Group 1: Company Insights - Qilu Bank (601665) is identified as a growth-oriented city commercial bank in Shandong province, with expected continued high profit growth supported by regional expansion and favorable non-performing asset generation [5] - The target price for Qilu Bank is set at 7.47 CNY per share, representing a 33% upside potential based on a 2026 target PB valuation of 0.85x [5] - Revenue projections for Qilu Bank are estimated at 13,019 million CNY, 13,652 million CNY, and 14,494 million CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profit forecasts of 5,708 million CNY, 6,396 million CNY, and 7,144 million CNY [5] Group 2: Industry Insights - The automotive parts industry, particularly in passenger car seating, is noted for its high design barriers and substantial profit margins in high-end models, indicating significant valuation upside potential for the sector [3][19] - The report highlights the resilience of Middle Eastern exports, driven by non-oil economic transformation, with strong import growth supported by fiscal and sovereign fund initiatives [10] - The bond market is expected to experience moderate recovery, with a focus on structural opportunities in credit varieties, as the market is currently viewed as having limited negative factors [14]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the steel sector remains resilient despite macroeconomic fluctuations [1] - The overall performance of the steel sector is expected to outperform the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by over 10% in the next six months [21] Price Performance - The SW Steel Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 7.1% [4] - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is at 3,240 CNY per ton, with a weekly change of -0.6% and a year-to-date change of -2.4% [4] - The iron ore price index is at 104 USD per ton, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 4.0% [4] Inventory - The total social inventory of the five major steel products is 8.9 million tons, with a weekly increase of 2.6% and a year-to-date increase of 21% [5] - The total inventory at steel mills is 3.88 million tons, with a weekly change of 0% and a year-to-date change of 0.6% [5] - The port inventory of iron ore stands at 17.019 million tons, with a weekly increase of 1.5% and a year-to-date increase of 7.3% [5] Supply and Demand - The weekly output of the five major steel products is projected to be around 2.5 million tons [9] - The average daily molten iron production is expected to be approximately 2.4 million tons [9] - The operating rate of blast furnaces across 247 steel mills is a critical indicator of supply dynamics [11]

回调或将带来买入良机 ——主动量化周报 核心观点 鹰派联储主席提名冲击市场短期情绪，但全球流动性走向事实收缩的概率较低，情绪 冲击后反而可能带来布局机会。结合春节后 A 股成交热度容易出现季节性提升，我们 认为春节前一周可能将是较好布局时点。 相关报告 ❑ 如何看待联储新任主席提名的市场影响？ "降息缩表"的政策主张可能面临现实约束，短期情绪冲击或大于实际影响。近 日，特朗普提名凯文·沃什担任联储主席，其核心主张之一，是在推动降息的同 时，加快压缩美联储资产负债表，引发投资者对全球流动性边际收紧的担忧。不 过，其缩表主张可能面临较强的现实约束。其一，在此前经历长期缩表后，美国 银行间市场流动性水平已经略显紧张，使得美联储于 2025 年 12 月重启购买短 债，若再度转向缩表，可能引发流动性危机；其二，2025 年以来，美国长期国 债拍卖倍数持续走低，显示市场对长期美债的需求明显回落，若此时联储进一步 缩表，可能推动长端国债利率大幅走高。因此，沃什的缩表主张最终实际落地的 概率相对较低，对市场而言可能更多体现为一次性的情绪冲击，冲击之后，反而 可能带来较好的布局机会。 ❑ 如何理解近期贵金属价格的剧烈波动？ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 500 million to 550 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 59% to 75% [1] - The growth in net profit is primarily driven by the rapid expansion of the wind power industry, improved order structure, and enhanced cost competitiveness through internal capability building [2][3] - The company is positioned as a leader in high-altitude safety equipment for wind power, with significant growth potential in both domestic and overseas markets [2] - The company is also expanding into multiple sectors, including industrial and construction, emergency rescue, and power grids, with new products expected to drive future growth [3] Financial Summary - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.845 billion, 2.103 billion, and 2.372 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 14%, and 13% [5] - The estimated net profits for the same years are approximately 521 million, 628 million, and 728 million yuan, with growth rates of 66%, 20%, and 16% [5] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 18, 15, and 13 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with a forecasted growth of 59%-75%, translating to a net profit of between 500 million to 550 million yuan [1][2] - The growth is driven by the rapid expansion of the wind power industry, improved order structure, and enhanced customer recognition of the company's products [2] - The company is positioned as a leader in high-altitude safety equipment for wind power, benefiting from both domestic market demand and overseas expansion opportunities [2][3] Financial Summary - The projected net profit for 2025 is approximately 521 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 66% [5] - Revenue is expected to reach 1.845 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 42% increase [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 2.45 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18 [5] Growth Drivers - The company is enhancing its product offerings in response to customer needs, leading to an increase in order size and value [2] - The domestic wind power market is projected to maintain high demand, with new installations expected to reach at least 120 GW during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - The company is also expanding into multiple sectors, including industrial and construction, emergency rescue, and power grid applications, which are expected to contribute to future growth [3]

