Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [12]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning from a telecommunications software provider to a comprehensive digital intelligence service provider, leveraging AI and large model delivery as key growth engines [21][22]. - The company has established a complete product system for AI large model delivery, with over 100 projects expected to be delivered in 2024, focusing on sectors such as energy, finance, and government [46][22]. - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 69.15 billion, 74.61 billion, and 82.69 billion yuan, respectively, alongside net profits of 5.71 billion, 6.74 billion, and 7.77 billion yuan [11][2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 1993, the company has established itself as a leading provider of digital intelligence capabilities, initially focusing on core business support systems for telecom operators [21]. - The strategic transition involves consolidating its BSS market advantage while developing 5G network intelligence and vertical industry digitalization [21][22]. AI Large Model Delivery - The company began its strategic layout in the AI field in 2023, with a clear focus on end-to-end delivery of large models by 2024 [46]. - The large model delivery service is identified as a core business model within the domestic large model industry, accounting for 90% of the overall market [47]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 66.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a decline of 15.8% primarily due to traditional business downturns [36]. - The valuation approach utilizes a relative valuation method, assigning a target market value of 109 billion yuan (approximately 118 billion HKD) based on a 19x PE ratio for 2025 [11][2]. Business Segments - The company operates three main business segments: telecommunications services, digital operation services, and vertical industry digitalization, with the latter two segments showing significant growth potential [31][34]. - The digital operation business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14.9% from 2021 to 2024, while vertical industry digitalization is projected to grow at 16.7% [35]. Competitive Advantages - The company's competitive edge lies in its first-mover advantage, established methodologies, and strategic positioning within the ecosystem, particularly in serving central state-owned enterprises [55].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.2%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.1%, the STAR 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.1%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.0%, and the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.2% on Thursday [4] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday were banking (+1%), media (+0.1%), and home appliances (0%), while the worst-performing sectors included beauty care (-2.0%), social services (-1.8%), basic chemicals (-1.7%), environmental protection (-1.5%), and real estate (-1.4%) [4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,102.7 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.88 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The core viewpoint indicates that the main value of sci-tech bonds lies in contributing incremental value to the bond market, with an expected annual issuance close to 1.9 trillion yuan, which alleviates asset scarcity issues [5] - In terms of pricing, sci-tech bonds have an average yield spread of approximately 10 basis points compared to ordinary bonds issued by the same entity, suggesting that the market pricing for sci-tech bonds has not changed due to policy shifts [5] Macroeconomic Analysis - The core viewpoint highlights that the fiscal situation in April 2025 showed improvement, with national public budget revenue increasing by 1.9% year-on-year (compared to 0.3% in March), and public budget expenditure rising by 5.8% year-on-year (compared to 5.7% in March) [6] - The second budget also improved, with government fund budget revenue growth recorded at 8.1%, returning to positive growth [6] - The report suggests that to address potential uncertainties, the central government has reserved sufficient tools and policy space, including the possibility of issuing special government bonds and special bonds [6]

均胜电子(600699) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 22 日 证券研究报告 | 公司深度 | 汽车零部件 全球汽车安全+电子头部 Tier 1，人形机器人有望打开成长空间 ——均胜电子深度报告 投资要点 | [Table_Forcast] (百万元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 55,864 | 64,530 | 66,450 | 71,023 | | (+/-) (%) | 0.2% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 6.9% | | 归母净利润 | 960 | 1,534 | 1,833 | 2,161 | | (+/-) (%) | -11.3% | 59.7% | 19.5% | 17.9% | | 每股收益(元) | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | | P/E | 28.4 | 17.8 | 14.9 | 12.6 | | ROE | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 资料来源：Wind，浙商证券研究所 投资评级: 买入(维持) 分析 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司深度 | 汽车零部件 均胜电子(600699) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 22 日 全球汽车安全+电子头部 Tier 1，人形机器人有望打开成长空间 ——均胜电子深度报告 投资要点 | [Table_Forcast] (百万元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 55,864 | 64,530 | 66,450 | 71,023 | | (+/-) (%) | 0.2% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 6.9% | | 归母净利润 | 960 | 1,534 | 1,833 | 2,161 | | (+/-) (%) | -11.3% | 59.7% | 19.5% | 17.9% | | 每股收益(元) | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | | P/E | 28.4 | 17.8 | 14.9 | 12.6 | | ROE | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 资料来源：Wind，浙商证券研究所 投资评级: 买入(维持) 分析 ...

