领导力风格。 分享几个个人思考。 顶级企业家多领导,少管理 企业家的风格通常分为两类:领导型与管理型。 作为一家企业的最高统帅,我倾向选择领导型。他们把核心精力须聚焦于 "整体性工作":战略制 定、外部关系构建、跨部门政治协调、关键人才获取以及重大项目的督导。 而那些具体的"管理型工 作",应当坚决地交给-1层 (CXO) 到-2层 (VP/总监) 去完成。 这一位是一家估值数千亿、营收数百亿的行业巨头创始人。在晚饭时,他复盘过去一年的时间分配, 他分享了过去三个季度在尼泊尔静坐、在巴西徒步、在美国登山的经历。我不禁好奇:"那你在办公 室的时间有多少?"他皱眉盘算了一下,给出的答案令在场所有人错愕:"加起来大概不到一个月 吧。" 我追问:"那你怎么管理如此牛X的企业?"他回答: "因为我有一个极好的核心团队呀。他们非常清 楚我该做什么,更清楚我不 ...
数千万老年人,正被手机广告弹窗霸凌
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 10:13
以下文章来源于凤凰网财经 ,作者风暴眼 凤凰网财经 . 你好,我们是凤凰网财经,全球华人都在看的财经公众号,传播最有价值的财经报道,你值得关注!欢 迎访问:http://finance.ifeng.com/ 本文来自微信公众号: 凤凰网财经 ,作者:吕银玲,题图来自:AI生成 在林淼眼中,手机是73岁的奶奶望向世界的窗。只是这扇窗并不总是明亮,有时垃圾堆积如山,将 老人笨拙谨慎的探问,粗暴地堵了回去。 奶奶刘惠琴是一名退休工人,生活在陕西渭南一座小县城,自从七八年前老伴去世后,一直独居。 日子缓慢而重复。她渐渐习惯了用手机打发无聊的时光:窝在沙发里刷视频;早晨洗漱时,把手机搁 在洗手池边,视频放到最大声,她闭着眼睛往脸上冲水,透过哗哗的水流声辨认短剧里主角的台词。 夜是最难熬的,上了年纪以后,刘惠琴的睡眠总是断断续续。她在夜里猛的醒来,身周万籁俱寂,她 一翻身,摸索着将枕边的手机屏幕点亮,看看时钟,接着打开那集短剧,接上了入睡前的剧情。 几分钟后,毫无预兆地,一则广告弹了出来,霸占整个屏幕。 剧情戛然而止。刘惠琴眯起眼,手指在屏幕上胡乱戳点,却怎么也对不准那个小小的"x"键。很快, 在一个误触之后,陌生的应用 ...
H200放行,能否助力英伟达冲刺6万亿?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 10:13
以下文章来源于海豚研究 ,作者海豚君 海豚研究 . 有灵魂的思考,有态度的研究! 本文来自微信公众号: 海豚研究 ,作者:海豚君,原文标题:《H200放行:英伟达6万亿市值路 的"穿云箭"?》,题图来自:AI生成 经过一段时间的传闻酝酿 (媒体爆黄仁勋近期舌战白宫保守派、喊话H200中国也未必会让卖等) 后,美国总统特朗普还是高调宣布了, 美国政府会允许英伟达向中国出售H200芯片, 同样英伟达的 同行也可以向中国销售同H200规格级别的芯片。 当然, 最新构架的Blackwell以及下一代的Rubin都不在名单之列。而且美国政府要从每笔销售额上 抽成25%。 而四季度的英伟达,因为供应链融资、ASIC崛起、中国市场归零、AI投资泡沫等问题,已经原地踏 步有段时间了。 海豚君在近期的AI供应链话语权博弈分析《 AI泡沫"原罪":英伟达是AI戒不掉的"金毒丸"? 》中说 过: 在4—5万亿的市值压力之下,英伟达是持续交付芯片、撑起美股半边天,把自己卖成全球AI大基建时 代的"黑色石油"。 而完成这个使命的关键任务之一,就是 把英伟达的技术扩散到全球市场 。比如特朗普带着GPU商家 们去中东等地区签单。也因此,而 ...
