Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly in sectors such as AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, indicating a rising risk appetite among investors [2][9]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown significant improvement in risk appetite, with notable performance in sectors like AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, leading to increased investor interest, especially in small and mid-cap stocks [2][9]. - The report suggests active participation in A+H shares due to observed discount phenomena in IPOs, with a focus on new consumption and manufacturing sectors [2][9]. - There is a sustained bullish outlook on virtual assets and the Web 3.0 market, driven by stablecoin policies and IPOs, with expectations for more regulatory developments in the future [2][9]. - The valuation of overseas Chinese assets remains influenced by US-China trade relations and the broader economic environment, highlighting the need to monitor changes in US tariff policies and domestic economic strategies [2][9]. Industry Tracking Summary 1. Education - The education index decreased by 0.98% from June 9 to June 13, underperforming compared to major indices, with 51talk rising by 12.09% and Thinking Education falling by 11.55% [10][14]. 2. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector faced slight pressure, with key stocks like Prada declining by 6.01% while new brands like Shiseido rose by 2.02% during the same period [18][21]. 3. Coffee and Tea - The sector showed stable growth, with individual stocks like Luckin Coffee increasing by 1.87%, while others like Bawang Tea experienced declines [23][27]. 4. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector saw a slight decline, with major players like Alibaba and JD.com facing competitive pressures, while the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index rose by 3.46% [29][34]. 5. Streaming Platforms - The streaming sector outperformed, with Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music showing significant gains, while Netflix experienced a decline [35][38]. 6. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 5.9%, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices showing slight fluctuations, indicating ongoing interest in virtual assets [42][43].

子行业周度核心观点： 风电：菲律宾 3.3GW 海风项目招标,要求 2028-2030 年完成项目交付，开发周期远短于正常海外海风项目，看好国内 交付能力更强的国内风机、基础、海缆企业获取相关订单；文船重工宣布完成第一批 Inch Cape 单桩生产，项目基础、 海缆交付有望逐步启动，建议关注下半年东缆等企业订单确收情况；国电投 2.5GW 陆风机组集采开标，5.XMW 机型投 标均价环比 3 月集采开标上涨 17%，继续推荐下半年盈利有望趋势性改善的整机环节。 锂电：复合集流体产业化靠近，全固态电池产业化持续迈进。铜价的持续提升推升铜箔在电池的成本占比，已经成为 未来电池材料的最大降本环节，我们坚定看好复合铜箔产业化 0-1，预计 Q3 有望最快看到复合铜箔的落地，重视电池 大赛道的格局重塑机会；6-8 月预计有行业全固态电池产品送样测试的产业催化，今年主要的电池企业、主机企业预 计推动中试线的落地，重点关注增量环节干法电极设备、锂金属负极、硫化物电解质等。 本周重要行业事件： 光储风：菲律宾 3.3GW 海风项目招标；国电投陆风机组开标价格继续走强；上海 SNEC 展期间多家企业发布叠层及常 规光伏电池/ ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - As of June 13, the weighted average trading terms of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds were 2.35 years and 2.98 years respectively, both at over 90% quantile levels since March 2021. Among commercial bank bonds, the weighted average trading terms of secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 3.90 years, 3.70 years, and 2.03 years respectively, with general commercial financial bonds at a relatively low historical level. Among other financial bonds, the durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.64 years, 2.05 years, 3.56 years, and 1.62 years respectively, with securities company bonds and securities subordinated bonds at relatively low historical quantiles and leasing company bonds at a relatively high historical quantile [2][10]. - The coupon duration congestion index declined after reaching its peak in March 2024 and then slightly increased this week, currently at the 53.10% level since March 2021 [13]. Summary by Directory 1. Full - variety Term Overview - The weighted average trading terms of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, secondary capital bonds, bank perpetual bonds, and general commercial financial bonds were 2.35 years, 2.98 years, 3.90 years, 3.70 years, and 2.03 years respectively. The durations of securities company bonds, securities subordinated bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds were 1.64 years, 2.05 years, 3.56 years, and 1.62 years respectively [2][10]. - The coupon duration congestion index is currently at the 53.10% level since March 2021 [13]. 