Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.64 CNY, based on a 38X PE for 2025 [4][56]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading domestic automotive crankshaft manufacturer, actively expanding into the new energy and humanoid robot sectors [1][12]. - The shift towards hybrid vehicles is reshaping the crankshaft market, providing significant growth opportunities for third-party crankshaft manufacturers like the company [2][31]. - The company is developing its humanoid robot components business through self-research and investments, including a partnership with Changban Technology [3][44]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1995 and listed in 2014, specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of crankshafts, precision forgings, new energy electric drive gears, clutches, spiral bevel gears, and high-strength bolts [12][15]. - It has expanded into the new energy gear business in 2022 and plans to enter the robot sector in 2024 [12][18]. Automotive Parts Business - The hybrid vehicle market is expected to drive significant growth in the crankshaft business, with the company aiming to capture a leading market share [2][32]. - The company has established strong relationships with major clients like BYD and Chery, securing over 50% of the crankshaft supply for BYD's hybrid models [32][34]. Robot Business Development - The company is actively developing its robot reducer business, having formed a dedicated technical team and achieved initial results in product development [3][44]. - An investment in Changban Technology aims to enhance its capabilities in producing robot components, leveraging both companies' strengths [3][47]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 25.4 billion CNY in 2025, 31.7 billion CNY in 2026, and 38.7 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 54%, 25%, and 22% respectively [4][52]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3.0 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 62% [4][52].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The implementation of the parenting subsidy policy is expected to benefit the children's clothing business, as 23 provinces in China have begun exploring various forms of birth subsidies [2]. - The company aims to enhance its retail transformation and supply chain capabilities by focusing on consumer insights, efficient product operations, and precise product development [3]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 15.3 billion, 16 billion, and 17 billion respectively, with net profits of 1.1 billion, 1.2 billion, and 1.3 billion [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, and a net profit of 200 million, down 38% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin remained stable at 47%, while the net profit margin decreased by 4 percentage points to 7% [1]. - The sales expense ratio increased by 4 percentage points to 29%, and the management expense ratio rose by 1 percentage point to 5% [1]. Financial Forecast Summary - The company expects revenues for 2025 to be 15.25 billion, with a growth rate of 4.3% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.41, 0.45, and 0.49 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to be 14x, 13x, and 11x for the next three years [4].

公司报告 | 季报点评 交通银行（601328） 证券研究报告 净利息收入稳定增长，不良率逐步下降 事件： 交通银行发 布 2025 年一季度财报。公司实现营收约 664 亿元， YoY-1.02%；归母净利润 254 亿元，YoY+1.54%；不良率 1.30%，拨 备覆盖率 200%。 点评： 净 利息收 入较 为稳定 。 2025 年一季度，交 通银行营收 664 亿元 （YoY-1.02%），其中净利息收入 426 亿元（YoY+2.52%），占营收比 重 64.2%；非息收入 238 亿元，同比下降 6.79%。2025Q1 拨备前利润、 归母净利润分别同比-4.25%、+1.54%。 盈利预测与估值： 我们预测公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润同比增长为-0.94%、+2.97%、 +4.07%，对应现价 BPS：13.88、14.68、15.44 元。 风险提示：宏观经济震荡，不良资产大幅暴露，息差压力大 | I would and the controlled of the contribution of the contract with a | | --- | 非息收入方面：2025 ...

营收大幅改善，资产质量稳健 公司报告 | 季报点评 民生银行（600016） 证券研究报告 民生银行发布2025 年一季度财报。公司实现营收368亿元，YoY+7.41%； 归母净利润 127 亿元，YoY-5.13%；不良率 1.46% ，拨备覆盖率 144.27%。 事件： 点评： 营收大幅增长。2025 年一季度，民生银行营收 368 亿元（YoY+7.41%， 较 2024 年末提升 10.62pct），其中净利息收入 249 亿元（YoY+2.49%， 较 2024 年末提升 6.14pct），占营收比重 67.6%；非息收入 119 亿元， 同比增长 19.34%，较 2024 年末提升 21.39pct。2025Q1 拨备前利润、 归母净利润分别同比+9.98%、-5.13%。导致拨备前利润与归母净利润增 速较大差距的主要原因是公司计提力度加大，2025 年一季度计提减值准备 同比+42.68%，增长约 33 亿元。 非息收入方面：2025 年一季度，公司手续费及佣金收入 49 亿元，同比 -3.94%。其它非息收入整体同比增长 43.79%；其中投资净收益 94 亿元， 同比增长 58.10% ...

