Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of 67.10 RMB [5][13]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with revenue at 8.5 billion RMB, down 58.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 2.2 billion RMB, down 75.0% year-on-year [2][3]. - The decline in sales volume is identified as the primary reason for the poor performance, attributed to price fluctuations of core products and measures taken to stabilize the value chain [3]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 3.5 billion RMB, 3.8 billion RMB, and 4.3 billion RMB respectively, and net profits of 499 million RMB, 608 million RMB, and 818 million RMB [5][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 23.5 billion RMB, down 38.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.3 billion RMB, down 71.0% year-on-year [2]. - The revenue breakdown shows high-end products generating 20.8 billion RMB and mid-range products 1.3 billion RMB, with respective declines of 39.9% and 33.1% [3]. - The gross margin for high-end products decreased by 3.0 percentage points to 83.0%, while mid-range products saw a decline of 8.7 percentage points to 54.5% [3]. Sales Channels - Revenue from new channels increased by 71.2% to 5.6 billion RMB, while wholesale and agency channels saw a decline of 50.5% to 16.5 billion RMB [4]. - In Q3 2025, new channels generated 0.9 billion RMB, down 22.3%, and wholesale channels generated 7.2 billion RMB, down 62.3% [4]. Future Projections - Revenue and net profit are projected to decline significantly in 2025, with a recovery expected in the following years, with growth rates of 7.0% and 13.9% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.02 RMB in 2025, increasing to 1.68 RMB by 2027 [5].

公司发布 2025 年第三季度报告，前三季度营业收入 1117.9 亿元， 同比+15.52%，归母净利润 147.8 亿元，同比+41.01%；单 Q3 实现 营业收入 353.3 亿元，同比-11.48%，归母净利润 42.5 亿元，同 比-55.98%（主要受非经常性损益中固定资产处置损失扩大影响）。 养殖成本持续改善，屠宰业务实现盈利。公司前三季度出栏商品 猪 5732 万头，同比+27%；出栏仔猪 1157.1 万头，同比+151%。单 Q3 来看公司出栏商品猪 1893 万头，其中完全成本 9 月份已经下降 至 11.6 元/公斤，公司养殖效率持续改善，成本端中长期仍有下 降空间。公司积极响应控制产能号召，截至 9 月底能繁母猪存栏 下降至 330.5 万头，预计到年底总量保持平稳。 屠宰业务稳扎稳打，成功扭亏为盈利。公司凭借产业链优势，屠 宰产能快速爬坡，前三季度实现屠宰量 1916 万头，同比增长 140%， 产能利用率为 88%，屠宰肉食业务在今年第三季度实现了单季度盈 利，屠宰业务未来有望实现稳定盈利。 经营质量持续提升，出海稳步推进。截至 Q3 末公司资产负债率 55.5%，较年初下降 ...

业绩简评 2025 年 10 月 30 日，公司发布 2025 年三季度报，25Q1-Q3 公司实 现营业收入 657.4 亿元，同比+13.6%，归母净利润 71.4 亿元，同 比+46.6%，扣非归母净利润 71.1 亿元，同比+53.6%；其中 25Q3 实现营业收入 212.1 亿元，同比+10.7%，归母净利润 19.2 亿元， 同比+48.2%，扣非归母净利润 17.0 亿元，同比+13.0%。 经营分析 收入稳健增长，利润增速环比扩张。25Q1-Q3 公司实现营业收入 657.4 亿元，同比+13.6%，其中 25Q3 实现营业收入 212.1 亿元， 同比+10.7%，收入稳健增长。25Q3 公司归母净利润 19.2 亿元，同 比+48.2%，25Q2 归母净利润增速为+37.8%，利润增速环比扩张。 看好内外销共振下，公司利润持续释放。 费用管控有力，盈利能力提升。25Q3 公司销售、管理、研发费用 率分别为 7.43%、3.01%、5.74%，相对 24Q3 分别+0.03pct、 -0.47pct、-0.68pct，三费合计降低 1.12pct。营收扩张、经营杠 杆释放，叠加公司费用管控 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 60.95 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 21.51 billion yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 8.17 billion yuan, a significant decline of 52.7%, with net profit at 2.02 billion yuan, down 65.6% year-on-year [3] - The company is actively adjusting to industry challenges by reducing channel burdens and improving pricing. The "1+3" product structure is being leveraged to capture banquet demand, with sales of new products exceeding 100 million yuan. The mid-to-low price segment remains relatively stable, benefiting from increased banquet activity [4] - The company is reforming traditional channels and has implemented direct distribution in 20 cities, while also focusing on corporate group purchases and expanding into weaker markets [4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are -17.7%, +5.0%, and +10.4%, respectively. Net profit forecasts are -20.9%, +5.4%, and +11.9%, with corresponding net profits of 25.2 billion, 26.6 billion, and 29.7 billion yuan. The EPS for these years is projected at 6.49, 6.85, and 7.66 yuan, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 18.2, 17.3, and 15.5 times [5] - The company’s Q3 2025 net profit margin decreased by 9.3 percentage points to 24.7%, with a gross margin decline of 13.5 percentage points, primarily due to a significant drop in the main brand and a shift in product mix [4] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company had a contract liability balance of 9.27 billion yuan, down 8.1 billion yuan from the previous quarter, indicating a revenue decline of 54.5% after adjusting for contract liabilities [4]

