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北汽蓝谷点评报告:25全年预计亏损同比收窄,积极布局自动驾驶
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 12:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is the first in the industry to achieve full coverage of L2 to L4 autonomous driving technology, with L3 vehicles expected to be available for personal users by Q2 2026 [1] - The company plans to invest CNY 1.99 billion in upgrading its manufacturing capabilities at the Xiangjie Super Factory, with construction expected to start in March 2026 [2] - The company forecasts a narrowing of its net loss for 2025 to between CNY 4.35 billion and CNY 4.65 billion, with an expected sales volume of 209,600 units, representing an 84% year-on-year increase [3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 277.92 billion, CNY 574.31 billion, and CNY 800.38 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 91.51%, 106.65%, and 39.36% respectively [4] - The company anticipates a net loss of CNY 4.47 billion in 2025, improving to a profit of CNY 1.02 billion by 2027 [4] - Earnings per share are projected to improve from -CNY 1.09 in 2024 to CNY 0.16 in 2027 [4]
北汽蓝谷(600733):25全年预计亏损同比收窄,积极布局自动驾驶
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 11:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company is the first in the industry to achieve full coverage of L2 to L4 level autonomous driving technology, with L3 level vehicles expected to be available for personal users by Q2 2026 [1] - The company plans to invest CNY 1.99 billion in upgrading its manufacturing capabilities at the Xiangjie Super Factory, with construction expected to start in March 2026 [2] - The company forecasts a narrowing of its net loss for 2025 to between CNY 4.35 billion and CNY 4.65 billion, with an expected sales volume of 209,600 units, representing an 84% year-on-year increase [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are CNY 278 billion, CNY 574 billion, and CNY 800 billion, with respective growth rates of 92%, 107%, and 39% [4] Summary by Sections Autonomous Driving Technology - The company has received approval for L3 level autonomous driving and has initiated pilot operations, with plans to expand to personal users by mid-2026 [1] - A strategic partnership with Pony.ai aims to develop and mass-produce L4 autonomous vehicles, targeting international markets [1] Manufacturing and Investment - The company announced a significant investment of CNY 1.99 billion for the digital and technological upgrade of its manufacturing lines at the Xiangjie Super Factory, set to enhance production efficiency and quality [2] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a reduction in net losses for 2025, with a projected sales increase of 84% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend despite ongoing strategic investments [3] - Revenue forecasts indicate substantial growth over the next three years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 77% expected [4]
浙商证券浙商早知道-20260209
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 10:50
证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期:2026 年 02 月 10 日 浙商早知道 2026 年 02 月 10 日 :王禾 执业证书编号:S1230512110001 :021-80105901 :wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要点评 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势:2 月 9 日上证指数上涨 1.41%,沪深 300 上涨 1.63%,科创 50 上涨 2.51%,中证 1000 上涨 2.26%,创业板 指上涨 2.98%,恒生指数上涨 1.76%。 ❑ 行业:2 月 9 日表现最好的行业分别是通信(+5.17%)、综合(+4.7%)、传媒(+3.5%)、电子(+2.97%)、计算机 (+2.88%)。 ❑ 资金:2 月 9 日全 A 总成交额为 22702 亿元,南下资金净流出 18.87 亿港元。 ❑ 【浙商非银 孙嘉赓/许盈盈】非银金融 行业点评:中国 RWA 监管框架落地,香港 Web3 产业迎新变局—— 20260208 ❑ 【浙商传媒互联网 冯翠婷】传媒 行业点评:周报:完美世界《异环》三测超预期 ...