2. Variety Microscope Urban Investment Bonds - The weighted average trading term of urban investment bonds hovered around 2.35 years. The duration of Shaanxi provincial urban investment bonds exceeded 6 years, while that of Hebei provincial urban investment bonds shortened to around 0.81 years. The historical quantiles of the durations of urban investment bonds in regions such as Jiangsu district - level, Zhejiang prefecture - level, Chongqing district - level, Guangdong prefecture - level, Fujian district - level, Sichuan provincial, and Henan prefecture - level have exceeded 90%. The durations of urban investment bonds in Anhui prefecture - level, Zhejiang prefecture - level, and Guangdong prefecture - level are approaching the highest since 2021 [3][17]. Industrial Bonds - The weighted average trading term of industrial bonds shortened slightly compared to last week, generally around 2.98 years. The trading duration of the food and beverage industry shortened significantly to 1.28 years, while that of the public utilities industry lengthened to 3.35 years. The trading duration of the food and beverage industry is at a relatively low historical quantile, while those of public utilities, transportation, commerce and retail, non - ferrous metals and other industries are all at over 90% historical quantiles [3][21]. Commercial Bank Bonds - The duration of securities subordinated bonds shortened to 2.05 years, at the 45% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year. The duration of secondary capital bonds lengthened to 3.90 years, at the 78.6% historical quantile, lower than the same period last year. The duration of bank perpetual bonds shortened to 3.70 years, at the 66.8% historical quantile, higher than the same period last year [3][23]. Other Financial Bonds - In terms of the weighted average trading term, insurance company bonds > securities subordinated bonds > securities company bonds > leasing company bonds, at the 79.3%, 45%, 50.4%, and 95.9% historical quantiles respectively. The durations of securities company bonds, insurance company bonds, and leasing company bonds lengthened slightly compared to last week [4][26].

牧业： 截至 6 月 14 日，我国主产省集贸市场活牛价格 26.71 元/公斤，环比-0.01%，目前为动物蛋白消费淡季，牛肉价格保 持震荡状态；奶牛方面截至 6 月 5 日主产区合同内外平均收购价为 3.05 元/公斤，环比-0.3%，同比-8.1%，奶价下跌 幅度持续放缓，散奶方面近期维持在 2.5-2.6 元/公斤。我们预计随着供给端产能去化的逐步传导，原奶价格在 25H2 有望企稳回升，目前原奶价格依旧低迷，随着青贮季到来，预计行业去产能有望加速；肉牛方面近期犊牛与活牛价格 已经上涨，预计新一轮肉牛周期有望开启，板块景气度有望拐点向上。 投资建议 行情回顾： 本周（2025.06.09-2025.06.13）农林牧渔（申万）指数收于 2725.63 点(周环比+1.62%)， 沪深 300 指数收于 3864.18 点（周环比-0.25%），深证综指收于 2001.06 点（周环比-0.33%），上证综指收于 3377.00 点（周环比-0.25%），科 创板收于 972.94 点（周环比-1.89%)，农林牧渔行业指数跑赢上证综指。从一级行业涨跌幅来看，本周排名前三的为 有色金属（周环比+3.79 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests that ROBO+ represents the strongest industrial trend in the automotive sector, with a focus on intelligent driving and humanoid robots as key directions for growth [4]. Core Insights - Tesla's Robotaxi service is set to trial in Austin, Texas, with a limited fleet of 10 to 20 Model Y vehicles equipped with new "unsupervised" FSD technology, marking a strategic shift towards autonomous driving and mobility services [9][10]. - XPeng's G7 SUV features advanced AI capabilities with three self-developed Turing AI chips, achieving over 2200 TOPS of computing power, significantly higher than the industry average [10][11]. - The establishment of the world's first embodied intelligent robot 4S store in Beijing is expected to enhance the integration of sales, parts supply, after-sales service, and feedback mechanisms in the robotics industry [18]. Summary by Sections Intelligent Driving - Tesla's Robotaxi service is a pivotal move towards commercializing autonomous driving, indicating a shift in valuation logic for the company [9]. - XPeng's G7 showcases a significant leap in AI automotive technology, emphasizing the importance of self-developed chips for competitive advantage [10][11]. - Partnerships in the automotive sector, such as GAC Toyota's collaboration with Momenta, aim to integrate advanced AI technologies into vehicle safety and driving behavior [12][13]. Robotics - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated pilot applications for elderly care robots, deploying over 220 units across various settings to enhance service capabilities [17][22]. - The global first embodied intelligent robot 4S store in Beijing is set to open in 2025, with significant interest from over 100 companies, indicating a robust market for humanoid robots [18]. - Companies like McD Tech and Star Era are actively pursuing commercialization in the robotics sector, with new products and strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing service capabilities [25][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the explosive growth potential in high-level autonomous driving and humanoid robots, suggesting a focus on key players in the chip, lidar, and optical components sectors [4][45]. - Companies such as Horizon Robotics and leading lidar manufacturers are highlighted as critical players to watch in the evolving landscape of intelligent driving [45][46].