俄罗斯,开始卖黄金了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-10 10:13
这是俄罗斯历史上首次公开将黄金储备用于财政支出。 以下文章来源于盐财经 ,作者凌川儿 盐财经 . 洞察趋势,睿智人生。《南风窗》旗下专业财经媒体。 本文来自微信公众号: 盐财经 ,作者:凌川儿,编辑:江江,题图来自:AI生成 "俄罗斯央行最近出售黄金是一个重要提醒和信号。就我个人而言,此前我也持有部分黄金作为资产 组合一部分,但最近我已卖掉。"近日,半夏投资创始人李蓓对黄金的鲜明观点,引发了广泛关注与 热议。 过去两年,中国央行等多国央行是黄金的主要买家,最近这个因子开始变化。 据新华社报道,俄罗斯中央银行11月20日向俄罗斯国际文传电讯社确认,该行已开始出售储备的实 物黄金,以弥补国家预算所需资金。 此举延续了此前与国家财富基金 (NWF) 黄金交易的操作模式,不过此前交易大多以虚拟方式进 行,政府将黄金出售给央行,或可看作是两方之间的"账面调整",黄金仍保留在国家储备中。 如今,俄罗斯央行发起的实物黄金交易亦完全是在境内进行,可以将外界关注的交易标的物现货黄 金,看作在俄联邦财政体系里扮演着"内部提款机"的角色,其所有权在央行、本土银行和相关做市商 之间转手,却不会对国际市场造成波动。 卖了多少呢? 截至 ...
“易中天”的“泡沫”炒到2027年了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-09 23:47
以下文章来源于妙投APP ,作者董必政 妙投APP . 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌,为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解,热门赛道产业链梳理 最近,"易中天"又躁动了。 如果说,美股的AI盛宴是在围猎英伟达、谷歌;那么,A股的AI狂欢就集中在两个代号里:一个是 炒芯片的"纪联海"(寒武纪、工业富联、海光信息),另一个则是炒连接的"易中天"(新易盛、中 际旭创、天孚通信)。 中际旭创在11月27日刷新历史高价,天孚通信紧随其后,在12月8日创出新高。截至12月8日,中际 旭创、天孚通信、新易盛的市值分别为6333亿、1842亿和4021亿。 光模块的性能直接决定了数据传输的效率和稳定性。一旦数据传输跟不上,就像高速路上堵了车, 算力再强也白搭。 正因为"算力"与"运力"的搭档,GPU、光模块缺一不可。 但在欢呼声中,资本市场的质疑也没停过。 此前,多少人盯着这个赛道,看到光模块企业有40-60倍、甚至超80倍的PE(市盈率)直呼"泡 沫",毕竟通信行业的历史估值均值常年趴在15-20倍。 也有观点认为,要想支撑这种估值,企业净利润得维持三位数增长,在成熟制造业里,这简直是天 方夜谭。 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | ...
早报|水银体温计血压计明年起禁产;山姆回应“麻薯盒出现活老鼠”;特朗普宣布允许英伟达向中国出售H200芯片;苏炳添宣布退役
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-09 23:47
Group 1: SpaceX IPO Plans - SpaceX is reportedly advancing its initial public offering (IPO) plan, aiming to raise over $30 billion [2] - The company's overall valuation target is approximately $1.5 trillion, with plans to go public by mid to late 2026 [3] - SpaceX expects to utilize part of the IPO proceeds to develop a space data center, including the purchase of necessary chips [4] Group 2: Microsoft Investment in India - Microsoft announced a $17.5 billion investment over the next four years to develop artificial intelligence and cloud computing infrastructure in India, marking its largest investment in Asia to date [6] - The investment aims to support India's vision of an "AI-first" future, as the country becomes a key battleground in the global AI competition [7] Group 3: Huawei's New AI Division - Huawei's 2012 Lab has established a new foundational model department focused on advancing base model development [8] Group 4: Alibaba's New Business Group - Alibaba has formed a new business group called Qianwen C-end, led by Vice President Wu Jia, which merges two previous groups and aims to create a super app for the AI era [10] Group 5: Nvidia's Chip Sales to China - Former President Trump announced that the U.S. government will allow Nvidia to sell its H200 AI chips to China, with a 25% fee on each chip sold [11] Group 6: Xiaomi's Personnel Changes - Xiaomi has initiated significant personnel adjustments in its China operations, with the China President taking a direct role in driving performance [16] - The restructuring aims to address performance pressures and enhance resource allocation towards growth sectors like automotive [17] Group 7: Impact of AI on Employment - Sundar Pichai stated that AI will impact all job positions, including CEOs, emphasizing the need for individuals to embrace technology to remain competitive [42][43]