小米集团-W(01810) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 22 日 小米战略新品发布会前瞻 ——小米集团点评报告 本次发布会手机芯片 SoC 芯片玄戒 o1 将亮相，小米成为继苹果、高通、联发科 后全球第四家发布自主研发设计 3nm 制程手机芯片的企业。雷军在官方微博中 提及，小米从 2014 年开启手机芯片研发之旅，期间小芯片陆续面世，如快充芯 片、电池管理芯片、影像芯片、天线增强芯片等，并于 2021 年重新开始研发 SoC，并制定了至少投入 10 年，至少投资 500 亿的长期计划。截至 25 年 4 月底 玄戒累计研发投入已经超过 135 亿人民币，预计 25 年研发投入超过 60 亿，研发 团队超过 2500 人。 ❑ 将发布小米 15S Pro，搭载玄戒 o1，产品体验值得期待，也为小米产品在 AI 时 代保持竞争力提供基础。 我们能从苹果和华为的案例看到，搭载自研芯片+OS 的产品能带来差异化的产品 体验，并提升品牌价值。在"小米终端+玄戒 SoC+澎湃 OS+MiMo 推理模型"的 全自研产品矩阵下，可以期待 15S Pro 带来超预期的产品体验和销量。 ❑ YU7 发布会有望开启小订，时 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba [3] Core Views - The report expresses confidence in the profitability growth of Alibaba's Taotian Group and the long-term trends and competitive landscape of its cloud business [1][2] - Taotian Group's FY25Q4 revenue and profit exceeded market expectations, with customer management revenue growing by 12% year-on-year, surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 3.89% [1] - Alibaba Cloud's FY25Q4 revenue grew by 18% year-on-year, although adjusted EBITA margin declined by 1.9 percentage points to 8%, falling short of Bloomberg consensus of 14.25% [2] Summary by Sections Taotian Group Business - Taotian Group's FY25Q4 adjusted EBITA increased by 8% year-on-year, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 6.2% [1] - The growth in GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) is expected to potentially exceed expectations, driven by three catalysts: collaboration with instant retail, external link access from Xiaohongshu, and AI-enhanced advertising effectiveness [1] Cloud Business - Short-term supply pressures are anticipated to cause performance fluctuations, but the long-term industry trends and competitive landscape remain promising [2] - The strategic focus on cloud and AI is prioritized, with expectations that the upward drivers will eventually outweigh the downward pressures from R&D investments and depreciation [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for FY2026-2028 are 1,087.93 billion, 1,165.38 billion, and 1,249.82 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.2%, 7.1%, and 7.2% respectively [3] - Adjusted net profits for the same period are forecasted at 191.79 billion, 200.43 billion, and 217.53 billion yuan, with growth rates of 21.4%, 4.5%, and 8.5% respectively [3] - The report assigns an 11x PE to FY2026 adjusted net profit and a 5x PS to FY2026 cloud revenue, resulting in a target price of HK$160.1 per share [3]

小米集团-W(01810) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 22 日 小米战略新品发布会前瞻 ——小米集团点评报告 投资要点 财务摘要 | [单位Table_Forcast] /百万 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 365906 | 481844 | 636475 | 716471 | | (+/-) (%) | 35% | 32% | 32% | 13% | | 归母净利润 | 23658 | 32198 | 51439 | 55423 | | (+/-) (%) | 35% | 36% | 60% | 8% | | 每股收益(元) | 0.95 | 1.24 | 1.98 | 2.14 | | P/E | 33.59 | 40.59 | 25.41 | 23.58 | 资料来源：浙商证券研究所 本次发布会手机芯片 SoC 芯片玄戒 o1 将亮相，小米成为继苹果、高通、联发科 后全球第四家发布自主研发设计 3nm 制程手机芯片的企业。雷军在官方微博中 提及，小米从 2014 年开启手机芯片 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 专业连锁Ⅱ 受益主动库存清理，期末存货 60.0 亿，同比-4.5%，存货周转天数 135 天，同比下降 1 天；经营性现金流 37.6 亿，同比+20.0%，增长与应收账款及存货规模下降有关。末期+ 特别分红 8.68 亿，结合中期分红，全年现金分红比例 135%，显著超预期。 ❑ 合作品牌矩阵竞争力仍然强劲，期待 Nike 在新财年的改善： 作为运动零售商龙头，滔搏是 Nike、Adidas 在中国最重视的合作伙伴之一，Nike 品牌在 10 月更换全球 CEO、原大中华区 CEO 亦升任大中华区董事长兼 CEO&ACG 品牌全球 CEO，体现 Nike 对中国&户外市场的重视，期待新财年新管理团队带来的积极变化。 除了两大主要合作品牌外，滔搏不断丰富包括综合运动、专业运动、休闲运动、IP 文化 类的品牌合作矩阵，在户外、越野跑、登山、IP 文化领域持续拓展版图， 25 年 5 月新增 高端户外品牌 Norrøna 及高端跑步服饰品牌 SPAR 中国独家代理合作，其中： ❑ 发布 25/2/28 财年年报：震荡程度符合预期、门店调整到位 25/2/28 财年公司全年收入 2 ...

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