Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The retail industry is experiencing a recovery, with significant growth in specific segments such as beauty and jewelry, driven by consumer sentiment and innovative business models [8][30] - The launch of the AI model by Yiwu Small Commodity City is expected to enhance operational efficiency and empower merchants, indicating a shift towards technology-driven business practices [25][26] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index rose by 3.28% during the week of July 21-25, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.61 percentage points [7][14] - The brand cosmetics sector saw the highest weekly increase of 5.94%, while the jewelry sector led the year-to-date performance with a 28.93% increase [17][20] Industry Dynamics - Yiwu Small Commodity City partnered with Alibaba to initiate the AI model testing, which is expected to transform traditional trade practices and enhance global trade linkages [25][26] - Over 30,000 merchants in Yiwu are utilizing AI tools, with deep users experiencing over 30% growth in orders, showcasing the impact of AI on operational efficiency and brand enhancement [26] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-quality companies in sectors benefiting from emotional consumption themes, including: - Gold and jewelry brands with differentiated product offerings, such as Laopuhuang and Chaohongji [8][30] - Retail enterprises adapting to trends, like Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [8][30] - Domestic beauty brands with strong growth potential, including Maogeping and Pola [8][30] - Medical beauty product manufacturers with unique pipelines, such as Aimeike and Kedi-B [8][30] Company-Specific Insights - Laopuhuang reported a revenue increase of 167.5% and a net profit increase of 253.9% in FY2024, indicating strong brand expansion [32] - Chaohongji achieved a revenue growth of 25.4% in Q1 2025, driven by its focus on fashionable jewelry targeting younger consumers [40] - Maogeping's revenue grew by 34.6% in FY2024, reflecting its position as a leading domestic high-end beauty brand [32] - Pola's revenue increased by 21.0% in FY2024, supported by a robust product lineup [32]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The new housing transaction area has increased year-on-year, promoting urban construction and quality improvement. The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with potential for slight fluctuations in housing prices during this process [5][63] - The land transaction area has decreased year-on-year, while the premium rate has increased month-on-month. The domestic credit bond issuance scale has increased compared to the previous month [5][51] - The Shanghai land auction market is active, with significant transactions and high premium rates observed [5][41] Summary by Sections 1. Urban Construction and Quality Improvement - The central government is focused on creating a comfortable living environment and improving urban governance systems. Local governments are also implementing policies to lower down payment ratios and stimulate housing demand [6][15][16] 2. Sales Performance - In the 30th week of 2025, the total residential transaction area in 68 cities was 1.88 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 16% but a month-on-month increase of 19%. Cumulatively, the transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 70.76 million square meters, down 9% year-on-year [7][18][29] - The second-hand housing transaction area in 20 cities was also 1.88 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth of 2% [35] 3. Investment Performance - In the 30th week of 2025, 100 major cities released land planning areas of 2.03 million square meters, with a transaction area of 1.75 million square meters, down 8% year-on-year. The premium rate for land transactions was 7.8% [41][43] 4. Financing Performance - In the 30th week of 2025, the issuance of credit bonds reached 14.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 208% and a month-on-month increase of 300% [8][51] 5. Market Review - The real estate index rose by 4.07% in the week of July 21-27, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 1.69% [56][58]

Group 1 - The report highlights the encouragement of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) by policies, with a recent acquisition event involving Donghe New Materials acquiring 51% of Anshan Fuyou Mining [1][10] - The M&A market is expected to see positive signals from the "New National Nine Articles" and "M&A Six Articles," which will drive industrial integration and cross-border mergers [1][10] - Donghe New Materials aims to enhance its raw material supply security and profitability through the acquisition of Fuyou Mining, which has a production capacity of 500,000 tons of magnesite per year [2][44] Group 2 - The acquisition transaction is valued at 255.3 million yuan, with a significant discount of 88.26% compared to the assessed value of the mining rights [2][24] - Donghe New Materials plans to optimize its financing structure by applying for a merger loan of 158 million yuan, which will cover up to 60% of the acquisition price [2][27] - The acquired company, Fuyou Mining, has a total asset value of 646.57 million yuan and is expected to generate a net profit of approximately 67 million yuan per year [3][46] Group 3 - The report indicates that the North Exchange is focusing on supporting innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, particularly in advanced manufacturing and modern services [17][18] - The characteristics of current acquisitions include a focus on "strong chain and supplementary chain" objectives, with cash acquisitions being the primary method [18][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of securing low-cost and stable raw material resources for sustainable development in the industry [31][40]