金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 2025 年 05 月 05 日 基金风格配置监控周报： 上周偏股混合型基金显著下调小盘股票仓位 公募基金风格监控 基金季报中披露有基金前十大重仓股，同时企业季度报告中披露有企业的 前十大股东信息（主要使用上市公司 1、3 季度十大股东信息），结合这两 部分信息我们可以得到基金持仓更加详细的重仓股信息。因此模拟全部股 票持仓只需要估计基金剩余的非重仓持股明细。 基金季报（T 期）披露有股票持仓的证监会行业配置信息，基金最近（T-1 期）半年报、年报会披露全部股票持仓，可得基金半年报、年报末非重仓 股持仓信息。假设基金非重仓股持仓在两期各行业下持股种类不变，仅持 股权重按比例变化，那么根据 T-1 期非重仓股持仓按比例放缩权重可得到 T 期非重仓股模拟持仓。 在每年 1、4、8、10 月末我们能得到公募基金模拟持仓（其中 8 月末为基 金半年报真实持仓），基于模拟持仓我们首先估计公募基金股票仓位，进而 刻画公募基金的风格表现。基于公募基金模拟持仓，本文将基金股票持仓 拆分成大、小盘两部分，利用基金日收益率以及基金大、小盘指数日收益 率，本文用加权最小二乘法估计 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [8] Core Viewpoints - The semiconductor sector outperformed major indices in Q1 2025, with a net profit growth of 15.1% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in equipment and packaging sectors [4][16] - The focus for Q2 2025 is on three main lines: the utilization rate of foundry capacity may drive price increases, the design sector is expected to show performance elasticity, and leading equipment manufacturers continue to demonstrate high growth [5][6][7] Summary by Sections 1. Q1 Market Review - The semiconductor sector outperformed major indices in Q1 2025, with the semiconductor index down 0.26%, while the ChiNext index and Shanghai Composite index fell 4.65% and 2.10%, respectively [16] - The electronic sector maintained the highest allocation in the market at 18.7%, with semiconductor holdings accounting for 11.01% of total market value, an increase of 1.67 percentage points [16][20] 2. Semiconductor Q1 Performance Summary - The semiconductor sector reported revenues of 128.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a net profit of 7.9 billion yuan, up 15.1% year-on-year [4] - The equipment sector led growth with a revenue increase of 33.4%, while the packaging sector grew by 24% [4] - The design sector showed performance divergence, with companies like Rockchip and Hengxuan Technology benefiting from AI deployment, while analog chips and storage modules faced price competition [4] 3. Q2 Outlook - Foundry capacity utilization rates are expected to drive price increases, with companies like Huahong and SMIC nearing full capacity [5] - The design sector, particularly SoC/ASIC/storage, is anticipated to show performance elasticity in Q2 [5] - Leading equipment manufacturers are expected to maintain high growth, supported by mergers and acquisitions that enhance global competitiveness [6] 4. Delivery Time Expectations - In Q1 2025, global chip delivery times remained stable, with normal market supply; however, delivery times for most categories are expected to rise in Q2 2025 [3][26] - Specific categories like automotive MCUs saw price declines, while some mid-to-high-end MLCCs experienced increases in delivery times and prices [3][26] 5. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include leading foundries, design companies, and semiconductor materials and equipment manufacturers, reflecting a diversified investment approach within the semiconductor sector [7]

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 嘉曼服饰（301276） 证券研究报告 成人装有望提升整体毛利率 公司发布 24 年报和 25 年一季报 25Q1：营收 3 亿，同比+3%；归母净利润 0.4 亿，同比-16%；扣非归母净 利润 0.4 亿，同比-15%； 24Q4：营收 4 亿，同比-5%；归母净利润 0.7 亿，同比+28%；扣非归母净 利润 0.6 亿，同比+23%； 24A：营收 11 亿，同比-5%；归母净利润 1.7 亿，同比-5%；扣非归母净利 润 1.3 亿，同比+5%。 此外，公司拟每 10 股派发现金股利人民币 7.2 元（含税），同时每 10 股转 增 2 股，派息率为 45%。 童装和电商拖累营收，成人装毛利率明显高于童装 分产品，1）24 年童装营收 10 亿，同比-17%，毛利率 61%，同比+1pct。 2）成人装营收 1 亿，于 24 年年中完成并表，毛利率 80%，明显高于童装 毛利率。 3）其他营收 0.3 亿，或为收购品牌的授权费收入。 分渠道，1）24 年直营营收 3 亿，同比+14%，毛利率 66%，同比+3pct。门 店 176 家，净增 11 家，经营满 1 年的门店 ...