证券研究报告 印度宣布焦煤为战略性矿产， 看好焦煤弹性 ——煤炭行业周报（1月第4周） 2026年2月1日 行业评级：看好 分析师 樊金璐 邮箱 fanjinlu@stocke.com.cn 电话 13466717654 证书编号 S1230525030002 摘要 1.煤炭板块收涨，跑赢沪深300指数：截至2026年1月30日，本周中信煤炭行业收涨3.98%，沪深300指数上涨0.08%，跑赢沪深300指数3.9个百分点。全板块整周30只股价上涨，6 只下跌，1只持平。陕西黑猫涨幅最高，整周涨幅为14.5%。 2.重点煤矿周度数据：中国煤炭运销协会数据，2026年1月23日-2026年1月29日，重点监测企业煤炭日均销量为758万吨，周环比增加0.9%，年同比增加59.6%。其中，动力煤周日 均销量较上周增加1.5%，炼焦煤销量较上周减少2.7%，无烟煤销量较上周增加0.4%。截至2026年1月29日，重点监测企业煤炭日均产量为753万吨，周环比增加1.5%，年同比增加 56.5%；重点监测企业煤炭库存总量（含港存）2225万吨，周环比减少1.5%，年同比减少25.2%。今年以来，供给端，重点监测企业煤炭累 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Shipbuilding [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.0 billion to 8.4 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 66% to 99% [2] - The main reasons for the profit increase include focusing on core business, optimizing order structure, and improving operational efficiency [3] - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing an upward cycle due to replacement cycles, environmental policies, and capacity constraints, leading to improved profitability for shipyards [4] Financial Summary - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are approximately 7.84 billion, 17.09 billion, and 25.37 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 117%, 118%, and 48% respectively [6] - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with 2025 revenue projected at 156.21 billion yuan, a 99% increase from 2024 [8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.04 yuan in 2025, increasing to 3.37 yuan by 2027 [8]

❑ 高波环境下，市场运行特征体现为配置性价比不足，交易资金主导。 过去一周（2026/01/26~2026/01/30，下同），转债市场在高波环境下运行，运行特 征逐步体现出配置性价比不足、交易资金主导。转债整体走势较弱，转债大盘指 数（-1.09%）表现略优于中盘指数（-2.76%）和小盘指数（-2.79%），低价指数表 现较好（-0.87%），高价转债走势弱（-5.19%）。权益端，前期放量冲高后成交额自 高位回落，市场风险偏好边际降温，量价结构由趋势推动向均衡过渡，配置资金 加仓意愿减弱。在此背景下，转债市场股性扩张动能明显放缓，高波动、高弹性 品种在情绪回落阶段承压更为显著，而具备一定防御属性与估值约束的低价品种 相对占优。在此阶段，转债配置的安全边际有待进一步消化，策略上应以交易思 维应对高波动市场环境，侧重把握波动率与结构分化带来的阶段性机会，同时保 持对估值约束与回撤风险的关注。从当前市场特征看，转债收益来源更多依赖波 动率与结构分化，而非系统性股性扩张，对节奏与仓位管理的要求明显提高。 证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期：2026 年 02 月 01 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a year-on-year growth of 66%-99%, with an estimated net profit of 7.0 billion to 8.4 billion yuan [2][3] - The main reasons for the profit increase include a focus on core business, improved order structure, and enhanced operational efficiency [3] - The shipbuilding industry is experiencing an upward cycle due to factors such as replacement cycles, environmental policies, and tight capacity, leading to improved profitability for shipyards [4] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 156.2 billion yuan for 2025, representing a 99% increase from the previous year [8] - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are approximately 7.84 billion, 17.09 billion, and 25.37 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 117%, 118%, and 48% [6][8] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 32, 15, and 10 [6]

Group 1 - February macro outlook indicates a favorable macro environment for equity markets, with expectations of strong economic and credit data at the beginning of the year [7][9] - The strategy outlook suggests a transition in market styles, with a focus on growth "rest" and a continued bullish stance while adjusting portfolio structures [9][10] - The quantitative strategy emphasizes investing in small-cap stocks and taking long positions before the Spring Festival [10] Group 2 - The February gold stock selection includes companies from various sectors: - Electronics: Shiyun Circuit, Shengkong Co. - Consumer Electronics: Baiwei Storage - Computing: Yunsai Zhiliang - Communication: Kexin Innovation Source - Non-ferrous Metals: Shengtun Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum - Machinery: Zhonglian Heavy Industry - Coal: Huaibei Mining - Non-bank Financials: Dongfang Securities [12][14] - The rationale for selected stocks includes: - Shiyun Circuit is expected to benefit from emerging fields such as commercial aerospace and intelligent driving, potentially leading to significant growth [13] - Shengkong Co. is positioned to gain from the semiconductor cycle, with demand driven by AI and storage needs [17] - Baiwei Storage is set to capitalize on the AI infrastructure boom, with a focus on domestic market share growth [20] - Yunsai Zhiliang is anticipated to see increased demand for cloud services and IDC, driven by AI advancements [22] - Kexin Innovation Source is expected to achieve breakthroughs in the AI liquid cooling market, enhancing revenue and profitability [26] - Shengtun Mining is projected to improve profitability through copper price increases and strategic acquisitions [31] - Luoyang Molybdenum is expected to benefit from increased copper and cobalt production, alongside new gold mining projects [35] - Zhonglian Heavy Industry is positioned for growth through diversification in machinery sectors and global expansion [40] - Huaibei Mining is highlighted for its high elasticity in coking coal, with price improvements expected in 2026 [46] - Dongfang Securities is set to benefit from regulatory support and potential mergers, enhancing its market position [49]