玖龙纸业点评报告:纸浆布局超额显现,业绩再超预期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 08:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.15-2.25 billion yuan for FY26H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 216%-231%. After considering perpetual bonds, the attributable net profit is projected to be 1.95-2.05 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 315.2%-336.5%. This strong performance is primarily due to increased product sales volume, rising sales prices, and a decrease in raw material costs leading to a significant increase in gross profit [1] - The scale effect of pulp production is becoming evident, with the company's pulp production capacity in Guangxi coming online. This has resulted in a rapid reduction in pulping costs and an increase in the self-supply ratio of pulp, which are key factors driving the company's performance beyond expectations [2] - The pulp segment is contributing significantly to profits, while the waste paper segment is showing improvement in profitability. Despite cultural and white card paper prices being at historical lows, the company is still able to generate profit increments due to its self-produced pulp advantage. By FY25, the company’s production capacity for white card and cultural paper is expected to reach 1.8 million and 2.27 million tons, respectively, with further expansions planned for FY26H1 [3] - The company continues to expand its pulp production capacity, with total pulp capacity reaching 23.5 million tons by FY25. The focus remains on increasing the self-supply ratio of raw materials, with additional production capacity planned for FY26 and FY27. This ongoing expansion is expected to further enhance the company's profitability [4] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY26-FY28 are 72.67 billion, 73.99 billion, and 74.76 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 15%, 2%, and 1%, respectively. The attributable net profit is forecasted to be 4.08 billion, 4.41 billion, and 5.04 billion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 131%, 8%, and 14%, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are 8.9, 8.3, and 7.2 times [4][9]
脑机接口系列报告:Neuralink带来的启示
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 08:07
证券研究报告 Neuralink带来的启示 ——脑机接口系列报告 行业评级:看好(维持) n Neuralink带来新启示:脑机接口有望成为人与机器交流的首选,触达更广阔市场。 n 脑机接口国内政策与产业窗口期共振,中国临床案例数大幅提升。 n 脑机接口与大模型、具身智能技术深入融合,大幅推进应用落地速度。 2 2026年2月 分析师 刘雯蜀 分析师 郑毅 分析师 刘静一 邮箱 liuwenshu03@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 zhengyi@stocke.com.cn 邮箱 liujingyi@stocke.com.cn 证书编号 S1230523020002 证书编号 S1230524070002 证书编号 S1230523070005 • 核心观点 Ø Neuralink的首款产品Telepathy(心灵感应)预计在今年量产,目前超10000人申请体验。Telepathy聚焦 "大脑功能正常,但运动 / 交流通路断裂" 的重症群体,例如脊髓损伤、渐冻症患者。量产的三个重要条件——N1性能提升、手术安全性提升、成本降低:1)预计2026年N1设备电极数量从 1000 个增加到 3000 个,提升神 ...
玖龙纸业(02689):点评报告:纸浆布局超额显现,业绩再超预期
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 07:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.15-2.25 billion yuan for FY26H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 216%-231%. After considering perpetual bonds, the attributable net profit is projected to be 1.95-2.05 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 315.2%-336.5%. This strong performance is primarily due to increased product sales volume, rising sales prices, and a decrease in raw material costs leading to a significant increase in gross profit [1] - The scale effect of pulp production is becoming evident, with the company's pulp production capacity in Guangxi contributing to a rapid reduction in production costs and an increase in the self-supply ratio of pulp, which are key factors driving the company's performance above expectations [2] - The pulp segment is contributing significantly to profits, while the waste paper segment is showing improvement in profitability. Despite cultural and white card paper prices being at historical lows, the company is still able to generate profit growth due to its self-produced pulp advantages [3] - The company continues to expand its pulp production capacity, with total pulp capacity reaching 23.5 million tons by FY25. The focus on increasing the self-supply ratio of raw materials is expected to further enhance profitability. The company has plans to build additional chemical pulp production facilities in Chongqing and Tianjin, with expected production increases in the coming years [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 72.67 billion yuan, 74 billion yuan, and 74.76 billion yuan for FY26, FY27, and FY28, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 2%, and 1%. The attributable net profit is expected to be 4.08 billion yuan, 4.41 billion yuan, and 5.04 billion yuan for the same periods, with year-on-year growth rates of 131%, 8%, and 14%. The corresponding P/E ratios are 8.9, 8.3, and 7.2 [4][9]
欣旺达:点评报告吉利诉讼和解落地,阴霾尽扫前路坦荡-20260209
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 00:25
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 电池 欣旺达(300207) 报告日期:2026 年 02 月 08 日 吉利诉讼和解落地,阴霾尽扫前路坦荡 ——欣旺达点评报告 投资要点 ❑ 事件: 吉利旗下威睿电动与欣旺达动力,因 2021 年 6 月至 2023 年 12 月期间向 其交付的电芯存在质量问题并给其造成损失为由,于 2025 年 12 月底向浙江省宁 波市中级人民法院提起诉讼,要求欣旺达动力履行支付赔偿金等款项的义务。诉 讼诉求判令被告赔偿原告损失 23.14 亿元人民币,以及按照全国银行间同业拆借 中心公布的贷款市场报价利率计算的自起诉之日起计算至被告实际支付之日止 的利息。 2 月 6 日,公司公告:双方本着实事求是、求同存异的原则,经充分沟通,一致 同意通过友好协商的方式解决纠纷并签订《和解协议》。《和解协议》中,对上市 公司利润和现金流有影响的条款主要有以下几条(非影响条款本报告未摘录,读 者可自行参阅公告): (一)更换动力电池包相关的费用按实际成本认定,根据实际发生金额经双方核 对后确认,双方商定按比例分担该实际发生金额,同时,事件处理后的相关电池 包全部归乙方所有。 (二)截至 2025 年 ...
