25Q1 业绩扭亏，卫星业务占比持续提升 ——上海瀚讯 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 25Q1 业绩扭亏，毛利率受产品结构影响 2024 年，公司实现营收 3.53 亿元，同比+13%，归母净利润-1.24 亿元。毛利率为 43.28%，同比-0.06pct。费用端稳中有降，销售/管理/研发/财务费用合计为 2.67 亿元，同比-19%。 25Q1，公司实现营收 1.26 亿元，同比+84%，归母净利润 0.13 亿元，同比扭亏为 盈。毛利率为 37.56%，同比-27.55pct，我们预计主要由于公司产品结构变化，卫 星业务占比增加影响整体毛利率表现。 ❑ 深度参与千帆星座建设，卫星业务已成为公司重要收入来源 ❑ 盈利预测与估值 公司是特种宽带通信龙头，前瞻布局卫星通信领域，考虑到短期客户订单节奏， 我们预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润为 1.05 亿元/2.46 亿元/4.46 亿元，对应 25 年 PE 为 129，公司积极打造卫星新成长点，维持"买入"评级。 ❑ 风险提示 军用宽带市场发展不及预期；市场竞争加剧的风险；卫星互联网发展不及预期 上海瀚讯(30076 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company has experienced rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 40.5% year-on-year, driven by its dual-engine strategy in telecommunications and data communication [1] - The data communication segment is expected to continue growing, with significant demand for CW laser chips in AI data centers, leading to a forecasted increase in sales from $800 million in 2023 to over $3 billion by 2029 [3] - The telecommunications business is optimizing its product structure, with a revenue increase of 52% year-on-year, and has successfully shipped next-generation 25G/50G PON optical chips [4] - The company maintains high R&D investment, with a 76.17% increase in R&D spending in 2024, focusing on high-speed optical chips and large-power laser chips [5] - Profit forecasts indicate a net profit of 1.04 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 109X, reflecting the company's leading position in the industry and the expected ramp-up of multiple data communication products [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 252 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.6%, with a gross margin of 33.32% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 84 million yuan, a 40.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 14 million yuan, up 35.9% [1] Data Communication Business - The data center and other businesses generated a revenue of 48.04 million yuan in 2024, a staggering 919% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 71.04% [2] - The company successfully mass-produced CW70mW laser chips, achieving over one million units shipped within the year [2] Telecommunications Business - The telecommunications segment generated a revenue of 202 million yuan in 2024, a 52% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.62% [4] - The company has optimized its product offerings, increasing orders for 10G EML products significantly [4] Research and Development - The company invested 54.52 million yuan in R&D in 2024, a 76.17% increase, focusing on advanced optical chip technologies [5] Profit Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits of 1.04 billion yuan in 2025, 1.6 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.48 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 109X, 70.78X, and 45.77X [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company's revenue met expectations, but financial expenses temporarily suppressed profit release. The company achieved an operating income of 79.024 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.572 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.23% [1] - The subsidiary, New H3C, benefited from domestic AI infrastructure, with its revenue growing by 6.04% to 55.074 billion yuan in 2024, and a significant increase of 26.07% in Q1 2025 [2] - The company experienced a substantial increase in inventory and contract liabilities, indicating potential overperformance in AI server market share and profits [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 20.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.25%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 349 million yuan, a decrease of 15.75% [1] - The financial pressure was attributed to the acquisition agreement of New H3C, which increased financial expenses significantly [4] - The company is advancing its H-share listing, which may alleviate financial pressure and support global expansion [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.14 billion yuan, 2.81 billion yuan, and 3.13 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34, 26, and 23 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to declining gross margins and impairment provisions, with a revenue of 7.757 billion yuan in 2024, down 4.71% year-over-year, and a net profit of 315 million yuan, down 37.90% year-over-year [1] - The data center business is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue of 3.152 billion yuan in 2024, up 14.07% year-over-year, contributing 40.63% to total revenue [3] - The company is actively innovating in data center products and solutions, with a significant increase in orders in 2025, particularly in AI computing scenarios [4] - The smart energy business has shown a significant improvement in profitability, with a gross margin increase of 6.82 percentage points year-over-year [6] - The renewable energy sector is steadily developing, with a revenue of 3.608 billion yuan in 2024, despite a year-over-year decline of 15.98% [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.757 billion yuan, with a year-over-year decrease of 4.71%, and a net profit of 315 million yuan, down 37.90% year-over-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.216 billion yuan, up 2.73% year-over-year, and a net profit of 69 million