AI and Market Trends - AI applications are entering a rapid growth phase, supported by mature infrastructure and decreasing costs of large model calls, enhancing commercial potential[3] - China possesses significant data reserves and a broad demand scale, providing a competitive advantage for AI development[3] Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a general rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.67% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 2.33% during the week[15] - Mid-cap indices such as the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 outperformed large-cap indices, with increases of 3.28% and 2.38% respectively[17] Dietary Supplements Industry - The global dietary supplement market is projected to reach $223 billion by 2026, driven by population growth and increasing health awareness[5] - HMB, a key nutrient for muscle health, is expected to see global production reach 3,572 tons by 2030, indicating strong market potential[5] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Toris (拓尔思), which has a robust open-source intelligence data resource, and Songlin Technology (松霖科技), focusing on health robots[3] - Other notable mentions are Rongxin Culture (荣信文化), which is expanding into AI+ education scenarios[3] Corporate Actions - This week, two companies listed on the A-share market, with C Shanda and C Jiyuan seeing first-day gains of 356% and 274% respectively[33] - There were six new public offerings announced, with an average discount rate of 18.9% and an average return of 40.7% on recent fundraising projects[34][40]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The low valuation of the liquor sector presents layout opportunities, while new consumption valuations are returning to rational levels. The food and beverage index increased by 0.7% from July 21 to July 25, ranking 23rd among 28 sectors, underperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.9 percentage points. The sub-sectors of processed food (+2.0%), health products (+1.9%), and beer (+1.1%) performed relatively well [3][11][12]. Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - The liquor sector has shown a rebound, primarily driven by trading factors. In a volatile market with frequent rotation of hot sectors, the liquor sector has experienced a notable rebound, with some leading liquor companies seeing stock price increases of over 10%. This rebound is attributed to funds seeking certainty in assets amid a slowing economic recovery and high uncertainty in some industries. Liquor, as a low-valuation and high-dividend traditional defensive sector, has attracted funds [3][11]. Market Performance - The food and beverage index's performance was below the market average, with a 0.7% increase, ranking 23rd out of 28 sectors. The processed food, health products, and beer sectors outperformed, while individual stocks such as ST Xifa, Huang Shang Huang, and Jia Bi You saw significant gains, whereas companies like Huang Shi Group, Xi Mai Food, and Liang Pin Pu Zi faced declines [10][13]. Upstream Data - Recent data indicates a decline in some upstream raw material prices. For instance, the price of fresh milk was 3.0 yuan per kilogram, down 5.9% year-on-year, while the price of pork was 20.7 yuan per kilogram, down 17.5% year-on-year. The price of full-fat milk powder increased by 25.0% year-on-year [20][25][22]. Liquor Industry News - The national liquor price index remained stable, with the overall price index at 100.00. The premium liquor price index increased by 10.38%, indicating a positive trend in the premium segment [40]. Recommended Portfolio - The report recommends focusing on low-valuation liquor stocks such as Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Ximai Food, as well as companies like Wancheng Group and Bairun Co. These companies are expected to perform well due to their strong market positions and growth potential [5][47].

Economic Growth - President Xi Jinping emphasized seven key tasks for urban development, including optimizing modern urban systems and promoting high-quality urban renewal[9] - Premier Li Qiang highlighted the importance of strengthening domestic circulation and enhancing consumer demand through diversified supply[9] Infrastructure and Industry - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has commenced with a total investment of approximately CNY 1.2 trillion[10] - 16 central enterprises signed investment agreements for 75 industrial projects in Tibet, amounting to CNY 317.5 billion[10] Consumer Policy - The National Development and Reform Commission revised the Price Law for the first time in 27 years, addressing issues related to irrational price wars and unfair pricing practices[14] - Regulatory bodies have urged major platforms like Ele.me, Meituan, and JD.com to standardize promotional activities and engage in rational competition[14] Financial Regulation - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is pushing for listed companies to enhance investment value and implement major asset restructuring management[16] - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange proposed a unified currency pool policy framework[16] Trade Relations - New high-level economic talks between China and the U.S. are set to begin, focusing on mutual economic concerns[18] - The Hainan Free Trade Port will implement zero-tariff policies for certain goods starting December 18, 2025[19] Risk Warning - There is a persistent divergence in domestic and foreign monetary policies, with domestic policy execution falling short of expectations[25]

