Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform" for the food and beverage industry [5] Core Insights - The liquor sector is currently in a bottom consolidation phase due to policy and demand recovery pressures, but there are opportunities for bottom-fishing as performance concerns have eased [1][3] - The beverage sector is experiencing good sales momentum, driven by health and functional demand, indicating a potential continuation of industry prosperity [1][3] - The report recommends focusing on ETFs such as the CSI Consumer ETF and the Hang Seng Consumer ETF, which are seen as scarce new consumption targets in the A-share market [1][3] Industry ETF Market Review - During the week of August 11-15, 2025, major food and beverage ETFs saw an overall increase, with the liquor ETF (512690.SH) and consumer ETF (159928.SZ) rising by +1.40% and +0.98% respectively [2][10] - The liquor ETF had a trading volume of 5.736 billion, marking it as the highest in the observed ETFs [2][11] - The total inflow for food and beverage-related ETFs was 1.101 billion, with the liquor ETF experiencing a net inflow of 658 million [11] Industry Sector Performance Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.70% while the food and beverage sector only increased by 0.48%, underperforming both the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300 Index [19] - The liquor sub-sector showed a slight increase of +0.93%, while soft drinks experienced the largest decline at -3.12% [21] - Year-to-date, the food and beverage sector has decreased by 6.11%, significantly underperforming the broader market indices [19][23] Industry News - Market demand remains weak, with prices continuing to decline, reaching new lows for the year [3][26] - Moutai's half-year revenue for 2025 was reported at 91.094 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.16%, aligning with expectations [3][26] - New packaging specifications for Moutai have been introduced to meet market demand, including adjustments to box sizes and materials [3][60]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report Last week, Chinese and US ten - year treasury bond yields rose slightly. The A - share market showed an upward trend, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains. Communication, electronics, and non - bank finance sectors led the rise, while the bank and steel sectors had negative returns. The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased significantly, and the margin trading balance reached a new high this year. The overall ETF market had a net redemption inflow of about - 5.8 billion yuan, with bond - type and cross - border ETFs having net inflows, and stock - type ETFs having net outflows. Hong Kong - related concept ETFs had net capital inflows, while science - innovation, chip, and semiconductor ETFs had net outflows. Five ETF funds were listed last week, and 11 were waiting to be listed [2][10][25]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Overall Situation - The copper - gold ratio can be regarded as a leading indicator of China's bond yields. Last week, China's ten - year treasury bond yield was 1.75%, and the US ten - year treasury bond yield was 4.33%, both rising slightly from the previous week and in low - level consolidation [10]. - The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 2.0763 trillion yuan, a significant increase from the previous week. The margin trading balance reached about 2.0488 trillion yuan, a new high this year [10]. - Six stock - type ETFs were newly issued last week, with a total issuance scale of about 3.436 billion shares. Stock - type ETFs had a net redemption inflow of about - 24.3 billion yuan [10][11]. - The A - share market indices showed an upward trend, with the ChiNext Index rising 8.58%. Communication, electronics, and non - bank finance sectors led the rise, while the bank and steel sectors had negative returns. The industry congestion was relatively balanced [11]. 2. Hong Kong - related Concept ETFs' Net Capital Inflows Continued (1) Stock (Theme) ETFs' Net Redemption Outflows - The overall ETF market had a net redemption inflow of about - 5.8 billion yuan. Bond - type ETFs had a net inflow of about 12.6 billion yuan, cross - border ETFs had a net inflow of about 16.7 billion yuan, and stock - type ETFs had a net outflow of about 24.3 billion yuan. Stock (theme) ETFs had a net outflow of about 15.6 billion yuan, the main direction of stock - type ETFs' net outflows. The turnover rate of stock - type ETFs generally increased [25]. - Among broad - based ETFs, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF had a net redemption outflow. Among industry - themed ETFs, chip, semiconductor, and brokerage ETFs had net outflows, while Hong Kong - related concept ETFs had net inflows [25]. (2) Science - innovation, Chip, and Semiconductor ETFs' Net Capital Outflows Last Week - ETF redemption funds flowed into bond - type ETFs and some Hong Kong - related industry ETFs, while science - innovation, chip, and semiconductor ETFs had net outflows [35]. (3) Overview of Newly - listed and To - be - listed ETFs - Five ETF funds were listed last week, with a total share of about 1.9 billion. Eleven ETFs had completed fundraising and were waiting to be listed, with a total share of about 5 billion [3][40].

