Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the expansion of AI themes from a single algorithm to diversified scenarios, including computing power, C-end applications, autonomous driving, robotics, and AI for Science, indicating a transition from the "technology trigger" phase to a "steady recovery" and "production maturity" phase in the computing power sector [1][22][24] - The report highlights significant performance growth in domestic optical communication manufacturers, with NewEase's net profit expected to increase by over 380% year-on-year in Q1 2025, demonstrating the realization of performance in the computing power sector [1][22][24] - The report suggests that downstream applications of AI, such as AI agents, autonomous driving, and AI for Science, are likely to accelerate into maturity stages, showcasing practical commercial value [2][23] Group 2 - The report identifies a shift in institutional holdings from high-risk preferences to value growth in the computing power sector, with notable reductions in holdings of companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication [2][24] - The "pendulum effect" in the computing power sector is discussed, indicating a rebalancing of fundamentals and market chips, where lower-valued stocks may attract capital due to technological breakthroughs or order increases [3][24] - The report indicates that the optical module sector is entering a golden period of value growth, driven by product upgrades, connection value expansion, and a stable market structure [4][25][27] Group 3 - The report recommends focusing on key companies in the computing power supply chain, particularly in the optical module industry, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and NewEase, as well as smaller firms like Tianfu Communication and Shijia Photon [7][29] - It emphasizes the importance of technological barriers and high order visibility in the core segments of the computing power sector [3][24] - The report provides a detailed overview of the optical module industry, highlighting the demand for 800G optical modules in North America, projected to reach 20 million units by 2025 [4][27]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 15 年 月 日 2）社融结构：5 月单月新增社融 2.29 万亿，同比多增 2271 亿： A.对实体经济发放的人民币贷款增加 5960 亿，同比少增 2237 亿； B.新口径下企业债券融资净增加 1496 亿，同比多增 1211 亿，5 月公司债 发行利率在 4 月较低水平上进一步下行，企业发债意愿有所提高； C.表外融资方面，信托贷款净增加 173 亿，委托贷款净减少 167 亿，分别 同比少增 51 亿和同比多减 158 亿； D.政府债券净增加 1.46 万亿，同比多增 2367 亿，年内政府债券发行进度 明显加快，成为拉动社融增长的主要因素； E.未贴现银行汇票减少 1162 亿，同比少减 169 亿。 银行 本周聚焦—5 月社融数据：政府债支撑社融，新发放贷款利率保持不变 一、5 月社融数据 1、社融结构拆分 1）社融增速：2025 年 5 月新口径下社融增速 8.7%，较上月持平，剔除 政府债券后的社融增速 6.0%，较上月持平。 2、信贷、存款增长情况 1）贷款：5 月新增人民币贷款 6200 亿元，同比少增 3300 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The offshore wind power sector is expected to see a performance inflection point in Q2 2025, with significant project developments and a total of 8GW of offshore wind projects expected to commence by 2025 [2][15] - The solar photovoltaic market is experiencing weak terminal demand, with a projected 15-20% decrease in component operating rates in June 2025, leading to a decline in component prices [1][14] - The hydrogen energy sector is witnessing the establishment of a green hydrogen project in Guizhou, with an expected annual production of 10,400 tons of green hydrogen [3][22] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Solar Energy**: Component prices are declining, with current prices for ground-mounted TOPCon components at 0.670 RMB/W and HJT components at 0.730 RMB/W. Operating rates are expected to decrease by 15-20% in June [1][14] - **Wind Power & Grid**: A total of 8GW of offshore wind projects are set to start by 2025, with 2.55GW expected to be connected to the grid within the same year. The focus is on the performance inflection point in Q2 2025 [2][15][19] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: The Guizhou green hydrogen project has a total investment of 715 million RMB and will produce 10,400 tons of green hydrogen annually. The energy storage sector is seeing competitive bidding with prices ranging from 0.484 to 1.299 RMB/Wh [3][22][28] New Energy Vehicles - **Solid-State Batteries**: A subsidiary of Huaya Intelligent has signed a contract for a 200MWh solid-state battery production line, with expected contributions to the parent company of approximately 42 million RMB in 2025 and 45 million RMB in 2026 [4][32] - **Investment Opportunities**: The report suggests focusing on solid-state battery technology and related equipment manufacturers, as well as established lithium battery leaders [32][33] Price Dynamics in the Photovoltaic Industry - The report highlights the price trends in the photovoltaic supply chain, indicating a downward trend in component prices and the need to monitor raw material prices [1][34] Important News - The report includes significant developments in the new energy sector, such as the launch of a heavy-duty truck battery swap system standard in Shenzhen and the announcement of new partnerships in the battery materials sector [36][38]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is positioned as a global leader in AI PCB, benefiting significantly from the increasing demand