发放运营牌照，上海政策助推 Robotaxi 落地 ——行业周报 | 赵旭杨（分析师） | 徐剑峰（联系人） | 王镇涛（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn | xujianfeng@kysec.cn | wangzhentao@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523090002 | 证书编号：S0790123070014 | 证书编号：S0790124070021 | 本周专题：发放运营牌照，上海政策助推 Robotaxi 落地 7 月 26 日世界人工智能大会上，上海新一批智能网联汽车示范运营牌照发放，运 营牌照发放意味着上海的自动驾驶从"道路测试"正式向"规模运营"跃升，有 望进一步推动 L4 自动驾驶的大规模商业化应用。会上还发布《上海高级别自动 驾驶引领区"模速智行"发展行动方案》，总体目标为 2027 年基本建成全球领 先的高级别自动驾驶引领区，形成有国际竞争力的智能网联产业集群。 本周观点：智驾关注技术、政策、产业产生积极变化，行业迈向行稳致远 （1）智驾方面，技术端：特斯拉召开业绩交流，未来仍将大幅提升车端模型参 数量 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The REITs market is expected to continue to offer good investment opportunities due to the downward pressure on bond market interest rates, the "asset shortage" logic, and the expected inflow of social security and pension funds [5][6] - The market remains active with 12 REITs funds waiting to be listed, indicating ongoing interest and activity in the sector [8] Market Overview - As of the 30th week of 2025, the CSI REITs (closing) index was 860.11, up 8.11% year-on-year but down 1.79% month-on-month; the CSI REITs total return index was 1087.36, up 16.32% year-on-year but down 1.56% month-on-month [5][21] - The trading volume in the REITs market reached 741 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.1%, with a transaction value of 3.348 billion yuan, up 29.17% year-on-year [28][30] Sector Performance - Weekly and monthly performance for various REIT sectors showed declines: affordable housing (-3.09%), environmental (-2.02%), expressways (-1.32%), industrial parks (-0.87%), warehousing and logistics (-0.69%), energy (-3.75%), and consumer REITs (-0.82%) [38][55] - Monthly performance for these sectors included declines for affordable housing (-5.88%), environmental (+0.04%), expressways (-1.64%), industrial parks (-1.22%), warehousing and logistics (+0.15%), energy (-4.85%), and consumer (-0.90%) [38] Recent Developments - Tianhong Consumer REIT has submitted its initial public offering application to the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, while Chuangjin Hexin Shounong REIT has successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, raising 3.685 yuan per share with a total fundraising of 3.685 billion yuan [6][14]

Group 1 - The report highlights the selection of 12 innovative companies from the North Exchange, focusing on their strong technological attributes and scarcity in the market, with an average revenue of 582 million yuan and an average net profit of 72.05 million yuan for 2024 [2][4][10] - Key selected companies include: - Caike Technology: A specialized fine chemical "little giant" with expected revenue of 454 million yuan and net profit of 115.64 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] - Meikang Co., Ltd.: A leader in medical knowledge base construction, with expected revenue of 245 million yuan and net profit of 91.09 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] - Aikem: A "little giant" in pre-dispersed rubber additives, with expected revenue of 516 million yuan and net profit of 84.22 million yuan in 2024 [2][3] - Fuyin New Materials: A "little giant" in precision functional materials, with expected revenue of 724 million yuan and net profit of 81.83 million yuan in 2024 [3][4] - Tianjian New Materials: A leading company in high-performance modified plastics, with expected revenue of 1.129 billion yuan and net profit of 63.52 million yuan in 2024 [3][4] - Juxin Technology: A "little giant" in semiconductor power devices, with expected revenue of 564 million yuan and net profit of 54.53 million yuan in 2024 [3][4] - Tiniou Technology: Focused on semiconductor cleaning equipment, with expected revenue of 148 million yuan and net profit of 49.08 million yuan in 2024 [3][4] Group 2 - The North Exchange has a rich reserve of new productivity companies, including 189 companies accepted for listing, covering high-end equipment manufacturing, TMT, chemical new materials, consumption, and biomedicine [1][10][13] - Among the companies awaiting approval, 153 are in various stages, with the highest number in high-end equipment (54 companies) and TMT (28 companies), showing an average revenue of 830 million yuan and net profit of 95.79 million yuan for 2024 in the high-end equipment sector [1][13][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation and technology in driving industrial growth and enhancing productivity, aligning with government initiatives to promote a modern industrial system [10][12]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase in trading volume, with daily stock transactions exceeding 2 trillion yuan, indicating a robust market recovery [4] - The report emphasizes the low allocation of the brokerage sector in actively managed funds, suggesting potential for growth as the sector remains undervalued [4] - The insurance sector is experiencing a reduction in preset interest rates, which is expected to lower liability costs and enhance the competitiveness of traditional insurance products [5] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financials - The brokerage sector's daily trading volume has reached 2.23 trillion yuan, a 19.4% increase week-on-week, reflecting heightened market activity [4] - The report notes that the allocation of brokerages in actively managed funds is only 0.78%, which is significantly below the average of the past five years, indicating a potential for reallocation and growth [4] Insurance - The preset interest rate for ordinary life insurance has been adjusted down to 1.99%, a decrease of 14 basis points from the previous rate, aligning with market expectations [5] - Major insurance companies are adjusting their new insurance products' preset interest rates, which is anticipated to accelerate the industry's transformation and improve the cost-effectiveness of dividend insurance products [5] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Guotai Junan, Dongfang Securities, Hong Kong Exchanges, and others, while beneficiary stocks include Guosen Securities and China Pacific Insurance [6]