煤炭行业周报(2月第1周):印尼意在稳价,节后有望开启补库行情
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 00:25
证券研究报告 印尼意在稳价,节后有望开启 补库行情 ——煤炭行业周报(2月第1周) 行业评级:看好 2026年2月8日 分析师 樊金璐 邮箱 fanjinlu@stocke.com.cn 电话 13466717654 证书编号 S1230525030002 摘要 1.煤炭板块收跌,跑赢沪深300指数:截至2026年2月6日,本周中信煤炭行业收跌0.61%,沪深300指数下跌1.33%,跑赢沪深300指数0.72个百分点。全板块整周9只股价上涨,27 只下跌,1只持平。陕西黑猫涨幅最高,整周涨幅为12.88%。 2.重点煤矿周度数据:中国煤炭运销协会数据,2026年1月30日-2026年2月5日,重点监测企业煤炭日均销量为733万吨,周环比减少3.3%,年同比增加35.9%。其中,动力煤周日 均销量较上周减少2.5%,炼焦煤销量较上周减少8.2%,无烟煤销量较上周减少3.5%。截至2026年2月5日,重点监测企业煤炭日均产量为740万吨,周环比减少1.7%,年同比增加 33.2%;重点监测企业煤炭库存总量(含港存)2273万吨,周环比增加2.2%,年同比减少23.8%。今年以来,供给端,重点监测企业煤炭累计销量 ...
传媒行业点评报告-周报:完美世界《异环》三测超预期,AI应用重点关注字节/漫剧
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 00:24
投资要点 行业评级: 看好(维持) 分析师:冯翠婷 证券研究报告 | 行业点评 | 传媒 传媒 报告日期:2026 年 02 月 08 日 周报:完美世界《异环》三测超预期,AI 应用重点关注字节/漫剧 ——行业点评报告 执业证书号:S1230525010001 fengcuiting@stocke.com.cn 相关报告 1《周报:《飞驰人生 3》等春节 档阵容初定,大厂春节红包抢夺 入口》2026.02.02 2《重仓股配置比例下降,前期 涨幅高的收益确认,AI 应用标 的配置提升》2026.01.26 3《周报:AI 应用快速调整期后 已基本企稳》2026.01.25 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 上周(2 月 2 日~2 月 6 日)传媒板块周跌幅-3.24%,主要系受美股 AI 大模型吞 噬论影响普跌。我们上周周报的春节档相关标的如横店影视(周涨幅 +30.98%)、幸福蓝海(+7.45%)、博纳影业(+7.40%),以及《异环》三测超预 期、我们前期重点推荐的完美世界(+3.87%)录得不错的周涨幅。关于 AI 大模 型吞噬论,我们引用 ...
食饮行业周报(2026年2月第1期):食品饮料周报:重视茅台批价上行信号,看好大众品春节备货行情
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 14:24
Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the upward trend in Moutai's batch price, indicating a potential rebound in the liquor sector, particularly led by Guizhou Moutai [2][11] - The consumer environment is improving, with high-end consumption showing signs of recovery, driven by the wealth effect from the stock market [2][11] - The report highlights the positive performance of mass consumer products, particularly in the beverage and snack sectors, with significant month-on-month and year-on-year improvements in January data [3][13] Market Performance Review - The food and beverage sector saw a weekly increase of +4.31%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index, which decreased by -1.27% and -1.33%, respectively [1][19] - Specific segments such as liquor (+5.29%), soft drinks (+4.71%), and beer (+4.48%) showed strong performance, while health products experienced a decline of -1.36% [1][19] Sector Investment Recommendations - **Liquor Sector**: The report recommends focusing on leading brands like Guizhou Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Gu Qingongjiu, anticipating strong sales during the Spring Festival [4][12] - **Mass Consumer Products**: The report suggests investing in snacks, dairy, and beverages, highlighting companies like Wei Long, Salted Fish, and East Peak Beverage as key recommendations due to favorable cost advantages and growth potential [4][13][15] - **Dairy Products**: The report recommends focusing on upstream dairy farms like You Ran Mu Ye and downstream brands such as New Dairy and Yili, anticipating a dual boost from raw milk and beef cycles [4][16] Key Data Tracking - The report tracks significant price movements in key products, including the batch price of Moutai reaching 1760 yuan, indicating strong demand in the high-end market [2][11][53] - The dynamic price-to-earnings ratio for the food and beverage sector is reported at 21.79 times, with liquor at 19.44 times, indicating a relatively attractive valuation [25]