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The UK government is increasing investment in controllable nuclear fusion, with an expected investment of £2.5 billion over five years, which is anticipated to drive the development of the nuclear fusion sector [7]. - The domestic demand for excavators has shown signs of recovery, with a 25.7% year-on-year increase in sales for the first five months of 2025 [19]. - The gas turbine industry is experiencing an upward trend in demand, with significant order increases from leading companies like Siemens Energy and GE Aviation [27]. - The railway equipment sector is expected to see sustained demand recovery, with a 5.9% year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment [46]. - The shipbuilding industry is witnessing improved profitability, as indicated by a 49.28% increase in the global new ship price index compared to the 2020 cycle low [48]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index fell by 1.17% in the week from June 9 to June 13, 2025, ranking 21st among 31 primary industry categories [15]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 6.04%, ranking 8th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index has decreased by 1.80% [18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for May was 49.5, indicating a slight improvement but still in a contraction zone [28]. Engineering Machinery - Excavator sales in May reached 18,200 units, a 2.1% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales showing a short-term decline due to high base effects from the previous year [35]. Railway Equipment - Fixed asset investment in railways and passenger volume both increased by 5.9% and 7.3% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for railway equipment demand [46]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 186.69 in May, reflecting a 0.14% year-on-year increase, suggesting improved profitability for shipbuilding companies [48]. Oil Service Equipment - Brent crude oil prices surged to around $74 per barrel, influenced by OPEC's production decisions and geopolitical factors in the Middle East [50]. Industrial Gases - Prices for industrial gases are showing mixed trends, with rare gases experiencing a downward adjustment [52]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights significant contracts and investments in various sectors, including a 4.5 billion yuan contract for a green hydrogen system by Shuangliang Energy [54]. - The report also notes advancements in robotics, including the introduction of a domestic elderly care robot and significant funding for AI-driven robotics companies [57].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pearl pigment market, highlighting its growth potential and investment opportunities [13][14]. Core Insights - The pearl pigment market is characterized by its small and fragmented nature, with significant profit potential driven by new consumer applications in cosmetics, automotive, and batteries. The global market for pearl pigments is projected to grow from 23.5 billion CNY in 2023 to 44 billion CNY by 2030, with a CAGR of 9.4% from 2023 to 2030 [13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of local operational capabilities for companies looking to expand into Africa, particularly in East Africa, where economic growth and political stability are improving [14]. - The upcoming China-Central Asia Summit is expected to create investment opportunities in Central Asia, with a focus on companies like Xinjiang Communications Construction and Qing Song Jianhua [15]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The pearl pigment market is expected to benefit from increased demand in cosmetics and automotive sectors, with a significant portion of the market being high-end [13]. - The report suggests monitoring the acquisition activities in the pearl pigment sector, particularly the acquisition of a stake in a major Korean manufacturer by a specific company [13]. Cyclical Linkage - Cement prices have decreased to 360 CNY per ton, with a national average shipment rate of 45.7% [16]. - The average price of float glass has dropped to 1229.90 CNY per ton, reflecting a decline in demand and increased inventory levels [16]. - The report highlights the challenges faced by the construction materials sector, including fluctuating prices and demand pressures [16]. National Subsidy Tracking - Recent adjustments to national subsidy policies for home appliances have led to limited supply and increased competition among consumers [17]. - The report anticipates a potential restart of subsidy programs due to rapid consumption of existing funds [17]. Significant Changes - A company plans to invest in a wind turbine blade manufacturing facility in Uzbekistan, with a total investment of approximately 25.24 million USD [18]. - Another company is acquiring a 51% stake in a chemical firm for about 170 million CNY, enhancing its market position [18]. Market Performance - The construction materials index has shown a decline of 2.14% in the past week, with specific sectors like glass manufacturing and fiberglass experiencing larger drops [20]. - The report notes that the cement market is under pressure due to seasonal factors, with expectations of continued price adjustments [29].