for GPU and ASIC technologies [1][12] - The trend towards high-density interconnect (HDI) technology is expected to drive the company's growth, with plans for expanding production capacity and developing advanced HDI products [2][3] - The company's financial performance is projected to grow substantially, with expected revenues of 20.12 billion yuan in 2025, 28.20 billion yuan in 2026, and 34.57 billion yuan in 2027, alongside significant increases in net profit [3][4] Summary by Sections Section 1: AI PCB Demand - The demand for AI-related PCBs is driven by significant capital expenditures from major cloud service providers (CSPs), with a combined capital expenditure of 71.1 billion USD in Q1 2025, a 64% year-on-year increase [1][12] - Major CSPs like Meta and Amazon are expected to continue increasing their investments in AI infrastructure, with projected capital expenditures of 640-720 billion USD and 1000 billion USD respectively for 2025 [12][16] Section 2: HDI Technology - The report highlights the importance of HDI technology in PCB manufacturing, with the company expanding its production capabilities for 5-layer, 6-layer, and upcoming 10-layer HDI products [2] - The global demand for AI HDI is currently limited, providing the company with a competitive edge as it ramps up production and secures key customer partnerships [2][3] Section 3: Multi-layer PCB Development - The company has achieved mass production capabilities for 32-layer high multi-layer PCBs and is working on 70-layer precision multi-layer boards, which are expected to see significant price increases due to manufacturing complexities [3] - The company is also expanding its production capacity in Thailand, targeting an annual output of 1.5 million square meters of multi-layer boards, with a focus on boards with 14 layers or more [3] Section 4: Financial Projections - The company is expected to see a substantial increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with projected revenues of 20.12 billion yuan in 2025, 28.20 billion yuan in 2026, and 34.57 billion yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 5.61 billion yuan, 8.50 billion yuan, and 10.61 billion yuan respectively [4][3] - The report anticipates a significant improvement in the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, dropping from 129.5 in 2023 to 15.5 in 2025, indicating strong growth potential [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [8] Core Insights - The report highlights that the pharmaceutical sector, particularly the innovative drug segment, is experiencing a significant bull market, with the innovation drug index outperforming other indices [2][13] - The report emphasizes the strong liquidity in the market, which has led to increased investment in innovative drugs, particularly those related to PD1 and weight loss drugs [2][15] - Future outlook remains optimistic for 2025, focusing on innovative drugs, new technologies, and restructuring of the supply chain [3][16] Summary by Sections 1. Pharmaceutical Core Insights - The pharmaceutical index increased by 1.40% during the week of June 9-13, outperforming both the ChiNext and CSI 300 indices [13] - The innovative drug index rose by 3.07%, indicating strong market performance [50] 2. MNC Cash and Potential Layouts - MNCs have substantial cash reserves, with major companies like Johnson & Johnson and Merck holding over $10 billion in cash, indicating strong purchasing power for potential business development (BD) opportunities [27][25] - The report analyzes MNC revenue sources, highlighting a focus on oncology, metabolism, and mental health, which are areas of high market potential [25][27] 3. Investment Strategies and Thoughts 3.1 Broad Pharmaceuticals - Innovative drugs are a key focus, with a recommendation to explore opportunities in core stocks and those with BD expectations [3][16] - The report identifies specific companies for investment, including major players in the innovative drug space and smaller market cap stocks with promising pipelines [17][18] 3.2 Generic Drugs - The generic drug sector showed a weekly increase of 5.24%, outperforming the broader pharmaceutical index [59] - Top-performing stocks in the generic sector include Yiming Pharmaceutical and Sai Sheng Pharmaceutical, indicating strong market activity [62] 4. Market Review and Hotspot Tracking - The report notes that innovative drugs are becoming the most attractive sector, with significant price increases observed in several companies due to market catalysts [2][15] - Key events, such as the NMPA's inclusion of a new treatment for cardiovascular disease, are highlighted as important developments in the sector [57]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 13 年 月 日 周大福（01929.HK） 产品结构优化效果显著，FY2025 经营利润增长 10% 公司 FY2025 营收同比下降 18%，经营利润同比增长 10%，利润 率改善明显。公司披露 FY2025 年报，由于消费环境波动以及金价高 企，公司营收同比下降 17.5%至 896.56 亿港元，与此同时受益于产 品结构优化以及金价上行带来的收益，公司经营利润率同比提升 4pcts 至 16.4%，经营利润同比增长 9.8%至 147.46 亿港元，整体表 现优异，综合考虑黄金借贷公允价值变动的影响后，归母净利润同比 下降 9%至 59.16 亿港元。董事会建议派发末期股息每股 0.32 港元， 全年股息每股共 0.52 港元，2025 财政年度全年派息率约为 87.8%。 邮箱：wangjiawei@gszq.com 相关研究 内地：FY2025 内地营收下降 17%，公司持续优化渠道网络，同时 推动产品力提升。FY2025 中国内地营收同比下降 16.9%至 745.56 亿 港元，其中零售/批发渠道营收同比-16%/-17 ...