Strategy Overview - Hengtai Securities has developed an ETF strategy based on industry rotation and thematic investments, referencing previous reports from October 2024[2] - The strategy includes a combination of industry and thematic ETFs to optimize investment performance[2] ETF Holdings and Performance - The total value of the ETFs held is approximately 144.96 billion CNY, with significant allocations in sectors such as communication equipment (73.61%) and gaming (81.29%)[3] - The strategy achieved a cumulative net return of about 2.04% from August 11 to August 15, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 ETF by 0.64%[3] - Since October 14, 2024, the strategy's cumulative return is approximately 9.26%, with an underperformance of 1.20% relative to the CSI 300 ETF[3] Weekly Recommendations - For the week of August 18 to August 22, 2025, the recommended sectors include communication equipment, precious metals, and gaming[12] - New positions will be added in communication equipment ETF, industrial metals ETF, and innovative pharmaceuticals ETF, while continuing to hold positions in gold stocks, gaming ETF, and satellite ETF[12] Risk Considerations - There is a risk of rapid style shifts within a week, which could impact ETF performance[7] - Some ETFs may experience abnormal increases in discount rates, posing additional risks to investors[7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the semiconductor and AI industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high growth, with global sales expected to reach a record high of $700.9 billion in 2025, driven by logic and memory segments [5][16]. - The price increases from Texas Instruments (TI) are creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to gain market share, particularly in high-margin segments like industrial and automotive electronics [5][24]. - The consumer electronics sector is seeing stable smartphone shipments with an expected 1.6% growth in 2025, alongside innovations in AI glasses that are anticipated to expand market size significantly [5][30][37]. - The PCB market is projected to grow due to high demand from AI data centers and other applications, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% expected from 2024 to 2029 [55][60]. Semiconductor Industry - Global semiconductor sales reached $59.91 billion in June, marking a 20% year-on-year increase, while China's sales were $17.24 billion, growing 13.1% [10][11]. - The growth in the semiconductor market is primarily driven by logic and memory segments, with projections for 2025 indicating a continued upward trend [16][18]. - The demand for DDR4 memory is expected to remain high due to ongoing production plans by Samsung, despite a shift towards newer technologies [18]. Consumer Electronics - Global smartphone shipments totaled 295 million units in Q2 2025, reflecting a 1% year-on-year increase, with brands like Samsung and Xiaomi showing notable performance [30][34]. - The introduction of new AI glasses is expected to enhance market acceptance and drive growth, with significant increases in shipment volumes projected for 2025 [37][39]. PCB Market - The global PCB market is anticipated to reach $73.57 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 5.8% driven by demand from AI and consumer electronics sectors [55][60]. - AI data centers are identified as a key growth area for PCB applications, necessitating advancements in high-performance and high-density designs [60][62].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the AI industry, particularly focusing on AI Agent applications and related ETFs, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1]. Core Insights - The AI sector has shown strong performance, with the AI index outperforming major indices in July, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [2][11]. - The AI Agent market is projected to reach a scale of 1.473 trillion yuan by 2024 and is expected to exceed 3.3 trillion yuan by 2028, driven by policy support and technological advancements [2][25]. - The launch of GPT-5 is seen as a pivotal moment for the AI Agent industry, marking 2025 as a potential breakout year for the sector [3][36]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In July, the AI sector outperformed the broader market, with the AI index rising by 5.37%, compared to 3.74% for the Shanghai Composite Index and 3.54% for the CSI 300 [11][12]. - Year-to-date, the AI index has increased by 21.11%, significantly higher than other indices [11]. AI Agent Application Acceleration - The AI Agent market is expected to benefit from a combination of policy support and technological breakthroughs, with a potential market size of 1 trillion yuan [25]. - The Chinese government has prioritized AI development, integrating