公司点评 | 盈利弹性超预期 | | --- | ——伊利股份 24 年报及 25Q1 点评 伊利股份（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600887） 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：液奶降幅收窄明显 ⚫ 盈利：成本红利+产品结构优化 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入" ➢ 我们的观点： 经过 24 年渠道库存去化，公司今年经营基础更加稳健，Q1 报表已 有较好反馈，随着 Q2 低基数来临，公司业绩有望逐季修复，全年 [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -33% -18% -4% 11% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 伊利股份 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.伊利股份 24Q3：渠道调整初见成 效 2024-10-31 2.聚焦长期，H2 有望环比改善 2024- 09-01 敬请参阅末页重要 ...

中炬高新（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600872） | 静待渠道调整见效 | | --- | ——中炬高新 25Q1 点评 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：春节错期+渠道调整拖累 ⚫ 盈利：规模效应+费投力度提升 ➢ Q1 毛利率同比提升 1.8pct 至 38.7%，主因原材料成本下行、供应 链优化带来生产费用及物流成本下降。同期，销售/管理费率分别同 比上升 0.9pct/1.7pct，规模效应走弱，叠加渠道费用投入力度加大 是主因。综上，公司归母净利率同比提升 0.3pct 至 16.4%。 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入"评级 ➢ 我们的观点： 我们预计 25 年公司经营节奏前低后高，渠道库存持续去化下，H2 有望迎来环比经营改善。渠道端，聚焦传统渠道下沉+电商扩大曝 光；产品端，新品积极推广，同时通过产业并购补齐品类短板。全 年收入有望实现稳健增长。 盈利预测：考虑到公司渠道库存去化进度，我们更新盈利预测，预 计 2025-2027 年公司实现营业总收入 58.0/62.1/67.3 亿元（25-26 年原值为 59.7/66.6 亿元），同比增长 5.1%/7.0%/8.5%；实现归母 ...

伊利股份（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 600887） 公司点评 | 盈利弹性超预期 | | --- | ——伊利股份 24 年报及 25Q1 点评 主要观点： ⚫ 收入：液奶降幅收窄明显 ⚫ 盈利：成本红利+产品结构优化 ⚫ 投资建议：维持"买入" ➢ 我们的观点： 经过 24 年渠道库存去化，公司今年经营基础更加稳健，Q1 报表已 有较好反馈，随着 Q2 低基数来临，公司业绩有望逐季修复，全年 [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -33% -18% -4% 11% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 伊利股份 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：邓欣 执业证书号：S0010524010001 邮箱：dengxin@hazq.com 联系人：郑少轩 执业证书号：S0010124040001 邮箱：zhengshaoxuan@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 1.伊利股份 24Q3：渠道调整初见成 效 2024-10-31 2.聚焦长期，H2 有望环比改善 2024- 09-01 敬请参阅末页重要 ...

神[Ta农ble集_Sto团ckN（ameRptType] 605296） 公司点评 [Table_Title] 生猪出栏量快速增长，25Q1 成本降至 12.4 元 | 报告日期： | 2025-5-5 | | --- | --- | | [收Ta盘bl价e_（Ba元se）Data] | 29.21 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 45.67/24.54 | | 总股本（百万股） | 524.84 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523.25 | | 流通股比例（%） | 99.7 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 153 | [分Ta析bl师e_：Au王th莺or] 执业证书号：S0010520070003 电话：18502142884 [相Ta关bl报e_告CompanyReport] 司回购股份 2024-10-29 持低位 2024-8-29 3. 神农集团（605296）深度报告：生 生猪完全成本持续回落，2025Q1 降至 12.4 元/公斤 2024 年公司生猪完全成本不断下降，全年平均完全成本约 13.9 元/公 斤，Q4 降至 13.7 元/公斤 ...

一季度业绩承压，全年季度环比望迎改善 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-5-4 | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 36.21 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 38.08/25.46 | | 总股本（百万股） | 1598 | | 流通 A 股（百万股） | 1306 | | 流通股比例（%） | 81.73% | | 总市值（亿元） | 578.66 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 472.86 | 科伦药业 [Table_StockNameRptType] （002422.SZ） 公司点评 [Table_Chart] 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 科伦药业 沪深300 分析师：谭国超 ⚫ 事件 2 2025 年 4 月 30 日，科伦药业发布 2025 年一季报，公司实现营业 收入 43.90 亿元，同比-29.42%；归母净利润 5.84 亿元，同比- 43.07%；扣非归母净利润 5.64 亿元，同比-43.10%。去年同期高 ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Overweight [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of artificial intelligence (AI) in reshaping various industries, highlighting that AI applications require terminal devices with AI edge computing capabilities. The focus is on AI applications and AI terminals, with a call for self-reliance and strength in AI development [4][5][21] - The report notes that the best-performing sector within the electronic industry this week was digital chip design, with a growth rate of 4.33%, while passive components showed weaker performance with a decline of 1.31% [4][31] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a weekly change of -0.49%, while the Shenzhen Component Index saw a change of -0.17%. The ChiNext Index had a slight increase of +0.04%, and the STAR 50 Index rose by +0.78%. The Shenwan Electronics Index increased by +1.34% [4][31] - The report highlights that the server index was the best-performing concept index with a growth of 3.34%, while the EDA index was the weakest with a decline of 1.22% [4][31] Key Industry News - The report discusses the anticipated launch of Apple's foldable iPhone and iPhone 18 Pro series, indicating a strategic adjustment in Apple's product release schedule to manage its expanding product line [12][13] - A report from CounterPoint Research indicates that the smartphone shipment volume in India decreased by 7% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to high inventory levels and a 26% drop in new product launches [14][19] - The report also mentions that Xi Jinping emphasized the need for self-reliance and application-oriented development in AI during a recent political meeting, highlighting the strategic importance of AI technology [21][22] Company Performance - The report identifies the top-performing stocks in the electronics sector for the week, including Guangda Tongchuang, Xunjiexing, and Yingtong Communications, while stocks like Xilong Science and Chuanxin Holdings performed poorly [49][50] - Year-to-date, the best-performing stocks include Landai Technology and Chip Origin Technology, while Guoxing Optoelectronics and Guoguang Electric have shown weaker performance [49][50]