yuan, down 6.26% year-over-year [2] Data Center Business - The data center business generated revenue of 3.152 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-over-year increase of 14.07%, and accounted for 40.63% of total revenue [3] - The company has introduced innovative products for AI computing scenarios and has seen a rapid increase in orders in 2025 [4] Smart Energy Business - The smart energy segment reported revenue of 922 million yuan in 2024, down 9.01% year-over-year, but with a gross margin of 41.06%, up 6.82 percentage points year-over-year [6] Renewable Energy Business - The renewable energy segment generated revenue of 3.608 billion yuan in 2024, down 15.98% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 16.78%, down 3.94 percentage points year-over-year [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see net profits of 654 million yuan, 814 million yuan, and 988 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 35, 28, and 23 [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company is experiencing a structural breakthrough through strategic focus and technological innovation, with significant growth in data security, domestic innovation, and managed security services (MSS) despite overall revenue pressure [2] - Cost reduction measures have led to a significant improvement in operational quality, with operating cash flow turning positive for the first time since 2021, driven by enhanced collection efficiency and optimized procurement spending [3] - AI technology is being leveraged to enhance both product efficiency and management processes, with direct AI product revenue reaching 17 million and indirect AI-enabled revenue at 62 million, accounting for 3.9% of total revenue [4] Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 2.04 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.87%, with a narrowed net loss of 198 million [7] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 898 million, down 6.7% year-on-year, while net profit was 138 million, a decline of 21.38% [7] - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 311 million, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with a narrowed net loss of 111 million [7] Business Segment Performance - The company's data security business saw new product contract amounts grow over 40%, with API security and network DLP products increasing by 200% and 150% respectively [8] - The domestic innovation business benefited from accelerated domestic substitution, with revenue increasing by 78% [8] - The MSS business, empowered by AI, achieved a revenue growth of 25% [8] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.15 billion, 2.27 billion, and 2.42 billion respectively, with net profit expected to recover to 47 million, 126 million, and 172 million [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.154 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 74.15 million yuan, up 10.52% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline of 32.09% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of 25.53 million yuan due to seasonal factors and order execution cycles [1][6] - The transportation sector saw a revenue of 701 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 61% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 5.68% and a gross margin of 55.63%, up 9.2 percentage points. The total fixed asset investment in railways increased by 11.3% year-on-year, reaching a historical high [2] - The government and defense market faced pressure, with revenue declining by 32.49% year-on-year to 194 million yuan, while the financial and other sectors saw a significant increase of 49.47% year-on-year to 259 million yuan. The company is expanding into emerging markets, including smart civil aviation and digital energy [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is steadily advancing 5G-R, with successful product validation for the next phase of field testing [4] - The company has won several significant AI application projects in the railway sector, indicating a strong market potential for AI integration [5] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 83 million yuan, 108 million yuan, and 147 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 58, 45, and 33 [6]

亚信安全(688225) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 08 日 并购驱动高增长，AI 原生筑壁垒 ——亚信安全 2024 年报&2025Q1 点评 事件： 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 软件开发 点评： ❑ 业绩符合预期，并购亚信科技实现营收和利润增厚 公司 2024 年营收和业绩表现符合市场预期，公司通过并购亚信科技实现了营收 和利润的显著增厚，实现扭亏为盈。分业务来看，公司 2024 年网络安全业务实 现营收收入 17.10 亿元，同比增长 6.37%，毛利率达到 61.35%，归母净利润-0.91 亿元，亏损大幅缩窄，体现内生业务提质增效；数智业务作为新增板块，并表贡 献 18.85 亿元收入，1 亿元归母净利润，成为营收和业绩扩张的核心驱动力。 ❑ 网安业务收入结构持续优化，现金流率先实现转正 公司主业网络安全业务呈现结构优化与效率提升的双重特征。