it into key economic strategies and policies [25][26]. - The AI Agent is characterized by its ability to autonomously perceive environments and execute tasks, leveraging large language models [28]. Technology - The release of GPT-5 is anticipated to revolutionize the AI Agent landscape, enabling more complex task execution and automation [3][36]. - The technology framework for AI Agents is evolving, with significant investments from leading firms to enhance foundational model capabilities [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several AI-themed ETFs, including E Fund CSI Artificial Intelligence ETF (159819) and Huaxia CSI Artificial Intelligence ETF (515070), which align closely with the AI Agent industry [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The strategy is based on the research reports "Strategy Portfolio Report under Industry Rotation: Quantitative Analysis from the Perspective of Industry Style Continuity and Switching" (20241007) and "Research on the Overview and Allocation Methods of the Stock - type ETF Market: Taking the ETF Portfolio Based on the Industry Rotation Strategy as an Example" (20241013) to construct a strategy portfolio of industry and theme ETFs [2] - In the week of 20250811, the model recommends allocating sectors such as joint - stock banks, games, and semiconductors. In the next week, the strategy will newly hold products like Game ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF, and Satellite ETF, and continue to hold products like Bank ETF, Financial Real Estate ETF, and Gold Stock ETF [2] - As of last weekend, some ETFs and the trading timing signals of the underlying indexes gave daily or weekly risk warnings [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Performance Tracking - During the period from 20250804 to 20250808, the cumulative net return of the strategy was about 2.62%, and the excess return relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about 1.41% [3] - From October 14, 2024, to the present, the cumulative out - of - sample return of the strategy was about 7.08%, and the cumulative excess relative to the CSI 300 ETF was about - 0.79% [3] Future 1 - Week Recommended ETFs (20250811 - 20250815) | Fund Code | ETF Name | Holding Status | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Heavy - Positioned Shenwan II Industry and Weight | Weekly Timing Signal | Daily Timing Signal | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512800 | Bank ETF | Continue to hold | 151.38 | Joint - stock banks (44.73%) | 1 | - 1 | | 159869 | Game ETF | Transfer in | 73.17 | Games (81.29%) | 1 | 1 | | 588780 | Science and Technology Innovation Chip Design ETF | Transfer in | 2.77 | Semiconductors (95.73%) | 1 | 1 | | 159940 | Financial Real Estate ETF | Continue to hold | 7.99 | Securities (29.12%) | 1 | - 1 | | 517520 | Gold Stock ETF | Continue to hold | 46.34 | Precious metals (41.51%) | 1 | 1 | | 510000 | Central Enterprise ETF | Continue to hold | 1.21 | State - owned large - scale banks (18.11%) | 1 | 1 | | 512690 | Wine ETF | Continue to hold | 152.39 | Baijiu (85.37%) | - 1 | - 1 | | 159206 | ZETF | Transfer in | 1.33 | Military electronics II (34.22%) | 1 | 1 | | 159786 | VRETF | Transfer in | 1.32 | Optoelectronics (26.64%) | 1 | 1 | | 159652 | Non - ferrous 50 ETF | Transfer in | 5.21 | Industrial metals (49.34%) | 1 | 1 | [9] Near 1 - Week ETF Holdings and Performance (20250804 - 20250808) | Fund Code | Current Holding Status | ETF Name | ETF Market Value (billion yuan) | Near 1 - Week Increase/Decrease (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 562550 | - | Green Power ETF | 1.21 | 1.50 | | 512800 | Continue to hold | Bank ETF | 151.38 | 1.99 | | 512690 | Continue to hold | Wine ETF | 152.39 | 1.06 | | 159768 | - | Real Estate ETF | 6.13 | 2.14 | | 159940 | Continue to hold | Financial Real Estate ETF | 7.99 | 1.41 | | 515220 | Transfer out | Coal ETF | 80.20 | 3.78 | | 159996 | Transfer out | Home Appliance ETF | 12.72 | 2.55 | | 510060 | Continue to hold | Central Enterprise ETF | 1.21 | 1.42 | | 516550 | Transfer out | Agricultural ETF | 1.87 | 1.76 | | 517520 | Continue to hold | Gold Stock ETF | 46.34 | 8.91 | | - | ETF Portfolio Average Return | - | - | 2.62 | | 510300 | - | CSI 300 ETF | 3819.72 | 1.21 | | - | ETF Portfolio Excess Return | - | - | 1.41 | [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate sector [1] Core Insights - The second-hand housing market is under increasing pressure, with Beijing's second-hand housing transaction area at 266,900 square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 1.14%, nearing levels seen in May 2024. Shanghai's second-hand housing transaction area is 366,500 square meters, close to levels in October 2024 [5][10] - The targeted easing of purchase restrictions outside the Fifth Ring Road in Beijing is expected to help reduce inventory in that area, signaling a positive outlook. Continuous monitoring of policy developments in Shanghai and Shenzhen is advised [5] - In the new housing market, developers are expected