◼ 重磅研报 作者 【宏观】关税为何没有推升美国通胀？——美国 5 月 CPI 点评—— 20250612 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 13 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 【固定收益】以哑铃策略稳中求进——转债策略月报——20250612 关税为何没有推升美国通胀？ 【建筑材料】弱现实但酝酿积极变化，2025 年消费建材或是"黄金坑" ——20250612 今日概览 【电子】兆易创新（603986.SH）-存储龙头多元布局，深度受益 AI+国 产替代——20250612 | 分析师 | 熊园 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：S0680518050004 | | | | | 邮箱：xiongyuan@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 医药生物 | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | | 传媒 | 6.8% | -0.9% | 34.9% | | 有色金属 | 6.4% | 3.2% | 13.1% | | 纺织服饰 | 5.9% ...

证券研究报告 | 宏观研究 2025年06月12日 宏观点评 关税为何没有推升美国通胀? -- 美国 5月 CPI点评 事件: 北京时间 6月 11 日 20:30,美国公布 2025年5月 CPI。 核心结论:美国5月CPI和核心CPI 均低于预期,整体通胀压力依然较为 温和。数据公布后,美联储降息预期小幅上调,目前市场依然预期美联储 年内降息2次,首次在9月。往后看,关税对通胀并非没有影响、而是尚 未充分显现,美国通胀上行风险依然存在。未来两个月重点关注贸易谈判 进展、特朗普"大美丽法案"进展、美联储6/19 议息会议的表态。 1、美国5月 CPI和核心 CPI 双双低于预期,关税影响尚不显著。 >整体表现:美国 2025年5月未季调 CPI 同比 2.4%,低于预期值 2.5%, 高于前值 2.3%;核心 CPI 同比 2.8%,低于预期值 2.9%,持平前值,为 四年来最低。李调后 CPI 环比 0.1%,低于预期值、前值和 12个月均值 0.2%;核心 CPI 环比 0.1%,低于预期值 0.3%和前值、12个月均值 0.2%。 | 分析师 | 熊园 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号 ...

证券研究报告 | 宏观研究 gszqdatemark 2025 06 12 年 月 日 宏观点评 关税为何没有推升美国通胀？——美国 5 月 CPI 点评 事件：北京时间 6 月 11 日 20:30，美国公布 2025 年 5 月 CPI。 核心结论：美国 5 月 CPI 和核心 CPI 均低于预期，整体通胀压力依然较为 温和。数据公布后，美联储降息预期小幅上调，目前市场依然预期美联储 年内降息 2 次，首次在 9 月。往后看，关税对通胀并非没有影响、而是尚 未充分显现，美国通胀上行风险依然存在。未来两个月重点关注贸易谈判 进展、特朗普"大美丽法案"进展、美联储 6/19 议息会议的表态。 1、美国 5 月 CPI 和核心 CPI 双双低于预期，关税影响尚不显著。 >整体表现：美国 2025 年 5 月未季调 CPI 同比 2.4%，低于预期值 2.5%， 高于前值 2.3%；核心 CPI 同比 2.8%，低于预期值 2.9%，持平前值，为 四年来最低。季调后 CPI 环比 0.1%，低于预期值、前值和 12 个月均值 0.2%；核心 CPI 环比 0.1%，低于预期值 0.3%和前值、12 个月均值 0. ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 06 12 年 月 日 兆易创新（603986.SH） 存储龙头多元布局，深度受益 AI+国产替代 布局存储+MCU+传感器，产品出货量创出新高。兆易创新产品主要覆盖 存储、MCU、传感器三大领域，其中 2024 年存储收入占比 70%以上，公 司在 NOR Flash 领域全球市占率第二，SLC NAND 也逐步占据一定份额， DRAM 业务随着三大原厂逐步退出+端侧定制化方案的顺利推进有望实现 较大增长。2024 年公司产品出货量达到 43.62 亿颗，同比增长 39.72%， 创出历史新高，因行业下游市场需求有所回暖，客户增加备货，公司产品 在消费、网通、计算等多个领域均实现收入和销量大幅增长。公司实现营 业收入 73.56 亿元，同比增长 27.69%；公司归母净利润回升至 11.03 亿 元，同比增加 584.21%。 利基存储格局优化，端侧 AI 推动定制化需求增长。半导体存储主要有 DRAM/NAND/Nor Flash 等，2023 年分别占比 54%/41%/2.5%，2024 年 全年 DRAM 和 NAND Flash ...