[相Ta关bl报e_告CompanyReport] 神[Ta农ble集_Sto团ckN（ameRptType] 605296） 公司点评 [Table_Title] 生猪出栏量快速增长，25Q1 成本降至 12.4 元 | 报告日期： | 2025-5-5 | | --- | --- | | [收Ta盘bl价e_（Ba元se）Data] | 29.21 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 45.67/24.54 | | 总股本（百万股） | 524.84 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 523.25 | | 流通股比例（%） | 99.7 | | 总市值（亿元） | 153 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 153 | [分Ta析bl师e_：Au王th莺or] 执业证书号：S0010520070003 电话：18502142884 司回购股份 2024-10-29 持低位 2024-8-29 3. 神农集团（605296）深度报告：生 本优势 2024-8-7 [T投a资ble评_R级an：k]买入（维持） 主要观点： [T2a0b2le5_QSu1m归m母ar净y]利润 2.29 亿元，一季末资产负债率 ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Overweight [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of artificial intelligence (AI) in reshaping various industries, highlighting that AI applications require terminal devices with AI edge computing capabilities. The focus is on AI applications and AI terminals, with a call for self-reliance and strength in AI development [4][5][21][22]. Market Performance Review - During the week from April 28 to April 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.49%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.17%. The ChiNext Index saw a slight increase of 0.04%, and the STAR 50 Index rose by 0.78%. The Shenwan Electronics Index increased by 1.34%, with the best-performing sector being digital chip design, which rose by 4.33%, while passive components saw a decline of 1.31% [4][31]. AI Infrastructure and Companies - AI infrastructure construction is crucial for supporting AI hardware, with relevant companies including Shengyi Technology, Shenghong Technology, and Industrial Fulian. Companies involved in AI terminal chips include Hengxuan Technology and Tai Lingwei, while AI mobile phones and headphones are associated with companies like Lixun Precision and GoerTek [5][21]. Key Industry News - Apple plans to launch its first foldable iPhone in the fall of 2026, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series, while the standard version of the iPhone 18 is delayed until spring 2027. This adjustment is in response to the expanding product line [12][13]. - CounterPoint Research reported a 7% year-on-year decline in smartphone shipments in India for Q1 2025, primarily due to high inventory levels and a 26% drop in new product launches. However, demand for ultra-high-end products remains strong, with a 15% increase in market share for products priced above 45,000 INR [14][19]. Future Trends - Omdia predicts that Tandem OLED technology will reshape the tablet and laptop display market, with its penetration rate expected to rise to 36% by 2026, driven by Apple's new OLED products [24][25][28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shanxi Fenjiu is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company demonstrates steady growth momentum in revenue [6] - Profit growth is driven by product mix upgrades [7] - The quality of financial reports indicates a strong willingness to collect payments [8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 16.523 billion yuan (up 7.72%), with net profit attributable to shareholders at 6.648 billion yuan (up 6.15%) [9] - In Q4 2024, revenue was 4.653 billion yuan (down 10.24%), with net profit at 893 million yuan (down 11.32%) [9] - For the year 2024, revenue totaled 36.011 billion yuan (up 12.79%), with net profit at 12.243 billion yuan (up 17.29%) [9] - Q1 2025 product revenue growth: Fenjiu series +8.2%, other series -15.5% [9] - In 2024, mid-to-high-end and other liquor revenues grew by 14.4% and 9.4% respectively [9] Profitability and Margins - Q1 2025 gross margin improved by 1.3 percentage points to 78.8% due to product mix enhancement [9] - For 2024, gross margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 76.2% [9] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 39.497 billion yuan, 43.546 billion yuan, and 48.149 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.7%, 10.3%, and 10.6% [11] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 13.390 billion yuan, 14.810 billion yuan, and 16.500 billion yuan, with growth rates of 9.4%, 10.6%, and 11.4% [11] - Current price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 19, 17, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of approximately 1.66 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of about 43.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 380 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of about 46.9%. The gross margin was approximately 40.7%, up by about 1.1 percentage points [5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 380 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of about 14.4%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of about 12.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 70 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of about 3.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of about 17.3%. The gross margin was 37.7%, down by about 0.2 percentage points year-on-year and down by about 3.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company plans to increase R&D investment, with an R&D expense ratio of 7.0% in 2024 and expectations for continued increases in 2025. The current R&D expenses are primarily focused on chip inductors, with the fifth-generation iron-silicon products already on the market [6] - The company's three major AI-driven business segments are expected to see significant revenue growth, with capacity likely to continue being released. The metal soft magnetic powder core segment is projected to achieve revenue of 1.23 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.2% [6] - The inductor components segment is expected to achieve revenue of 390 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 275.8%. The company has entered the supplier lists of several well-known semiconductor manufacturers, laying the groundwork for future mass production [6] - The company anticipates net profits of 492 million yuan, 614 million yuan, and 722 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a slight downward adjustment for 2025 compared to previous expectations [7] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company expects operating revenue of 1.66 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 43.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 376 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 46.9% [11] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 40.7% for 2025, with a projected net profit of 492 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.0% [11] - The company’s P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 23.71, 19.00, and 16.16, respectively [11]