当下处于基本面的相对混沌期，宏观层面，横向和纵向比较，国内一些高频数据没那么弱，而部分投资者对未来预期 不高，微观层面，AI 与国产替代背景下，用户使用意愿增强，但支付能力不强，产品也还需要等待新的大模型突破及 继续打磨。因此，在投资的维度上，依旧更多的体现为在风险偏好影响市值波动的阶段，以求新求变为驱动的类主题 投资，短期不能证伪，长期有落地普及可能性，存在一定概率可向景气投资转化，不管是 EDA 还是稳定币相关板块 活跃度提升可能都属于此。而多数大市值龙头公司，由于收入体量和市占率提升后，跟宏观环境关联度高，更多得看 减员降费后，需求有一定程度回暖，带来的利润弹性，除非是出海/saas 转型早，海外/saas 收入占比高的公司，可能 经营韧性更强，与多数依赖国内需求/项目制商业模式的公司比，经营和资本市场表现可能有一定相对独立性。预计 6- 7 月份，随着逐步进入企业二季度业绩冲刺及上市公司业绩预告/快报披露期，投资者对基本面的关注度提升，业务经 营趋势对市值波动的影响权重提升。再拉长一点看，预计下半年，在基数效应、新技术/产品落地、政策落地的加持下， 有可能取得比今年上半年更好一些的表观经营表现，具体强 ...

电子周观点： 台积电 5 月营收同比继续高增长，继续看好 AI 算力核心受益硬件。台积电 2025 年 5 月合并营收为 3205 亿新 台币，同比增长 39.6%，环比减少 8.3%，根据 4、5 月营收，台积电二季度业绩有望超过之前指引，Ai 需求依 然旺盛。芯片大厂 AMD 苏姿丰 12 日乐观认为，推论需求将带领 AI 发展持续往前进，现在已经能看到关键转折 点，并预期接下来几年内，AI 推论需求的年增率将超过 80％，到 2028 年时，数据中心 AI 加速器 TAM 将超过 5000 亿美元。英伟达执行长黄仁勋 11 日宣布，计划在欧洲加码兴建 20 座人工智能（AI）工厂，在德国打造配 备 1 万颗绘图处理器（GPU）的全球第一个工业 AI 云。他并表示，量子运算技术已走到转捩点，几年后将强大 到足以协助解决全球一些"有趣问题"。OpenAI 于 10 日正式发表迄今最强大 AI 推理模型 o3-pro，并宣布旗舰 推理模型 o3 大幅降价八成。OpenAI 执行长奥特曼高呼，AI 正进入"指数级发展"阶段，"那些智能便宜到无需 计量的时代，已触手可及"。多家 CSP 厂商大力发展 ASIC 芯 ...

行业点评 本周 A 股地产、港股地产、港股物业均上涨。本周（6.7-6.13）申万 A 股房地产板块涨跌幅为-1.8%，在各板块 中位列第26；恒生港股房地产板块涨跌幅为+2.6%，在各板块中位列第6。本周恒生物业服务及管理指数涨跌幅为+3.1%， 恒生中国企业指数涨跌幅为+0.3%，沪深 300 指数涨跌幅为-0.3%；物业指数对恒生中国企业指数和沪深 300 的相对收 益分别为+2.8%和+3.4%。 土地市场溢价率低位震荡。本周（6.7-6.13）全国 300 城宅地成交建面 626 万㎡，单周环比 101%，单周同比-21%， 平均溢价率 3%。2025 年初至今，全国 300 城累计宅地成交建面 15209 万㎡，累计同比-3.8%；年初至今，绿城中国、 保利发展、中海地产、滨江集团、建发房产的权益拿地金额位居行业前五。 本周新房销售量同环比均上涨；4 月新房售价环比-0.1%，同比-4.5%；结合量价，景气度略有承压。本周（6.7- 6.13）47 个城市商品房成交合计 331 万平米，周环比+13%，周同比+15%。其中：一线城市周环比+24%，周同比+20%； 二线城市周环比+9%，周同比+1 ...