行业报告 | 行业研究周报 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 Q1 建筑板块经营承压，静待后续财政发力推动板块 业绩修复 核心观点 本周 CS 建筑下跌 1.46%，跑赢沪深 300 板块 0.71pct，AI、机器人、算力相 关概念标的涨幅居前。从刚刚过去的财报季来看，25Q1 建筑板块营收、归 母净利润继续承压下滑，但专业工程领域钢结构板块收入实现 7.3%的正增 长、化工工程板块归母净利润增速为+7.4%，Q1 专业工程板块经营较为稳 健。近期资金面、基建高频数据和建筑公司新签订单均印证基建景气度在 持续修复，考虑到关税态势下财政政策有望进一步发力，加速推动实物工 作量落地。建议重点关注中西部基建及顺周期专业工程板块的投资机会， 新兴业务板块关注与算力、AI、洁净室等相关的投资标的，主题层面建议 继续关注西南水电相关品种。 24FY&25Q1 营收/归母承压，静待后续财政发力推动板块业绩修复 从刚刚过去的财报季来看，24 年 CS 建筑板块实现营收同比-4.1%，归母净 利润同比-14.4%，受地产行业下行和地方财政偏紧影响营收、归母均承压下 滑。25Q1 建筑板块营收同比-6%、归母净利润同比-8.4%，板块继 ...

Market Performance - The REITs market experienced a slight decline this week, with the CICC Chongqing Liangjiang REIT leading the gains at +4.99% [2][13] - From April 28 to April 30, 2025, the CSI REITs total return index fell by 0.10%, while the total REITs index decreased by 0.02%. The property REITs index rose by 0.23%, and the operating rights REITs index dropped by 0.45% [2][13] - In terms of major asset classes, the total REITs index outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.41 percentage points, underperformed the CSI All Bond Index by 0.34 percentage points, and outperformed the Nanhua Commodity Index by 1.83 percentage points [2][13] Liquidity - The overall trading activity of REITs decreased this week, with a total trading volume (MA5) of 524 million yuan, down 11.1% from the previous week [3][35] - The trading volumes for property and operating rights REITs (MA5) were 288 million yuan and 236 million yuan, reflecting changes of -19.6% and +2.2% respectively [3][35] - The largest trading volume among REIT types this week was in transportation infrastructure, accounting for 25.7% of total trading volume [3][35] Valuation - As of May 4, 2025, the total issuance scale of listed REITs reached 173 billion yuan, with 65 REITs issued [7] - The report includes valuation metrics such as the REITs P/NAV and the bond yield valuation, indicating the current valuation levels compared to historical averages [41][45]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is a rare domestic player mastering high-end e-PTFE membrane and aerogel core technologies, establishing significant competitive barriers through "technical depth and application innovation" [1][2] - The company is currently in a performance release phase, with a net profit of 24.08 million in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 43% [1] - The company is actively expanding into high-growth sectors such as new energy and military applications while maintaining stable growth in traditional automotive business [1] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company focuses on product R&D and technological innovation, with core technologies in e-PTFE membranes and SiO2 aerogels, widely applied in automotive, new energy, and consumer electronics [20][12] Technical Barriers - The company has developed a complete e-PTFE membrane technology system, breaking the monopoly of international giants like Gore and Nitto [2] - The company’s core production equipment is self-designed or modified, creating a natural moat [2] - R&D investment is projected to be about 5.6% in 2024, with an increase in the proportion of R&D personnel to approximately 20% [2] Growth Drivers - The CMD product line has seen revenue growth of 6.5 times from 2021 to 2023, expected to account for 27.6% of revenue in 2024 [3] - Aerogel revenue is projected to reach 65.12 million in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 46.5% [3] - The company has established a new automotive wiring harness division in 2024, which has already generated revenue [3] Financial Forecast - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 146.15 million, 193 million, and 250 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26, 20, and 15 [4] - Revenue is projected to grow from 410.55 million in 2023 to 1,096.16 million in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 15.25% [4] Valuation - The target price is set at 63 yuan per share, based on a 30x PE valuation for 2025 [4][51] - The company is compared with peers like Walton Technology and Starry Material, with an average PE of 30.2 for comparable companies [51]