to increase supply towards the end of August to prepare for the "Golden September." High-quality products in core areas are likely to see stable sales, benefiting brands like China Resources Land, Binjiang Group, and Jianfa International Group [5] - The real estate sector outperformed the market indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.11%, the CSI 300 Index by 1.23%, and the real estate sector by 2.16%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 0.05 percentage points and the CSI 300 by 0.93 percentage points [10] Market Performance - The report highlights that the real estate sector has shown resilience, with key A-share real estate stocks such as Heimu Dan, *ST Rongkong, and Yatong shares leading in gains [10] - In the Hong Kong market, companies like Huayin International Holdings, Shun Tak Holdings, and Hongyang Real Estate also showed significant gains [10] - The report notes that the transaction area for new homes in 30 major cities decreased week-on-week, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 3.71% [5][39] Policy Changes - Beijing's adjustment to purchase restrictions allows eligible families to buy an unlimited number of properties outside the Fifth Ring Road, which includes both new and second-hand homes [5] Sales Trends - The report indicates that new home sales in 30 major cities have decreased, with a total sales area of 1.2645 million square meters last week, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 3.71%. First-tier cities saw a slight increase in sales, while second-tier cities experienced a more significant decline [5][39] Company Valuations and ETF Performance - The report provides a detailed valuation of key real estate companies, highlighting their market capitalization and expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to 2027 [85] - It also reviews the performance of real estate ETFs, noting weekly returns and net inflows for various funds [88]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report analyzes the ETF market liquidity dynamics from August 4th to August 10th, 2025, including market trends, ETF market overview, and the inflow and outflow of funds in different types of ETFs [1][2]. Summary by Directory Market Overall Situation - China's 10 - year treasury bond yield remained basically flat at 1.69% last week, while the US 10 - year treasury bond yield rose slightly to 4.27% [1][9]. - The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 1672.6 billion yuan, a slight decrease from the previous week. The margin trading balance reached a new high of about 1995.3 billion yuan [1][10]. - Last week, the A - share market issued 5 new stock - type ETFs, with a total issuance scale of about 1.559 billion shares [10]. - Stock - type ETFs had a net redemption inflow of about - 4.814 billion yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index (+2.11%), and other major indices showed different degrees of increase. The defense and military industry (+5.93%), non - ferrous metals (+5.78%), and machinery and equipment (+5.37%) led the rise, while the pharmaceutical and biological (-0.84%) and computer (-0.41%) industries had negative returns [11]. - The defense and military industry had a congestion warning [11]. Hong Kong - related Concept ETFs - The overall ETF market had a net subscription inflow of about 14.6 billion yuan. Bond - type ETFs had an inflow of about 9 billion yuan, and cross - border ETFs had an inflow of about 11.8 billion yuan. Stock - type ETFs had a net inflow of about - 4.8 billion yuan, mainly due to the net outflow of broad - based ETFs of about - 9.7 billion yuan. The turnover rate of stock - type ETFs generally decreased [25]. - Brokerage ETFs had a net subscription inflow, while gold ETFs had a net outflow [25]. Gold ETFs and Game ETFs - Last week, ETF subscription and redemption funds flowed into bond - type ETFs and some Hong Kong - related industry ETFs, while game ETFs, gold ETFs, and stock broad - based ETFs had net outflows [35]. Newly - listed and Proposed - to - be - listed ETFs - Last week, 7 ETF funds were listed for trading, with a total share of about 3.6 billion. There were 10 ETFs that had completed fundraising and were waiting to be listed, with a total share of about 3.4 billion [40].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The report highlights a narrowing decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI) and notes that the industrial producer's ex-factory prices decreased by 0.2% month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 3.6% [3][23] - The chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry, as well as the oil and gas extraction industry, have shown a downward trend in fixed asset investment completion year-on-year since 2025 [21][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of the newly implemented energy-saving review and carbon emission evaluation measures, which aim to prevent disorderly capacity expansion and "involution" competition in the industry [22] Market Performance Overview - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index experienced a decline of 0.54% during the period from July 28 to August 8, 2025 [3][11] - The top-performing industry indices during this period included SSH Gold Stocks (4.88%) and Subdivided Nonferrous Metals (0.83%) [3][10] - The report notes significant capital inflows into the infrastructure engineering sector, while the rare metals and nonferrous metals sectors saw substantial capital outflows [11] Key Industry Dynamics - In the chemical sector, the report indicates that major raw material purchase price indices reached a new high of 51.5% in July, reflecting a 2.1 percentage point increase from June [23] - The coal sector is under scrutiny, with the National Energy Administration planning to conduct production inspections in key coal-producing provinces to ensure stable supply [3][28] - The report suggests monitoring the Chemical ETF (159870.SZ) and Coal ETF (515220.SH) for potential investment opportunities [3][12] Company Updates - Wanhua Chemical announced the resumption of production at its Fujian Industrial Park, which had been under maintenance since June 5, 2025 [25] - Salt Lake Co. disclosed plans for share buybacks to enhance investor confidence, with a recent increase in shareholding by its controlling shareholder [26] - Juhua Co. projected a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with an expected growth of 146% to 166% year-on-year [27]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - The current overcapacity is mainly concentrated in the mid - and downstream sectors. In July, the rise in commodity futures prices did not significantly boost inflation, and the PPI remained at a low level. After the implementation of new US tariffs, the "rush to export" phenomenon subsided, putting pressure on external demand. Domestic demand took over from external demand, reversing the trend of the trade balance, and the trade surplus narrowed in July. The policy hedging in areas such as preschool education is still insufficient. Meanwhile, the "anti - involution" concept cannot be falsified in the short term, and the pricing of major asset classes is unlikely to return to the "deflation" narrative of the second quarter due to the total demand shock. If the yield decline is too large, consider taking profits gradually [1]. - The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond slightly declined to 1.69%, and the interest rate structure became steeper. On August 8, the central bank announced a 700 - billion - yuan outright reverse repurchase operation, indicating a loosening of liquidity. Although the interest rate has reached a peak in the short term, the decline of long - term interest rates is not smooth due to the disturbances in the stock market and commodity prices [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Domestic Market News - **Diplomatic Response**: The Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to questions about secondary oil tariffs. China conducts normal economic and energy cooperation with countries including Russia, which is legitimate [8]. - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank carried out a 700 - billion - yuan outright reverse repurchase operation on August 8, 2025, with a term of 3 months. China's gold reserves increased by 600,000 ounces in July, marking the 9th consecutive month of increase [8]. - **Industrial and Financial Policies**: The State Council issued an opinion on gradually implementing free preschool education, exempting the tuition fees of children in the first year of public kindergartens from the 2025 autumn semester. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will guide the reduction of about 1 million breeding sows. Seven departments including the People's Bank of China jointly issued a guidance on financial support for new - type industrialization. The National Development and Reform Commission will accelerate the approval of new - type policy - based financial instruments, and government bond issuance is expected to speed up, which is expected to drive the recovery of infrastructure investment in the second half of the year [8][9]. - **Economic Data**: In July, the CPI increased by 0.4% month - on - month, up from a 0.1% decline in the previous month, and was flat year - on - year. The core CPI increased by 0.8% year - on - year. The PPI decreased by 0.2% month - on - month, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. China's trade surplus in July was $98.24 billion, down from $114.75 billion in the previous month [10]. - **Off - shore Market**: The RWA registration platform was officially launched in Hong Kong, and three Web3.0 standards were established [10]. Overseas Key Data and Events - **Interest Rate Expectations**: Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman expects three interest rate cuts this year [11]. - **Tariff Policies**: The US may impose additional tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. The EU will suspend tariff counter - measures against the US for 6 months [11].