具体而言，标准化 产品营收同比增长 7.4%，在网安业务收入占比提升至 47.3%，并拉动网安业务 毛利率同比提升 13.53pcts 至 61.35%；解决方案类业务与安全服务业务在网安业 务收入占比分别为 37.1%和 15.6%，安全服务业务占 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to a decline in gross margin and impairment provisions, with a revenue of 7.757 billion yuan in 2024, down 4.71% year-over-year, and a net profit of 315 million yuan, down 37.90% year-over-year [1] - The data center business is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue of 3.152 billion yuan in 2024, up 14.07% year-over-year, contributing 40.63% to total revenue [3] - The company is actively innovating in data center products and solutions, with a significant increase in orders in 2025, particularly in AI computing scenarios [4] - The smart energy business has shown a significant improvement in profitability, with a gross margin increase of 6.82 percentage points [6] - The renewable energy sector is steadily developing, with a revenue of 3.608 billion yuan in 2024, despite a year-over-year decline of 15.98% [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.757 billion yuan and a net profit of 315 million yuan, with a gross margin of 25.20% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.216 billion yuan, up 2.73% year-over-year, and a net profit of 69 million yuan, down 6.26% year-over-year [2] Data Center Business - The data center business generated revenue of 3.152 billion yuan in 2024, with IDC services and data center products contributing 1.231 billion yuan and 1.921 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The company has introduced innovative products for AI computing and has secured numerous orders from major internet companies [4][5] Smart Energy Business - The smart energy segment reported revenue of 922 million yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 41.06%, reflecting a significant improvement in profitability [6] Renewable Energy Business - The renewable energy segment generated revenue of 3.608 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 16.78% [7] - The company has launched several innovative products and completed significant projects in the renewable energy sector [12] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a rebound in net profit, with forecasts of 654 million yuan in 2025, 814 million yuan in 2026, and 988 million yuan in 2027 [13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 40.5% year-on-year, reaching 0.84 billion yuan, while the net profit rose by 35.9% to 0.14 billion yuan [1][6] - The company is transitioning to a dual-engine model focusing on telecommunications and data communication, leveraging opportunities in the AI-driven data center market [1][2] - The company has successfully launched CW laser chips for AI data centers, achieving significant sales volume and establishing a strong foothold in the high-power laser market [2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.6%, but a net loss of 0.06 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 131.5% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.32%, down by 8.56 percentage points, while the net margin was -2.43%, down by 15.92 percentage points [1] - The company’s R&D expenditure in 2024 was 54.52 million yuan, an increase of 76.17% year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [5] Business Segments - The data communication segment achieved a revenue of 48.04 million yuan in 2024, a staggering increase of 919% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 71.04% [2] - The telecommunications segment generated a revenue of 202 million yuan in 2024, up by 52% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.62% [4] - The company has optimized its product structure in the telecommunications sector, focusing on 10G EML products and successfully shipping next-generation 25G/50G PON optical chips [4] Market Outlook - The market for silicon photonic chips is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to rise from 800 million USD in 2023 to over 3 billion USD by 2029 [3] - The penetration rate of silicon photonics in the 400G and above high-speed data communication optical module market is anticipated to reach 48% by 2028, indicating a substantial market opportunity [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.04 billion yuan, 1.6 billion yuan, and 2.48 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 109X for 2025 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company is experiencing a structural breakthrough through strategic focus and technological innovation, with significant growth in data security, domestic innovation, and Managed Security Services (MSS) despite overall revenue pressure [2] - Cost reduction measures have led to a significant improvement in operational quality, with a 45.01% reduction in net loss year-on-year, and the company achieved positive operating cash flow for the first time since 2021 [3] - AI technology is being leveraged to enhance both product efficiency and management processes, contributing to a notable increase in revenue from AI-related products [4] Revenue Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.87%, with a net loss of 198 million yuan [7] - For Q4 2024, revenue was 898 million yuan, down 6.7% year-on-year, while the net profit was 138 million yuan, a decline of 21.38% [7] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 311 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with a net loss of 111 million yuan [7] Business Segment Performance - The company's data security business saw new product contract amounts increase by over 40%, with specific products like API security and network DLP growing by 200% and 150% respectively [8] - The domestic innovation business benefited from accelerated domestic substitution, with revenue increasing by 78% [8] - The MSS business, empowered by AI, experienced a 25% revenue growth [8] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.15 billion, 2.27 billion, and 2.42 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to reach 47.25 million, 125.80 million, and 171.55 million yuan [10]