事件 2025 年 10 月 30 日，公司披露 25 年三季报，期内实现营收 88.8 亿元，同比-10.7%；归母净利 25.5 亿元，同比-17.4%。其中，25Q3 实现营收 19.3 亿元，同比-26.8%；归母净利 3.2 亿元，同比-48.7%。 经营分析 营收拆分：1）25Q1-Q3 特 A+类/特 A 类分别实现营收 54.3/28.7 亿元，同比分别-16.0%/+0.3%。其中，25Q3 分别实现营收 11.2/6.4 亿元，同比分别-38.0%/-1.1%。 2）25Q1-Q3 省内/省外分别实现营收 79.5/8.0 亿元，同比分别 -12.4%/+0.1%。其中，25Q3 分别实现营收 17.0/1.8 亿元，同比分 别-29.8%/-13.8%；省内分区域来看，25Q3 淮安/南京/盐城/苏南/ 苏 中 / 淮 海 大 区 分 别 -31.6%/-36.9%/-32.5%/-35.3%/+1.1%/ -43.9%，苏中区域表现较优、公司品牌渗透率持续提升。 3）经销商数量方面，25Q3 末环比省内/省外-29/+42 家至 617/695 家。整体公司仍处于去库过程中，公司核心国 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.761 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.01%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 467 million yuan, down 10.61% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.284 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.79%, although the net profit for the same quarter fell by 26.80% to 109 million yuan [2]. - The company has successfully expanded its e-commerce channels and AI mattress revenue, contributing to the positive growth in Q3 [3]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 52.34%, an increase of 1.54 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 gross margin at 53.18%, up 1.23 percentage points [4]. - The company has initiated a cash dividend distribution plan, distributing 4.50 yuan per 10 shares, with a dividend payout ratio of 55% for H1 2025, indicating a commitment to maintaining a steady dividend policy [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 696 million yuan, 720 million yuan, and 821 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.34% in 2025, followed by increases of 3.57% and 13.89% in the subsequent years [6]. - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected to be -4.03% in 2023, 0.43% in 2024, 1.11% in 2025, 9.20% in 2026, and 20.11% in 2027 [11]. - The company has signed strategic cooperation agreements with leading enterprises in Malaysia, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia to expand its overseas business [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its partnership with Huawei to enhance its AI mattress offerings, aiming to penetrate a broader customer base while maintaining a premium brand positioning [5]. - The company’s strategic initiatives include expanding its presence in e-commerce platforms and promoting AI mattresses through flagship stores and specialized retail outlets [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, highlighting its potential for growth in the coming years [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 10.603 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.185 billion RMB, up 16.6% year-on-year [2]. - The company is expected to achieve an overall revenue growth rate exceeding 30% next year, driven by high capacity utilization and anticipated expansion based on customer demand [3]. - The company is actively developing humanoid robot components, with a focus on three main product categories: harmonic reducers, cycloidal reducers, and rotary joint assemblies [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.959 billion RMB, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.3%, and a net profit of 415 million RMB, up 8.7% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 23.16%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.03 percentage points [3]. Operational Analysis - The company maintains a strong net profit margin, with a net profit margin of 10.6% for the first three quarters, despite a year-on-year decrease of 0.8 percentage points [3]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in Q4, with further expansion planned based on customer needs [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 1.7 billion RMB, 1.93 billion RMB, and 2.2 billion RMB, respectively [4]. - The report emphasizes the company's leading position in the structural components market and its stable profitability [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.589 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.81%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 217 million yuan, an increase of 2.82% year-on-year [2]. - The company has implemented effective adjustments in its department store and supermarket operations, leading to a narrowing decline in revenue for both segments [3]. - Investment income for Q3 2025 reached 196 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 33% [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 3.589 billion yuan, down 10.81% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 217 million yuan, up 2.82% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 231 million yuan, an increase of 17.90% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - Despite a decline in total revenue, the revenue drop in the department store and supermarket segments showed signs of narrowing. Supermarket revenue fell by 3.99% year-on-year in Q3 2025, an improvement from a 5.02% decline in Q2 2025. Department store revenue decreased by 2.16%, compared to a 9.06% decline in Q2 2025 [3]. - The gross margin improved by 2.1 percentage points, with a rise in sales expense ratio by 1.7 percentage points and management expense ratio by 0.2 percentage points, while financial expense ratio decreased by 0.2 percentage points, indicating an overall improvement in operational efficiency [3]. Store Count and Dividends - As of the end of Q3, the company had 42 department stores, unchanged from the beginning of the year, and 145 supermarkets, a decrease of 3 stores. The company also initiated a mid-term dividend, proposing a cash dividend of 0.1589 yuan per share, totaling 70 million yuan, which accounts for 9.04% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to generate revenues of 16.385 billion yuan, 17.073 billion yuan, and 18.307 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.40%, +4.20%, and +7.23%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.445 billion yuan, 1.568 billion yuan, and 1.738 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of +9.92%, +8.47%, and +10.89% respectively [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with projected EPS for 2025-2027 being 4.15, 5.14, and 6.19 RMB respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 23.73, 19.13, and 15.90 times [5]. Core Insights - The company reported significant revenue and profit growth for Q1-Q3 2025, with revenue increasing by 35.80% to 2.511 billion RMB and net profit rising by 52.62% to 658 million RMB [2]. - The company has deepened its customer relationships, with nine of its top ten customers increasing their purchase amounts by 16.64% to 635.28% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 increased by 4.6 percentage points to 38.4%, although it saw a slight decline of 1.2 percentage points in Q3 due to high tariff expenses [3]. - The company is expanding its retail channel influence, with a notable increase in the number of new customers, particularly in the U.S. market [2][4]. Performance Analysis - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 830 million RMB, with net profit and non-deducted net profit increasing by 55.06% and 45.56% respectively [2]. - The company’s sales to U.S. retailers accounted for 67.16% of total revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.38 percentage points [2]. - The company’s MOTO "store-in-store" model is expanding, enhancing brand influence and customer trust [4]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 1.921 billion RMB in 2023 to 5.081 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.37% to 20.38% [9]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 407 million RMB in 2023 to 1.354 billion RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 21.93% to 20.31% [9]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 3.183 RMB in 2023 to 6.188 RMB in 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.7 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, down 29.4% year-on-year [2]. - The revenue for Q3 2025 was 1.0 billion yuan, reflecting a 15.9% decline year-on-year, with a net profit of 30 million yuan, a significant drop of 63.2% year-on-year [2]. - The revenue structure shows that high-end and ordinary liquor segments faced declines, while non-liquor products saw a growth of 16.5% year-on-year [3]. - The company added 352 new distributors and had a total of 2,554 distributors by the end of Q3 2025, indicating a strategic focus on expanding its distribution network [3]. Revenue and Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 decreased by 1.6 percentage points to 62.1%, while the net profit margin fell by 3.7 percentage points to 2.9% [4]. - The company’s revenue is projected to decline by 13.5% in 2025, followed by growth of 10.7% in 2026 and 16.1% in 2027 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.42 yuan in 2025, increasing to 2.74 yuan by 2027 [5]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue for 2025 is estimated at 4.635 billion yuan, with a net profit of 473 million yuan [10]. - The projected return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 6.7% in 2025 to 11.4% in 2027 [10]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 41.8 in 2025 to 21.7 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness [10].